Core Viewpoint - The company Jinzhongzi Liquor (stock code: 600199) reported a significant decline in revenue and a net loss for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first quarter of 2025 was 296 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 29.41% [1] - The company incurred a net loss of 38.93 million yuan, contrasting with a net profit of 17.64 million yuan in the same quarter of the previous year [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Insights - The food and beverage industry is gaining attention due to increased external uncertainties and positive domestic policy signals, with a focus on boosting domestic demand as a key driver for economic growth [12][16] - The liquor sector is expected to show a "front low, back high" performance trend for the year, with a focus on inventory digestion in the first half and gradual demand recovery in the second half [17][32] - The consumer goods sector, particularly those related to the catering supply chain and benefiting from fertility policy catalysts, is highlighted for potential investment opportunities [39] Summary by Sections 1. Policy Expectations and Industry Focus - Increased external uncertainties have led to a heightened focus on domestic demand as a crucial element for economic growth [12] - Recent government policies aimed at boosting consumption have positively influenced market confidence, with a comprehensive action plan to enhance consumer spending [13][16] 2. Liquor Sector - Liquor sales during the Spring Festival saw a year-on-year decline of approximately 10%, with a focus on inventory management during the off-peak season [17] - High-end liquor demand remains stable, while mid-range and regional brands are experiencing varied performance based on market conditions [19] - Major liquor companies are engaging in share buybacks and increasing shareholdings to bolster market confidence [24][30] 3. Consumer Goods Sector - The report emphasizes the importance of sectors related to the catering supply chain, with specific attention to the seasoning, beer, dairy, and snack segments [39] - The seasoning sector is expected to benefit from a recovery in restaurant consumption, while the beer sector is poised for growth due to the resurgence of dining scenarios [40] - Dairy demand is anticipated to rise following the introduction of fertility subsidies in various regions, which could positively impact dairy company performance [39]

Industry Overview - The performance of listed liquor companies has been disclosed, with nearly 20 companies reporting their 2024 annual reports and some also releasing Q1 reports as of April 27 [1] - The overall trend shows a slowdown in the liquor industry, particularly in the white liquor segment, while top brands continue to show growth [1] - Beer stocks have rebounded in Q1 after a decline last year, with companies like Yanjing Beer and Zhujiang Beer reporting high growth in profits [1] Company Performance - Wuliangye reported a revenue of 89.175 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.09%, with a net profit of 31.853 billion yuan, up 5.44% [1] - Gujing Gongjiu achieved a revenue of 23.578 billion yuan in 2024, growing 16.41% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.517 billion yuan, up 20.22% [2] - Luzhou Laojiao's revenue for 2024 was 31.196 billion yuan, a 3.19% increase, with a net profit of 13.473 billion yuan, up 1.71% [3] - Yanjing Beer reported a revenue of 3.827 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 6.69% increase, with a net profit of 165 million yuan, up 61.10% [4] - Zhujiang Beer achieved a revenue of 1.227 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 10.69% increase, with a net profit of 157 million yuan, up 29.83% [4] - Laobai Gan Jiu reported a revenue of 5.358 billion yuan for 2024, a 1.9% increase, with a net profit of 787 million yuan, up 18% [5] - Tianyoude Jiu's revenue for 2024 was 1.255 billion yuan, a 3.7% increase, but net profit fell by 53% to 42.135 million yuan [7] - Zhangyu A reported a revenue of 811 million yuan in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.01%, with a net profit of 159 million yuan, up 0.21% [8] Market Dynamics - The liquor industry is experiencing a significant differentiation between leading brands and others, with some companies facing delisting risks due to poor performance [1] - The overall liquor market is still in a period of adjustment, with increased competition and declining production [7] - Guizhou province's liquor manufacturing sector saw a growth of 6.6% in Q1 2025, contributing to the overall economic growth of the region [16] - The import of wine has rebounded to become the top category, while the import value of spirits has decreased significantly [17]

点评：顺鑫农业在2024年实现了净利润的扭亏为盈，但营业收入的下降显示出公司仍面临较大的经营压 力，未来需要在提升毛利率和优化业务结构方面继续努力。顺鑫农业未来将继续聚焦白酒和猪肉两大主 业，其如何进一步提升白酒毛利率和改善猪肉业务的盈利能力，将是公司未来突围的关键。 NO.2 天佑德酒今年一季度营收净利"双降" 每经记者 谢振宇 每经编辑 肖芮冬 丨2025年4月24日星期四丨 NO.1 顺鑫农业2024年营收跌破百亿元 4月22日晚，顺鑫农业发布2024年年报及2025年一季报。2024年，公司营业收入约91.26亿元，同比下降 13.85%；净利润为2.31亿元。其中，贡献了近八成营收的白酒业务，2024年实现营收约70亿元，同比微 增，但毛利率整体下滑5.23个百分点；另一大猪肉业务则再次"拖后腿"，实现营收约18.91亿元，同比下 滑27.21%，毛利率仅2.42%。 金种子酒4月23日公告称，公司于近期收到阜阳市人民政府国有资产监督管理委员会的批复，阜阳市国 资委原则同意公司公开转让安徽金太阳生化药业有限公司92%股权。公司还称，将积极推进相关工作。 金种子酒该动作被解读为"剥离医药业务"。数据显 ...

金种子酒公告，公司于近期收到阜阳市国资委批复，阜阳市国资委原则同意公司公开转让控股子公司 安徽金太阳生化药业有限公司（简称"金太阳药业"）92%股权。 2025.04. 23 4月23日晚间，沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告，以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者 参考。 【品大事】 金种子酒：转让金太阳药业92%股权获阜阳市国资委同意批复 复星医药：高级副总裁李东久辞任 复星医药公告，公司董事会收到李东久的书面辞职函。因到龄退休，李东久向董事会申请辞去高级副 总裁职务。 岳阳林纸：全资子公司诚通碳汇中标林业碳汇合作开发项目 岳阳林纸公告，公司全资子公司诚通碳汇经营管理(湖南)有限责任公司（简称"诚通碳汇"）2025年4 月22日收到《关于百色市乐业县林业碳汇合作开发项目招商结果的函》，成为该项目招商中选单 位。如以上项目合同签订并顺利实施，将对公司实施项目年度的经营业绩产生积极的影响。 【观业绩】 天齐锂业：预计2025年第一季度净利润为8200万元—1.23亿元 天齐锂业公告，预计2025年第一季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8200万元—1.23亿元，上年同 期为亏损38.97亿元。 吉比特：一季度净 ...

安徽金种子酒业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于近期收到阜阳市人 民政府国有资产监督管理委员会（以下简称"阜阳市国资委"）《关于安徽金 种子集团有限公司所属安徽金种子酒业股份有限公司公开转让安徽金太阳生 化药业有限公司 92%股权的批复》（阜国资〔2025〕27 号），阜阳市国资委原 则同意公司公开转让安徽金太阳生化药业有限公司（以下简称"金太阳药业"） 92%股权。 关于拟以公开挂牌方式转让控股子公司金太阳药业 92%股权的议案已经公 司第七届董事会第九次会议审议通过，并提交公司 2023 年年度股东大会决议 通过。 公司将积极推进相关工作，严格按照相关规定及时履行信息披露义务。 特此公告。 安徽金种子酒业股份有限公司 证券代码：600199 证券简称：金种子酒 公告编号：临 2025-008 安徽金种子酒业股份有限公司 关于转让控股子公司股权获阜阳市国资委批复的 提示性公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 董事会 2025 年 4 月 24 日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting the white wine sector as it is expected to clear and stabilize, with gradual improvements in the mass market [1]. Core Insights - The white wine sector is currently in a clearing and bottoming phase, with expectations for marginal improvement in the second half of the year. The industry has seen risks transition from off-balance sheet channels to on-balance sheet for most listed companies, leading to a slight slowdown in payment and delivery progress in Q1. However, leading companies have largely completed their initial targets for the year [4][9]. - In the mass market, beer shows signs of marginal improvement, with standout performance in the snack category, particularly for konjac products. The dairy sector is expected to rebound in Q2 after a period of adjustment [19][25]. Summary by Sections White Wine Sector - The white wine sector is in a clearing and bottoming phase, with expectations for improvement in the second half of the year. Q1 saw a slowdown in payment and delivery, but leading companies have met their initial targets [4][9]. - High-end brands like Moutai and Wuliangye are expected to see revenue and profit growth of approximately 9% and 10%, and 4% and 3% respectively in Q1 [10][12]. - The mid-range segment is experiencing varied performance, with brands like Fenjiu and Gujing showing growth, while others like Yanghe are facing challenges [10][12]. Mass Market - The beer sector is showing signs of recovery, with leading brands like Qingdao and Yanjing achieving revenue growth of 4% and 6% respectively in Q1 [26][29]. - The snack segment, particularly konjac products, is performing well, with brands like Salted and Wei Long seeing significant growth [19][25]. - The dairy sector is expected to improve as inventory levels stabilize, with companies like Yili and Mengniu showing resilience [25]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests bottom-fishing in the white wine sector, with a focus on brands like Moutai, Wuliangye, and Fenjiu, while also recommending attention to the mass market for potential turning points in beer and dairy [5][19].

每经记者 刘明涛 每经编辑 彭水萍 全球贸易冲突加剧导致本周市场出现巨震，白酒指数周跌2.24%，指数市盈率跌破20倍大关，处于历史估值低位。值得关注的是，在诸多白酒企业股价开始 逐步企稳之时，金种子酒本周股价创了4年来新低，年内股价跌幅已达21.65%，股价表现在白酒行业垫底。 指数型基金托底白酒 在"对等关税"冲击市场的背景下，本周白酒指数波动明显加大，虽然指数周跌2.24%，但是个股股价分化严重，呈现龙头公司抗跌，二三线酒企大跌的特 征。 据WIND数据统计，本周有9只酒企股价实现上涨，其中，白酒公司占据5只，舍得酒业、山西汾酒周涨幅则均超1%，跑赢大盘和行业指数。回购利好和增 持利好加持的茅台与五粮液，本周股价表现平稳，基本处于收平状态。 相较一线白酒企业，二三线白酒企业本周股价出现明显回调，酒鬼酒、珍酒李渡以及金种子酒周跌幅均超过5%，大幅跑输白酒指数。其中，金种子酒本周 跌幅高达7.38%，股价于周中创下4年新低的9.77元/股，其年跌幅也超过20%，达到21.65%，为所有白酒公司最差。 在非白酒行业中，会稽山本周涨幅达到4.59%，表现较强，而兰州黄河、百威亚太周跌幅分别达6.51%和6.81 ...

按2025年4月7日收盘价涨跌 | 企业名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 年度涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (元) | (按涨幅排序) | 2025年初至4月7日 | | 山西汾酒 | 216.5 | -0.76% | 19.12% | | 今世象 | 51.31 | -2.30% | 13.44% | | 一得酒业 | 56.84 | -3.37% | -13.79% | | 五粮液 | 126.78 | -3.95% | -7.77% | | #酒屋热 | 73.4 | -4.36% | -9.61% | | 贵州茅台 | 1500 | -4.39% | -1.57% | | 美盛花 | 18.42 | -4.76% | -6.02% | | 沪南老窖 | 125.56 | -5.29% | 1.39% | | 迎驾贡酒 | 51.22 | -5.60% | -5.04% | | 古井贡酒 | 164.1 | -5.94% | -4.76% | | 口子箸 | 33.86 | -7.76% | -13.71% | | 水井坊 | 45.15 | -8.32% | - ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for key companies in the liquor industry, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and others [4][5]. Core Insights - The liquor industry is experiencing a transformation driven by instant retail, which is expected to reduce the survival space of traditional distributors and retail stores, leading to increased concentration [1][11]. - Consumer demand has reached a bottom, with structural upgrades being the main supporting logic for recovery, dependent on the activity level of the economy [2][3]. - The report highlights the importance of brand proximity to consumers, with increased investment in consumer-facing marketing, although short-term profit growth may be impacted [2][18]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Trends - The 112th National Sugar and Wine Products Trade Fair showed a decline in traditional trading functions, with a shift towards trend forums and new product showcases [10]. - Instant retail is becoming a crucial channel for brand promotion, with significant growth in the sector, projected to exceed 2 trillion yuan by 2030 [12][15]. - The report notes that the liquor industry is seeing a reduction in supply, with a stable profit growth forecast for 2024, despite a slight decline in production [27][31]. Section 2: Company Strategies - Wuliangye is reforming its marketing system and adjusting its organizational structure to enhance direct sales and control over pricing [38][39]. - Water Well Square is focusing on a dual-brand strategy to cater to different market segments, with plans to launch high-end products priced above 800 yuan [42][43]. - Shede Liquor is implementing an employee stock incentive plan to align interests and drive performance, with ambitious growth targets set for the coming years [47][48]. Section 3: Financial Projections - The report provides financial forecasts for key companies, indicating stable revenue and profit growth for leading brands like Guizhou Moutai and Jinhuijiu, while some mid-tier brands face profitability challenges [36][37].