Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index slightly up by 0.09% while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.31%, indicating a divergence in sector performance influenced by geopolitical factors and currency fluctuations [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed up by 0.09% while the Hang Seng Tech Index experienced a decline of 1.31% [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (国指) fell by 0.09%, reflecting weakness in the broader market [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Major technology stocks faced downward pressure, with Baidu dropping by 4%, Xiaomi declining over 2%, and Alibaba falling by over 1% [1] - Gold and silver prices surged to new highs, positively impacting the performance of precious metals stocks such as Lingbao Gold, Shandong Gold, and Zijin Mining, which reached new peak prices [1] - The copper sector saw a significant increase, with China Nonferrous Mining rising by 11.5% [1] - Defense, semiconductor, and Apple-related stocks experienced notable declines [1]

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Involved - **Company**: Alibaba Group (specifically focusing on Alibaba Cloud and its subsidiary, Pingtouge) - **Industry**: Cloud Computing and Semiconductor Industry Key Points and Arguments Pingtouge's Upcoming IPO - Pingtouge is expected to finalize its IPO by early February 2024, with preparations already underway [3][4] - The IPO aims to capitalize on Pingtouge's established market position and product competitiveness, particularly in the semiconductor space [4][9] Revenue Projections - Pingtouge's revenue for 2025 is projected to be around 20 million units, with an estimated 60 million units for 2026 [10][12] - The majority of these units (approximately 40 million) are expected to be sold externally, indicating a shift towards external commercialization [22][15] Product Competitiveness - Pingtouge's chips are reported to be highly competitive, with performance metrics comparable to leading products in the market [4][46] - The company is focusing on enhancing its product offerings, including the next-generation PPU (Processing Power Unit), which is expected to launch by the end of 2023 [23][24] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for 2026 is projected to rise to between 1800 billion to 2000 billion RMB, driven by increased procurement costs and component price inflation [62][64] - The rising costs of components, such as memory and HBM (High Bandwidth Memory), are significant factors influencing the capital expenditure increase [65][66] Market Position and Strategy - Pingtouge is positioned as a leading player in the domestic semiconductor market, with expectations to rank among the top three in terms of production capacity [57][46] - The company plans to leverage its established customer base and internal resources to expand its market reach post-IPO [49][50] Organizational Structure - Pingtouge employs approximately 1500 people, with around 400 dedicated to R&D for the PPU [36][38] - The team comprises experienced professionals from major tech companies, enhancing its competitive edge in the semiconductor industry [53][52] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, focusing on AI and cloud services, which are integral to its long-term strategy [8][6] - Pingtouge's ability to scale its operations and maintain a robust supply chain will be crucial for its success in the competitive semiconductor landscape [52][51] Other Important but Overlooked Content - The discussion highlighted the importance of AI integration across all business units, indicating a strategic shift towards AI-driven solutions [6][8] - The potential for partnerships with other semiconductor manufacturers, such as Zhongxin International, was mentioned as a way to enhance production capabilities [52][57] - The call also touched on the competitive landscape, noting that Pingtouge's unique position in the market could provide significant advantages over competitors [46][50]

中国 证券研究 2026 年 1 月 23 日 阿里巴巴 "平头哥"IPO 消息是市场情绪催化剂；估值"选择权 价值"确实存在，但交易受可信度及结构驱动 媒体报道称，阿里巴巴正准备推进旗下人工智能芯片业务"平头哥" 单独上市。彭博社报道（链接）称，阿里巴巴可能首先对该业务进行 内部重组，改造为部分员工持股，随后再探索 IPO 可能性，具体时间 尚未确定。"平头哥"成立于 2018 年，开发用于数据中心、人工智 能和物联网的芯片，是阿里巴巴更广泛的"人工智能+云基础设施" 举措的核心。阿里巴巴尚未就该报道发表评论。 我们的观点：对讯息释放而非数字本身感到惊讶 我们对报道举措感到惊讶，因为这意味着向资本市场"价值释放"选 择权的重大回归。根据我们的粗略计算，采用同业企业价值/收入区 间和激进的 2026 年收入替代指标，平头哥单独上市估值数字可能在 250-620 亿美元（约占阿里巴巴当前市值的 6-14%）。我们认为这是 潜在短期情绪催化剂，而非短期盈利驱动因素，尤其是当市场快速判 定该事件不太可能在 2026 年发生的的情况下。 定位框架：短期 vs 长期 短期而言，我们将其视为重大消息驱动，直至消息确认。该 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests that the general Agent will continue to be a competitive focus for major model manufacturers in 2026, indicating a positive investment outlook for Agent-related applications and ecosystem opportunities [5]. Core Insights - The competition in the general Agent field is intensifying among leading model manufacturers, with new iterations of Agent applications being released by companies like Anthropic, ByteDance, and Alibaba [3][4]. - The transition from ChatBot to Agent as the primary entry point for general model applications is underway, driven by advancements in core capabilities such as coding and Agentic functions [23]. - The report highlights that the next generation of Agent products will likely follow the aggressive path set by Anthropic's Claude Cowork, which integrates user file permissions for more direct interaction [12][13]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In early 2026, major players like Anthropic, ByteDance, and Alibaba have launched new iterations of general Agent applications, focusing on desktop environments as the new product definition [3]. - Anthropic's Claude Cowork, released on January 12, 2026, is designed as a desktop work Agent for non-programmers, allowing for direct file operations on users' computers [4][8]. Product Developments - Claude Cowork enhances user interaction by allowing direct access to local files, enabling tasks such as reading, writing, and organizing files without manual uploads [9]. - Domestic companies are also iterating their Agent products, with Alibaba's Qianwen and ByteDance's Coze 2.0 updates enhancing their respective ecosystems and productivity platforms [13]. Valuation and Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolution of Agent products and the related application ecosystem, as well as the increasing computational demands associated with these advancements [5][25]. - The anticipated growth in the Agent sector is expected to create significant investment opportunities, particularly in vertical industries with accumulated data and customer bases [25].

本文源自：金融界AI电报 野村证券：将阿里巴巴(BABA.N)目标价从193.00美元上调至237.00美元。 ...

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (00728) at 70.92%, Green Power Environmental (01330) at 69.34%, and Kaisa Group Holdings (01108) at 67.61% [1][2] - The largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days were seen in the following companies: Yingfu Fund (02800) with an increase of 4.041 billion, Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with 1.783 billion, and Alibaba - W (09988) with 1.455 billion [1][2] - The largest decreases in holding amounts over the last five trading days were recorded for China Mobile (00941) with a decrease of 2.395 billion, Innovent Biologics (01801) with 589 million, and UBTECH Robotics (09880) with 556 million [1][3] Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Connect Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) has a holding of 9.843 billion shares, representing 70.92% [2] - Green Power Environmental (01330) has a holding of 280 million shares, representing 69.34% [2] - Kaisa Group Holdings (01108) has a holding of 169 million shares, representing 67.61% [2] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - Yingfu Fund (02800) saw an increase of 4.041 billion in holding amount, with a change of 14.9907 million shares [2] - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) increased by 1.783 billion, with a change of 1.8975 million shares [2] - Alibaba - W (09988) increased by 1.455 billion, with a change of 0.8637 million shares [2] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - China Mobile (00941) experienced a decrease of 2.395 billion, with a change of -3.01224 million shares [3] - Innovent Biologics (01801) saw a decrease of 589 million, with a change of -0.70319 million shares [3] - UBTECH Robotics (09880) had a decrease of 556 million, with a change of -0.38639 million shares [3]

Group 1 - The top short-selling ratios are led by AIA Group (81299) and JD Health (86618) at 100.00%, followed by Baidu Group (89888) at 95.46% [1][2] - The highest short-selling amounts are recorded for Pop Mart (09992) at 1.3 billion, Alibaba (09988) at 1.26 billion, and Xiaomi Group (01810) at 1.064 billion [1][2] - The highest deviation values are for Baidu Group (89888) at 62.11%, Shenzhen Expressway (00548) at 37.02%, and SenseTime (80020) at 34.65% [1][2] Group 2 - The top ten short-selling ratios include AIA Group (81299) at 100.00%, JD Health (86618) at 100.00%, and Baidu Group (89888) at 95.46% [2] - The top ten short-selling amounts show Pop Mart (09992) leading with 1.3 billion, followed by Alibaba (09988) with 1.26 billion, and Xiaomi Group (01810) with 1.064 billion [2] - The top ten deviation values highlight Baidu Group (89888) at 62.11%, Shenzhen Expressway (00548) at 37.02%, and SenseTime (80020) at 34.65% [2]

1月21日,盈富基金（02800）、恒生中国企业（02828）、阿里巴巴-W（09988）南向资金净流入金额位 列市场前三，分别净流入41.45 亿、18.13 亿、10.68 亿 中国移动（00941）、腾讯控股（00700）、江西铜业股份（00358）南向资金净流出金额位列市场前 三，分别净流出-9.50 亿、-2.76 亿、-2.27 亿 | 股票名称 | 净流出(元)↓ | 净流出比 | 收盘价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中国移动(00941) | -9.50 亿 | -27.81% | 79.200（-0.13%） | | 腾讯控股(00700) | -2.76 亿 | -2.87% | 602.500（+0.25%） | | 江西铜业股份(00358) | -2.27 亿 | -22.46% | 45.360（-0.22%） | | 优必选(09880) | -1.87 亿 | -14.41% | 145.000（+4.02%） | | 信达生物(01801) | -1.76 亿 | -22.00% | 82.700（-0.60%） | | 中国宏桥(01378) ...

Core Insights - The AI large model sector is expected to undergo deeper integration and innovation in the coming year, transitioning from a phase of "technical frenzy" to "value realization" [1][24]. Group 1: Market Dynamics and Competition - Alibaba's AI model, Qianwen, has integrated with various platforms like Taobao and Alipay, creating a closed-loop consumer ecosystem [2]. - The competitive landscape has shifted from nearly 300 companies to a concentrated market dominated by major players like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Baidu, driven by resource and capital advantages [4][10]. - ByteDance's strategy of "stronger models + lower prices + easier implementation" has allowed it to rapidly capture market share, with its Doubao model achieving over 150 million monthly active users [5]. - Tencent's Yuanbao has heavily invested in advertising, with expenditures reaching 1 billion yuan in June and July 2025, indicating significant efforts to promote AI products [6]. - Baidu and Alibaba are enhancing their core competencies through technological iterations and open-source strategies, with Baidu's Wenxin model outperforming competitors in multi-modal capabilities [7][8]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Challenges - The large model market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a market size of 294.26 billion yuan in 2024 and expected to exceed 700 billion yuan by 2026, reflecting a shift towards commercialized applications [13]. - B-end applications face challenges in reliability and standardization, while C-end applications are diversifying, with major companies integrating AI into various daily life scenarios [14][15]. - The competition in the C-end market is intensifying, requiring companies to invest in continuous iteration and resource allocation to meet diverse user needs [19][23]. - The rise of AI agents is transforming large models from mere conversational tools to actionable partners, with a focus on creating measurable commercial value in vertical industries [21][22]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The AI large model sector is anticipated to see further integration and innovation, with a focus on the collaboration between general and specialized models, enhancing commercialization efficiency [24]. - The next phase for companies in the large model space will be a sustained battle for technological depth and the realization of commercial value [25].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.45% after fluctuating within a narrow range above the midline, with significant gains in the consumer sector [1] - The consumer sector opened strongly and maintained high levels throughout the day, closing up 1.05%, with notable increases from Lao Pu Gold (up 6.78%), Pop Mart (up 6.6%), and Kangfang Biologics (up 3.65%) [3] - The Hang Seng Technology Index experienced a slight pullback after opening but closed up 0.66%, with Xiaomi Group rising 2.84%, Kuaishou up 2.72%, and Alibaba increasing by 2.25% [3] Group 2 - Bank stocks continued to show weakness, opening high but closing down 0.07%, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Chongqing Bank experiencing slight declines [3] - Some banks, including Zhengzhou Bank, Dah Sing Financial, and Zheshang Bank, managed to post small gains despite the overall sector's downturn [3]