Core Insights - On November 3, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 3.151 billion, 2.865 billion, and 2.054 billion respectively [1] Group 1: Southbound Trading Activity - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 3.151 billion with a net buy of -96.034 million [2] - SMIC (00981) recorded a trading amount of 2.865 billion with a net buy of -1.149 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) achieved a trading amount of 2.054 billion with a net buy of +293 million [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a trading amount of 1.324 billion with a net buy of +401 million [2] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883) also had a trading amount of 1.324 billion with a net buy of +465 million [2] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) reported a trading amount of 1.125 billion with a net buy of -568 million [2] - Pop Mart International (09992) had a trading amount of 750 million with a net buy of +130 million [2] - Sanofi (01530) recorded a trading amount of 718 million with a net buy of +324 million [2] - Innovent Biologics (01801) had a trading amount of 708 million with a net buy of +281 million [2] - CanSino Biologics (09926) achieved a trading amount of 673 million with a net buy of +373 million [2]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 泡泡瑪特國際集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09992 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.0001 USD | | 500,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.0001 USD | | 500,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD 500, ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 54.72 billion HKD from northbound trading on November 3, with 13.04 billion HKD from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 41.68 billion HKD from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The most net bought stocks included Xiaomi Group-W (01810), CNOOC (00883), and China Mobile (00941) [1] - The most net sold stocks were SMIC (00981), Alibaba-W (09988), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Analysis - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) received a net inflow of 10.29 billion HKD, with Citigroup estimating that its electric vehicle deliveries exceeded 40,000 units in October, bringing the year-to-date total to over 308,000 units, achieving 88% of its 2025 target of 350,000 units [5] - CNOOC (00883) saw a net inflow of 9.93 billion HKD, with OPEC+ announcing a production increase of 137,000 barrels per day in December, while also planning to pause production increases from January to March next year [5] - Kangfang Biopharma (09926) had a net inflow of 3.72 billion HKD, as its dual-specific antibody drug was included in the breakthrough therapy designation list, accelerating its clinical development [6] - Three-Sixty Biopharma (01530) received a net inflow of 3.25 billion HKD, with Pfizer starting two global Phase III clinical trials for its dual-specific antibody [6] - Innovent Biologics (01801) had a net inflow of 2.96 billion HKD, reporting a 40% year-on-year increase in total product revenue for Q3 2025 and forming a global strategic partnership with Takeda Pharmaceutical [7] Group 3: Market Trends - There is a continued reduction in holdings of semiconductor stocks, with SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) experiencing net outflows of 1.38 billion HKD and 628 million HKD, respectively [7] - China Mobile (00941) and Pop Mart (09922) received net inflows of 461 million HKD and 52.96 million HKD, respectively, while Tencent (00700) and Alibaba-W (09988) faced net outflows of 151 million HKD and 955 million HKD [7]

Core Insights - The opening of the first store in the Middle East at Hamad International Airport in Doha marks a significant step for Pop Mart, emphasizing its commitment to tourism-oriented retail as a core direction for global expansion [2] - The overseas market is becoming increasingly important for Pop Mart, with expectations that by mid-2025, overseas revenue will account for over 40% of total income [2] - In Q3, Pop Mart's overseas revenue saw a remarkable year-on-year growth of 365% to 370%, significantly outpacing overall revenue and domestic market performance [2][4] Company Performance - In Q3, Pop Mart reported an overall revenue increase of 245% to 250%, with domestic revenue growing by 185% to 190% and overseas revenue growing by 365% to 370% [4] - As of October, Pop Mart has opened over 570 physical stores globally, indicating a strong expansion strategy [2] - The company has experienced a significant net inflow of capital, amounting to 4.182 billion HKD since October [4] Strategic Directions - Pop Mart is focusing on three main strategies: international expansion, developing new IPs, and creating an ecosystem [3] - The company aims for "cultural export" rather than merely "product export," recognizing the challenges of establishing cultural identity in international markets [3] - Analysts suggest that balancing the goals of "creating scarcity" and "expanding scale" is crucial for the company's future success [4]

Group 1: Xiaomi Group (01810) - Xiaomi's stock price has been declining, dropping from a high of 59.9 HKD to the current 43.2 HKD, with potential further declines to 38 HKD or 35 HKD [3] - The short-term support level is at 41.3 HKD; if breached, the next support level is at 38.2 HKD [3] - Technical signals indicate a "buy" signal from the 100-day moving average [3] Group 2: FOSUN Pharma (2196) - FOSUN Pharma's stock price has rebounded to 23.82 HKD after previously nearing a bottom, with increased trading volume [8] - Investors are cautious, with some suggesting to exit around 25 HKD, indicating mixed sentiment on future price movements [8] - Currently, there are no put options available for FOSUN Pharma, limiting short-selling opportunities [9] Group 3: MTR Corporation (00066) - MTR's stock has risen from a low of 26.08 HKD to a high of 28.62 HKD, currently trading at 28.5 HKD, showing a strong upward trend [12] - There are five options available with strike prices around 30 HKD, with significant differences in leverage, ranging from 10.5 to 13.2 times [12][13] - The high-leverage product has lower implied volatility and premium, making it more attractive [12] Group 4: Pop Mart (09992) - Pop Mart's stock has been on a downward trend, recently hitting a low of 220.2 HKD, with a current closing price of 221.6 HKD [16] - Investors have differing opinions on its future, with some predicting a drop to 211 HKD while others anticipate a rebound to 230 HKD [16] - Options with strike prices close to the current stock price are limited, with some products having strike prices around 299 HKD, which are not suitable for current trading [17][18]

Core Insights - The article highlights the short-selling ratios and amounts for several major companies, indicating significant bearish sentiment in the market, particularly for Tencent Holdings and JD.com [1][2]. Short-Selling Ratios - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) and JD.com-SWR (89618) both have a short-selling ratio of 100.00%, indicating complete bearish positions [2]. - SenseTime-WR (80020) follows with a short-selling ratio of 87.56% [1][2]. Short-Selling Amounts - Alibaba-SW (09988) leads in short-selling amount with 1.807 billion, followed by BYD Company (01211) at 1.358 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) at 0.977 billion [1][2]. - The short-selling amounts for these companies suggest a high level of investor concern regarding their future performance [1][2]. Deviation Values - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) has the highest deviation value at 51.02%, followed closely by JD.com-SWR (89618) at 50.01% [1][2]. - The deviation values indicate a significant difference between current short-selling ratios and their historical averages, suggesting heightened market volatility for these stocks [1][2].

Core Insights - The article highlights the net inflow and outflow of funds for various companies in the Hong Kong stock market, indicating significant movements in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][2][3] Net Inflow Summary - The top three companies with the highest net inflow of funds are Huahong Semiconductor (华虹半导体) with 388 million, Pop Mart (泡泡玛特) with 320 million, and Qingdao Beer (青岛啤酒股份) with 305 million [1][2] - The net inflow percentages for these companies are 8.15%, 7.92%, and 58.54% respectively, indicating strong investor interest, particularly in Qingdao Beer [2][3] Net Outflow Summary - The companies with the highest net outflow of funds include Alibaba-W (阿里巴巴-W) with -523 million, Southern Hang Seng Technology (南方恒生科技) with -429 million, and Tencent Holdings (腾讯控股) with -355 million [1][2] - The net outflow percentages for these companies are -3.89%, -4.86%, and -3.36% respectively, reflecting a negative sentiment among investors towards these stocks [2][3] Net Inflow Ratio Summary - The companies with the highest net inflow ratios are Shenzhen Expressway (深圳高速公路股份) at 68.48%, Anhui Wanshan Expressway (安徽皖通高速公路) at 64.22%, and Legend Holdings (联想控股) at 59.98% [1][3] - These ratios suggest a strong demand for shares in these companies relative to their trading volume [3] Net Outflow Ratio Summary - The companies with the highest net outflow ratios are Huadian International Power (华电国际电力股份) at -62.31%, CIMC Enric (中集安瑞科) at -54.98%, and Connoisseur-B (康诺亚-B) at -52.78% [1][3] - These figures indicate significant selling pressure and a lack of confidence among investors in these stocks [3]

Investment Rating - The report indicates that most sectors are at the bottom, suggesting opportunities for alpha layout [2] Core Viewpoints - The home furnishing sector is experiencing pressure in domestic sales, while export performance shows resilience. The overall revenue for the domestic home furnishing sector in Q1-Q3 2025 decreased by 0.96% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to the parent company fell by 23.80% [10][12] - In the paper packaging sector, upstream pulp mills are reducing supply due to profit pressures, while downstream paper demand is gradually recovering, leading to a stabilization in prices [2][10] - The personal care sector is facing challenges in online sales, but offline performance remains stable, with major companies adjusting their marketing strategies to improve profitability [2][10] - The new consumption sector, driven by IP and AI glasses, is showing growth potential, with companies like Pop Mart and Meta launching new products [2][10] Summary by Sections Home Furnishing - Domestic sales in Q3 2025 are under pressure, with revenue down 1.19% year-on-year and net profit down 15.79%. The external sales sector shows resilience with a 1.91% increase in revenue [10][12] - The performance of soft furniture companies is better than that of custom furniture companies, attributed to faster product iteration and successful online channel strategies [10][12] Paper Packaging - The paper sector is stabilizing, with net profit margins for pulp, waste paper, and specialty paper showing slight improvements. The packaging sector is experiencing stable growth, particularly in plastic and paper packaging [2][10] Personal Care - The sector is facing pressure from online competition, but offline sales remain steady. Major companies are focusing on brand and channel management to enhance profitability [2][10] New Consumption - The sector is driven by IP and AI glasses, with significant growth in emotional consumption. Companies are actively launching new products to capture market share [2][10]

Key Points - The article highlights significant events in the global expansion of companies, including new product launches, market share growth, and strategic investments [2][3]. Group 1: E-commerce Developments - AliExpress launched a new "Brand+" channel in the UK, offering price protection for consumers who find lower prices on competing platforms within seven days [5]. - TikTok Shop's market share in Vietnam surged to 41%, narrowing the gap with Shopee, which held 58% earlier this year [6]. Group 2: Corporate Actions and Investments - WeRide's CFO accused Pony.ai of providing false data in its Hong Kong roadshow materials, claiming that WeRide operates over 700 Robotaxi vehicles across multiple cities [8][11]. - Pop Mart opened its first 24-hour store in the Middle East at Hamad International Airport, aiming to enhance cultural exchange and attract global travelers [12]. - Sequoia China agreed to acquire Bayer's antibiotic Avelox business for between €160 million and €260 million, as the original drug's price in China has plummeted by over 95% [15]. - Ant Group invested in AI hardware developer Aide Future, expanding its footprint in the AI sector [16]. - Ant International invested in the Latin American embedded credit platform R2, targeting a $1 trillion financing gap for SMEs in the region [17][18]. - BYD partnered with Aeon in Japan to sell cars in approximately 30 commercial facilities, offering competitive pricing and promotional activities [19]. - Intel and BOE announced a collaboration to develop energy-saving display solutions for laptops, expected to be implemented in 2026 [22]. - Nvidia announced a $1 billion investment in Nokia, aiming to enhance AI-driven mobile network infrastructure [30][31].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in overall revenue for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 245-250%, driven by strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [1] Overall Performance - The overall revenue growth for Q3 2025 is projected at 245-250%, with Q1 and H1 showing growth rates of 165-170% and 204.4% respectively [1] - The company anticipates a sequential acceleration in growth, particularly in Q4, which is traditionally a peak sales season [1] Domestic Market - Domestic revenue for Q3 2025 is expected to grow by 185-190%, with Q1 showing a growth of 95-100% and H1 at 135% [1] - The company estimates Q2 domestic growth at over 170%, indicating a sequential acceleration in Q3 [1] Channel Performance - Offline channels experienced a year-on-year growth of 130-135% in Q3 2025, while online channels saw a significant increase of 300-305% [2] - The online growth is attributed to the pre-sale shipments of the labubu series, which predominantly occurred in Q3 [2] International Market - Overseas revenue growth for Q3 2025 is reported at 365-370%, down from 475-480% in Q1 [2] - Regional performance indicates that the Asia-Pacific market is expected to remain stable, while the Americas and Europe show slight declines in growth rates [2][3] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about Q4 due to upcoming seasonal events like Halloween and Christmas, which are expected to drive strong consumer demand [3] - The company is expanding its product offerings and enhancing its comprehensive operational platform, focusing on IP incubation and consumer engagement [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase its overseas business share, targeting key cities in the US and Europe, and aims to establish regional warehouses to reduce costs [4] - A focus on innovation and a controlled approach to SKU management is expected to maintain product quality while minimizing excess [4] Financial Projections - Revenue growth projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected growth rates of 172%, 38%, and 36% respectively [5] - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit margins, with EPS estimates rising to 8.16, 11.59, and 16.16 CNY per share for the respective years [5]