2025 年第五次临时股东大会 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 2025 年第五次临时股东大会 会议资料 （2025 年 12 月） 2025 年第五次临时股东大会 2025 年第五次临时股东大会 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 2025 年第五次临时股东大会 会议议程 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 2025 年第五次临时股东大会须知 根据中国证券监督管理委员会《上市公司股东会规则》和《公司 章程》的有关规定，为确保公司股东大会顺利召开，特制定会议须知 如下，望出席股东大会的全体人员遵守执行： 一、股东参加股东大会，应当认真履行其法定义务，不得侵犯其 他股东权益； 二、股东大会期间，全体出席人员应以维护股东的合法利益、确 保大会正常秩序和议事效率为原则，认真履行法定职责； 三、出席大会的股东依法享有发言权、咨询权、表决权等各项权 利，但需由公司统一安排发言和解答； 四、任何人不得扰乱大会的正常秩序和会议程序，会议期间请关 闭手机或将其调至振动状态。 一、会议时间： 现场会议召开时间：2025 年 12 月 8 日（星期一），下午 2:30 网络投票时间：采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统，通过交易系 统投票平台的投票 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Liquidity Impact Coefficient Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model measures the liquidity impact of index adjustments on individual stocks by calculating the ratio of net fund flows to the stock's recent average daily trading volume[12][13] - **Model Construction Process**: The liquidity impact coefficient for a stock is calculated as follows: $$ impact_{i} = \sum_{k=1}^{N} \frac{\Delta weight_{k,i} \times AUM_{k}}{amt\_avg_{i,20}} $$ - \( \Delta weight_{k,i} \): Estimated weight change of stock \( i \) in index \( k \) - \( AUM_{k} \): Total assets under management of passive products tracking index \( k \) as of the end of November - \( amt\_avg_{i,20} \): Average daily trading volume of stock \( i \) over the past 20 trading days as of the end of November[12][13] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a quantitative framework to estimate short-term liquidity shocks caused by index adjustments, but it is subject to data discrepancies and assumptions, which may lead to deviations from actual results[13] --- Model Backtesting Results Liquidity Impact Coefficient Model - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Positive Impact Coefficients**: - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839 CH): 11.55[15] - Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical (600750 CH): 11.44[15] - Tower Group (002233 CH): 11.04[15] - Jichuan Pharmaceutical (600566 CH): 10.14[15] - Zhengbang Technology (002157 CH): 9.99[15] - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Negative Impact Coefficients**: - Shenzhen Expressway (600548 CH): -24.95[16] - Vanward Electric (002543 CH): -20.90[16] - Aviation Materials (688563 CH): -14.06[16] - Huaxi Biology (688363 CH): -10.81[16] - Ninghu Expressway (600377 CH): -10.54[16] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Net Fund Flow Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor estimates the net fund inflow or outflow for stocks due to index adjustments, based on changes in index weights and the total AUM of passive products tracking the index[9][10] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Outflow Amount: Total AUM of linked products multiplied by the stock's actual weight in the index as of the end of November - Inflow Amount: Total AUM of linked products multiplied by the estimated weight of the stock in the index post-adjustment - Weight estimation is based on free-float market capitalization and index-specific weighting rules, such as dividend yield weighting or market capitalization weighting[9][10] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor provides a transparent and systematic approach to estimate fund flows, but it is sensitive to assumptions about future index weights and AUM changes[9][10] --- Factor Backtesting Results Net Fund Flow Factor - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Net Fund Inflows**: - Victory Precision (300476 CH): 112.61 billion CNY[10] - Dongshan Precision (002384 CH): 99.32 billion CNY[10] - Guangqi Technology (002625 CH): 77.81 billion CNY[10] - Sugon Information (603019 CH): 65.44 billion CNY[10] - Top Group (601689 CH): 53.07 billion CNY[10] - **Top 5 Stocks with Highest Net Fund Outflows**: - China Mobile (600941 CH): -40.02 billion CNY[11] - CRRC Corporation (601766 CH): -36.40 billion CNY[11] - Aluminum Corporation of China (601600 CH): -34.29 billion CNY[11] - TCL Zhonghuan (002129 CH): -30.07 billion CNY[11] - Huagong Tech (000988 CH): -27.44 billion CNY[11]

沪指12月1日上涨0.65%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有28个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、通信， 涨幅分别为2.85%、2.81%。跌幅居前的行业为农林牧渔、环保、房地产，跌幅分别为0.43%、0.23%、 0.06%。房地产行业位居今日跌幅榜第三。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流入7.75亿元，今日有11个行业主力资金净流入，电子行业主力资金 净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨1.58%，全天净流入资金72.21亿元，其次是通信行业，日涨幅为 2.81%，净流入资金为55.59亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有20个，电力设备行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金29.94亿元， 其次是计算机行业，净流出资金为23.01亿元，净流出资金较多的还有传媒、医药生物、公用事业等行 业。 房地产行业资金流出榜 （文章来源：证券时报网） 房地产行业资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600246 | 万通发展 | 7.82 | 17.60 | 35939.42 | | 600515 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates a slight recovery in the enthusiasm of real estate companies for launching new projects, with a projected new supply of 6.69 million square meters in 30 key cities for November, representing a 16% month-on-month increase [1] - In first-tier cities, Guangzhou showed a significant increase in supply, doubling month-on-month to 610,000 square meters, while the overall supply in four first-tier cities increased by 23% [1] - The transaction volume of new homes remained stable, with a total of 8.15 million square meters sold in November across 30 monitored cities, marking a 2% month-on-month increase [2] Supply and Demand - The average opening sales rate in 30 key cities increased by 3 percentage points to 35% in November, indicating a stable market heat [7] - The overall supply-demand ratio improved from 0.6 to 0.82, with 30 cities' inventory decreasing by 1% month-on-month [9] - The inventory level across 30 cities was 21,890 million square meters, reflecting a 5% year-on-year decline [9] Transaction Performance - The total transaction area for second-hand housing in November reached 17.04 million square meters, a 14% month-on-month increase, with notable growth in first-tier and second-tier cities [11] - In first-tier cities, the transaction volume reached 4.02 million square meters, a 10% month-on-month increase, while second-tier cities saw a 13% increase [11] Land Market - The land transaction area and amount increased by 39% and 57% month-on-month, respectively, with an average premium rate showing signs of recovery [13] - The total land supply for November was 29 million square meters, a 250% increase month-on-month, indicating a ramp-up in land supply as the year-end approaches [13] Company Performance - In November, 38 real estate companies reported month-on-month sales growth, with 15 companies achieving growth rates exceeding 30% [19] - Among the top 10 real estate companies, several, including China Overseas Land & Investment and China Resources Land, saw an increase in their total sales figures [19]

Core Insights - The Shanghai real estate market is showing structural differentiation amidst adjustments, with core area premium properties continuing to sell well despite an overall decline in supply and demand [1] - The top 30 real estate companies in Shanghai achieved a total sales revenue of 439.29 billion yuan and a sales area of 6.212 million square meters from January to November 2025, indicating a high market concentration [1] - The market is gradually restoring confidence and moving towards stable development, supported by a loose policy environment [1] Sales Performance - The top 30 real estate companies in Shanghai recorded a total equity sales revenue of 295.46 billion yuan and an equity sales area of 4.207 million square meters from January to November 2025 [2] - Nine companies surpassed 10 billion yuan in equity sales, with Poly Developments leading at 28.36 billion yuan, followed by China Merchants Shekou and China Resources Land [2] - The strong performance of these companies reflects their core advantages in resource integration and project operation [2] Project Highlights - The top 10 residential projects in Shanghai achieved a combined sales revenue of 112.6 billion yuan, with a high entry threshold of 6.46 billion yuan [3] - Huangpu District emerged as a hotspot for high-end residential sales, with Shanghai One and Jinling Huating leading in sales revenue [3] - The overall market saw a decline in supply and demand in November 2025, with a total transaction area of 505.2 million square meters and 40,557 transactions from January to November [3]

Core Viewpoint - Multiple indices in the A-share market are undergoing significant adjustments, with sample stocks being updated for various indices including the Shanghai Composite, ChiNext, and others, effective from December 12, 2025, and December 15, 2025 [1][2][4]. Group 1: Index Adjustments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange announced adjustments to the Shanghai 50, Shanghai 180, and Shanghai 380 indices, with changes to sample stocks effective after market close on December 12, 2025 [2][13]. - The Shanghai 50 index will replace four stocks: SAIC Motor, Northern Rare Earth, Huadian New Energy, and Zhongke Shuguang, while removing Poly Development, China Mobile, China Aluminum, and CRRC [2][3]. - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 index will add two stocks: Aojie Technology and Shengke Communication, while removing Huaxi Biotechnology and Hangcai Co [3][4]. Group 2: Shenzhen Stock Exchange Adjustments - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange will implement sample stock adjustments for the Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, and others, effective December 15, 2025 [4][6]. - The Shenzhen Component Index will add 17 stocks including Tuowei Information, Sifang Chuangxin, and Wolong Nuclear Materials, while removing Guoyao Yizhi, Haide Shares, and Tibet Mining [4][6]. - The ChiNext Index will add eight stocks including Shuanglin Co., Changshan Pharmaceutical, and Changsheng Bearing [8]. Group 3: Other Index Adjustments - The China Securities Index Company announced adjustments for the CSI 300, CSI 500, and other indices, effective after market close on December 12, 2025 [11][13]. - The CSI 300 index will replace 11 stocks, adding Huadian New Energy, Shenghong Technology, Dongshan Precision, and others, while removing FAW Liberation, Oppein Home, and others [13][14]. - The CSI 500 index will replace 50 stocks, the CSI 1000 index will replace 100 stocks, and other indices will also see various adjustments [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][5] Core Insights - The enthusiasm of real estate companies for land acquisition has decreased towards the end of the year, with the total land acquisition amount for the top 100 real estate companies from January to November reaching 847.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, but the growth rate has significantly narrowed compared to the previous months [10] - The real estate market is experiencing a cooling trend, with new home sales in 30 cities for the week amounting to 1.875 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 9.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 50.7% [22] - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector serves as an early economic indicator, and investing in real estate is akin to investing in the economic outlook [4] Summary by Sections Land Acquisition - Real estate companies' land acquisition enthusiasm has decreased, with the top 100 companies acquiring a total of 847.8 billion yuan from January to November, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1% but a significant slowdown in growth [10] Market Review - The weekly performance of the Shenwan Real Estate Index showed a cumulative change of 0.7%, lagging behind the CSI 300 Index by 0.92 percentage points, ranking 24th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [11] New Home Sales Tracking - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 1.875 million square meters this week, with a month-on-month increase of 9.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 50.7% [22] - Year-to-date, the cumulative new home sales in these cities reached 87.808 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 11.3% [25] Secondary Home Sales Tracking - Secondary home sales in 14 sample cities totaled 2.015 million square meters this week, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.0% and a year-on-year decrease of 18.3% [30] - Year-to-date, the cumulative secondary home sales reached 94.579 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.2% [30] Credit Bond Issuance - In the week of November 24-30, 21 credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, with a total issuance scale of 17.84 billion yuan, marking a week-on-week increase of 131.3% [40] - The net financing amount was 12.122 billion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 139.13% [40]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The initiation of commercial real estate REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is expected to significantly enhance the development potential of commercial real estate in China, with a market space exceeding 10 trillion yuan [2]. - The planned commercial real estate REITs will complement existing infrastructure REITs, creating a comprehensive public REITs market in China, where the market capitalization of holding-type real estate and infrastructure assets accounts for approximately 60% and 40% globally [2]. - The pilot program for commercial real estate REITs aims to broaden the underlying asset base to include office buildings and hotels, thereby expanding the scope of asset revitalization [2]. - The establishment of a multi-tiered market for commercial real estate asset securitization will facilitate direct financing for enterprises, optimize capital structures, and provide new options for strategic transformation from developers to asset managers [2]. - The commercial real estate REITs are seen as a crucial vehicle for constructing a new development model in the real estate sector, emphasizing the operational and sustainable development of existing assets [2]. Summary by Sections Investment Opportunities - The report highlights two major opportunities: the elevation of housing policies and the favorable performance of quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of consumer-oriented commercial real estate assets [2]. - Recommended companies include: 1. Commercial Real Estate: China Resources Land, New Town Holdings, Kerry Properties, Longfor Group, with a focus on Swire Properties and New Town Development 2. Quality Housing Enterprises: Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, China Jinmao, Greentown China 3. Undervalued Recovery Enterprises: Jianfa Shares, China Merchants Shekou, Yuexiu Property, China Overseas Development, Poly Developments 4. Property Management: China Resources Vientiane, Greentown Services, China Merchants Jinling, Poly Property, China Overseas Property 5. Second-hand Housing Agencies: Beike-W, with a focus on I Love My Home [2]. Market Context - The report notes that while the real estate sector in China is expected to continue facing challenges, core cities are likely to stabilize sooner, indicating a potential turning point for the market [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the commercial real estate REITs sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this area [3]. Core Insights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has initiated a pilot program for commercial real estate investment trusts (REITs), which is expected to significantly enhance the valuation of quality commercial assets [3]. - The potential market for public REITs in China is estimated to exceed 10 trillion yuan, with the current market size at 219.9 billion yuan, of which commercial real estate accounts for 130.9 billion yuan, indicating substantial growth potential [3]. - The pilot program aims to create a multi-tiered market for commercial real estate asset securitization, which will help in revitalizing existing assets, mitigating risks, and facilitating corporate transformation [3]. - The new model of real estate development emphasizes the operational management of existing assets rather than new construction, aligning with the broader economic goals of sustainable development [3]. Summary by Sections Pilot Program Overview - The CSRC has launched a pilot for commercial real estate REITs, which will include a wider range of underlying assets such as office buildings and hotels, thereby expanding the asset revitalization scope [3]. Market Potential - The global REIT market is characterized by a significant proportion of holding-type real estate and infrastructure assets, with market values approximately 60% and 40% respectively [3]. - The report highlights that the commercial real estate REITs pilot will complement existing infrastructure REITs, forming a complete public REITs market in China [3]. Strategic Implications - The introduction of commercial real estate REITs is seen as a critical step in transitioning the real estate sector from a developer-focused model to an asset management-oriented approach, which is essential for high-quality development [3]. - The report identifies two key opportunities: the favorable policy environment for quality housing and the strong performance of quality commercial enterprises during a period of monetary easing [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Commercial real estate: China Resources Land, New Town Holdings, Kerry Properties, Longfor Group, with a focus on Swire Properties and New Town Development [3]. - Quality housing companies: Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, China Jinmao, and Greentown China [3]. - Undervalued companies: Jianfa Shares, China Merchants Shekou, Yuexiu Property, China Overseas Development, and Poly Developments [3]. - Property management: China Resources Vientiane, Greentown Services, China Merchants Jinling, Poly Property, and China Overseas Property [3]. - Second-hand housing intermediaries: Beike-W, with attention to I Love My Home [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange announced adjustments to various indices, including the Shanghai 50, Sci-Tech 50, and others, effective after market close on December 12 and December 15, 2025, respectively [1][6][13]. Index Adjustments - The Shanghai 50 Index will replace 4 stocks, including SAIC Motor, Northern Rare Earth, Huadian New Energy, and Zhongke Shuguang, while removing Poly Developments, China Mobile, China Aluminum, and CRRC [1][2]. - The Shanghai 180 Index will add 7 stocks, including Guotou Capital and Zhongtian Technology, and remove stocks like COSCO Shipping Energy and Nanshan Aluminum [3][4]. - The Shanghai 380 Index will see 38 stocks added, including COSCO Shipping Energy and Jinfa Technology, while removing Guotou Capital and Furuida [4][5]. - The Sci-Tech 50 Index will add Aojie Technology and Shengke Communication, removing Huaxi Biotechnology and Hangcai Co [5][6]. Shenzhen Stock Exchange Adjustments - The Shenzhen Component Index will add 17 stocks, including Deep Shenzhen A and Demingli, while removing stocks like China National Pharmaceutical and Tibet Mining [6][8]. - The ChiNext Index will add 8 stocks, including Shuanglin Co. and Changshan Pharmaceutical, while removing stocks like Biyuan and Yihualu [8][12]. - The Shenzhen 100 Index will add 7 stocks, including Cangge Mining and Guohang, while removing stocks like Tianshan Shares and Shanxi Coking Coal [9][11]. - The ChiNext 50 Index will add 5 stocks, including Changshan Pharmaceutical and Feili Hua, while removing stocks like Terui De and Mango Super Media [12]. Other Index Adjustments - The CSI 300 Index will replace 11 stocks, including Huadian New Energy and Dongshan Precision, effective after market close on December 12 [13][14]. - The CSI 500 Index will replace 50 stocks, including Heertai and Huahong Technology, effective after market close on December 12 [15][16]. - The CSI 1000 Index will replace 100 stocks, including Shijia Photon and Yongding Shares, effective after market close on December 12 [17][18]. - The CSI A50 Index will replace 4 stocks, including Huagong Technology and Guangqi Technology [19][20].