每经AI快讯，江西铜业股份(00358.HK)午后涨超4%，现报36.68港元，成交额7.37亿港元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

花旗发布研报称，虽然预期江西铜业股份的铜冶炼业务毛利明年将同比下降，且长期冶炼及精炼业务有 下行压力，但预料铜、金及硫酸价格提高，将推动公司明年的整体毛利上升。该行认为目前估值具吸引 力，A股及H股均维持"买入"评级。 江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)午后涨超4%，涨4.2%，报36.68港元，成交额7.37亿港元。 消息面上，江西铜业上周五再次提高对英国上市公司SolGold的收购报价至每股28便士，总价值约8.42 亿英镑(11.3亿美元)，这是江西铜业在三周内发起的第三次报价。若此次收购最终成功，将显著增强江 西铜业的资源储备，并有望使其远期矿产铜产量实现翻倍增长。SolGold的核心资产是位于厄瓜多尔的 卡斯卡贝尔(Cascabel)铜金矿项目，该项目被业界认为是全球顶级的未开发铜金矿藏之一。 ...

内容概况：汽车线缆是汽车电器的重要元器件之一，用于汽车的电能传输、信号传递和控制，是汽车工 业发展的关键组成部分。由于汽车内部是一个存在震动、摩擦、臭氧、油污、高热、寒冷和电磁辐射等 各种复杂条件的工作环境，要求汽车线缆具有耐热、耐寒、耐磨、耐油和抗干扰等各种功能，以保证汽 车行车安全。汽车线缆不同于其他类型线缆，是根据汽车的需求而专门设计和生产的。随着世界经济全 球化的发展、新能源汽车的推广以及汽车智能化水平的提高，汽车线缆行业在汽车产业中的地位越来越 重要。2017年至2020年间，我国汽车产销量受经济周期性调整、中美贸易摩擦等多重因素影响呈现下滑 态势，汽车线缆行业市场规模也相应收缩，至2020年降至133.4亿元。2021年以来，随着新能源汽车爆 发式增长、中国汽车品牌竞争力提升以及出口市场快速扩张，汽车产销量逐步恢复并带动线缆行业步入 复苏轨道。中国汽车线缆行业市场规模从2021年的149亿元增长至2024年的193.2亿元，年复合增长率达 9.05%。未来，伴随国民经济稳步发展与居民收入持续提升，汽车消费需求将进一步释放，为汽车线缆 行业奠定长期增长基础。同时，汽车智能网联化的深入推进，推动单车线 ...

进入12月，天气渐凉，但中资矿企的并购热情不减，尤其金矿并购市场，异常火热！ 12月15日，洛阳钼业宣布将以10.15 亿美元（约合71.7亿元）的价格收购巴西三个金矿资产（Aurizona金矿、RDM金矿、Bahia综合矿区）的100%权益。 12月12日，为获得南美洲厄瓜多尔的Cascabel项目，江西铜业第三次对英国上市公司SolGold的提出收购报价，总价值提高至约8.42亿英镑（11.3亿美 元）。 12月10日，灵宝黄金宣布以3.7亿澳元(约合人民币17.35亿元)认购澳大利亚目标公司50%+1股股权，将目标公司核心资产-巴布亚新几内亚Simberi(辛贝里) 在产金矿揽入怀中。 今年以来，全球经济增长放缓，地缘政治冲突不断，黄金作为传统的避险资产，受到了投资者的青睐。今年以来，金价年内大涨60%，当地时间12月12 日，伦敦金当日上涨0.47%报4299.29美元/盎司，年初至今涨幅已达63.83%。世界黄金协会数据显示，2025年黄金表现卓越，全年创下逾50次历史新高。 展望2026年，持续的地缘经济不确定性将继续影响黄金市场前景，若当前环境保持不变，金价可能继续维持高位区间波动。 | | 音 ...

Core Insights - The global copper smelting industry, particularly Chinese enterprises, is facing severe challenges and strategic transformations as it enters a historic "negative processing fee" era, driven by structural imbalances between tight mineral supply and expanded smelting capacity [1][28] - Leading companies are adapting by enhancing resource self-sufficiency, exploring by-product value, optimizing technology for cost reduction, utilizing financial tools flexibly, and promoting industry consolidation to build new competitive advantages [1][28] - Long-term growth is anticipated as demand for materials from new energy and high-end manufacturing continues to rise, transitioning the copper smelting industry from a "strong cyclical attribute" to a "growth attribute" for high-quality development [1][28] Industry Background - Copper is one of the earliest metals recognized and used by humans, with extensive applications due to its excellent conductivity, thermal conductivity, ductility, and corrosion resistance [2][29] - The copper industry chain is divided into upstream mining, midstream copper smelting, and downstream copper processing, ultimately reaching the end consumer market [2][29] Current Industry Challenges - China, as the largest refined copper producer, has limited copper mineral resources and heavily relies on imported ores, a situation expected to persist in the short term [4][31] - In 2024, China's copper ore production is projected to be approximately 1.8 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, while refined copper production is expected to reach 13.64 million tons, an increase of over 5% [4][31] - The self-sufficiency rate for copper concentrate in China is only 13%, with imports of copper concentrate expected to rise to 28.11 million tons in 2024 [4][31] Processing Fee Dynamics - The processing fee (TC/RC) has entered a downward trend, with the first negative value recorded for imported copper concentrate in 2025, reaching a historical low of -40 USD per dry ton [4][32] - The decline in processing fees reflects the structural imbalance between tight raw material supply and expanded smelting capacity, severely impacting the bargaining power of Chinese smelting enterprises [5][32] Impact of Negative Processing Fees - The "negative processing fee" indicates that smelting companies not only fail to earn processing income but must pay fees to obtain processing rights for copper concentrate, fundamentally disrupting traditional profit models [6][35] - Various scenarios illustrate the impact of processing fee declines on profitability, with significant losses projected if processing fees remain negative [6][36] Profitability Analysis - From 2023 to 2025, the benchmark for long-term copper concentrate processing fees is expected to decline significantly, with 2024 and 2025 fees projected at 80 USD per dry ton and 21.25 USD per dry ton, respectively [7][37] - Despite ongoing resource shortages and cost pressures, leading smelting companies have not significantly reduced production, continuing capital expenditures in the industry [7][37] Company Performance Metrics - Key companies in the copper smelting sector, such as Jiangxi Copper, Tongling Nonferrous, and Jinchuan Group, show varying production capacities and financial metrics, with some facing negative cash flows [9][38] - For instance, Jiangxi Copper has a smelting capacity of 2.13 million tons and reported a cash flow deficit of 7.73 million [9][38] Resource Self-Sufficiency - The self-sufficiency of mineral resources is critical for copper smelting companies, directly affecting their production, costs, competitiveness, and sustainability [11][11] - Companies are attempting to transition from "processing services" to "resource production" to mitigate the impact of low self-sufficiency on profitability [11][11] By-Product Revenue - The production of sulfuric acid as a by-product in copper smelting has become increasingly profitable, with companies like Jiangxi Copper and Tongling Nonferrous reporting high gross profit margins from sulfuric acid sales [13][15] - The recovery of precious metals from copper anode mud also presents significant economic value, with advanced extraction technologies in place [14][15] Technological Advancements - Continuous technological improvements in smelting processes and green transformations have positioned leading companies at the forefront of global standards, enhancing recovery rates and reducing costs [18][19] - Scale production helps lower fixed costs, with major companies maintaining low production costs despite the challenges posed by negative processing fees [19][19] Future Outlook - The copper smelting industry faces numerous survival challenges, but through strategic collaboration and healthy development, companies may maintain profitability even in a negative processing fee environment [24][27] - The global copper market is expected to shift from surplus to shortage by 2026, with prices anticipated to remain high due to supply concerns from major mining regions [27][28]

智通财经获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)现涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.6%，报35.1港元，成交额3.14亿港 元。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，江西铜业再次提高对英国上市公司SolGold的收购报价至每股28便士，总价值约8.42亿英镑 (11.3亿美元)，这是江西铜业三周内第三次出价收购拥有厄瓜多尔顶级铜金矿项目的SolGold。据悉，江 西铜业已获得SolGold其他主要股东的支持，收购后铜产量有望大增。 花旗发布研报称，虽然预期江西铜业股份的铜冶炼业务毛利明年将同比下降，且长期冶炼及精炼业务有 下行压力，但预料铜、金及硫酸价格提高，将推动公司明年的整体毛利上升。该行认为目前估值具吸引 力，A股及H股均维持"买入"评级。 ...

江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)现涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.6%，报35.1港元，成交额3.14亿港元。 消息面上，江西铜业再次提高对英国上市公司SolGold的收购报价至每股28便士，总价值约8.42亿英镑 (11.3亿美元)，这是江西铜业三周内第三次出价收购拥有厄瓜多尔顶级铜金矿项目的SolGold。据悉，江 西铜业已获得SolGold其他主要股东的支持，收购后铜产量有望大增。 花旗发布研报称，虽然预期江西铜业股份的铜冶炼业务毛利明年将同比下降，且长期冶炼及精炼业务有 下行压力，但预料铜、金及硫酸价格提高，将推动公司明年的整体毛利上升。该行认为目前估值具吸引 力，A股及H股均维持"买入"评级。 ...

消息面上，江西铜业再次提高对英国上市公司SolGold的收购报价至每股28便士，总价值约8.42亿英镑 (11.3亿美元)，这是江西铜业三周内第三次出价收购拥有厄瓜多尔顶级铜金矿项目的SolGold。据悉，江 西铜业已获得SolGold其他主要股东的支持，收购后铜产量有望大增。 花旗发布研报称，虽然预期江西铜业股份的铜冶炼业务毛利明年将同比下降，且长期冶炼及精炼业务有 下行压力，但预料铜、金及硫酸价格提高，将推动公司明年的整体毛利上升。该行认为目前估值具吸引 力，A股及H股均维持"买入"评级。 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)现涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.6%，报35.1港元，成交额3.14亿港 元。 ...

北京时间12月13日，江西铜业（600362.SH）将收购英国上市公司SolGold Plc的要约价格提高至每股28便士，整体估值达8.42亿英镑（约11.3亿美元），标志 着这场备受瞩目的全球资源争夺战取得决定性进展。 这不仅是2025年末全球矿业领域最重磅的交易之一，更被市场解读为"打响2026全球铜矿争夺战第一枪"的战略宣言。 其核心逻辑在于，在全球能源转型导 致铜需求激增、优质资源日益稀缺的背景下，中国企业正以前所未有的决心和策略，争夺未来核心资源的控制权。 冶炼产能与资源自给率的巨大反差：江西铜业作为全球领先的铜冶炼巨头，2024年阴极铜冶炼产能高达230万吨/年，但其自有矿山年产铜精矿含铜量仅约20 万吨，原料自给率严重不足。 这种"来料加工"模式导致其主营产品阴极铜的毛利率长期在3?%的低位徘徊，盈利能力远低于以自有资源驱动的同行。 行业盈利压力加剧：2025年以来，全球铜精矿供应紧张而冶炼产能扩张，导致加工费（TC/RC）现货价格持续下滑甚至出现负值，极大挤压了以冶炼为主的 企业的利润空间。 这迫使江西铜业必须从源头，矿产资源上寻求根本性突破。 "资源为王"的长期战略：公司管理层明确表示坚持" ...

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that while Jiangxi Copper's (00358) copper smelting business gross profit is expected to decline year-on-year next year, the anticipated increase in copper, gold, and sulfuric acid prices will drive the company's overall gross profit up, leading to an upgrade in target prices for both H-shares and A-shares [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The target price for Jiangxi Copper's H-shares has been raised from HKD 27.9 to HKD 39.8 [1] - The target price for Jiangxi Copper's A-shares has been increased from CNY 33.8 to CNY 47.9 [1] - The forecast for copper prices next year is set at USD 12,750 per ton, while gold prices are projected at USD 3,925 per ounce [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Earnings forecasts for the company for the years 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted upwards by 8%, 38%, and 11%, resulting in projected earnings of CNY 8.2 billion, CNY 11.8 billion, and CNY 11.5 billion respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares, citing attractive current valuations [1]