Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6][3] Core Views - The management's recent share buybacks demonstrate confidence in the company's future and stock price [4][3] - The company's new product series, PUCKY and Starry People, have sold out on official platforms and are trading at significant premiums on secondary markets, indicating strong IP potential [3][5] - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth, with net profits projected to reach 12.02 billion, 17.05 billion, and 20.89 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 284.4%, 41.9%, and 22.6% respectively [3][10] Summary by Sections Share Buyback - The company announced a buyback of 500,000 shares at a price of 192.97 yuan per share and the cancellation of 1.4 million shares at 179.60 yuan per share, showing a total buyback of 3.47 billion yuan for 1.9 million shares [2][5] Product Performance - Recent trends show that the PUCKY and Starry People series have sold out on the official website, with hidden versions trading at premiums of 2-3 times and regular versions at 70-200% premiums [5][9] Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 12.02 billion, 17.05 billion, and 20.89 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 16, and 13 [3][10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 35.62 billion, 51.25 billion, and 63.45 billion, with growth rates of 173.2%, 43.9%, and 23.8% respectively [10][19]

Core Viewpoint - The recent popularity of the PUCKY "electronic wooden fish" product has significantly boosted Pop Mart's stock price, which rose over 20% within a week due to the product's launch and collaborations [2][5]. Product Overview - The PUCKY "electronic wooden fish" transforms the traditional wooden fish into an electronic sound device, featuring good luck tags like "Wealth +1" and "Happiness +1" [2]. - The product was launched on January 15, with a blind box configuration of 6 regular characters and 1 hidden character, priced at 99 yuan per box and 594 yuan for a full set [2]. - The hidden character "Success" has seen its market price rise from 99 yuan to 396 yuan, a 300% increase, while the most popular regular character "Wisdom" increased from 99 yuan to 209 yuan, a 100% increase [2]. Market Response - Many stores have run out of stock for the PUCKY series, leading to increased prices on second-hand platforms [2]. - The "Success" hidden character has recently sold for around 275 yuan, with a premium of over 200%, while the "Wealth" character sold for approximately 134 yuan [2]. Company Strategy - Pop Mart has been continuously developing the PUCKY IP since its first launch in 2018, despite it not being among the top IPs in recent years [3]. - The company aims for a diversified IP strategy, as indicated by its management, who believe that having multiple IPs is a healthier business model [5]. Stock Performance - Following the product's success, Pop Mart's stock price surged over 20% since January 20, contrasting with a nearly 50% decline in the second half of 2025 [5]. - Citigroup reaffirmed a "Buy" rating for Pop Mart, anticipating growth driven by IP diversification and product innovation, with a target price of 415 HKD [5]. Consumer Insights - The "electronic wooden fish" has been recognized as an emotional relief product, appealing to younger consumers who enjoy sharing their experiences on social media [6]. - The interaction with the product and its hidden variants has contributed to its popularity and, consequently, the stock price increase [6].

Core Viewpoint - The recent popularity of the PUCKY "electronic wooden fish" product has significantly boosted Pop Mart's stock price, which rose over 20% within a week due to the new product launch and collaborations [3][6]. Product Launch and Market Response - The PUCKY "electronic wooden fish" transforms the traditional wooden fish into an electronic sound device, featuring good luck tags like "Wealth +1" and "Happiness +1" [3]. - The product was launched on January 15, with a blind box configuration of 6 regular characters and 1 hidden character, priced at 99 yuan per box and 594 yuan for a full set [3]. - The product quickly sold out in stores, with secondary market prices soaring; the hidden character "Success" increased from 99 yuan to 396 yuan, a 300% markup, while the most popular regular character "Wisdom" rose to 209 yuan, a 100% increase [4]. Company Strategy and IP Management - PUCKY is a classic IP for Pop Mart, which has been continuously developed since its first launch in 2018. Although not the top IP, it has seen successful product releases, including a plush product in 2024 [4][6]. - The company emphasizes a multi-IP strategy, with CEO Wang Ning stating that having one IP dominate revenue is not necessarily healthy, as each IP has its unique characteristics [6]. Stock Performance and Analyst Insights - Following the product's success, Pop Mart's stock price surged over 20% since January 20, recovering from a nearly 50% decline in the second half of 2025 [6]. - Citigroup reaffirmed a "Buy" rating for Pop Mart, anticipating growth driven by IP diversification, product innovation, and monetization capabilities, with a target price of 415 HKD [6]. - Industry analysts suggest that the rise in stock price is linked to the popularity of the "electronic wooden fish" and its collaboration with Honor, indicating a shift towards more practical consumer products [6][7].

Core Insights - The stock price of Pop Mart has surged over 20% since January 20, driven by the popularity of the PUCKY "electronic wooden fish" product and various collaborations [1][4]. Product Launch and Market Response - The PUCKY "electronic wooden fish" series, launched on January 15, features a unique design that transforms a traditional wooden fish into an electronic sound device, priced at 99 yuan per box [1]. - The series includes six regular characters and one hidden character, with the hidden character's market price rising from 99 yuan to 396 yuan, a threefold increase [1]. - The highest-selling regular character, "Wisdom," saw its market price increase from 99 yuan to 209 yuan, doubling its value [1]. Consumer Engagement and Sales Dynamics - Many stores have reported being out of stock for the PUCKY series, leading consumers to seek these products on second-hand platforms at marked-up prices [1]. - Store employees noted an increase in consumer inquiries about the PUCKY series, indicating strong demand despite supply constraints [1]. Brand and IP Strategy - PUCKY is a classic IP for Pop Mart, which has been continuously developed since its first product launch in 2018, with recent innovations contributing to its resurgence [2]. - The company emphasizes the importance of multiple IPs for healthy growth, as indicated by the performance of various characters in the market [4]. Market Outlook and Analyst Opinions - Citigroup reaffirmed a "buy" rating for Pop Mart, anticipating growth driven by IP diversification and product innovation, with a target price of 415 HKD [4]. - Industry analysts suggest that the recent stock price increase is linked to the success of the "electronic wooden fish" and collaborations with brands like Honor, which enhance market perception of Pop Mart's capabilities [5].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.06%, closing at 26,765.52 points, with a total market turnover of 261.699 billion HKD [1] Southbound Trading Data - Tencent Holdings received a net inflow of 1.015 billion HKD, with a closing price of 599.50 HKD, reflecting a 7.60% increase [2] - Xiaomi Group-W saw a net inflow of 822 million HKD, closing at 35.22 HKD, but experienced a decline of 28.10% [2] - Pop Mart International received a net inflow of 613 million HKD, closing at 217.60 HKD, down by 9.10% [2] - China Mobile faced a net outflow of 1.177 billion HKD, closing at 42.18 HKD, with a decrease of 8.80% [2] - Zijin Mining experienced a net outflow of 1.077 billion HKD, closing at 26.98 HKD, with a slight increase of 0.70% [2] - The Hang Seng Index's performance reflects mixed investor sentiment, with significant inflows into certain stocks while others faced notable outflows [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart (9992.HK) has received "buy" ratings from major financial institutions, indicating strong potential for stock price appreciation, with target prices set at 410 HKD and 415 HKD, representing over 80% upside from current levels [2][8]. Stock Performance - In the past week, Pop Mart's stock has surged over 20%, with its market capitalization reaching 300 billion HKD [3][9]. - The company announced a share buyback plan, committing 251 million HKD to repurchase 1.4 million shares at prices between 177.7 and 181.2 HKD per share [3][9]. IP Value and Market Dynamics - The value of Pop Mart's platform attributes is increasingly evident, with a focus on long-term IP creation and operational mechanisms [10]. - Concerns have arisen regarding the performance of the popular IP "Labubu," which has faced market price declines, leading to questions about the potential for new successful IPs [10]. - Historical data suggests that short-term market fluctuations have minimal impact on IP value, as seen with Bandai's Gundam figures, indicating that supply-demand balance restoration can protect long-term IP value [10]. New Product Launches and Innovations - The PUCKY brand has seen significant success, with the release of the "Knock Knock" plush toy series gaining viral popularity [10][11]. - The "Starry People" Valentine's Day limited edition series has experienced a price increase from 89 HKD to 699 HKD, achieving a record premium of 685% [11]. - Pop Mart has collaborated with Honor to launch the "Honor 500 Pro MOLLY 20th Anniversary Limited Edition" phone, marking it as the industry's first toy-themed smartphone [11]. Long-term IP Strategy - CEO Wang Ning emphasized the importance of continuous investment in IP to ensure its longevity, stating that the lifecycle of IP depends on sustained, healthy, and positive input [12]. - The company aims to generate high-quality content for its IPs and maintain a collaborative approach with artists, distinguishing itself from traditional IP companies [12][13]. - Wang also expressed confidence in the long-term viability of their IPs, suggesting that they could remain relevant for decades [13].

Core Insights - On January 26, 2026, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and Zijin Mining (02899) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 3.744 billion, 2.564 billion, and 2.349 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883) also ranked as the top three, with trading amounts of 1.878 billion, 1.743 billion, and 1.608 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect - Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 3.744 billion with a net buy of -128 million [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) recorded a trading amount of 2.564 billion with a net buy of 472 million [2] - Zijin Mining (02899) had a trading amount of 2.349 billion with a net buy of -1.605 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a trading amount of 2.025 billion with a net buy of 527 million [2] - JunDa Co., Ltd. (02865) had a trading amount of 2.009 billion with a net buy of 222 million [2] - China Mobile (00941) recorded a trading amount of 1.996 billion with a net buy of -1.177 billion [2] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 1.975 billion with a net buy of 188 million [2] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883) achieved a trading amount of 1.785 billion with a net buy of -35.021 million [2] - Pop Mart (09992) had a trading amount of 1.419 billion with a net buy of 613 million [2] - Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) recorded a trading amount of 1.371 billion with a net buy of -6.072 million [2] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect - Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 1.878 billion with a net buy of -107 million [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) recorded a trading amount of 1.743 billion with a net buy of 543 million [2] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883) achieved a trading amount of 1.608 billion with a net buy of 142 million [2] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 1.269 billion with a net buy of -266 million [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) recorded a trading amount of 1.064 billion with a net buy of 295 million [2] - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a trading amount of 1.042 billion with a net buy of -1.036 billion [2] - Zijin Mining (02899) achieved a trading amount of 1.017 billion with a net buy of 528 million [2] - Laopu Gold (06181) had a trading amount of 0.928 billion with a net buy of -78.823 million [2] - JunDa Co., Ltd. (02865) recorded a trading amount of 0.812 billion with a net buy of -74.468 million [2] - China Life (02628) had a trading amount of 0.707 billion with a net buy of -107 million [2]

南向资金今日净卖出8.26亿港元，中国移动、紫金矿业、盈富基金分别遭净卖出11.77亿港元、10.77亿 港元、10.36亿港元。净买入方面，腾讯控股、小米集团-W、泡泡玛特净买入额位列前三，分别获净买 入10.15亿港元、8.22亿港元、6.13亿港元。 (本文来自第一财经) ...

Group 1 - Southbound funds recorded a net sell of HKD 826 million in Hong Kong stocks for the second consecutive day [1] - Notable net purchases included Tencent Holdings at HKD 1.015 billion, Xiaomi Group at HKD 822 million, and Pop Mart at HKD 613 million [1] - Significant net sales were observed in China Mobile at HKD 1.177 billion, Zijin Mining at HKD 1.077 billion, and Alibaba at HKD 235 million [1] Group 2 - Southbound funds have consistently net bought Xiaomi for 7 days, totaling HKD 3.89621 billion [1] - Continuous net buying for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) for 4 days, amounting to HKD 1.09627 billion [1] - Pop Mart has seen net buying for 3 consecutive days, totaling HKD 1.73397 billion [1] - China Mobile has faced net selling for 16 days, accumulating to HKD 12.89303 billion [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the light industry and textile apparel sectors [53] - Specific companies such as Oppein Home (603833), Sophia (002572), Explorer (300005), Semir Apparel (002563), Guai Bao Pet (301498), and Zhongchong Co. (002891) are rated as "Buy" [53] Core Insights - Major paper companies are set to increase white card paper prices by 200 yuan/ton after the Spring Festival, driven by rising operational costs and a reduction in supply due to maintenance shutdowns [16][9] - The domestic consumption market is projected to exceed 4 trillion yuan, with retail sales of consumer goods expected to grow by 3.7% in 2025, supported by policies promoting consumption [10][52] - The report highlights a positive trend in the light industry, with the sector outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.10 percentage points from January 19 to January 23 [46][49] Industry News - White card paper prices are currently stable at 4,560 yuan/ton, with expectations for an increase due to upcoming maintenance periods in major paper companies [9][52] - Bubble Mart has repurchased shares totaling nearly 350 million Hong Kong dollars, indicating strong market confidence [16] Important Company Announcements - Zhihong Home expects a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders by 42.92%-55.89% in 2025 [4][46] - Lutai A anticipates a net profit increase of 38.92%-53.54% in 2025 [5][46]