Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's education business showed strong growth in FY2025Q4, with non-selective business revenue increasing by 18.7%, surpassing management's guidance [1][8] - For FY2026Q1, the company expects revenue growth of 2-5%, which is below previous expectations due to a slowdown in study abroad business growth and other educational services [3][18] - The company has announced a three-year shareholder return plan, intending to return 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders through dividends or buybacks [3][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In FY2025Q4, the company reported total revenue of $1.243 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, with non-selective revenue at $1.089 billion, up 18.7% [1][8] - The operating profit was a loss of $8.67 million, primarily due to a one-time goodwill impairment of $60.3 million in the kindergarten business [1][8] - The deferred revenue at the end of the period was $1.954 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [1][8] Business Segments - K9 education new business grew by 32.5%, while high school training revenue increased by 24% [2][9] - The study abroad training and consulting revenue grew by 14.6% and 8.2%, respectively, but faced challenges due to declining consumer spending and tightening study abroad environments in some countries [2][9] - E-commerce revenue decreased by approximately 10% due to the divestment of a specific business, although the decline has improved on a quarter-on-quarter basis [2][9] Operational Efficiency - The company's gross margin for FY2025Q4 was 54.2%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [2][16] - The management expense ratio remained stable at 33.0%, while the sales expense ratio decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 17.0% [2][16] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a cautious revenue outlook for FY2026, with expected growth of 5-10% for the fiscal year [3][18] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026-2027 have been lowered to $430 million and $483 million, respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 24% and 29% [3][19] - The company plans to continue improving operational efficiency and profitability while enhancing investor preference through the new shareholder return plan [3][19]

假设公司派发2025财年公认会计准则盈利的50%，2026年回报股东的金额约为1.86亿美元，以现市值计 仅相当于2.6%股息率。该行将2026至27年收入预测下调3%至7%，每股盈利预测下调3%至5%。基于估 值吸引，重申"买入"评级，目标价由49港元下调至43港元。 大和发表研究报告指，新东方今年5月底止第四财季收入及盈利分别超出市场预期4%与63%，但2026财 年首季及全年度收入增长指引均低于预期。管理层解释，26财年首季将受高基数影响，当中涉及K9与 高中春季课程时间表问题，以及东方甄选主播于去年离职导致收入贡献流失。另外，公司宣布为期三年 的股东回报计划，承诺将不低于50%净利润透过股息与回购回报股东，但该行认为规模不及预期。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's education business showed strong growth in FY2025Q4, with non-selective business revenue increasing by 18.7%, surpassing management's guidance [1][8] - For FY2026Q1, the company expects a cautious revenue growth of 2-5%, primarily due to a slowdown in study abroad business growth and other educational training services [3][18] - The company has announced a three-year shareholder return plan, intending to return 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders through dividends or buybacks [3][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In FY2025Q4, the company reported total revenue of $1.243 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, with non-selective revenue at $1.089 billion, up 18.7% [1][8] - The operating profit was a loss of $8.67 million, primarily due to a one-time goodwill impairment of $60.3 million in the kindergarten business [1][8] - The deferred revenue at the end of the period was $1.954 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [1][8] Business Segments - K9 education new business grew by 32.5%, while high school training revenue increased by 24% [2][9] - The study abroad training and consulting revenue grew by 14.6% and 8.2%, respectively, although consumer spending power is declining [2][9] - The e-commerce revenue decreased by approximately 10% due to the divestment of a specific business, but the decline has improved on a quarter-on-quarter basis [2][9] Operational Efficiency - The gross margin for FY2025Q4 was 54.2%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [2][16] - The management expense ratio remained stable at 33.0%, while the sales expense ratio decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 17.0% [2][16] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 5-10% for FY2026, with a focus on improving operational efficiency and profitability [3][19] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026-2027 have been lowered to $430 million and $483 million, respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 24% and 29% [3][19] - The company plans to increase its network of schools and learning centers by 10-15% in FY2026 [2][9]

Core Insights - New Oriental Education Technology Group reported a revenue increase of 13.6% year-on-year for the fiscal year 2025, reaching $4.9 billion, while net profit grew by 20.1% to $372 million [2][3] - However, the company experienced a significant decline in net profit of 73.7% in the fourth quarter, with net revenue of $1.243 billion, a 9.4% increase year-on-year [2][4] - The company aims to enhance management of its core education business and integrate AI technology into its future strategy [1][5] Financial Performance - Fiscal Year 2025 financial highlights include: - Net revenue: $4.9 billion, up 13.6% from $4.313 billion in FY 2024 [2] - Operating profit: $428.25 million, a 22.2% increase from $350.425 million [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit: $554.23 million, up 15.8% from $478.79 million [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders: $371.72 million, a 20.1% increase from $309.59 million [2] - Basic earnings per ADS: $2.29, up 22.6% from $1.87 [2] Business Strategy and Future Outlook - The company is focusing on its core education business and plans to invest in AI-driven educational solutions, including a new generation of intelligent learning devices [5] - For Q1 FY 2026, New Oriental expects net revenue between $1.464 billion and $1.507 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 2% to 5% [5] - The full-year revenue forecast for FY 2026 is projected to be between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a growth of 5% to 10% [5] Operational Challenges - The decline in fourth-quarter net profit is attributed to increased costs, particularly in sales, marketing, and administrative expenses, which reached a two-year high [4][6] - The company faces pressure to manage rising operational costs while maintaining business growth, necessitating adjustments in its business layout to meet evolving market demands [6]

Core Viewpoint - New Oriental Education & Technology Group (09901) reported a mixed financial performance, with revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit, leading to a decrease in stock price [1] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, New Oriental's net revenue increased by 9.4% year-on-year to $1.243 billion [1] - The net profit for the same period fell by 73.7% year-on-year to $7.1 million [1] Future Guidance - For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (June 1, 2025, to August 31, 2025), New Oriental expects net revenue to be between $1.464 billion and $1.507 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 2% to 5% [1] - For the entire fiscal year 2026 (June 1, 2025, to May 31, 2026), the company projects net revenue to be between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth rate of 5% to 10% [1] Analyst Insights - Bank of America noted that the revenue guidance for the first quarter and full fiscal year 2026 reflects a slowdown in overseas business and K9 subject training growth [1] - Morgan Stanley highlighted that while the fourth quarter results exceeded expectations, the revenue guidance for the first quarter and full year 2026 fell short of market expectations, raising concerns about the potential impact of deteriorating overseas demand on revenue and profit margins [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Guizhou Provincial Government has officially approved the elevation of Guizhou New Oriental Culinary Technician College, a subsidiary of China Oriental Education (00667.HK), to a technician college, marking a significant breakthrough in vocational education, particularly in culinary skills training [1][3]. Group 1: Institutional Upgrade - The elevation to a technician college signifies a qualitative leap in the school's educational qualifications, training levels, and social responsibilities [1]. - The upgraded college will focus on training higher-level skilled talents, including preparatory technicians and senior skilled workers, and will offer technician and senior skilled worker classes [1][3]. - The college aims to establish a comprehensive modern technician education system, providing graduates with relevant academic certificates and vocational skill level certificates, enhancing their competitiveness in the job market [1][3]. Group 2: Historical Context and Achievements - Guizhou New Oriental Culinary Technician College is the first private technician college in Guiyang, Guizhou Province, and has trained over 3,000 senior skilled talents since being approved as a national high-skilled talent training base in 2020 [3]. - The school specializes in the inheritance and innovation of culinary arts, including Chinese cuisine, Western pastries, and Western cuisine, and has built a strong reputation and substantial scale in its operations [3]. Group 3: Industry Impact and Future Directions - The upgrade is part of Guizhou Province's efforts to optimize vocational education structure and improve the skilled talent training system [3]. - The college will align with the urgent demand for high-quality, skilled culinary talents in the transformation and upgrading of the restaurant industry in Guizhou Province and nationwide [3]. - The institution plans to deepen industry-education integration and school-enterprise cooperation, innovate talent training models, and enhance educational quality to support local economic development and promote the restaurant industry's prosperity [3][5].

Core Viewpoint - New Oriental's stock has declined nearly 4% following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report for the fiscal year ending May 31, 2025, which showed a significant drop in net profit despite a revenue increase [1] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, New Oriental reported a net revenue increase of 9.4% year-on-year, reaching $1.243 billion [1] - The net profit for the same quarter fell by 73.7% year-on-year to $7.1 million [1] Future Guidance - New Oriental expects its net revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (June 1, 2025, to August 31, 2025) to be between $1.464 billion and $1.507 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 2% to 5% [1] - For the entire fiscal year 2026 (June 1, 2025, to May 31, 2026), the company projects net revenue between $5.145 billion and $5.39 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth rate of 5% to 10% [1] Analyst Insights - Bank of America noted that the revenue guidance for the first quarter and full fiscal year 2026 reflects a slowdown in growth from overseas operations and K9 subject training [1] - Morgan Stanley highlighted that while the fourth-quarter results exceeded expectations, the revenue guidance for the first quarter and full year 2026 fell short of market expectations, raising concerns about the potential negative impact of deteriorating overseas demand on revenue and profit margins [1]

美银证券发表研究报告指，新东方公布截至5月底止季度业绩，收入与利润率增长均超预期，当中收入 按年增长18%，非通用会计准则营业利润率年增加3.2个百分点。公司对2026财年首财季及全财年收入 指引分别为2至5%及5至10%，反映海外业务及K9学科类培训增长放缓。公司同时宣布为期3年的股东回 报计划，承诺将不低于50%的净利润用于派息或股份回购。 基于增长前景放缓，该行将新东方2026及2027年每股盈利预测分别下调3%及7%，并将H股目标价49.3 港元降至43.8港元，美股目标价由63.2美元降至56.2美元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

新东方-S(09901)跌近4%，截至发稿，跌3.7%，报35.15港元，成交额1.55亿港元。 消息面上，新东方发布截至2025年5月31日止第四季度业绩，2025财年第四季度的净营收同比上升9.4% 至12.43亿美元，净利润则同比下跌73.7%至710万美元。此外，新东方预计2026财年第一季度（2025年6 月1日至2025年8月31日）的净营收将为14.64亿美元至15.07美元之间，同比上升率为2%到5%之间。新 东方预计2026财年全年（2025年6月1日至 2026年5月31日）的净营收将为51.45亿美元至53.9亿美元之 间，同比上升率为5% 到10%之间。 美银证券表示，公司对2026财年首财季及全财年收入指引分别为2至5%及5至10%，反映海外业务及K9 学科类培训增长放缓。摩根士丹利指出，新东方截至今年5月底止2025财年第四季财报胜预期，但2026 财年首季及全财年收入指引则较市场预期逊色，关注海外业务需求恶化会否拖累2026财年收入及利润 率，认为集团实施成本控制措施未知能否抵销相关负面影响。 ...

大摩维持其"与大市同步"评级，美股目标价由48美元微降至47美元；基于第四财季业绩超出预期，将 2026至2028财年各年非通用会计准则每股盈利预测上调12%、10%及3%，但下调远期盈利预测2%至 6%，以反映市场竞争加剧对利润的影响。 摩根士丹利发表研究报告指，新东方截至今年5月底止2025财年第四季业绩胜预期，但2026财年首季及 全财年收入指引则较市场预期逊色，关注海外业务需求恶化会否拖累2026财年收入及利润率，认为集团 实施成本控制措施未知能否抵销相关负面影响。集团给予2026财年首季展望，收入按年增长2%至5%， 较市场预期低5%至8%，全年收入预期增长5%至10%，亦较市场预期低3%至7%。 ...