Market Overview - The hotel and catering sector increased by 1.08% on September 10, with Junting Hotel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.22, up 0.13%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12557.68, up 0.38% [1] Stock Performance - Junting Hotel (301073) closed at 27.60, up 4.47% with a trading volume of 202,200 shares and a transaction value of 546 million [1] - Jinling Hotel (601007) closed at 8.31, up 3.36% with a trading volume of 286,900 shares and a transaction value of 236 million [1] - Huatian Hotel (000428) closed at 3.87, up 2.38% with a trading volume of 404,300 shares and a transaction value of 156 million [1] - Other notable performances include Xian Catering (000721) up 1.90% and Quanjude (002186) up 1.36% [1] Capital Flow - The hotel and catering sector saw a net inflow of 89.7 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 117 million [1] - Junting Hotel attracted a net inflow of 36.9 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 32.1 million [2] - Jinjiang Hotel (600754) and Quanjude (002186) also saw positive net inflows from institutional investors, indicating strong interest in these stocks [2]

Core Insights - The hotel and catering sector experienced a 0.5% increase on September 8, with Shoulv Hotel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3826.84, up 0.38%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12666.84, up 0.61% [1] Sector Performance - Shoulv Hotel (600258) closed at 15.54, up 2.04%, with a trading volume of 234,200 shares and a transaction value of 363 million yuan [1] - Junting Hotel (301073) closed at 26.50, up 1.73%, with a trading volume of 176,300 shares and a transaction value of 465 million yuan [1] - Jinjiang Hotel (600754) closed at 23.41, up 0.60%, with a trading volume of 145,400 shares and a transaction value of 341 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include ST Yunwang (002306) at 1.91 with no change, and Tongqinglou (605108) at 21.41, down 0.42% [1] Capital Flow - The hotel and catering sector saw a net outflow of 91.80 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 86.52 million yuan [1] - The detailed capital flow for key stocks shows Shoulv Hotel with a net inflow of 17.78 million yuan from institutional investors, while Junting Hotel had a net inflow of 8.66 million yuan [2] - Conversely, stocks like Huatian Hotel (000428) and Xian Yinshi (000721) experienced significant net outflows from institutional investors, amounting to 28.64 million yuan and 43.99 million yuan respectively [2]

Market Overview - The hotel and catering sector increased by 0.99% on September 5, with Junting Hotel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.51, up 1.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12590.56, up 3.89% [1] Stock Performance - Junting Hotel (301073) closed at 26.05, with a rise of 2.92% and a trading volume of 176,600 shares, amounting to 443 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include: - ST Yunwang (002306): closed at 1.91, up 1.60% with a trading volume of 191,700 shares [1] - Jinjiang Hotel (600754): closed at 23.27, up 1.35% with a trading volume of 141,600 shares [1] - Tongqinglou (605108): closed at 21.50, up 1.22% with a trading volume of 105,300 shares [1] - Shoulv Hotel (600258): closed at 15.23, up 1.06% with a trading volume of 203,800 shares [1] - Huatian Hotel (000428): closed at 3.88, up 1.04% with a trading volume of 727,100 shares [1] - Jinling Hotel (601007): closed at 8.20, down 0.49% with a trading volume of 234,500 shares [1] - Quanjude (002186): closed at 12.71, down 0.55% with a trading volume of 176,700 shares [1] - Xi'an Catering (000721): closed at 10.22, down 0.78% with a trading volume of 469,400 shares [1] Capital Flow - The hotel and catering sector experienced a net outflow of 134 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 133 million yuan [1] - Specific capital flows for key stocks include: - Shoulv Hotel: net inflow of 3.29 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 15.44 million yuan from retail investors [2] - ST Yunwang: net inflow of 3.05 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 1.88 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Jinjiang Hotel: net outflow of 8.19 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 9.39 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Quanjude: net outflow of 8.65 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 9.76 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Xi'an Catering: net outflow of 51.19 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 64.94 million yuan from retail investors [2]

Market Overview - The hotel and catering sector increased by 1.15% on September 4, with Tongqinglou leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3765.88, down 1.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12118.7, down 2.83% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the hotel and catering sector showed varied performance, with Tongqinglou closing at 21.24, up 3.11%, and Quanjude at 12.78, down 0.16% [1] - The trading volume and turnover for major stocks included: - Junting Hotel: 25.31, up 1.61%, with a turnover of 494 million [1] - Huatian Hotel: 3.84, up 1.59%, with a turnover of 316 million [1] - Xianyin Restaurant: 10.30, up 1.38%, with a turnover of 570 million [1] Capital Flow - The hotel and catering sector experienced a net outflow of 86.87 million from institutional investors and 67.67 million from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 155 million [1] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks showed: - Junting Hotel: Institutional net inflow of 16.16 million, retail net inflow of 1.23 million [2] - Huatian Hotel: Institutional net inflow of 11.60 million, retail net outflow of 14.36 million [2] - Quanjude: Institutional net outflow of 38.44 million, retail net inflow of 56.47 million [2]

Group 1 - The 2025 National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday will have a total of 8 consecutive days off, which is expected to boost travel demand [1] - The Chinese government announced a temporary visa-free policy for Russian passport holders from September 15, 2025, to September 14, 2026, leading to a significant increase in flight searches from Moscow [1] - South Korea will implement a temporary visa-free policy for Chinese group tourists starting September 29, 2025, lasting until June 2026, further enhancing travel opportunities [1] Group 2 - International flight bookings for popular cities have rebounded to over 50% of pre-pandemic levels during this summer, indicating a strong recovery in outbound tourism [2] - Japan and South Korea have emerged as popular destinations, with booking volumes increasing nearly tenfold compared to the beginning of the year, and flight prices dropping by approximately 40% [2] - Visa applications on the Fliggy platform surged over 13 times year-on-year in July, with Japan's visa applications surpassing 2019 levels [2] Group 3 - Various cities in China, including Guangdong, Hangzhou, and Chengdu, are set to issue cultural and tourism consumption vouchers in September to stimulate local tourism [3] - Guangdong will distribute 20 million yuan worth of vouchers starting September 12, while Chengdu will launch its second round of tourism accommodation vouchers from September 21 to October 28 [3] - Other regions, such as Huangshan and Yulin, are also implementing similar voucher programs to encourage spending in the tourism sector [3] Group 4 - The National Development and Reform Commission has proposed measures to cultivate new consumption scenarios in cultural tourism, aiming to create influential themed tourism routes [4] - Following this announcement, stocks related to tourism, such as Tibet Tourism and Dalian Shengya, experienced significant price increases [5] Group 5 - Related concept stocks include travel agencies like Zhongxin Tourism and China Youth Travel Service, scenic spots like Songcheng Performance and Huangshan Tourism, and hotel chains such as Jinjiang Hotels and Huazhu Group [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is a "buy" rating for Shoulu Hotel (600258.SH) based on strong revenue growth in hotel management and stable income from scenic spots [1] - Hotel management continues to show a high revenue growth rate, while scenic area income remains flat year-on-year [1] - The company plans to open 664 new hotels in the first half of 2025, an increase from 567 in the first half of 2024, indicating an acceleration in expansion [1] - Operating data for Q2 2025 continues to face pressure, suggesting potential challenges ahead [1] - Both gross margin and net margin are improving, with further optimization on the expense side [1] - The company is accelerating the upgrade and iteration of existing hotels, continuously optimizing the store opening structure [1]

Macro Strategy - The report highlights the focus on domestic economic policy changes driven by anti-involution and the Fourth Plenary Session [1] Fixed Income - The report discusses why domestic commercial banks are unlikely to shrink their balance sheets, citing factors such as economic slowdown, loose monetary policy, and the government's call for financial services to support the real economy [2] - It notes that while some small and medium-sized banks may consider balance sheet reduction, the overall probability for the industry is low [2] Industry Analysis New Industries - The company reported a revenue of 2.185 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 1.18% year-on-year, and a net profit of 771 million yuan, down 14.62% [4] - The overseas market showed strong performance with a revenue of 954 million yuan, an increase of 19.62% [5] - Domestic revenue was 1.229 billion yuan, down 12.81%, with a notable decline in reagent business [5] BYD Electronics - The company achieved a revenue of 80.61 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, and a net profit of 1.73 billion yuan, up 14% [6] - The new energy vehicle business saw a revenue increase of 60.5% to 12.45 billion yuan, driven by smart cabin and driving products [6] Pinduoduo - The company’s profit exceeded expectations, leading to an adjustment in the Non-GAAP net profit forecast for 2025-2027 [9] Northern Huachuang - The company is benefiting from the domestic semiconductor equipment platform trend, with a focus on expanding its product line through acquisitions [10] Wan Ye Enterprises - The company reported a turnaround in H1 2025, driven by rapid growth in bismuth materials and semiconductor equipment [11] Horizon Robotics - The company achieved a revenue of 1.57 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 68% increase, with significant growth in chip shipments [12] BeiGene - The company’s core product sales are expected to drive revenue growth, with an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [14] Jiuzhoutong - The company reported a revenue of 81.106 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 5.1% increase, with a net profit of 1.446 billion yuan, up 19.7% [15] Fenzhong Media - The company maintains a steady growth trajectory, with EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 remaining stable [16] High Measurement Co. - The company is entering the humanoid robot market, leveraging its core technology in grinding equipment [17] Tian Nai Technology - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating due to the potential of single-wall carbon tubes [18] Hailiang Co. - The company is expected to see significant growth in the U.S. market, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 remaining stable [19] Sanofi - The company reported a revenue of 2.264 billion yuan in H1 2025, with strong performance in the overseas market [20] Xue Da Education - The company is positioned as a leading personalized education provider, with stable growth in its training business [22] Blue Sky Gas - The company is committed to high dividend payouts, with a focus on improving cash flow despite lower profits in H1 2025 [23] Haitian Precision - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on earnings but is steadily advancing its capacity and channel development [24] Solidarity Hall - The company is leveraging AI and overseas expansion to enhance its business model and revenue potential [25] Shoulu Hotel - The company is optimizing its hotel operations and expanding its footprint, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 remaining stable [27] Changhua Group - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, driven by new product launches and customer acquisition [28] SF Express - The company is entering a growth phase, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being adjusted upward [29] Oil and Gas Sector - The company is experiencing rapid growth in oil and gas production, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being adjusted upward [30] Alibaba - The company is focusing on cloud business growth and AI investments, with profit forecasts for FY2026-2028 being adjusted [31] Ding Sheng New Materials - The company is experiencing strong growth in battery foil shipments, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being adjusted [32] BYD - The company is facing increased competition, leading to adjustments in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [34] Okai Yi - The company is experiencing steady revenue growth, with profit forecasts for 2025-2026 being adjusted downward [35] Maiwei Biotech - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, focusing on strategic drug development [36] United Imaging - The company reported a revenue of 6.016 billion yuan in H1 2025, with strong growth in both domestic and overseas markets [37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shoulu Hotel (600258) with a target price based on the last closing price of 15.35 [1][10]. Core Views - Shoulu Hotel's performance has shown resilience with revenue growth despite industry challenges, driven by accelerated store openings and a focus on high-margin hotel management services [4][5][10]. - The company has opened 664 new hotels in the first half of 2025, a significant increase from 567 in the same period of 2024, indicating a strong expansion strategy [6][10]. - The report forecasts a steady increase in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected growth rates of 10.14%, 10.77%, and 9.63% respectively [10][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shoulu Hotel reported revenue of 3.661 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.93% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 11.08% to 397 million yuan [4][10]. - The hotel management segment saw revenue growth of 11.7%, contributing to 30.89% of total revenue, while hotel operations experienced a decline of 7.85% [5][8]. Operational Metrics - The average daily room rate (ADR) for Q2 2025 was 242 yuan, down 2% year-on-year, with an occupancy rate of 68.2%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points [7][10]. - The company has a total of 7,268 hotels as of the first half of 2025, with 2,132 being mid-to-high-end hotels, representing 29.3% of the total [6][9]. Future Projections - The report projects revenues of 8.061 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 4% [11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.8 yuan in 2025, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19x, 17x, and 16x for the years 2025 to 2027 [10][11].

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 3.661 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 397 million yuan, an increase of 11% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 38.3%, an increase of 0.76 percentage points year-on-year, with expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance at 8.04%, 11.2%, 0.8%, and 3.98% respectively, showing a mixed trend [1] - The company opened 664 new stores in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.1%, with 378 of these being standard managed hotels, representing a 39.5% increase year-on-year [1] Group 2 - In Q2 2025, the overall hotel RevPAR was 143 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6%, with an ADR of 225 yuan, down 3% year-on-year, and an occupancy rate of 63.9%, down 2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company forecasts revenues of 8 billion yuan, 8.3 billion yuan, and 8.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 3%, 4%, and 4% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 910 million yuan, 1.02 billion yuan, and 1.12 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 13%, 12%, and 10% [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The hotel business performance is being released, and the store structure is being optimized [7] - The company continues to optimize its development and operations, accelerating store openings while upgrading its structure [7] - The company is the third-largest hotel chain in China, backed by the Shoulu Group, which helps in resource integration [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 3.661 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.93%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 397 million yuan, an increase of 11.08% [7] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.896 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit of 254 million yuan, up 7.4% year-on-year [7] - The average RevPar for all hotels in Q2 2025 was 143 yuan, down 5.7% year-on-year, while the occupancy rate was 63.9%, a decrease of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [7] Store Expansion and Structure Optimization - As of the end of H1 2025, the company had 7,268 hotels and 531,964 rooms, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.25% and 8.12%, respectively [7] - The company opened 364 new stores in Q2 2025, with 87 economy, 99 mid-to-high-end, and 178 light management stores [7] - The proportion of mid-to-high-end hotels and rooms is 29.3% and 42.1%, respectively, with 1,750 stores signed but not yet opened [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 908 million, 987 million, and 1.062 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 19, 17, and 16 times [7] - The company maintains its earnings forecast, expecting continued growth in net profit [7]