Core Insights - On November 21, China Shangcheng (02330) shareholders transferred stocks from China Galaxy Securities Hong Kong to Hang Seng Securities, with a total market value of HKD 17.8843 million, representing 7.45% of the company [1] Group 1: Stock Transfer - The stock transfer involved a market value of HKD 17.8843 million [1] - The transfer accounted for 7.45% of the company's shares [1] Group 2: Placement Agreement - On October 28, China Shangcheng announced that all conditions of the placement agreement had been met, and the placement was completed on October 28, 2025 [1] - A total of 75.4743 million shares were successfully placed at a price of HKD 0.180 per share to three investors [1] - The placement represented approximately 16.67% of the company's issued share capital after the placement [1]

Group 1: Trend of Trendy Toys - The younger generation's "love for play" is reshaping market dynamics, with trendy toys, "Guzi," and AI toys becoming popular among Generation Z due to their emotional value and interactive experiences [1][2] - The trendy toy market has shown strong growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34% from 2015 to 2022, and is expected to exceed 76 billion yuan in 2024 [1][10] - Generation Z, with a disposable income exceeding 3,500 yuan per month, is a significant consumer group, seeking artistic and unique products while enhancing their sense of belonging through second-hand community trading [1][17] Group 2: Guzi Market Growth - "Guzi," referring to merchandise derived from anime and games, is gaining popularity among young consumers, with the market expected to grow by 41% year-on-year to reach 168.9 billion yuan in 2024 [2][23] - The low price range of Guzi products (10 to 30 yuan) makes them accessible, turning them into "social currency" among teenagers [2][23] - The rapid increase in offline Guzi stores has significantly boosted foot traffic in shopping malls, exemplified by a tenfold increase in a Wuhan mall after introducing Guzi stores [2][31] Group 3: AI Toys Integration - The integration of AI technology into toys is becoming more prevalent, with AI-driven toys expected to account for over 15% of the global toy market by 2025 [6][35] - AI toys, such as Sony's AIBO and Robosen's transforming robots, are gaining popularity, with some products experiencing resale prices exceeding their original prices [6][41] - Chinese companies are actively entering the AI toy market, with products featuring built-in large models for interactive experiences, expanding market boundaries [2][6] Group 4: Cultural Export and Global Appeal - The new wave of toys not only meets the emotional needs of domestic youth but also serves as a significant vehicle for Chinese culture to go global, with brands like Pop Mart achieving explosive growth in overseas markets [3][6] - In 2024, revenue from Pop Mart's Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas businesses is expected to grow by 375% year-on-year, highlighting the global appeal of Chinese trendy toy culture [3][6] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The trendy toy, Guzi, and AI toy sectors are benefiting from multiple driving forces, maintaining high growth rates and promising future development prospects [6][8] - Recommended companies for investment include Pop Mart, Blok, and Guangbo Co., with a focus on AI toy companies like Shifeng Culture and TCL Electronics [6][8]

截至2025年11月21日收盘，中国银河（601881）报收于15.88元，较上周的16.85元下跌5.76%。本周， 中国银河11月20日盘中最高价报17.2元。11月21日盘中最低价报15.8元。中国银河当前最新总市值 1736.38亿元，在证券板块市值排名6/50，在两市A股市值排名85/5167。 本周关注点 公司公告汇总 中国银河：2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券（第一期）发行结果公告 中国银河证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券（第一期）于2025年11月17日 发行完毕，实际发行规模为人民币30亿元，期限184天，最终票面利率为1.67%，认购倍数为3.86倍。发 行采用网下面向专业投资者簿记建档方式，发行价格为每张100元。大成基金管理有限公司获配0.2亿 元；主承销商关联方兴业基金和中信银行分别获配3亿元和5亿元，相关认购符合法规要求。 中国银河：2025年度第二十期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 中国银河证券股份有限公司于2025年8月21日发行的第二十期短期融资券，发行额为人民币40亿元，票 面利率1.64%，期限85天，兑付日为2025年11月14日。公司 ...

Group 1 - The company, China Galaxy, reported a total of 125,066 shareholders as of September 30, 2025, which includes 124,499 A-share ordinary shareholders and 567 H-share registered shareholders [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has been strong since July 2025, leading to a significant increase in bond issuance by securities firms, with a year-to-date issuance exceeding 1.6 trillion yuan, a growth of over 50% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Bond Issuance - As of November 21, 2025, 73 securities firms have issued bonds totaling over 1.6 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of more than 50% [1] - China Galaxy, Guotai Junan, and Huatai Securities are the top three firms in terms of bond issuance, with amounts of 134.9 billion yuan, 124.3 billion yuan, and 121.9 billion yuan respectively [1] - China Galaxy began its aggressive bond issuance in May 2025, with a monthly issuance exceeding 10 billion yuan, peaking at 21 billion yuan in August [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - China Galaxy's assets have shown a positive trend, with significant increases in customer deposits and lending activities, reflecting a robust market environment [2] - The company's lending amounts were 101 billion yuan and 132.5 billion yuan at the end of Q2 and Q3 respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 31% in Q3 [2] - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached 9.004 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 55.94%, driven by significant increases in brokerage, proprietary trading, and net interest income [2] Group 3: Risk Management and Credit Business - The annualized return on investment for China Galaxy in Q3 was 4.49%, an increase of 0.64 percentage points year-on-year, ranking 17th among 43 listed securities firms [3] - The company has maintained a balanced approach to risk management, with no significant shift towards equity assets despite the expansion of proprietary trading [3] - Credit impairment losses for the first three quarters of 2025 were negative, indicating a decrease in expected credit risk, contrasting with a significant impairment loss recorded in Q4 2024 [3][4] Group 4: Overall Assessment - China Galaxy's proactive bond issuance strategy and focus on proprietary business have led to strong performance in Q3 2025 [5] - There are concerns regarding the potential lag in credit impairment loss recognition, suggesting that current performance may not fully reflect operational risks [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities emphasizes the importance of identifying and capturing turning points in the agricultural sector in 2026, focusing on core indicators and finding entry points within a relatively reasonable valuation range [1] Group 1: Swine Breeding - The swine breeding sector is expected to benefit from changes in supply and demand, with a continued emphasis on a balanced approach of offense and defense [1] - The investment opportunities in the swine breeding sector arise from changes in production capacity affecting pig price expectations, with a recommendation to focus on major players like Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498), as well as smaller companies like Tiankang Biological (002100) and Shennong Group (605296) [1] - Despite a generally pessimistic outlook on pig prices based on current data, there is potential for changes within the industry that could lead to investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Pet Food - The pet food sector is characterized by sustained growth and significant market share expansion potential, with export growth serving as a shield for performance and the development of proprietary brands as a spear for future market share increases [2] - The report suggests that companies in the pet food industry should focus on maintaining or exceeding growth expectations for their proprietary brands while leveraging multi-brand operations [2] - Key companies to watch in the pet food sector include Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891), Guibao Pet (301498), and Petty (300673), with additional attention on Yuanfei Pet (001222) [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1%, and the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 1.71 trillion, a decrease of 17.7 billion from the previous trading day [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 1.12% [1] Group 2: Agricultural Sector Insights - Galaxy Securities highlighted that the focus for the agricultural sector in 2026 will be on waiting for and capturing industry turning points, emphasizing the importance of tracking core indicators and finding entry points within a relatively reasonable valuation range [1] - The livestock sector is expected to balance offense and defense, with a shift from a defensive stance in 2025 to a greater emphasis on potential future elasticity in 2026 [1] - The pet sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in performance growth after a period of valuation correction, presenting new investment opportunities [1] Group 3: Lithium Battery Industry Outlook - Huaxi Securities expressed a positive outlook on the lithium battery industry, driven by rapid development in domestic and international energy storage and demand for dynamic storage, which is expected to lead to continued expansion in the lithium battery supply chain [1] - Certain segments, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and VC, are experiencing significant price increases due to supply tightness, confirming the industry's high prosperity [1] - As prices rise, segments that previously faced low profitability or losses are expected to enter a phase of simultaneous volume and profit growth, with a continued focus on energy storage cells, lithium hexafluorophosphate/VC & electrolytes, copper foil, anode and cathode materials, and separators [1] Group 4: Securities Industry Prospects - CITIC Securities projected that the securities industry is likely to enter a new upward cycle, contributing to the construction of a strong financial nation [2] - The core drivers for this cycle are three major policy opportunities: 1. Policy guidance for capital markets to serve new productive forces, enhancing the value creation capability of investment banks through reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ChiNext [2] 2. Improvement of the long-term investment ecosystem, facilitating the entry of long-term funds like social security and insurance into the market, which will activate brokerage asset management and institutional business growth [2] 3. Policies promoting the cultivation of top-tier investment banks and internationalization, allowing Chinese brokers to leverage the Hong Kong market and cross-border policies for international business expansion [2]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up by 0.65%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.7%. Brokerage stocks performed strongly, with China Galaxy, Orient Securities, and Everbright Securities all rising over 4%. However, new energy vehicle makers like Xpeng Motors saw a decline of 1.87% [1] - Huaxin Securities noted that the recent adjustment in the Hong Kong stock market has been relatively large, and valuations are more reasonable, indicating limited further downside. Although risk appetite may not be high towards year-end, sectors with high certainty for 2026 are expected to trend upwards [1] - According to招商香港, after the consolidation in October, pessimistic expectations for the Hong Kong market are gradually clearing. The firm believes that with improvements in supply-demand dynamics, the Chinese economic cycle may reach an inflection point [1] Group 2 - GF Securities suggested that the Hong Kong stock market may present a good opportunity for investment again, especially if the U.S. government shutdown ends and the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance in December [2] - The firm emphasized a "barbell strategy" for investment, focusing on dividend stocks as a base and technology growth stocks for potential upside. They believe the foundation for a bull market in Hong Kong remains intact, but the market may experience a "volatile upward trend" rather than a rapid increase [2] - Galaxy Securities indicated that as the year-end approaches, market risk appetite is becoming cautious, and the Hong Kong stock market may continue its volatile trend. They recommend focusing on sectors such as cyclical stocks benefiting from rising downstream commodity prices and dividend stocks for defensive positioning [2]

Group 1 - Chinese brokerage stocks in Hong Kong opened higher on November 20, with notable gains across the sector [1] - China Galaxy Securities (06881.HK) rose by 4.62%, reaching HKD 11.09 [1] - Orient Securities (03958.HK) increased by 4.46%, trading at HKD 7.5 [1] - Everbright Securities (06178.HK) saw a rise of 4.41%, priced at HKD 9.71 [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan (06806.HK) gained 4.08%, with a share price of HKD 3.32 [1]

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 06881 | 中国银河 | | 4.62% | 11.090 | 1212.63亿 | 64.58% | | 03958 | 东方证券 | | 4.46% | 7.500 | 637.25 Z | 55.61% | | 06178 | 光大证券 | | 4.41% | 9.710 | 447.71亿 | 25.11% | | 06806 | 申万宏源 | | 4.08% | 3.320 | 831.33亿 | 49.46% | | 01375 | 中州证券 | | 3.91% | 2.390 | 110.96亿 | 41.20% | | 06066 | 中信建投证券 | | 3.61% | 12.900 | 1000.61亿 | 33.83% | | 06030 | 中信证券 | | 3.25% | 28.580 | 4235.71亿 | 35.81% | | 06886 | 华泰证券 | | 2.75% | 19.400 | 17 ...