New Product Launches - Bright Dairy launched the new organic milk ice cream "Guangming Youbei," containing 55% organic milk, with protein content not less than 4.5g/100g [4] - Xueji Snacks and Yili Group introduced a new yogurt product featuring a "milk skin" layer, made from fresh milk sourced from Yili's professional farms [4] - Joyoung released a new red date soy milk powder, made from non-GMO soybeans and red dates, containing 28g of protein per 100g [6] - Yi Bao launched a new 5L packaging of its bottled drinking water, designed for multiple consumption scenarios [6] - Luckin Coffee and Duolingo collaborated to launch a new product, "Green Sand Latte," made with high-quality green beans and IAC award-winning coffee beans [22] Industry Events - Anta opened a new brand experience space called "Anta Home" in Jinjiang, featuring appearances by Olympic champions [9] - Mengniu's high-end ice cream brand Tilan Shengxue officially entered the Hong Kong and Macau markets, becoming the first high-end ice cream brand approved by local authorities [10] - Yuanji Cloud Dumplings announced its first store in Thailand, maintaining its original recipe without local adaptations [12] - Grandpa's Tea appointed actress Shu Qi as its brand ambassador, marking a significant step in brand influence [12] Investment and Financing - The smart beverage retail brand "Pengbei Station" completed a financing round of 50 million yuan, focusing on AIOT solutions for unmanned retail [16] - Qunxing Toys secured 159.47 million yuan in financing, representing 26.25% of the day's buying amount [17] - Jujitang completed a 10 million yuan angel round financing, focusing on health food supply chains [18] - Three Squirrels announced an investment of up to 200 million yuan to upgrade its snack supply chain [19] Food Industry Developments - The new "Shang Jian Wang" tea beverage series from Shan Zha Shu Xia Group features oolong and jasmine tea, with zero sugar, fat, and calories [6] - Farmer Spring launched a new birch tree juice product, currently available only through Sam's Club [24] - DolCas Biotech introduced a chocolate bar containing fish collagen peptides, targeting joint and skin health [26]

核心观点 运动龙头 25Q2 流水稳健，期待经营继续改善。2025Q2，运动服饰行业龙头公司在需求波动的背景下展现出良好的经 营韧性流水保持稳健，展现出较强的经营韧性，在耐克营收增速下滑背景下实现市场份额的提升。安踏体育多品牌 矩阵优势持续发挥，主品牌以及 FILA 流水稳健增长，迪桑特、可隆与 MAIA 等新品牌增长显著；李宁渠道与产品持 续调整，Q2 流水（不包含李宁 YOUNG）同比录得低单位数增长；特步主品牌 Q2 录得低单位数增长，索康尼录得 20% 以上增长，新品牌维持较高增速；361 度 Q2 主品牌/童装/电商同比录得约 10%/10%/20%增长，线上线下同步发力， 超品店效率显著提升。各公司通过多品牌运营、新业态拓展及赛事营销驱动增长，产品端大力发展专业运动板块， 如安踏 PG7、马赫；李宁飞电、越影；特步 160X；361 度飞飚等系列持续迭代，跑鞋流水增速高于其他品类，同时依 靠电商渠道拉动流水增长并减轻库存压力。库销比整体维持在 4-5 个月的健康水平且折扣可控。各大公司维持全年 指引，期待产品、渠道持续调整叠加 24H2 基数下降情况下 25H2 经营数据环比进一步改善。 若羽臣 ...

机构：国泰海通证券 研究员：盛开/钟启辉 本报告导读： 25Q2 安踏集团流水增长双位数，其中主品牌/FILA/其他品牌分别增长低单/中单/50-55%。主品牌线上线 下运营同步优化，新业态进展顺利。FILA 表现符合公司预期，新品深耕时尚运动。我们预计其他户外 品牌H2延续良好势头。 投资要点： 投资建议：我 们认为面对当下极具挑战的零售环境，安踏集团在各业务线持续寻找运营突破点，多品 牌矩阵优势持续体现，展望2025年下半年和2026 全年仍有望打通多个盈利能力提升路径。我们维持盈 利预测，预计公司2025-2027 净利润为134.2/151.0/168.8 亿元，给予2025 年PE 估值区间20X，按照1 港 元=0.91 人民币元汇率换算，对应目标价105.1 港元/股，维持"增持"评级。 公司公布25Q2 流水表现，集团整体流水增长双位数。其中安踏主品牌增长低单，FILA 增长中单（接近 高单），其他品牌增长50-55%（迪桑特增长40%+，可隆增长70%+，其他品牌增长30%+）。 主品牌线上线下同步优化，新业态进展顺利。25Q2 安踏主品牌流水增长低单，环比Q1（增长高单）放 缓，主因①低线 ...

FILA：25Q2 流水录得中单位数增长，符合预期，其中大货/儿童/Fusion 分别录得高单位数/中单位数/中 单位数增长。折扣和库存方面，库销比略超5，线下折扣保持稳定，线上折扣略有加深。H1 流水录得高 单位数增长。 其他品牌：25Q2 流水同比增长50-55%，继续维持高增长态势。其中，迪桑特同比增长超40%，可隆增 长超70%，Maia 增长超30%。折扣方面，迪桑特和可隆都保持在9 折。Maia 落地四大全新概念店，店 效同比提升中双位数，签约代言人虞书欣，带动品牌曝光率持续提升。H1 其他品牌流水录得60-65%的 高速增长。 收购狼爪后续并表，多品牌持续布局。公司此前发布公告全资收购德国户外服饰、鞋履及装备专业品牌 狼爪（Jack Wolfskin），基础对价为现金2.9 亿美金，交易于Q2 末完成并将在后续进行并表。未来品牌 有望借助安踏集团的供应链及渠道能力，打开中国户外消费市场。公司通过持续收购，进一步布局户外 赛道，扩大子行业覆盖。 投资建议：公司作为中国体育用品行业的龙头企业，将优先享受行业发展带来的红利。综合考虑，我们 预测2025-2027 年EPS 为4.72/5.26/5.8 ...

安踏集团发布2025 年二季度及上半年运营公告：2025Q2，安踏品牌零售额同比实现低单位数正增长， FILA 品牌同比实现中单位数正增长，其他所有品牌（不包括2025 年4 月1 日之后加入本集团的品牌） 同比+50-55%。2025H1，安踏品牌零售额同比实现中单位数正增长，FILA 品牌同比实现高单位数正增 长，其他所有品牌（不包括2025 年4 月1 日之后加入本集团的品牌）同比+60-65%。 平安观点： 安踏品牌经营稳健。2025Q2 安踏品牌零售流水同比实现低单位数正增长，2025H1 零售流水同比实现中 单位数正增长。 机构：平安证券 研究员：王源 事项： 其他品牌流水表现优异。2025Q2 其他品牌（不包括2025 年4 月1 日之后加入本集团的品牌）零售流水 同比+50-55%，2025H1 零售流水同比+60-65%。公司其他的多元化品牌整体经营表现优异。 我们的观点：我们看好公司在2025 年运动户外鞋服赛道的表现，随着公司品牌矩阵的扩大，市场份额 有望持续扩大。基于消费市场仍具备一定不确定性的考量，我们下调2025-2026 年盈利预测，公司归母 净利润分别为134.12 亿元（原预 ...

Group 1 - Li Ning and Anta both reported a slowdown in growth, with Li Ning's retail performance showing low single-digit growth in Q2 2025 [2][4] - Li Ning's retail points (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) totaled 6099, with a net increase of 11 points in the last quarter but a net decrease of 18 points year-to-date [4] - Anta's core brand achieved mid-single-digit growth, while FILA recorded high single-digit growth, and other brands like DESCENTE and KOLON SPORT saw growth between 60% to 65% [5][8] Group 2 - Anta's retail revenue growth slowed to low single digits from April to June 2025, with FILA maintaining mid-single-digit growth [8] - Anta's total revenue for 2024 reached 708.26 billion yuan, a 13.6% year-on-year increase, and combined with Amer Sports, total revenue surpassed 100 billion yuan for the first time [10] - Non-fan Linyue announced a further acquisition of Li Ning shares, increasing its stake from approximately 11.23% to 12.34% [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strong Buy" (maintained) [1][12]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in the second quarter, with diversified brand advantages becoming evident. The retail sales of the Anta brand achieved low single-digit growth year-on-year in Q2 2025, while FILA brand sales saw mid-single-digit growth. Other brands (excluding those added after April 1, 2025) experienced a remarkable year-on-year growth of 50-55% in Q2 and 60-65% in H1 2025 [3][6]. - The report expresses optimism about the company's performance in the sports and outdoor apparel sector in 2025, anticipating continued market share expansion due to the broadening brand matrix. However, profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been adjusted downwards due to uncertainties in the consumer market [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 62,356 million, with a year-on-year growth of 16.2%. The net profit was 10,236 million, reflecting a 34.9% increase. The gross margin stood at 62.6% and the net margin at 16.4% [5][10]. - Projections for 2024A to 2027E indicate a steady increase in revenue, with expected figures of 70,826 million (2024A), 80,918 million (2025E), 91,792 million (2026E), and 104,649 million (2027E). The net profit is projected to be 15,596 million (2024A), 13,412 million (2025E), 15,045 million (2026E), and 17,281 million (2027E) [5][10]. Profitability Ratios - The report highlights a gross margin of 62.2% for 2024A, expected to rise to 63.5% by 2026E. The net profit margin is projected to be 22.0% in 2024A, decreasing to 16.5% by 2027E [11]. - Return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable around 19.6% for 2025E and 2026E [11]. Balance Sheet - The total assets are projected to grow from 112,615 million in 2024A to 142,268 million by 2027E. The company maintains a healthy liquidity position with a current ratio of 2.1 in 2024A, expected to improve to 2.8 by 2027E [9][11]. - The debt-to-asset ratio is projected to decrease from 40.7% in 2024A to 32.7% by 2027E, indicating improved financial stability [11]. Cash Flow - Operating cash flow is expected to be 16,741 million in 2024A, with a gradual increase to 21,325 million by 2027E. Investment activities are projected to have negative cash flow, indicating ongoing investments in growth [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - Anta's main brand revenue growth in Q2 2025 is low single digits, with a slowdown in growth rate compared to previous quarters, primarily due to optimization of franchise stores in lower-tier cities and online discount control [1][2] Group 1: Anta Brand Performance - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand revenue growth is low single digits, while H1 shows mid single-digit growth, a decrease from high single digits in Q1 [2] - The company is focusing on optimizing franchise channels in lower-tier cities and has appointed a new e-commerce head to enhance online sales management [2][3] - The inventory-to-sales ratio remains around 5 months, with offline discounts stable year-on-year and online discounts slightly deepening [2][3] Group 2: FILA Brand Performance - FILA's revenue in Q2 2025 shows mid single-digit growth year-on-year, with H1 growth at high single digits [3] - FILA's large goods are expected to grow at high single digits, while Fusion and children's wear are projected to grow at mid single digits [3] - Online sales for FILA are performing better than offline, with an overall inventory-to-sales ratio of about 5 months [3] Group 3: Other Brands Performance - Other brands collectively achieved revenue growth of 50%-55% in Q2 2025, with Kolon exceeding 70% and Descente projected to grow over 40% [3] - Maia Active shows over 30% revenue growth, with double-digit growth in store efficiency and rapid membership growth driven by endorsements [3] Group 4: Outlook for H2 2025 - The company maintains expectations for high single-digit growth for Anta, mid single-digit growth for FILA, and over 30% growth for other brands in 2025 [4] - Continuous optimization of offline franchise stores and expansion of new retail formats for Anta are planned [4] - Anticipated decline in interest income and increased market investment for Anta and FILA may lead to a slight decrease in operating profit margins [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 784.4 billion, 848.8 billion, and 911.0 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of +10.7%, +8.2%, and +7.3% respectively [5] - Expected net profit for the parent company is 134.1 billion, 149.7 billion, and 165.4 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of -14.0% (excluding one-time losses from Amer) [5] - Corresponding P/E ratios are 17.7x, 15.9x, and 14.3x, with a maintained "buy" rating [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q2 2025 operational data, showing performance in line with expectations, with a double-digit revenue growth overall, while the main brand Anta experienced low single-digit growth [1][2]. Group 1: Anta Brand Performance - In Q2 2025, Anta's brand revenue growth was low single-digit, while the first half of the year showed mid single-digit growth, which was below internal expectations due to several factors [2]. - The company accelerated store upgrades in lower-tier cities, impacting short-term sales but laying a foundation for future growth [2]. - The competitive landscape during the online 618 shopping festival led to a cautious approach on discounts to maintain brand health [2]. - A new e-commerce head was appointed to enhance product differentiation across platforms, with expectations for improved sales performance in the second half of the year [2]. Group 2: New Retail Formats and Other Brands - Anta's new retail formats, such as champion stores and SV collection stores, have shown significant effectiveness, with champion stores achieving 80% higher sales efficiency than regular stores [3]. - FILA continued its steady growth with mid single-digit revenue growth in Q2, driven by a recovery in main products and strong e-commerce performance [3]. - New brands like Descente, KOLON, and Maia Active showed exceptional growth, with Descente exceeding 40% and KOLON over 70% in Q2 [3]. Group 3: Inventory and Financial Outlook - Inventory levels remained healthy, with a stock-to-sales ratio of around five months for Anta and FILA [4]. - The company maintained effective cost control, which is beneficial for stabilizing overall operating profit margins [4]. - The multi-brand matrix is seen as a valuable asset, with expectations for continued growth potential, maintaining a "buy" rating and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4].

Core Insights - The company reported retail sales growth for its brands in Q2 2025, with Anta brand showing low single-digit growth, FILA brand achieving mid-single-digit growth, and other brands experiencing a significant increase of 50-55% [1] - For the first half of 2025, Anta brand retail sales grew in the mid-single digits, FILA brand saw high single-digit growth, and other brands reported a growth of 60-65% [1] Group 1: Anta Brand Strategy - Anta is implementing a "store type revolution" driven by DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) strategies, focusing on precise matching of "different people, different places, different products" [1] - The store network has evolved into a matrix of five differentiated store types, including Arena, Palace, Elite, Standard, and Basic, tailored to various regions and shopping districts [1] Group 2: FILA Brand Strategy - FILA maintains a high average price strategy in the mid-to-high-end market, with a product price range of 800-1200 RMB, strategically positioned against competitors priced at 600-1000 RMB [1] - The brand is agile in adjusting its product and operational strategies, focusing on high-margin, well-designed trendy sports items while reducing inefficient SKUs [1] Group 3: Other Brands and Market Position - During the 618 shopping festival, FILA ranked first in categories such as sports shoes and sports dresses, and second in sports polo shirts and t-shirts, with the latter showing nearly 10% year-on-year growth [2] - Other brands are collaborating effectively, with Descente opening a significant store in Huamao Center to reach high-net-worth consumers, and Kelong launching a new line of minimalist and functional outdoor apparel [2] - Anta's acquisition of German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin is aimed at advancing its global strategy, particularly in the European market [2] Group 4: Financial Adjustments - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 78.6 billion RMB, 87.8 billion RMB, and 98.1 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting uncertainties in the consumer environment [2] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for the same period are 13.5 billion RMB, 15.6 billion RMB, and 17.3 billion RMB, with corresponding EPS of 4.82 RMB/share, 5.56 RMB/share, and 6.16 RMB/share [2]