Core Viewpoint - The service industry is showing signs of stabilization and bottoming out after experiencing price pressure and same-store sales decline in 2024, with expectations for recovery in 2026, particularly in sub-sectors like hotels and duty-free [2][17]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The service consumption ratio is increasing, supported by improved infrastructure for chain operations, leading to the emergence of more quality brands [4][21]. - The government has introduced multiple policies to promote service consumption, indicating a potential for stronger recovery in domestic demand [18][20]. - The hotel sector is expected to see a rebalancing of supply and demand in 2026, with RevPAR stabilizing due to a low base and slowing supply growth [4][31]. Group 2: Sub-sector Analysis - **Hotels**: The hotel industry faced pressure from weak business travel demand and continued supply expansion, but RevPAR showed signs of recovery in October 2025, driven by ADR increases [26][33]. - **Duty-Free**: Duty-free sales are stabilizing, with a focus on the potential of new policies to boost sales from departing travelers and local residents [45][49]. - **Dining**: The dining sector is experiencing a controlled competitive environment, with affordable brands performing relatively well amidst a recovering landscape [36][44]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Companies that can effectively meet consumer demands for value and emotional satisfaction, possess strong operational capabilities, and capture sustainable growth drivers are likely to succeed [4][29]. - The focus on high-quality brands and those with strong internal capabilities is expected to yield better performance in the coming years [4][21]. Group 4: Market Performance - In 2025, companies like Gu Ming and Mi Xue have shown significant stock performance, indicating a trend where companies with strong growth potential outperform their peers [7][12]. - The overall market for the service sector is expected to see a gradual recovery, with structural opportunities emerging in the hotel and duty-free segments [6][31].

Core Viewpoint - The hotel and catering sector experienced a 2.7% increase on December 17, with Quan Juding leading the gains, while the overall market indices also showed positive performance [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3870.28, up 1.19% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13224.51, up 2.4% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Quan Juding (002186) closed at 12.21, up 4.72% with a trading volume of 189,500 shares and a turnover of 227 million yuan - Huatian Hotel (000428) closed at 3.43, up 4.57% with a trading volume of 748,200 shares and a turnover of 257 million yuan - Shoulv Hotel (600258) closed at 16.63, up 4.26% with a trading volume of 371,300 shares and a turnover of 616 million yuan - Xian Yinshi (000721) closed at 10.19, up 4.19% with a trading volume of 740,400 shares and a turnover of 748 million yuan - Junxiang Hotel (301073) closed at 26.23, up 1.82% with a trading volume of 164,900 shares and a turnover of 43.7 million yuan - Jinjiang Hotel (600754) closed at 25.17, up 1.53% with a trading volume of 131,100 shares and a turnover of 330 million yuan - Jining Hotel (601007) closed at 7.91, up 1.41% with a trading volume of 252,800 shares and a turnover of 201 million yuan - ST Yunwang (002306) closed at 1.81, up 1.12% with a trading volume of 141,300 shares and a turnover of 25.1 million yuan - Tongqinglou (605108) closed at 4.20, up 0.31% with a trading volume of 107,000 shares and a turnover of 217 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The hotel and catering sector saw a net inflow of 87.03 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 25.98 million yuan [1] - Main fund inflows for key stocks included: - Xian Yinshi: 61.25 million yuan - Quan Juding: 22.24 million yuan - Shoulv Hotel: 21.06 million yuan - Huatian Hotel: 19.48 million yuan - Tongqinglou: 6.60 million yuan [2] - Notable outflows included: - Shoulv Hotel: 48.15 million yuan - Quan Juding: 29.26 million yuan - Huatian Hotel: 25.76 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The tourism and catering sector is experiencing a surge, particularly in the ice and snow tourism segment, with significant increases in stock prices for related companies [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Qujiang Cultural Tourism has reached its daily limit increase, while Sanxia Tourism has risen by approximately 7%, and Shoulu Hotel has increased by about 5% [1] - Other companies such as Changbai Mountain and Dalian Shengya have also seen stock price increases of over 3% [1] Group 2: Ice and Snow Tourism Trends - The ice and snow tourism market is gaining momentum as the winter season approaches, with a nearly 900% year-on-year increase in search volume for "outdoor ski resorts" since mid-October 2025 [1] - Major cities leading in ice and snow tourism include Shenzhen, Beijing, Shanghai, Harbin, Zhangjiakou, Wuhan, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Shenyang, and Chengdu [1] - There has been a more than 20% year-on-year increase in searches for "food near ski resorts" and "hotels near ski resorts" on Meituan [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Zhongyin Securities notes that winter is typically a low season for cultural tourism, but the interest in ice and snow tourism is rising, particularly in northern regions [1] - The firm suggests focusing on companies with strong performance growth certainty in the travel chain and related industries [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on December 16, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling to 3820.85 points, down 1.22%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.88%, and the ChiNext Index down 2.35% [2][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.12 trillion yuan, a decrease of 606 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [4] Sector Performance - The smart driving sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks in the automotive sector rising sharply. Notable stocks included Wanji Technology, which recorded a 20% increase, and several others achieving the daily limit of 10% [15][16] - Consumer sectors, including restaurant tourism and commercial retail, continued to rise, with several stocks hitting the daily limit. For instance, Yonghui Supermarket and Baida Group both recorded a 10% increase [9][10] - Conversely, the large technology sector experienced a downturn, while precious metals, communication equipment, and chemical sectors led the declines [4][5] Notable Stocks - In the smart driving sector, several companies such as North Car Blue Valley and Changan Automobile saw increases of over 5% [18][19] - The hospitality sector also showed strength, with Junting Hotel rising nearly 7% and other hotel stocks following suit [11][12] Regulatory News - On December 15, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the approval of the first batch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicles for trial operations in designated areas of Beijing and Chongqing [20]

Group 1: Global Hotel Industry Trends - The Middle East has emerged as the hottest hotel market globally, with Qatar's average room rate and RevPAR reaching their highest levels since 2013, increasing by 19.6% and 20.3% year-on-year, respectively [2] - During the Doha Film Festival on November 24, the overall market occupancy rate peaked at 94.2%, the highest since February of this year [2] - In Saudi Arabia, Marriott International signed a management agreement for the Courtyard by Marriott in Mecca, marking a milestone of over 100 hotels in operation and development in the country [2] Group 2: Asia-Pacific Market Developments - In Singapore, two legacy hotels are rebranding to international chains, with a notable acquisition of the Miramar Hotel for 160 million SGD to transform it into a Hilton Garden Inn [4] - Hilton announced plans to expand its luxury and lifestyle hotel brands in Southeast Asia, signing 17 new hotel projects across six countries, adding nearly 4,000 rooms [4] - In Australia, Melbourne's hotel market achieved record highs in ADR and RevPAR, with RevPAR increasing by 8.6% year-on-year, driven by major events [5] Group 3: Personnel Changes in Hotel Groups - Eight hotel groups announced significant personnel changes, including the appointment of three new Vice Presidents for Greater China at InterContinental Hotels Group [7] - Kempinski Hotels appointed Paul Lonergan as Chief Operating and Asset Management Officer to drive performance and asset optimization [7] - Wyndham Hotels announced the departure of its CFO Michele Allen, with Kurt Albert appointed as interim CFO [7] Group 4: Mergers and Acquisitions in Hotel Groups - Junting Hotels approved a cash acquisition of a 21% stake in Zhejiang Junlan Hotel Management for 79.8 million CNY, making it a wholly-owned subsidiary [10] - Marriott International completed the integration of its brand and asset-light business with Another Star, the parent company of citizenM hotels, which will continue to operate under a long-term franchise agreement [10] Group 5: Hotel Asset Transactions - In November, 82 hotel assets were reported for sale, with significant transactions including the sale of two Wanda Hotels for 3.31 billion CNY and 3.28 billion CNY [12] - The Ritz-Carlton in Sanya is listed for sale at 2.265 billion CNY, marking it as the first Ritz-Carlton in a resort area in China [12] - Beijing's Le Meridien Hotel is publicly listed for sale at 3 billion CNY, while the CHAO Hotel in Sanlitun has a starting bid of approximately 1.177 billion CNY [12] Group 6: Hotel Openings and Signings in China - In November, 236 new hotels opened in China, with 29 in the high-end segment, including 20 international brands [14] - A total of 105 hotels were signed, showing a significant increase from the previous month, with notable signings from InterContinental and Wyndham [15] - The construction market in China remains strong, with 3,695 projects totaling 656,873 rooms planned as of the end of Q3 [16] Group 7: Luxury Hotel Rankings and Analysis - The ABN Index for luxury hotels shows high search and new media indices, with Shangri-La Hotels leading the rankings [20][28] - The average score for the search index was 61.32, with top searches focused on hotel openings and acquisitions [28] - The media index saw a slight decline, averaging 108.94, with marketing themes centered around Christmas and New Year events [28]

Group 1 - The hotel and catering sector increased by 0.36% compared to the previous trading day, with Shoulv Hotel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3867.92, down 0.55%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13112.09, down 1.1% [1] - A detailed table of individual stock performance in the hotel and catering sector is provided [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, the hotel and catering sector experienced a net outflow of 41.01 million yuan from main funds, and a net outflow of 26.25 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 67.26 million yuan [2] - A detailed table of capital flow for individual stocks in the hotel and catering sector is provided [2]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes two main investment directions for 2026: recovery sectors focusing on profit inflection points and growth sectors targeting high revenue increases [4][19][20] Recovery Sectors - The duty-free sector is showing signs of recovery with favorable policies enhancing consumption, including expanded product categories and improved shopping convenience [4][19] - The hotel industry is expected to see a gradual improvement in RevPAR, with business and leisure demand stabilizing, indicating a potential operational turning point in Q4 or next year [4][19] - The tourism sector remains resilient despite macroeconomic pressures, with increasing travel volumes and government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption in various travel themes [4][19] Growth Sectors - The beauty industry is experiencing intensified competition, with a focus on channel value reconstruction and brand establishment [4][20] - The gold and jewelry sector is witnessing a recovery, driven by new product launches and an increasing focus on high-end market competition [4][20] - The cross-border e-commerce sector is expected to rebound, supported by stable policies and a decrease in shipping costs, with strong demand from the U.S. market [4][20] Key Company Recommendations - For duty-free, China Duty Free Group is recommended for its long-term growth potential, with attention to Wangfujing and Zhuhai Duty Free Group [4] - In the hotel sector, companies like Jinjiang Hotels, Atour, and Huazhu are highlighted for their growth prospects [4] - In tourism, companies such as Three Gorges Tourism and Changbai Mountain are suggested for monitoring acquisition and new business developments [4] - The beauty sector includes recommendations for brands like Maogeping and Proya, focusing on channel strategies [4] - For gold and jewelry, companies like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Pu Gold are recommended for their market positioning [4] - In retail, companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Xinhua Department Store are noted for their recovery potential [4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a moderate recovery in consumer spending, with tourism-related prices showing strong performance. The national CPI increased by 0.7% year-on-year in November 2025, reflecting a continued recovery in consumer spending [2][7]. - Hotel prices have shown resilience despite seasonal demand fluctuations, with the average hotel room price maintaining positive growth year-on-year. The RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) has only slightly declined, indicating a shift from a volume-driven recovery to a price-stabilized and optimized operational approach [2][8]. - The introduction of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) in the service industry is expected to clarify the asset securitization path for various service sectors, including tourism and hospitality. This initiative aims to revitalize existing assets and improve financial structures [2][22][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Hotel Structure Differentiation and Price Resilience - The hotel industry is experiencing a seasonal decline in occupancy rates, but average room prices remain stable, with an ADR (Average Daily Rate) of 388.8 CNY per night in early December, up 4.3% year-on-year [8][10]. - The RevPAR for the week ending December 6, 2025, was 233 CNY per night, showing only a 0.4% decline year-on-year, indicating a recovery phase focused on price stability and operational efficiency [8][10]. 2. REITs Supporting Asset Securitization in the Service Industry - The newly released REITs project industry scope includes cultural tourism infrastructure and commercial facilities, allowing for a clearer path to asset securitization for hotels and tourist attractions [22][23]. - The report emphasizes that the inclusion of high-quality service industry assets in the REITs framework will enhance cash flow stability and operational efficiency, ultimately benefiting the valuation and investment landscape of the sector [22][24]. 3. Valuation of Key Industry Companies - The report provides a detailed valuation of key companies in the tourism and hospitality sectors, including metrics such as market capitalization and PE ratios, indicating a diverse range of investment opportunities [26]. - Notable companies highlighted for investment consideration include tourism sites like Sanxia Tourism and hotels like Shoulu Hotel and Huazhu [26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail sector, focusing on companies with strong operational resilience or signs of bottom reversal [6][63]. Core Insights - The focus has shifted from policy catalysts to fundamental performance, with an emphasis on companies demonstrating operational resilience or potential recovery from low points [2][15]. - The retail sector experienced a relatively small decline of -0.21% during the week of December 8-12, 2025, outperforming other consumer-related sectors [1][7]. - The report highlights specific stocks that have shown significant price movements, such as Guai Bao Pet and TCL Electronics, which saw increases due to various catalysts [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The retail sector's performance was relatively stable compared to other sectors, with a decline of only -0.21%, ranking 12th among all sectors [1][7]. - The overall market sentiment has shifted towards technology and high-end manufacturing, leading to weaker returns in consumer and cyclical sectors [2][15]. Stock Performance - Notable gainers included Guai Bao Pet, which rose by 2.7%, and TCL Electronics, which increased by 2.5%, attributed to factors such as oversold rebounds and improved performance expectations [2][16]. - Conversely, stocks like Pop Mart faced declines due to disappointing sales during the overseas Black Friday promotions, raising concerns about future growth [2][16]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that investment opportunities may be limited as policy expectations have stabilized, recommending stocks with strong fundamentals and low valuation percentiles [3][17]. - Three main investment themes are proposed: benefiting from holiday travel and tourism, domestic brands with competitive advantages, and durable goods companies likely to benefit from U.S. interest rate cuts [3][17]. Sector News - In the cosmetics sector, sales on major platforms reached 37.64 billion yuan in the first 11 months, with Proya leading in several categories [4][18]. - The home appliance sector saw the launch of a new smart air conditioning factory by Xiaomi, enhancing its production capabilities [4][19]. - The furniture sector is addressing consumer pain points with new commitments from leading companies to ensure quality and service [4][20].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Increase" rating for the industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The upcoming New Year's holiday is expected to drive significant consumer spending, particularly in travel and leisure sectors [2][3]. - Key recommendations include travel agencies like Ctrip Group and Tongcheng Travel, hotel chains such as Huazhu Group and Jinjiang Hotels, and attractions like Changbai Mountain [3][4]. - The report highlights a notable increase in hotel bookings for popular cities, with a threefold growth during the New Year's holiday [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Travel and Tourism - The report emphasizes optimism for travel and leisure due to the New Year's holiday, recommending specific stocks in the OTA and hotel sectors [3][4]. - Ctrip Group and Tongcheng Travel are highlighted as preferred stocks in the OTA segment [3]. Hospitality - Recommended hotel stocks include Huazhu Group, Jinjiang Hotels, and Shoulv Hotels, with a focus on their growth potential during the holiday season [3][4]. Attractions - Changbai Mountain is recommended as a key investment in the attractions sector, with additional attention on Emei Mountain and Three Gorges Tourism [3][4]. Jewelry and Retail - In the jewelry sector, stocks such as Lao Pu Gold, Cai Bai Shares, and Chow Tai Fook are recommended, indicating strong growth potential [3][4]. Dividend Stocks - The report identifies dividend-paying stocks like Sumida and Chongqing Department Store as attractive options for investors [3][4]. AI and Education - Stocks in the AI and education sectors, including Konnate Optical and Chalk, are also recommended, reflecting the growing intersection of technology and education [3][4].