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安踏体育(02020):2025Q1运营点评:Q1品牌流水表现稳健,拟收购户外品牌狼爪
国海证券· 2025-04-13 11:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable operational performance in Q1 2025, with significant growth in brand revenues, particularly for the Anta and FILA brands, which recorded high single-digit growth year-on-year. Other brands experienced a remarkable revenue growth of 65%-70% [5][7] - The company plans to acquire the outdoor brand Wolfskin, which is expected to accelerate its internationalization process and enhance its product structure and retail efficiency through supply chain optimization [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at RMB 788.5 billion, RMB 878.5 billion, and RMB 970.2 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.3%, 11.4%, and 10.4%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be RMB 134.5 billion, RMB 154.9 billion, and RMB 172.5 billion, with corresponding growth rates of -13.8%, +15.2%, and +11.3% [7][9] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, Anta brand revenue showed high single-digit growth year-on-year, while FILA also continued its positive trend with high single-digit growth. Other brands achieved a revenue increase of 65%-70% [5][7] Acquisition Plans - The company announced plans to acquire the European outdoor brand Wolfskin for USD 290 million in cash, which is expected to enhance its international presence and leverage Wolfskin's established network and brand strength in Europe [7] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 788.5 billion, RMB 878.5 billion, and RMB 970.2 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of RMB 134.5 billion, RMB 154.9 billion, and RMB 172.5 billion. The projected P/E ratios are 16, 14, and 13 for the respective years [9][10]
安踏体育:大消费优质标的-20250413
天风证券· 2025-04-13 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][4]. Core Insights - The company reported strong retail performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in retail sales for its brands, including a 65-70% increase for other brands [1][2]. - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for $290 million in cash is expected to enhance the company's brand matrix and strengthen its outdoor sports segment [1][2][3]. - The integration of Jack Wolfskin is anticipated to provide synergies in supply chain, product development, and retail operations, leveraging its advanced materials technology and German engineering expertise [3][4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at RMB 78.6 billion, RMB 88.3 billion, and RMB 101.1 billion, respectively, with net profit estimates of RMB 13.5 billion, RMB 15.7 billion, and RMB 17.9 billion [4]. - The adjusted EPS for the same period is projected to be RMB 4.82, RMB 5.60, and RMB 6.39, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times [4].
安踏体育(02020):大消费优质标的
天风证券· 2025-04-13 09:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][4]. Core Insights - The company reported strong retail performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in retail sales for its brands, including a 65-70% increase for other brands [1][2]. - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for $290 million in cash is expected to enhance the company's brand matrix and strengthen its outdoor sports segment [1][2][3]. - The integration of Jack Wolfskin is anticipated to provide synergies in supply chain, product development, and retail operations, leveraging its advanced materials technology and German engineering expertise [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at RMB 78.6 billion, RMB 88.3 billion, and RMB 101.1 billion, respectively, with net profit estimates of RMB 13.5 billion, RMB 15.7 billion, and RMB 17.9 billion [4]. - The adjusted EPS for the same period is projected to be RMB 4.82, RMB 5.60, and RMB 6.39, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times [4].
安踏体育(02020):Q1部分品牌流水超预期,收购狼爪多品牌行稳致远
华源证券· 2025-04-12 13:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in Q1, with several brands exceeding expectations, and the acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is expected to stabilize and enhance its multi-brand strategy [5][7] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the sportswear industry in China, with significant growth potential through multi-brand operations and overseas expansion [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 62,661 million RMB - 2024: 70,826 million RMB (growth of 16.37%) - 2025E: 78,944.69 million RMB (growth of 11.46%) - 2026E: 87,795.88 million RMB (growth of 11.21%) - 2027E: 96,556.82 million RMB (growth of 9.98%) [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected as follows: - 2023: 10,236 million RMB - 2024: 15,596 million RMB (growth of 52.36%) - 2025E: 13,500.18 million RMB (decline of 13.44%) - 2026E: 15,559.12 million RMB (growth of 15.25%) - 2027E: 17,142.09 million RMB (growth of 10.17%) [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be: - 2023: 3.69 RMB - 2024: 5.55 RMB - 2025E: 4.81 RMB - 2026E: 5.54 RMB - 2027E: 6.11 RMB [6] Brand Performance - The Anta brand recorded high single-digit growth in Q1 2025, maintaining stable operations - The FILA brand also showed high single-digit growth, continuing the improvement trend from Q4 2024 - Other brands experienced a significant growth rate of 65-70% in Q1 2025, benefiting from a high demand in the outdoor sports sector [7] Acquisition Impact - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for USD 290 million is expected to enhance the company's outdoor product matrix and broaden its customer base - Jack Wolfskin's established presence in Europe is anticipated to support the company's global expansion strategy [7]
安踏体育(02020):运营表现超预期,收购狼爪户外布局再添一棋
申万宏源证券· 2025-04-11 08:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported better-than-expected retail performance for Q1 2025, with overall revenue growth in double digits, particularly strong growth from Anta and FILA brands [7] - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for $290 million enhances Anta's multi-brand strategy and global presence in the outdoor apparel market [7] - The company maintains a healthy inventory level with a slight increase in discount rates, indicating stable demand [7] - The financial forecasts for net profit are projected at RMB 134.1 billion, RMB 147.0 billion, and RMB 160.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 14, and 13 [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections are as follows: - FY2023: RMB 623.6 billion - FY2024: RMB 708.3 billion - FY2025E: RMB 779.5 billion - FY2026E: RMB 839.2 billion - FY2027E: RMB 900.7 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are expected to be 16%, 14%, 10%, 8%, and 7% respectively [6] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - FY2023: RMB 102.4 billion - FY2024: RMB 156.0 billion - FY2025E: RMB 134.1 billion - FY2026E: RMB 147.0 billion - FY2027E: RMB 160.1 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are expected to be 35%, 52%, -14%, 10%, and 9% respectively [6] - The gross margin is projected to be around 62% for the next few years, with slight fluctuations [6]
安踏体育(02020):25Q1线上折扣加深,收购狼爪完善户外品牌矩阵
招商证券· 2025-04-11 06:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy rating for Anta Sports [3][10] Core Views - In Q1 2025, Anta's main brand and FILA both experienced high single-digit growth, while other brands saw growth between 65% and 70%. The company is deepening online discounts and has a relatively healthy inventory situation [1][2][10] - Anta plans to acquire Jack Wolfskin for $290 million to enhance its outdoor brand portfolio, which is expected to be completed by the end of Q2 or early Q3 2025 [6][10] - The projected net profits for Anta from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 13.43 billion, 15.51 billion, and 17.15 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -14%, 15%, and 11% respectively, excluding one-time gains from the Amer acquisition [1][10] Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 77.96 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10%. The company expects to achieve revenues of 85.45 billion yuan in 2026 and 92.97 billion yuan in 2027 [8][10] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 16x for 2025 and 14x for 2026 [10] - As of the end of Q1 2025, Anta's inventory turnover ratio is less than 5, indicating effective inventory management [6][10] Brand Performance - Anta's main brand saw high single-digit growth in Q1 2025, with children's products also performing well. The overall online sales for the brand experienced low double-digit growth [1][11] - FILA's sales in Q1 2025 showed high single-digit growth, with children's products growing at a low double-digit rate and the FILA Fusion line achieving high double-digit growth [2][11] - Other brands under Anta, such as Descente and KOLON, reported significant growth rates of 60% and 100% respectively in Q1 2025 [2][11]
2.9亿美元“捕获”狼爪,安踏(02020)下了一步什么棋?
智通财经网· 2025-04-11 01:54
完善户外运动版图,深化全球布局 在"单聚焦、多品牌、全球化"战略的指引下,安踏集团逐步构建起庞大且多元的品牌矩阵,旗下品牌已 覆盖多个运动细分赛道,在体育用品市场占据领先地位。2024年,安踏集团+亚玛芬集团总收入首次突 破千亿大关,达到1085.8亿元。根据欧睿咨询数据,2024年安踏集团在中国运动品牌市场的市占率达到 23%,位居行业第一。 安踏体育(02020)"单聚焦、多品牌、全球化"战略再迎重磅落子。 智通财经APP获悉,2025年4月10日,安踏体育宣布全资收购德国知名户外品牌Jack Wolfskin(狼 爪),基础对价为现金2.9亿美元。此次收购是安踏体育战略布局的关键一步,有望为其带来多维度的 协同效应,助力其在全球体育用品市场中勾勒出全新的发展蓝图。 然而,在全球运动消费市场正呈现出细分与多元化的趋势下,安踏在大众户外市场领域仍有庞大的"补 强"空间。狼爪作为知名大众户外品牌,凭借出色的产品品质和独特设计,拥有广泛的消费群体和强大 的市场影响力。因此,对于安踏而言,收购狼爪成为完善自身在大众户外市场布局的理想选择。这无疑 是安踏完善户外运动领域布局的关键一招,不仅能丰富大众户外市场品牌资源 ...
安踏体育(02020):第一季度集团流水增长双位数,收购德国户外品牌狼爪
国信证券· 2025-04-11 01:42
事项: 4 月 10 日,公司公告 2025 第一季度零售表现,2025 第一季度,安踏主品牌录得高单位数正增长,FILA 录 得高单位数正增长,其他品牌录得 65-70%正增长;此外,公司公告收购世界领先户外服饰、鞋履及装备专 业品牌德国狼爪(Jack Wolfskin),基础对价为现金 2.9 亿美元。在满足其他惯常交割条件后,本次收购 预计将于 2025 年第二季末或第三季初完成。 国信纺服观点: 1、2025 第一季度:较高基数上各品牌流水增长出色,集团整体流水增长双位数,库存水平健康、折扣稳 定; 证券研究报告 | 2025年04月11日 安踏体育(02020.HK) 第一季度集团流水增长双位数,收购德国户外品牌狼爪 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 纺织服饰·服装家纺 |  投资评级:优于大市(维持) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师: | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师: | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005 ...
安踏体育:Q1超预期,收购德国狼爪户外矩阵进一步丰满-20250411
浙商证券· 2025-04-11 01:20
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 文娱用品 安踏体育(02020) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 10 日 Q1 超预期,收购德国狼爪户外矩阵进一步丰满 ——安踏体育点评报告 ❑ FILA:超预期稳健增长 25Q1 FILA 品牌流水增长高单位数,其中预计大货增长中单位数,儿童增长低双位 数,潮牌增长中双位数,儿童和潮牌延续了 24Q4 的回暖势头,分渠道来看,线上增长中 双位数,快于线下。本季度线上线下折扣略有加深,库销比保持在可控范围内,大货中 专业运动、户外增速表现领跑,潮牌重塑后户外机能风受到消费者欢迎,后续新 CEO 预 计也会继续在大货商品、零售渠道、组织架构进行积极调整。 ❑ 其他品牌:成长火力全开 25Q1 Descente 流水增长接近 60%,KOLON 流水增长接近翻倍,MaiaActive 流水增 长 30%以上,户外及女子运动多点开花,增长火力全开的同时运营质量极高, DESCENTE 及 KOLON 折扣和库销比表现维持高水准。 ❑ 收购德国狼爪、户外版图进一步丰满 德国狼爪 Wolfskin1981 年成立,作为德国代表的专业户外品牌主要在徒步、自行 车、滑雪、露营场景提供户外 ...
安踏体育:Q1流水增长优异,收购Jack Wolfskin充实品牌版图-20250411
国盛证券· 2025-04-11 00:28
安踏体育(02020.HK) Q1 流水增长优异,收购 Jack Wolfskin 充实品牌版图 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 11 年 月 日 事件:公司发布 2025Q1 经营情况公告,公司整体表现超预期。根据公司披露,2025Q1 安踏品牌流水同比增长高单位数,Fila 品牌流水同比增长高单位数,其他品牌流水同比增长 65%~70%。 安踏品牌:2025Q1 流水稳健增长,库存健康。2025Q1 安踏品牌流水同比增长高单位 数,细分子品牌看我们预计安踏大货/儿童或均有高单位数增长。从渠道层面看,在春节假 期带动下,我们预计安踏电商增长或有双位数,延续 2024 年的快速增长态势。从营运层面 来看,我们预计截至 2025Q1 末安踏品牌库销比在 4~5 之间的健康水平。展望 2025 年, 我们预计安踏品牌仍将通过产品和渠道优化推动增长,2025 年冠军等高层级店型门店数量 或有增长,同时聚焦大众市场的超级安踏单店模型有望得到进一步优化,产品端继续推动 跑鞋、篮球鞋结构优化,推动爆品打造,提升品牌声量。 Fila 品牌:2025Q1 流水增速超预期,儿童、潮牌业务表 ...