Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Anta Sports [1] Core Insights - Anta Sports has continued the stable trend observed in the first quarter of this year, supported by healthy inventory levels and optimistic sales and performance [1] - The target price for Anta Sports has been raised from HKD 140 to HKD 142 [1] - The retail sales guidance for Anta Sports remains unchanged, with expected growth rates of high single digits for Anta, mid single digits for Fila, and over 30% for other brands [1] - The operating profit margin guidance is maintained, with expected margins of 20% to 25% for Anta, approximately 25% for Fila, and 25% to 30% for other brands [1] - Due to increased investment in MaiaActive and the planned acquisition of JackWolfskin to be completed in June, the earnings forecast for Anta Sports for 2025 to 2027 has been raised by 1% to 2% [1]

金十数据5月29日讯，摩根大通发表报告，认为安踏体育(02020.HK)今年第二季度至今延续首季的稳定 趋势，加上库存状况健康，销售及业绩乐观等因素，上调安踏体育目标价，由140港元升至142港元，维 持"增持"评级。摩通维持安踏体育今年零售销售指引，旗下安踏、Fila、其他品牌分别达高单位数、中 单位数、超过30%增长。维持今年经营利润率指引，安踏、斐乐、其他品牌分别为20%至25%、约 25%，以及25%至30%。不过该行认为，上半年经营利润率可能受库存减值拨回正常化(2024年上半年约 3亿元拨回)、政府补助正常化(2024年上半年7.32亿元，部分来自2023财年延迟补助)，以及利率下行(导 致利息收入减少)拖累。 摩根大通上调安踏(02020.HK)目标价至142港元 维持"增持"评级 ...

安踏体育(02020):升目标价至122.3港元,评级"买入" 瑞银表示，截至2024年底，SuperAnta、安踏冠军店分别有45家和80家。2025年首五个月，冠军店销售同 比翻倍，月均销售达55万元人民币。管理层称，冠军店营业利润率优于集团平均水平。SuperAnta单店月均销 售通常是普通门店(月均30万元人民币)的两至三倍，其中80%产品为新开发款。该行认为，SuperAnta、安踏冠 军店商业模式旨在通过更大面积门店销售核心产品，冀降低产品成本与加成，提供价格具竞争力的产品，其目 标盈利能力与安踏核心品牌一致，毛利率较低但营业费用率也更低。这些新门店业态虽仅占门店总数1%至2%， 但有助于吸引新客户。 瑞银华宝 瑞银发布研报称，考虑到安踏体育(95.45,0.85,0.90%)(02020)旗下AmerSports盈利贡献超预期，上调 2025至2027年净利预测，对安踏目标价从原先115.7港元上调至122.3港元，评级"买入"。 瑞银指安踏管理层表示，今年将有几个因素影响集团整体利润率，利好因素包括(1)Descente和Kolon的强 劲销售带来更高营业利润率;(2)今年库存拨备减少;(3) ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's sportswear sector is experiencing a strong performance, with Anta Sports rising over 6%, and Bosideng International increasing by more than 4%, while Li Ning and Xtep International also saw gains [1] - The overall positive trend in the sportswear sector indicates growing investor confidence and potential for further growth in this industry [1] Group 2 - A-share accounts can now facilitate T+0 trading for Hong Kong stocks without the need for the Hong Kong Stock Connect, potentially increasing accessibility for investors [2] - This development may lead to increased trading volume and liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly for stocks in the sportswear sector [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [4][5][13] Core Viewpoints - Anta Sports is focusing on enhancing its product lines, particularly the Kyrie series, while also introducing the PG7 technology aimed at the general public for running shoes [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing sports and outdoor market, with projected revenues of RMB 78.6 billion, RMB 88.3 billion, and RMB 101.1 billion for the years 2025 to 2027 [4] - The report highlights the innovative features of the PG7 technology, including a G value of 7.8 for shock absorption and a design tailored for East Asian foot shapes, which has led to global sales of over 3 million pairs by March 2025 [2][3] Summary by Sections Product Development - Anta has launched the Kyrie 2, featuring high-quality leather, nitrogen technology insoles, and a lightweight exoskeleton material for enhanced performance [1] - The PG7 technology, designed for the general public, emphasizes shock absorption and comfort, with a price point around RMB 300, making it accessible [2][3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts net profits of RMB 13.5 billion, RMB 15.7 billion, and RMB 17.9 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with EPS expected to be RMB 4.82, RMB 5.60, and RMB 6.39 respectively [4] - The PE ratios are projected to be 18, 15, and 13 for the same period [4] Market Position - Anta Sports is positioned as a leading player in the non-essential consumer goods sector, particularly in textiles and apparel, benefiting from a robust brand matrix [4][5]

Group 1 - Anta Sports announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its €1.5 billion zero-coupon guaranteed convertible bonds due in 2029, changing the conversion price from HKD 104.02 to HKD 102.62 [1] - The adjustment will take effect on May 14, 2025, immediately following the dividend record date [1] - Following the adjustment, if all bonds are converted, they will convert into 119,188,755 shares, representing approximately 4.25% of the issued shares as of the announcement date and about 4.07% of the issued shares after the conversion [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports (2020.HK) is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - Anta reported Q1 2025 retail data showing significant year-on-year growth for its brands, with Anta and FILA both experiencing high single-digit growth, while other brands saw nearly 70% growth, exceeding expectations [2][4]. - The company announced the acquisition of the outdoor brand Wolf Claw for a base price of $290 million, which is considered a favorable deal at approximately 1X PS, given Wolf Claw's projected FY2025 revenue of €325 million [4][6]. - The report indicates that despite short-term pressures on operating profit margins due to increased expenses from channel renovations and brand acquisitions, Anta is on a healthy growth trajectory with stable growth for its core brand, positive trends for FILA, and accelerated growth for other brands [6]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - Anta's retail performance in Q1 2025 was better than expected, with high single-digit growth for Anta and FILA, and nearly 70% growth for other brands [2][4]. - The brand restructuring for FILA since 2023 is showing positive results, and the children's segment is also improving following reforms [6]. Acquisition of Wolf Claw - The acquisition of Wolf Claw for $290 million is expected to enhance Anta's brand portfolio, particularly in the mid-range outdoor segment, and is anticipated to contribute positively to growth in the medium term [6]. - The integration of Wolf Claw may initially have a slight negative impact on profits, but similar past acquisitions have led to successful growth [6]. Financial Projections - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, projecting Anta's net profit for 2025-2027 to be CNY 13.42 billion, CNY 14.96 billion, and CNY 16.59 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 11% for 2026 and 2027 [6][9]. - The estimated P/E ratios for the same period are 16.53, 14.83, and 13.37, indicating that the stock is currently valued at a relatively low level [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports (02020.HK) is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - Anta Sports continues to show strong performance in Q1 2025, with FILA exceeding expectations and plans to acquire Jack Wolfskin to expand its outdoor segment [6][7] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue across its brands, with Anta, FILA, and others experiencing a revenue growth of 65-70% [6][7] - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is expected to enhance the company's outdoor portfolio and accelerate its global channel development [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are as follows: - 2023: 62,356 million - 2024: 70,826 million - 2025: 78,576 million - 2026: 86,693 million - 2027: 94,871 million - Year-over-year growth rates are projected at 16.2% for 2023, 13.6% for 2024, and declining to 9.4% by 2027 [8] - Net profit estimates are as follows: - 2023: 10,236 million - 2024: 15,596 million - 2025: 13,458 million - 2026: 14,991 million - 2027: 16,567 million - The projected P/E ratios are 21.8 for 2023, decreasing to 13.5 by 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports (02020.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Anta Sports continues to show strong performance in Q1 2025, with FILA exceeding expectations and plans to acquire Jack Wolfskin to expand its outdoor segment [6][7] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue across its brands, with Anta, FILA, and others experiencing a revenue growth of 65-70% [6] - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is expected to enhance the company's outdoor portfolio and accelerate its global channel development [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are as follows: - 2023: 62,356 million - 2024: 70,826 million - 2025: 78,576 million - 2026: 86,693 million - 2027: 94,871 million - Year-over-year growth rates are projected at 16.2% for 2023, 13.6% for 2024, and declining to 9.4% by 2027 [8] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: 10,236 million - 2024: 15,596 million - 2025: 13,458 million - 2026: 14,991 million - 2027: 16,567 million - The projected P/E ratios are 16.6 for 2025, 14.9 for 2026, and 13.5 for 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Anta Sports, with a target price trimmed to HK$ 119.08, based on a 24x FY25E P/E ratio [1][3]. Core Insights - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is viewed positively, with the acquisition price considered attractive and significant potential for expansion in the mid-priced outdoor industry and European markets [1][11]. - Despite a slight decline in retail sales growth in March-April 2025, the outlook for Q2 2025 remains cautiously optimistic due to various growth drivers [11][12]. - The company's retail sales growth in Q1 2025 was satisfactory, with improvements in inventory management and a better-than-expected profit margin [10][11]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY25E are set at RMB 78,235 million, with a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [2][12]. - Net profit for FY25E is estimated at RMB 14,961.4 million, reflecting a decrease of 12.7% year-on-year [2][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY25E is projected at RMB 4.66, down from RMB 5.34 in FY24A [2][12]. Market Performance - The current market capitalization of Anta Sports is approximately HK$ 226.67 billion, with a current stock price of HK$ 83.85, indicating a potential upside of 42% to the target price [3][4]. - The stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 17x for FY25E, which is considered attractive compared to its 5-year average of 25x [1][12]. Acquisition Details - Anta Sports announced the acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for USD 290 million (approximately RMB 23.5 billion), with expected sales of EUR 325 million and adjusted EBITDA of EUR 12 million for FY25E [11][18]. - The valuation metrics for the acquisition indicate a P/S ratio of approximately 0.8x, which is lower than both Anta's group average and the global sports industry average [11][18].