Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index experienced a slight decline of 0.1% from October 1 to October 8, while the Hang Seng Tech Index saw an increase of 0.75% [1] Industry Performance - The steel, non-ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical sectors led the market, while the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, real estate, and consumer services sectors lagged [1] Market Trends - Post-holiday, Hong Kong stocks typically face a brief increase in volatility risk [1] - Despite external events and data during the holiday, the mid-term market logic remains unchanged and is further reinforced by several factors: 1. The rising importance of scarce and certain assets [1] 2. Increased demand for cross-asset and cross-regional capital reallocation [1] 3. A renewed emphasis on AI narratives [1] 4. Strong performance in experiential consumption [1]

华泰证券指出，白酒行业国庆+中秋双节延续调整趋势，双节整体仍有承压，行业延续分化，龙头相对 表现稳定，动销端看行业同比仍呈现下滑趋势，部分区域环比略有改善。分场景看，大众宴席场景有所 修复，政商务消费仍有所承压，礼赠消费有所减少。分价格带看，高端酒旺季需求弱复苏，大众价位动 销表现行业领先，次高端价位仍有一定承压且分化显著；当前行业库存企稳，部分酒企边际去化库存， 释放经营压力。展望来看，本轮调整中头部酒企均以长期健康发展为主，基本面探底企稳，叠加促销费 政策托底，行业或逐步步入良性修复阶段，建议底部布局强基本面龙头。 ...

华泰证券指出，10月开始基本面和供给都进入对债有利的阶段，资金面维持平稳，降息降准、购债依然 有博弈空间。预计节后债市偏弱震荡，关注十五五规划、公募销售新规落地、或机构行为冲击带来超调 时的小幅反击机会，十年国债老券1.8%以上逢调整配置。品种上，短期建议继续保持5-7年及以下利率 债、中短端信用债持仓，规避超长债。坚持中期曲线小幅陡峭化判断。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities highlights a global rally in equity assets during the National Day holiday, with significant movements in various markets and suggests a positive outlook based on recent economic indicators and developments in AI technology [1] Domestic Developments - The September PMI showed a marginal recovery, indicating improved economic activity - Travel data during the holiday reached a historical high, with notable performance in outbound tourism - High-frequency data in sectors such as dining, cinema, and real estate also showed signs of recovery [1][1][1] Overseas Developments - Increased risk aversion due to the U.S. government shutdown and the Japanese elections, leading to a rise in gold prices - Expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and fiscal expansion in Japan have strengthened the narrative of global liquidity easing [1][1][1] Industry Developments - OpenAI launched Sora2 and announced collaborations with multiple companies, accelerating AI investment and application deployment - The post-holiday period is expected to see a positive impact on risk appetite due to calendar effects and new information from the holiday [1][1][1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: HTSC（於中華人民共和國註冊成立，中文公司名稱為华泰证券股份有限公司及在香港以HTSC名義開展業務）(「本公司」) 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601688 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所 （「上交所」）上市之A股 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,308,256,601 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 7,308,256,601 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | -438,495 | | | RMB | | -438,495 | | 本月 ...

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: HTSC（於中華人民共和國註冊成立，中文公司名稱為华泰证券股份有限公司及在香港以HTSC名義開展業務）(「本公司」) 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601688 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所 （「上交所」）上市之A股 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,308,256,601 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 7,308,256,601 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | -438,495 | | | RMB | | -438,495 | | 本月 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese capital market is expected to undergo a historic transformation in 2025, driven by policy stabilization, reduced risk premiums, and a reversal of RMB depreciation expectations, alongside the continuous enhancement of the global competitiveness of Chinese technology companies [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions and Trends - Over the past four years, the Chinese capital market faced multiple challenges, including real estate risks, economic slowdown, and geopolitical tensions, leading to a low allocation of Chinese assets by overseas investors [2]. - Since the third quarter of last year, a series of policy measures have supported economic stabilization, resulting in a significant drop in the 10-year government bond yield, which fell below 1.6%, thereby increasing investor risk appetite [2]. - The perception of risk has shifted, with investors realizing that the U.S. also faces various risks, leading to a relative decrease in the risk premium of the Chinese market and a narrowing of RMB depreciation expectations [2]. Group 2: Technological Impact on Asset Valuation - The core driver of the current revaluation of Chinese assets is not traditional growth paths but rather structural upgrades brought about by technological revolutions [3]. - China is experiencing continuous innovation in cutting-edge fields such as artificial intelligence, new energy, and high-end manufacturing, enhancing production efficiency and global competitiveness [3]. - The significant investment in education over the past thirty years has created a substantial engineer dividend and a growing number of outstanding entrepreneurs, allowing Chinese technology companies to compete globally [3]. Group 3: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong stock market, viewed as "dollar-denominated Chinese assets," has been the first to reflect the changing expectations of international investors, with the Hang Seng Index outperforming major global indices since the beginning of the year [4]. Group 4: Research as a Core Competitiveness - Research capability is identified as a core competitiveness of investment banks, essential for pricing risks and growth opportunities [5]. - The rapid iteration of technology companies and the changing industrial landscape necessitate deep research support across all investment banking activities, including pricing for industry exits, mergers, financing, and IPOs [5][6]. - Many securities firms have yet to establish a comprehensive research framework, remaining focused on secondary market tracking and lacking international influence [6]. Group 5: Evolving Requirements for Researchers - The market ecology has fundamentally changed the requirements for researchers, emphasizing a deep understanding of the entire industry chain rather than just listed companies [7]. - Researchers must cover all clients with pricing power, including insurance, private equity, and state-owned enterprises, to provide comprehensive service [7]. - The focus should be on delivering genuine insights that help clients make informed decisions, avoiding superficial analysis [7]. Group 6: Strategic Positioning of Research - The debate on whether research is a cost center or profit center reflects a misunderstanding of the investment banking business model, as strong research is crucial for overall business success [8]. - A strategic approach involves setting three-year phases for development, ensuring a stable research framework, and maintaining a focus on long-term value rather than short-term gains [8]. - The commitment to high-quality research is essential for achieving long-term client success and navigating market challenges [8]. Group 7: Practical Implementation at Huatai Securities - Huatai Securities has been restructuring its research system and enhancing its comprehensive financial service capabilities, focusing on expanding research coverage and cross-border services [9]. - In the first half of 2025, Huatai Securities' research business generated commission income of 222 million yuan, achieving a market share of 4.97%, indicating a clear upward trajectory in its research commission ranking amid increasing competition [9].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a fluctuating upward trend since September, with the brokerage sector experiencing ongoing adjustments, despite a significant surge on September 29, where the brokerage index rose nearly 5% [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The brokerage index recorded a decline of 4.73% throughout September, despite the notable increase on September 29 [1][4]. - The overall A-share market indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index, saw increases of 0.64%, 6.54%, and 12.04% respectively during the same period [4]. - Certain sectors, such as precious metals and semiconductors, outperformed with gains exceeding 25%, while sectors like office supplies and insurance saw declines of over 5% [4]. Group 2: Fund Inflows - From September 1 to September 29, the Guotai Junan Securities ETF attracted over 10 billion yuan in net inflows, making it the top-performing stock ETF for the month [1][5]. - Other ETFs, including Huabao Securities ETF and Tianhong Securities ETF, also saw significant inflows of 6.03 billion yuan and 2.52 billion yuan respectively [1][5]. - Overall, ETFs related to "securities" or "brokerage" accumulated a total net inflow of 26.61 billion yuan since September [5][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the brokerage sector is likely to continue experiencing dual improvements in performance and valuation, driven by active market trading and favorable policies [5][9]. - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market has increased significantly, reaching 2.1 trillion yuan, which is a 211% increase compared to the second quarter of 2024 [8]. - Predictions indicate that the net profit of the brokerage sector could see a year-on-year increase of approximately 48% by the third quarter of 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) expected to rise to 7.7% [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies should focus on high-quality brokerage firms with strong wealth management and international business capabilities, as well as undervalued mid-sized brokerages [10]. - The recent policy guidance aims to foster a robust investment banking environment, suggesting a long-term positive outlook for the capital market [10].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment strategies of holding stocks versus holding cash during the National Day holiday, highlighting the historical tendency of the A-share market to rise after the holiday and the emerging trend of "holding gold" as a new investment option [3][9]. Market Performance - On the last trading day before the National Day holiday, the A-share market showed significant volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3862.53 points, up 0.52%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.35% [6][10]. - Historical data indicates that the A-share market has a higher probability of rising after the National Day holiday, with a noted "calendar effect" where the market tends to perform poorly before the holiday but recovers positively afterward [7][8]. Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that investors should consider a balanced approach, focusing on large-cap indices while being prepared to invest in sectors like technology, new energy, and precious metals during market adjustments [10][11]. - The article emphasizes the importance of asset quality, recommending that investors hold stocks of companies with strong fundamentals while being cautious with overvalued stocks [11]. Gold as an Investment Option - The price of international gold reached a historical high of $3871.73 per ounce, marking a more than 16% increase since August and over 45% since the beginning of 2025, making "holding gold" a viable option for investors [9][12]. - The rise in gold prices has positively impacted related financial products, with many gold "fixed income+" products offering annualized returns between 2.00% and 4.00%, outperforming traditional fixed-income products [12]. Stock and Bond Market Dynamics - The article notes a "stock-bond seesaw" effect, where the A-share market has shown a pattern of rising more than falling since late June, while bond yields have been under pressure [14][15]. - Despite short-term pressures on the bond market, analysts maintain a long-term optimistic outlook for the A-share market, driven by advancements in sectors like AI and high-end manufacturing [14][15].

Group 1 - Huatai Securities' stock price has increased for five consecutive days, with a total gain of 11.58% during this period, reaching 21.77 CNY per share as of September 30 [1] - The company has a total market capitalization of 196.51 billion CNY and a trading volume of 5.794 billion CNY on the reporting date, with a turnover rate of 3.66% [1] - The main business segments of Huatai Securities include wealth management (43.24%), institutional services (19.75%), international business (14.23%), investment management (11.89%), and other services (10.89%) [1] Group 2 - Xinhua Fund holds Huatai Securities as its tenth largest position in the Xinhua CSI 300 Index Enhanced A fund, with 123,400 shares, accounting for 1.43% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has generated a floating profit of approximately 27,890 CNY during the five-day increase, with no profit realized on the reporting date [2] - The Xinhua CSI 300 Index Enhanced A fund has a total scale of 105 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 16.76%, ranking 3137 out of 4220 in its category [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of Xinhua CSI 300 Index Enhanced A is Deng Yue, who has been in the position for 8 years and 57 days, managing assets totaling 551 million CNY [3] - During Deng Yue's tenure, the fund has achieved a best return of 91.22% and a worst return of -56.26% [3]