Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities predicts Tencent Holdings' Q3 revenue will grow by 14.1% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit increasing by 9% to 65.2 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Forecast - Game revenue is expected to grow by 19% year-on-year [1] - Advertising revenue is projected to benefit from AI, with a potential year-on-year growth rate of 20% [1] - Financial technology revenue is anticipated to recover to an 11% year-on-year growth [1] Group 2: Key Catalysts - The game "Delta Action" has surpassed 30 million daily active users (DAU) as of September, becoming a new long-term shooter game for Tencent [1] - The estimated revenue for "Delta Action" is projected to reach between 12 billion to 18 billion yuan by 2026 [1] - The advertising business is expected to maintain high growth rates due to improved ROI driven by AI, with accelerated launches and iterations of AI Agent products [1] Group 3: Long-term Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for Tencent are adjusted to 755 billion, 851 billion, and 937 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts are set at 257 billion, 291.7 billion, and 333.6 billion yuan for the same years [1] - The target price for Tencent is set at 759.47 HKD, corresponding to a 24.8 times P/E ratio for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities predicts Tencent Holdings' Q3 revenue will grow by 14.1% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit increasing by 9% to 65.2 billion yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - Game revenue is expected to grow by 19% year-on-year [1] - Advertising revenue is anticipated to benefit from AI, with a potential year-on-year growth rate of 20% [1] - Financial technology revenue is projected to recover to an 11% year-on-year growth [1] Key Catalysts - The game "Delta Action" has surpassed 30 million daily active users (DAU) as of September, emerging as a new long-term shooting game for Tencent, with projected dual-end revenue reaching between 12 billion to 18 billion yuan by 2026 [1] - The advertising business is expected to maintain high growth due to improved return on investment (ROI) driven by AI, with accelerated rollout and iteration of AI Agent products [1] Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for Tencent have been slightly adjusted to 755 billion, 851 billion, and 937 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027 [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts are set at 257 billion, 291.7 billion, and 333.6 billion yuan for the same period [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Tencent is set at 759.47 HKD, up from the previous 752.17 HKD, corresponding to a 24.8 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities reports that GCL-Poly Energy has made significant progress in its photovoltaic materials business, achieving a turnaround in profitability in Q3 2023 [1] Financial Performance - The EBITDA for the photovoltaic materials business in Q3 is approximately 1.41 billion yuan, with a net profit of about 960 million yuan, both indicating a return to profitability [1] - The turnaround is attributed to several factors, including a transfer gain from joint ventures of about 640 million yuan, improvements in silicon material operations, and the reversal of inventory impairment losses [1] Industry Outlook - The report expresses optimism about the steady advancement of domestic photovoltaic industry reforms, which may reshape the supply-demand dynamics within the sector [1] - The company’s granular silicon energy consumption advantage is highlighted, along with the potential for its silane gas business to create a second growth driver, indicating significant profit elasticity [1] Valuation - Huatai Securities maintains a target price of 2.22 HKD for GCL-Poly Energy, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 48 times for 2026, and continues to hold a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities reports that China Pacific Insurance expects a net profit growth of 40% to 60% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a projected single-quarter net profit growth of 57% to 122% for Q3 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates significant growth in underwriting profits and benefits from the capital market's rise in the first three quarters, leading to a substantial year-on-year increase in total investment income [1] - The estimated improvement in the combined operating ratio (COR) for Q3 is expected to continue the trend observed in the first half of the year [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - The investment side is expected to perform well, particularly benefiting from structural industry performance in the stock market [1] - Based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation method, the target price has been raised from HKD 19.8 to HKD 21 [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 has been increased to HKD 1.93, while the EPS forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged at HKD 2.14 and HKD 2.32, respectively [1]

Group 1 - The US banking sector is facing long-term consolidation pressure due to the large number of small banks and rising costs of deposit acquisition, which may lead to higher asset quality risks [2] - The Chinese government has launched a three-year plan to double the number of electric vehicle charging facilities by 2027, aiming to establish 28 million charging points nationwide, which supports future infrastructure development [2] - Investors are advised to focus on structural highlights in Q3 reports, particularly in sectors like gold, AI-driven TMT, and non-bank financials, as well as industries less affected by economic cycles [3] Group 2 - The recent credit risk events in US regional banks have raised market concerns, but overall liquidity in the banking system remains sufficient, keeping credit risk manageable in the short term [2] - The plan for electric vehicle charging infrastructure includes the addition of 1.6 million DC charging guns, with a focus on high-power charging solutions and new business models [2] - Key sectors to watch for recovery include industrial metals, lithium batteries, innovative pharmaceuticals, and transportation equipment, which are expected to benefit from supply-side adjustments [3]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities has released a strategy for Hong Kong stocks, indicating that the current global risk asset valuations are relatively high, with increased leveraged trading, leading to heightened market volatility due to tariff risks, overseas credit, and liquidity concerns. The impact is more emotional rather than a fundamental reversal, suggesting that better opportunities for increasing positions may still need to be awaited [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Global risk asset valuations are at a high percentile [1] - Increased leveraged trading is contributing to market volatility [1] - Current market impact is driven more by emotional factors than fundamental reversals [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Shift from a broad market rally mindset to a focus on fundamental performance [1] - Attention should be given to technology hardware with upward revisions in earnings expectations over the past month [1] - Consider pharmaceutical stocks that have experienced sufficient price corrections [1] - Focus on leading internet companies and consumer goods with stable ROE and revenue stabilization [1]

- **A-share multi-dimensional timing model**: The model evaluates the overall directional judgment of the A-share market using four dimensions: valuation, sentiment, funds, and technical indicators. Each dimension provides daily signals with values of 0, ±1, representing neutral, bullish, or bearish views. Valuation and sentiment dimensions adopt a mean-reversion logic, while funds and technical dimensions use trend-following logic. The final market view is determined by the sum of the scores across all dimensions [9][15][16] - **Style timing model for dividend style**: The model uses three indicators to time the dividend style relative to the CSI Dividend Index and CSI All Share Index. The indicators include relative momentum, 10Y-1Y term spread, and interbank pledged repo transaction volume. Each indicator provides daily signals with values of 0, ±1, representing neutral, bullish, or bearish views. The final view is based on the sum of the scores across all dimensions. When the model favors the dividend style, it fully allocates to the CSI Dividend Index; otherwise, it allocates to the CSI All Share Index [17][21] - **Style timing model for large-cap and small-cap styles**: The model uses momentum difference and turnover ratio difference between the CSI 300 Index and Wind Micro Cap Index to calculate the crowding scores for large-cap and small-cap styles. The model operates in two crowding zones: high crowding and low crowding. In high crowding zones, it uses a small-parameter dual moving average model to address potential style reversals. In low crowding zones, it uses a large-parameter dual moving average model to capture medium- to long-term trends [22][24][26] - **Sector rotation model**: The genetic programming-based sector rotation model selects the top five sectors with the highest multi-factor composite scores from 32 CITIC industry indices for equal-weight allocation. The model updates its factor library quarterly and rebalances weekly. The factors are derived using NSGA-II algorithm, which evaluates factor monotonicity and performance of long positions using |IC| and NDCG@5 metrics. The model combines multiple factors with weak collinearity into sector scores using greedy strategy and variance inflation factor [29][32][33][36] - **China domestic all-weather enhanced portfolio**: The portfolio is constructed using a macro factor risk parity framework, which emphasizes risk diversification across underlying macro risk sources rather than asset classes. The strategy involves three steps: macro quadrant classification and asset selection, quadrant portfolio construction and risk measurement, and risk budgeting to determine quadrant weights. The active allocation is based on macro expectation momentum indicators, which consider buy-side expectation momentum and sell-side expectation deviation momentum [38][41] --- Model Backtesting Results - **A-share multi-dimensional timing model**: Annualized return 24.97%, maximum drawdown -28.46%, Sharpe ratio 1.16, Calmar ratio 0.88, YTD return 37.73%, weekly return 0.00% [14] - **Dividend style timing model**: Annualized return 15.71%, maximum drawdown -25.52%, Sharpe ratio 0.85, Calmar ratio 0.62, YTD return 19.53%, weekly return -3.43% [20] - **Large-cap vs. small-cap style timing model**: Annualized return 26.01%, maximum drawdown -30.86%, Sharpe ratio 1.08, Calmar ratio 0.84, YTD return 64.58%, weekly return -2.22% [27] - **Sector rotation model**: Annualized return 33.33%, annualized volatility 17.89%, Sharpe ratio 1.86, maximum drawdown -19.63%, Calmar ratio 1.70, weekly return 0.14%, YTD return 39.41% [32] - **China domestic all-weather enhanced portfolio**: Annualized return 11.66%, annualized volatility 6.18%, Sharpe ratio 1.89, maximum drawdown -6.30%, Calmar ratio 1.85, weekly return 0.38%, YTD return 10.74% [42]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the insurance sector and recommends long-term investment in quality bank stocks [1][3]. Core Insights - The financial sector's performance this week shows a mixed trend, with the non-bank financial index down by 1.34%, while the banking sector saw an increase of 4.89%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 7.12 percentage points [1][9]. - The insurance sector experienced a notable increase of 3.65%, driven by positive earnings forecasts from New China Life, which projected a 45% to 65% increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [1][11]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential of the insurance industry, attributing it to supply-side reforms and the benefits from rising equity assets [1][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Performance and Sector Insights - The non-bank financial index decreased by 1.34%, while the banking sector increased by 4.89%, with state-owned banks leading the gains [1][9]. - The insurance sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 5.87 percentage points, with New China Life's earnings announcement boosting overall market confidence [1][11]. 2. Insurance Sector Analysis - New China Life's earnings forecast led to a 12.58% increase in its stock price over five trading days, contributing to a six-day rally in the insurance sector [1][11]. - The report highlights the potential for the insurance sector to benefit from structural changes in the economy and improved asset performance [1][12]. 3. Brokerage Sector Analysis - The brokerage sector saw a decline of 3.13%, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.44x, indicating potential undervaluation [2][15]. - The report notes that the recent revisions to corporate governance standards by the CSRC could enhance the sector's governance and performance [2][15]. 4. Banking Sector Analysis - The banking sector's performance was strong, with a 4.89% increase, driven by a flight to quality amid market uncertainties [1][18]. - The report suggests focusing on banks with high growth potential and stable performance for both short-term and long-term investments [1][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the non-bank financial sector, highlighting strong performance expectations for Q3 earnings across various companies [5][36]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the Q3 performance of the equity market is expected to solidify the earnings of leading insurance companies, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a Q3 increase of 12.73% [1]. - Companies like China Pacific Insurance and New China Life are projected to see significant profit growth, with net profits expected to rise by 40%-60% and 45%-65% respectively for the first three quarters of 2025 [2][5]. - The report notes that the overall performance of the securities sector is also expected to improve, driven by active trading and increased business income from wealth management and investment transactions [3][5]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The report indicates a mixed performance in the non-bank sector, with the insurance index rising by 3.65% while the securities sector saw declines [9][10]. Securities Sector - The report highlights that the brokerage business remains robust, with a total trading volume of 10.87 trillion yuan in the week ending October 17, 2025, despite a 15.86% decrease from the previous week [17]. - The report also notes a significant increase in margin trading balances, which rose by 52.53% year-on-year [17]. Insurance Sector - The report indicates that major insurance companies are expected to report strong premium growth, with New China Life's premiums expected to increase by 19% year-on-year [33]. Liquidity Tracking - The report discusses the liquidity situation, noting a net withdrawal of 4.979 billion yuan in the week due to central bank operations, with mixed movements in interest rates [28]. Industry News and Company Announcements - The report includes various company announcements, such as significant profit forecasts from major players like Dongwu Securities and New China Life, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [33][36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key insurance companies such as Sunshine Insurance, China Taiping, and major securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities for potential investment opportunities [5][37].

Core Points - The company held its first extraordinary general meeting of shareholders and the second A-share class shareholder meeting in 2025, which were convened by the board of directors and presided over by Chairman Zhang Wei [2][5] - The meetings complied with the relevant provisions of the Company Law and the Articles of Association [2][8] - The company approved several resolutions, including a cash dividend distribution of RMB 0.15 per share for the 2025 interim profit distribution [6][7] Meeting Attendance - Out of 13 current directors, 8 attended the meeting, while 5 were absent due to business reasons [3][5] - Among the 7 current supervisors, 4 attended, with 3 absent for business reasons [3] - The company’s board secretary and other senior management personnel also attended the meeting [3][4] Resolutions Passed - The following resolutions were approved during the meetings: - Cash dividend distribution of RMB 0.15 per share [6] - Amendments to the Articles of Association [6][7] - Amendments to the rules of procedure for shareholder meetings [6][7] - Amendments to the rules of procedure for board meetings [6][7] - Resolution to abolish the supervisory board, transferring its powers to the audit committee of the board [6][7] Legal Compliance - The meetings were witnessed by legal representatives from Beijing King & Wood Mallesons, confirming that the procedures followed were in accordance with the Company Law, Securities Law, and other relevant regulations [8]