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波司登:经营保持稳健,业绩略超预期
Changjiang Securities· 2024-12-09 06:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company reported FY2025H1 results with revenue of 8.8 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.13 billion HKD, up 23%, slightly exceeding expectations [5]. - The expansion of product categories has been effective, with notable performance from the Xuezhongfei brand. Revenue from the Bosideng and Xuezhongfei brands increased by 19% and 47% respectively, reaching 5.28 billion HKD and 390 million HKD [5][6]. - The improvement in expenses and tax rates is significant, although there was a goodwill impairment in women's wear affecting profits. The gross margin for the Bosideng brand slightly increased by 0.9 percentage points, while the overall group gross margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 61.1% [6]. - The company maintained stable operations with a relatively stable dividend, distributing 0.06 HKD per share, a 20% increase year-on-year [6][7]. - Overall, despite challenges such as store closures and goodwill impairment, the company achieved favorable revenue and profit growth, indicating effective multi-category expansion and stable operations [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY2025H1, the company achieved revenue of 8.8 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 18%, and a net profit of 1.13 billion HKD, up 23% [5]. - The revenue from the Bosideng brand increased by 19% to 5.28 billion HKD, while Xuezhongfei saw a 47% increase to 390 million HKD [5][6]. Operational Efficiency - The gross margin for the Bosideng brand improved by 0.9 percentage points, while the overall group gross margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 61.1% [6]. - The company reported a decrease in sales expense ratio by 1.4 percentage points to 25.8%, although management expenses increased by 0.9 percentage points to 8.7% due to higher employee option expenses [6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.6 billion HKD, 4.2 billion HKD, and 4.7 billion HKD for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [7].
波司登:上半财年兑现亮眼业绩,期待旺季销售表现
Orient Securities· 2024-12-04 13:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 5.16 HKD based on a 15x PE valuation for FY25 [3][7]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in FY25H1, achieving revenue of 8.804 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 17.8%. Operating profit reached 1.47 billion HKD, up 19.6%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.13 billion HKD, reflecting a 23% growth. A mid-term dividend of 0.06 HKD per share was proposed, marking a 20% increase [2][3]. - The brand's down jackets are identified as the core growth driver, with FY25H1 revenue from this category increasing by 22.7%. Notably, the main brand, Bosideng, despite closing 124 stores, still achieved rapid sales growth, indicating effective channel optimization and focus on top stores [2]. - The women's wear segment faced challenges, with a 21.5% decline in revenue due to a persistently weak market environment, leading to an operating loss of 50.42 million HKD. The company is reassessing its strategic focus on this non-core business [2][3]. - The company's OEM business saw a 13.4% revenue growth in FY25H1, maintaining a gross margin above 20% [2]. - Inventory turnover increased to 189 days, up 29 days year-on-year, primarily due to proactive inventory management in response to market conditions [2]. - The company continues to focus on brand-led development, with positive market feedback on new product categories such as sun protection clothing and lightweight down jackets. A collaboration with the Harbin government to create a brand IP is also noted [2]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The earnings forecast for FY25-27 has been adjusted, with expected earnings per share of 0.32, 0.37, and 0.43 HKD respectively. The previous estimates for FY25 and FY26 were 0.33 and 0.38 HKD [3][7]. - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth of 13.9% in FY25, with operating profit growth of 12.2% and net profit growth of 16.8% [4].
波司登:品牌羽绒服板块引领增长,线下渠道精细化运营
Shanxi Securities· 2024-12-03 23:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The brand's down jacket segment continues to lead strong revenue growth, with a focus on refined offline channel operations [3][4] - The company achieved a revenue of 8.804 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.130 billion yuan, up 23.0% year-on-year [1][4] - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.06 HKD per share [1] Revenue Breakdown - The brand down jacket business generated revenue of 6.063 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, with the main brand contributing 5.280 billion yuan, up 19.4% [4][5] - The OEM processing business reported revenue of 2.316 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.4% [4] - The women's clothing segment saw a revenue decline of 21.5% to 308 million yuan, while diversified clothing revenue increased by 21.3% to 117 million yuan [4] Channel Management - Self-operated channels generated revenue of 2.262 billion yuan, up 36.7%, while wholesale channels saw revenue of 3.429 billion yuan, up 12.6% [5] - Online channel revenue for the brand down jacket business grew by 24.1% to 1.351 billion yuan, accounting for 22.3% of the segment's total revenue [5] Profitability and Efficiency - The company's gross margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 49.9%, with the brand down jacket business gross margin at 61.1% [6][8] - Operating profit margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 16.7%, and net profit margin increased by 0.5 percentage points to 12.8% [8] - The average inventory turnover days increased by 29 days to 189 days, attributed to early raw material stocking and increased finished goods [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to leverage its strong supply chain capabilities to capitalize on the peak sales season for down jackets due to nationwide temperature drops [9] - The company continues to innovate product categories and enhance channel management, indicating strong growth potential [9] - EPS estimates for FY2025-2027 are projected at 0.32, 0.37, and 0.42 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.6, 10.1, and 8.8 times [9]
波司登:FY25中报点评:核心主业稳发展,品类外延拓空间
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2024-12-03 12:33
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a record high revenue of 8.8 billion RMB for the first half of FY25, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.8%, with net profit growing by 23.0% to 1.13 billion RMB [1] - The core business revenue increased by 22.7%, driven by the brand's down jacket segment, which achieved a revenue of 6.06 billion RMB [4] - The company has a strong brand presence and product development capabilities, leading to significant growth potential in the down apparel and summer product segments [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25 H1, the company achieved a revenue of 8.8 billion RMB, operating profit of 1.47 billion RMB, and net profit of 1.13 billion RMB, all marking historical highs [1] - The net profit margin for FY25 H1 was 12.8%, continuing its upward trend [1] Business Segments - The main brand's revenue increased by 19.4% to 5.28 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 66.3% [4] - The OEM processing business grew by 13.4% to 2.32 billion RMB, while diversified apparel business revenue rose by 21.3% to 117 million RMB [4] Market Performance - The company has implemented a Top Store model and enhanced online-offline collaboration, resulting in a 24.1% increase in online sales revenue for the down jacket segment [5] - The company ranked second in Tmall's women's clothing and men's clothing categories during the 2024 Double Eleven shopping festival [5] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.53 billion RMB, 4.15 billion RMB, and 4.83 billion RMB for FY25, FY26, and FY27, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.94%, 17.38%, and 16.35% [5][7]
波司登:24/25上半财年维持高质量的业绩增长
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 5.33, representing a potential upside of 29.06% from the current price of HKD 4.10 [4][3]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 8.8 billion for the first half of the 2024/2025 fiscal year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.8%, primarily driven by strong growth in branded down jackets and OEM processing management [3]. - The gross profit margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 49.9%, influenced by changes in product and brand mix as well as rising down costs [3]. - Operating profit increased by 19.6% to RMB 1.47 billion, benefiting from improved operational efficiency, with a notable 28.3% growth in operating profit excluding the women's wear segment [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached RMB 1.13 billion, up 23% year-on-year, with a net profit margin improvement of 0.5 percentage points to 12.8% [3]. - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.06 per share, with a payout ratio of 57.9% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2024/2025 was RMB 8.8 billion, up 17.8% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 49.9% [3]. - The operating profit margin improved to 14.7% with a total operating profit of RMB 1.47 billion [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.13 billion, reflecting a 23% increase year-on-year [3]. Business Segments - Branded down jackets generated RMB 6.06 billion in revenue, a 22.7% increase, accounting for 68.9% of total revenue [3]. - OEM processing business revenue was RMB 2.32 billion, up 13.4%, representing 26.3% of total revenue [3]. - Women's wear segment revenue decreased by 21.5% to RMB 310 million, accounting for 3.5% of total revenue [3]. - Diversified apparel revenue increased by 21.3% to RMB 120 million, representing 1.3% of total revenue [3]. Market Outlook - The company aims to achieve revenue exceeding RMB 30 billion for the fiscal year 2025/2026, maintaining confidence in its growth strategy despite potential market uncertainties [3]. - The company continues to focus on enhancing brand value, optimizing operational quality, and innovating product development [3].
波司登:品类创新带来新增量,期待销售旺季表现
国证国际证券· 2024-12-03 10:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 5.6 for the fiscal year 2024/25, based on a 16x PE ratio [1][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue increase of 17.8% year-on-year for FY25H1, reaching RMB 8.804 billion, and a net profit increase of 23% to RMB 1.13 billion, outperforming expectations [2][3]. - The brand's down jacket business saw a revenue growth of 22.7% to RMB 6.06 billion, with a slight decline in gross margin [2]. - The main brand, Bosideng, achieved a revenue of RMB 5.28 billion, up 19.4%, driven by strong sales of new product categories [2][3]. - The OEM business grew by 13.4% to RMB 2.32 billion, while the women's wear segment faced a decline of 21.5% to RMB 308 million due to ongoing industry challenges [2][3]. - The company is focusing on channel optimization and operational efficiency, with a reduction in the number of down jacket stores but an increase in self-operated stores [2][3]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2022/23 to 2026/27, the company is projected to see significant revenue growth, with expected revenues of RMB 26.648 billion in 2024/25, growing to RMB 33.492 billion by 2026/27 [3][8]. - The net profit is expected to rise from RMB 3.601 billion in 2024/25 to RMB 4.524 billion in 2026/27, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [3][8]. - The gross margin is projected to remain stable around 59% over the next few years, indicating consistent profitability [3][11].
波司登和雪中飞品牌收入高增,25H1净利润+23%
国元国际控股· 2024-12-03 05:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 4.90, which corresponds to a PE ratio of approximately 14 times for FY25E [6][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 17.8% and a net profit growth of 23% for the first half of FY25, with total revenue reaching CNY 8.804 billion and net profit at CNY 1.130 billion [8][9]. - The main brands, Bosideng and Xuezhongfei, contributed nearly 90% of the business growth, while the women's clothing segment experienced a decline due to the consumer environment [4][9]. - The company has successfully expanded its self-operated channel for down jackets, achieving a growth of 36.7% [5][11]. - The inventory turnover days increased by 29 days to 189 days, reflecting the company's strategy to slow down the supply to distributors amid market uncertainties [13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of FY25, the company achieved a gross profit of CNY 4.391 billion, with a gross margin of 49.9%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [8][10]. - The net profit margin improved to 12.8%, up by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Revenue Breakdown - The down jacket business recorded revenue of CNY 6.063 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, accounting for 68.9% of total revenue [9][10]. - The OEM processing business generated CNY 2.316 billion, up 13.4%, while the women's clothing segment saw a decline of 21.5% to CNY 308 million [9]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The overall gross margin remained stable, with the main brands' margins improving, but the women's clothing and other brands' margins declining [10]. - Distribution expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased, contributing positively to net profit [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has invested in the Canadian luxury down jacket brand Moose Knuckles, enhancing its multi-brand matrix [15]. - New product lines, including sun protection clothing and multi-functional down jackets, have been introduced to capture off-season sales potential [14]. Future Outlook - Revenue projections for FY25E to FY27E are CNY 26.398 billion, CNY 29.856 billion, and CNY 33.477 billion, with expected growth rates of 13.7%, 13.1%, and 12.1% respectively [17]. - The company aims to maintain its growth trajectory through flexible supply chain management and strong marketing capabilities [16].
波司登:港股公司信息更新报告:FY2025H1创新产品亮眼、盈利能力稳定,期待旺季表现
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-12-03 05:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.804 billion HKD for FY2025H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.83%, and a net profit of 1.13 billion HKD, up by 23% [5][17] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of over 50% and expects continued growth driven by product innovation, category expansion, and channel optimization [5][48] - The company is a leader in the down jacket market, with strong performance from its main brand Bosideng and the mid-range brand Xuezhongfei [5][20] Summary by Sections 1. FY2025H1 Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 88.04 billion HKD, with the main brand Bosideng generating 52.8 billion HKD (up 19.4%) and Xuezhongfei 3.9 billion HKD (up 47.1%) [5][20] - The online sales increased by 24.1% to 13.5 billion HKD, accounting for 22% of the down jacket revenue [23][24] 2. OEM Business - The OEM business generated 23.16 billion HKD, reflecting a growth of 13.39%, supported by stable core customer orders and new client acquisitions [28] 3. Women's Wear Business - The women's wear segment reported a revenue of 3.08 billion HKD, down 21.5%, primarily due to a sluggish market demand [29][30] 4. Diversified Clothing Business - The diversified clothing segment, particularly school uniforms, saw a revenue increase of 21.3% to 1.17 billion HKD, driven by enhanced regional coverage [32] 5. Profitability and Financial Metrics - The gross margin for FY2025H1 was 49.9%, with a net profit margin of 12.8%, reflecting operational efficiency improvements [36][39] - The company’s total operating expenses accounted for 34.57% of revenue, a slight increase from the previous period [36][38] 6. Inventory and Cash Flow - The inventory level rose to 59.39 billion HKD, with an average turnover period of 189 days, attributed to proactive raw material stocking [44] - The net cash flow from operations was -34.83 billion HKD, mainly due to increased procurement [44][47] 7. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 25.5 billion HKD, 29.5 billion HKD, and 33.9 billion HKD for FY2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.7, 10.1, and 8.9 [48]
波司登:FY2025H1业绩点评:主品牌高质量增长,期待旺季销售
Soochow Securities· 2024-12-02 08:38
证券研究报告·海外公司点评·纺织及服饰(HS) 波司登(03998.HK) FY2025H1 业绩点评:主品牌高质量增长,期 待旺季销售 2024 年 12 月 02 日 买入(维持) | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 16774 | 23214 | 26428 | 30076 | 34180 | | 同比 (%) | 3.46 | 38.39 | 13.85 | 13.80 | 13.65 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 2139 | 3074 | 3607 | 4100 | 4661 | | 同比 (%) | 3.70 | 43.74 | 17.35 | 13.66 | 13.68 | | EPS- 最新摊薄(元 / 股) | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.33 ...
波司登:上半财年净利润增长23%,品牌羽绒服主业表现亮眼
Guoxin Securities· 2024-12-02 04:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][3]. Core Views - The company achieved a net profit growth of 23% in the first half of the fiscal year, with a revenue increase of 18%. The brand's down jacket business performed particularly well, reflecting strong market leadership [2][8]. - Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, the company continues to show robust growth, with historical highs in performance for the first half of the fiscal year [32]. - The company maintains a stable gross margin, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.1 percentage points to 49.9%, attributed to changes in sales structure and product mix [8][15]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of the fiscal year ending September 30, the company reported a revenue of 8.8 billion yuan, up 17.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.13 billion yuan, up 23% year-on-year [2][8]. - The revenue breakdown includes brand down jackets (6.06 billion yuan, +22.7%), OEM processing (2.32 billion yuan, +13.4%), women's wear (310 million yuan, -21.5%), and diversified clothing (170 million yuan, +21.3%) [8][9]. Profitability Metrics - The operating profit margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 16.7%, while the net profit margin increased by 0.5 percentage points to 12.8% [8][15]. - The company’s gross margin for brand down jackets was 61.1%, with slight declines in OEM processing and women's wear margins [15][27]. Inventory and Cash Flow - Inventory increased by 53.4% year-on-year, with inventory turnover days rising by 29 days to 189 days, primarily due to rising down prices and proactive inventory management [23][26]. - The company maintains a strong cash flow position and plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.06 HKD per share [2][8]. Growth Drivers - New product categories, such as sun protection clothing and functional jackets, are contributing to revenue growth, with online sales for brand down jackets increasing by 24% [26][32]. - The company is optimizing its offline channel quality, closing 29 stores to focus on enhancing the performance of top stores, resulting in significant revenue growth per store [26][32]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 3.6 billion, 4.1 billion, and 4.6 billion yuan for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 17.1%, 13.5%, and 11.6% [33][32]. - The target price is maintained at 5.1 to 5.5 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 15-16x for FY2025, indicating a favorable investment opportunity in the undervalued, high-growth, and high-dividend yielding sector of down jackets [32][33].