证券之星消息，10月15日普钢板块较上一交易日上涨0.07%，武进不锈领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3912.21，上涨1.22%。深证成指报收于13118.75，上涨1.73%。普钢板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603878 | 武进不锈 | 12.36 | 7.85% | 77.57万 | 9.11亿 | | 600581 | 八一钢铁 | 4.77 | 3.25% | 77.22万 | 3.69亿 | | 600808 | 司钢股份 | 4.19 | 3.20% | 133.50万 | 5.53亿 | | 600782 | 新钢股份 | 4.20 | 1.69% | 55.12万 | 2.32亿 | | 600231 | 凌钢股份 | 2.26 | 1.35% | 56.29万 | 1.28亿 | | 601003 | 柳钢股份 | 5.41 | 1.31% | 21.04万 | 1.13亿 | | 600569 | 安阳钢铁 | 2.33 | 1.30 ...

上周(本报告中的上周均指2025年10月6日至10月10日当周)五大品种钢材表观消费量751.43万吨，环比降 153.39万吨;其中建材表观消费量222.62万吨，环比降108.46万吨;板材表观消费量528.81万吨，环比降 44.93万吨。五大品种钢材产量863.31万吨，环比降3.76万吨;总库存1600.72万吨，环比升127.86万吨， 维持低位水平。上周247家钢厂高炉开工率84.27%，环比降0.02个百分点;高炉产能利用率90.55%，环比 降0.1个百分点;电炉开工率60.26%，环比降1.28个百分点;电炉产能利用率52.03%，环比降0.89个百分 点。上周受国庆假期影响，需求边际下降，库存环比上升。但目前仍处于传统旺季阶段，该行预期钢铁 需求有望逐步恢复增长，库存则有望逐步恢复降势。 盈利率环比下降 国泰海通发布研报称，钢铁需求有望逐步触底;供给端即便不考虑供给政策，目前行业亏损时间已经较 长，供给的市场化出清已开始出现，该行预期钢铁行业基本面有望逐步修复。而若供给政策落地，行业 供给的收缩速度更快，行业上行的进展将更快展开。维持行业"增持"评级。长期来看，产业集中度提 升、促进高质 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S., which may elevate demand for safe-haven assets like gold and strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten [5][9]. - The copper market is experiencing supply disruptions, with prices trending upward due to tight supply conditions [5]. - Aluminum demand is expected to continue, with potential opportunities for investment following market corrections [5]. - The strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten is emphasized due to recent export controls and geopolitical developments [5][9]. Summary by Sections Copper Sector - Supply disruptions are ongoing, with LME copper prices at $10,735 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.9% [5]. - The processing fee for imported copper concentrate is negative, indicating tight supply [5]. - Companies with rich copper reserves are recommended for investment [9]. Aluminum Sector - LME aluminum prices reached $2,800 per ton, up 3.6% week-on-week [5]. - The operating rate for aluminum processing enterprises has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain stable [5]. - Investment opportunities are suggested for companies in the aluminum sector following market corrections [9]. Gold Sector - Gold prices are rising, with SHFE gold at 901.6 RMB per gram, up 3.1% week-on-week [5]. - The report suggests that geopolitical tensions may enhance gold's strategic position as a safe-haven asset [5]. - Investment in gold-related companies is recommended due to their undervalued resource potential [9]. Rare Metals Sector - Rare earth prices remain stable, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 683,000 RMB per ton [5]. - Recent export controls on rare earths have heightened their strategic importance amid U.S.-China tensions [5][9]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies involved in rare earth production [9]. Steel Sector - Steel prices are stable, with SHFE rebar at 3,103 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.0% [6]. - The report notes frequent disruptions in iron ore supply negotiations, which may impact future prices [6]. - Companies with high self-sufficiency in iron ore are recommended for investment [9].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 10 12 年 月 日 钢铁 纷争的世界 行情回顾（10.9-10.10）： 中信钢铁指数报收 1,891.68 点，上涨 3.67%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 4.18pct，位列 30 个中信 一级板块涨跌幅榜第 3 位。 重点领域分析： 投资策略：节后两个交易日，市场有一些波动，商品先涨后跌。中美贸易摩擦似有烽烟再起 的苗头，造成工业金属有所回落，但黄金价格依然保持强势。黄金的强势本质是对美元信用 弱化的体现。康波萧条期中主导国会面临后发国工业化成熟期产业升级的压力，贸易摩擦加 剧。当较先进的发展中国家完全吸收本轮康波的技术革命，除非发生某些全球性灾难，经济 力量和政治影响的分配将会是 21 世纪上半叶全球竞争舞台的中心特征。上个世纪的历史表 明后发国达到技术成熟可能是一个危险的时代，这一时代注定了是一个冲突和对抗性增强的 世界。民粹主义和民族主义在全球泛起。由于这一切，导致领先国认为追赶国是威胁的看法 出现了，全球化发生逆转，各种"战争"加剧，从贸易和经济战扩展到技术和地缘政治战， 这两年又扩展到资本战。对于全球纷争管控方面我们并不具备判断 ...

2019年-2025年1-8月全国黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业出口货值统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 上市公司：中信特钢（000708），河钢股份（000709），中南股份（000717），本钢板材（000761）， 三钢闽光（002110），久立特材（002318），金洲管道（002443），常宝股份（002478），盛德鑫泰 （300881），安阳钢铁（600569），八一钢铁（600581），新钢股份（600782），马钢股份（600808） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国黑色金属矿采选业行业市场全景调查及投资前景预测报 告》 根据国家统计局数据可知：2025年8月全国黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业出口货值为164.2亿元，同比下降 13.5%；2025年1-8月全国黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业累计出口货值为1338.9亿元，累计同比下降2.2%。 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的 ...

Market Overview - On October 10, the general steel sector rose by 1.09%, led by Wujin Stainless Steel, while the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.03, down 0.94% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13355.42, down 2.7% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) closed at 10.81, up 9.97% with a trading volume of 594,000 shares and a turnover of 617 million yuan [1] - Nanjing Steel (600282) closed at 5.38, up 4.06% with a trading volume of 608,600 shares and a turnover of 322 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Sansteel Minguang (002110) at 4.39, up 4.03% [1] - Shandong Steel (600022) at 1.63, up 3.82% [1] - Shougang Group (000959) at 4.39, up 2.57% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The steel sector experienced a net outflow of 767 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 582 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows include: - Wujin Stainless Steel had a net outflow of 38.74 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Liugang (601003) saw a net inflow of 20.04 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - New Steel (600782) had a net inflow of 15.20 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Points - New Steel Co., Ltd. (新钢股份) experienced a stock price increase of 2.16% on October 10, reaching 4.25 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 13.526 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 27.63%, with a 5-day increase of 5.99% and a 20-day increase of 7.05% [1] - For the first half of 2025, New Steel reported a revenue of 17.512 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 18.33%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 247.20% to 111 million CNY [2] Financial Performance - The company has cumulatively distributed 5.584 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 816 million CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 14.13% to 43,300, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 12.38% to 72,664 shares [2] Shareholder Structure - The top three circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited with 33.9721 million shares, a decrease of 6.8059 million shares from the previous period [3] - New shareholders include China Europe Dividend Advantage Flexible Allocation Mixed A, holding 31.195 million shares [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the steel industry, including Xining Special Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel [5][8]. Core Viewpoints - The financial attributes of metals continue to drive prices, with the CITIC Steel Index rising by 3.18% [1][86]. - The manufacturing sector shows signs of improvement, with the PMI for September at 49.8%, indicating a slight recovery in manufacturing activity [4][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply-side policies and the potential for a recovery in the steel industry, particularly in the context of energy investments and infrastructure upgrades [2][4]. Supply Analysis - Daily molten iron production has decreased by 0.6 million tons to 241.8 million tons, while the production of rebar and hot-rolled coils has slightly increased [11][16]. - The capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills is at 90.7%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous week but up 6.2 percentage points year-on-year [16][23]. Inventory Analysis - Total steel inventory has decreased by 2.5% week-on-week, with social inventory declining more than factory inventory [23][25]. - The social inventory of five major steel products stands at 10.589 million tons, down 2.8% week-on-week and up 16.1% year-on-year [25][27]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of five major steel products improved by 3.5% week-on-week, with rebar demand showing significant recovery [37][47]. - The average weekly transaction volume for construction steel was 103,000 tons, down 1.4% from the previous week [38][47]. Raw Material Analysis - Iron ore prices remained stable, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $103.9 per ton, unchanged from the previous week [54][66]. - The report notes an increase in Australian iron ore shipments by 8.1% week-on-week, while Brazilian shipments decreased by 13.7% [54][66]. Price and Profit Analysis - The Myspic comprehensive steel price index decreased by 0.9% week-on-week, indicating a slight decline in steel prices [66][67]. - The current cost of long-process rebar is 3,422 yuan per ton, with a loss of 188 yuan per ton, while hot-rolled coil costs 3,648 yuan per ton, with a loss of 299 yuan per ton [67][68].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [6]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, and the inventory levels are decreasing, indicating a potential recovery in the steel industry [3][6]. - The report highlights that the supply-side adjustments are beginning to take effect, with a significant portion of steel companies still operating at a loss, which may lead to a market-clearing process [3][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Steel Market Overview - The apparent consumption of five major steel products reached 8.7406 million tons, an increase of 237,300 tons week-on-week; construction materials consumption was 3.0445 million tons, up by 99,800 tons; and sheet metal consumption was 5.6961 million tons, up by 137,500 tons [6]. - Total steel inventory decreased to 15.1061 million tons, down by 91,300 tons week-on-week, maintaining a low level [6]. - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills was 84.45%, an increase of 0.47 percentage points week-on-week [6]. 2. Profitability and Production - The average gross profit for rebar was 216.2 CNY/ton, down by 18.1 CNY/ton week-on-week, while hot-rolled coil gross profit was 172.2 CNY/ton, up by 18.4 CNY/ton [6]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies was 58.01%, a decrease of 0.86 percentage points week-on-week [6]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report anticipates that the negative impact of the real estate sector on steel demand will weaken, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is expected to grow steadily [6]. - The recent policy document on the steel industry emphasizes continued production cuts and the exit of inefficient capacity, supporting the expectation of supply-side contraction [6]. 4. Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their competitive advantages and market positioning, including Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and CITIC Special Steel, among others [6].

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a decline in China's wire rod (coil) production, with a projected output of 11.38 million tons in July 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 1.9% [1] Industry Summary - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the cumulative production of wire rod (coil) in China from January to July 2025 is 78.96 million tons, showing a slight decline of 0.1% [1] - The report titled "Market Development Scale and Industry Demand Analysis of China's High-Speed Wire Rod Industry from 2025 to 2031" by Zhiyan Consulting provides insights into the market trends and future demand [1] Company Summary - Listed companies in the wire rod industry include Hangang Co., Ltd. (600126), Shagang Co., Ltd. (002075), Yongxing Materials (002756), Fangda Special Steel (600507), Linggang Co., Ltd. (600231), Fushun Special Steel (600399), *ST Xigang (600117), Liugang Co., Ltd. (601003), Magang Co., Ltd. (600808), and New Steel Co., Ltd. (600782) [1]