Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the public utility sector [8]. Core Insights - The introduction of the "Green Electricity Direct Connection" model is expected to enhance demand certainty and consumption levels compared to traditional projects, particularly benefiting distributed commercial solar, offshore wind, and integrated projects in certain western regions [2][12]. - The green electricity pricing mechanism has transitioned to a competitive bidding phase, marking a shift from a supply-driven growth phase to a mature market regulated by demand [12]. - The report emphasizes that the "carbon neutrality" initiative and electricity market reforms will reshape the intrinsic value of power operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period [12]. Summary by Sections Green Electricity Direct Connection - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have established a framework for the "Green Electricity Direct Connection" model, allowing renewable energy sources to supply electricity directly to single users [12]. - Projects must have at least 60% of their generated electricity consumed on-site and a minimum of 30% of total electricity consumption from self-generated sources, with a gradual increase in self-consumption expected by 2030 [12]. - The model is anticipated to reduce price risks through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs), enhancing project profitability [12]. Pricing Mechanism Transition - Starting June 1, new green electricity projects will no longer follow a benchmark pricing mechanism but will adopt a market-driven pricing model, with a competitive bidding process determining the final price [12]. - The report suggests that this transition may lead to a slowdown in new installations, which is viewed positively as it could alleviate pricing pressures and improve long-term growth prospects [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng International, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [12][16][17]. - For the renewable energy sector, it highlights companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power as key investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and growth potential [12][18].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is a comprehensive analysis of the Chinese power industry, including its entire value chain, regional distribution, and representative companies' business layouts [1][4][6] - The power industry value chain consists of three main segments: upstream (generation), midstream (transmission and distribution), and downstream (end-users) [1][3] - Key players in the upstream generation segment include companies like China XD Group, XJ Electric, and Dongfang Cable, while major midstream players include Huaneng International, State Power Investment, and China Datang [3] Group 2 - The regional distribution of the power industry shows that provinces like Guangdong, Beijing, and Jiangsu have a high concentration of listed power companies, indicating a robust industry presence [4] - Huaneng International leads in several key performance indicators for 2024, including operating revenue of 245.55 billion, power business revenue of 237.55 billion, generation volume of 479.86 billion kWh, and total installed capacity of 145,125 MW [6][8] - Other notable companies include Datang Power with 123.47 billion in revenue and 28.52 million kWh in generation, and Huadian International with 112.99 billion in revenue and 22.26 million kWh in generation [8] Group 3 - Future investment trends indicate a shift towards renewable energy, with companies like Huaneng International planning to invest over 50 billion in renewable projects by 2025 [9] - Datang Power is set to invest approximately 5.969 billion in a coal power project, while Huadian International is undergoing a major asset restructuring to enhance its market share [9] - State Power Investment plans to invest around 19.2 billion in hydropower and photovoltaic projects, reflecting a broader industry trend towards integrating renewable energy sources [9]

国家电投江西核电100兆瓦棉船风电项目于27日实现全容量并网发电，棉船岛清洁能源供应体系基本建 成。该项目将助力合作共建江西彭泽棉船"零碳岛"。 据介绍，棉船镇地处江西省九江市彭泽县东北角，是赣北长江中的一个江心岛。早前，为响应国家低碳 节能号召，国家电投集团与水利部长江水利委员会签订战略合作协议，携手当地政府推进棉船"零碳 岛"项目，探索将"风、光、储、氢、农、渔、旅"等资源有机结合，在当地构建风电、光伏、氢能等清 洁能源矩阵。 多位棉船镇的居民表示，岛上有了风电，就不再担心极端天气下岛外输电线路故障引发的岛内停电无法 解决的问题，居民以后用电将更有保障。同时，岛内新增的充电桩、新型路灯等基础设施也给居民带来 了很大的便利。 记者在棉船镇了解到，岛上已实现多场景低碳应用。如江西核电自主研发的10台无铁芯永磁风光互补智 慧路灯已投入使用，较原太阳能路灯照明亮度提升60%，光照时间每天延长2小时；镇政府及码头停车 场1500平方米光伏车棚可为80台电动车充电，年发电量预计32万千瓦时，减排二氧化碳87吨；岛上同步 配备30台充电桩，为电动车辆提供绿色动能，并设置太阳能应急充电座椅，便利居民生活。 据悉，未来，棉 ...

Group 1 - The boundaries between power companies and chemical companies are increasingly blurred, with major power enterprises like State Power Investment Corporation and China Energy Engineering accelerating their involvement in green ammonia and green methanol projects [2] - The rapid entry of power companies into the green chemical sector has outpaced many traditional chemical firms, driven by the need to convert renewable energy into usable products [3][4] - Significant projects have been initiated, including the State Power Investment's green hydrogen ammonia integration demonstration project, which aims to produce 180,000 tons of green ammonia annually, and China Energy Engineering's project with a total investment of 29.6 billion yuan, targeting 110,000 tons of green hydrogen and 600,000 tons of green ammonia/methanol [2][3] Group 2 - The push into hydrogen-based chemicals by power companies is a response to the global climate change agenda, as renewable energy sources like wind and solar are essential for low-carbon transitions [3] - Power companies face challenges in electricity grid planning and construction, leading to difficulties in absorbing increasing amounts of renewable energy, thus necessitating the conversion of green electricity into marketable products [3][4] - The market potential for green hydrogen-based chemicals is substantial, with international standards and policies promoting the use of zero-carbon fuels, and domestic carbon market expansions expected to enhance project profitability [5] Group 3 - Power companies possess unique advantages in the green hydrogen chemical sector, as they have extensive renewable energy installations and are more familiar with the characteristics of renewable energy compared to traditional chemical firms [4] - The production processes for green ammonia and green methanol have made progress but still face challenges such as high production costs and low efficiency, necessitating further research and optimization [5] - The development of green hydrogen-based chemicals is seen as a crucial pathway for high-quality energy development and an integral part of a new energy system [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 179.18 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 1.00% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 75.28% to 9.83 billion yuan [17][11] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 39.81 billion yuan, down 12.61% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.81 billion yuan, up 1.45% [17] - The company is experiencing pressure on electricity prices but is seeing improvements in costs, awaiting recovery in downstream electricity demand [1] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 179.18 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.00% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.83 billion yuan, an increase of 75.28% [17][11] - The basic earnings per share were 0.551 yuan, up 75.48% [17] Thermal Power Business - The average coal price for 2024 was 922.17 yuan per ton, down 1.37% year-on-year [20] - The thermal power segment contributed a net profit of 4.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.05% [27] - As of March 31, 2025, the company had a thermal power installed capacity of 75.63 million kilowatts, with 8.35 million kilowatts under construction [31] Hydropower Business - In 2024, hydropower generation was 59.47 billion kilowatt-hours, an increase of 7.93% year-on-year [32] - The hydropower segment contributed a net profit of 1.24 billion yuan, a decrease of 33.0% due to impairment provisions [37] - As of March 31, 2025, the hydropower installed capacity was 14.95 million kilowatts, with 4.92 million kilowatts under construction [41] New Energy Business - Wind power generation in 2024 was 20.18 billion kilowatt-hours, up 7.01%, while solar power generation was 11.28 billion kilowatt-hours, up 95.89% [4] - The new energy segment contributed a net profit of 1.38 billion yuan, down 21.1% year-on-year [48] - As of March 31, 2025, the installed capacity for wind power was 9.91 million kilowatts and for solar power was 15.90 million kilowatts [51] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 7.50 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.67% year-on-year, with expected earnings per share of 0.42 yuan [11][53] - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability due to sufficient long-term coal supply and overall robust performance as a leading power enterprise [53]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the electricity industry, suggesting it is entering a phase of high prosperity due to policy catalysts and fundamental improvements [2][11]. Core Insights - The implementation of the capacity price mechanism starting in 2024 is expected to restructure the revenue model for coal power companies, reducing reliance on energy sales and stabilizing income expectations [11][21]. - The auxiliary service market mechanism has been officially released, accelerating the construction of the spot market, which will support high-quality development in the electricity sector [12]. - Overall electricity demand is recovering, with a reported increase in national electricity consumption of 4.28% year-on-year as of March 2025, indicating a positive trend for the industry [13]. - Hydropower generation is expected to improve due to favorable water conditions, while coal-fired power plants are experiencing reduced fuel cost pressures, enhancing profitability [15][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy Catalysts and Fundamental Resonance - The capacity price mechanism will optimize the profit model for coal power, ensuring sustainable operation [11]. - The auxiliary service market will provide new revenue channels for electricity companies, enhancing income diversity [12]. - Electricity demand is on the rise, supporting industry prosperity [13]. 2. Investment Value Analysis of the CSI All-Share Power Index - The CSI All-Share Power Index consists mainly of stocks from the power utility sector, with 98.92% of its components in power generation and grid industries [3][29]. - As of April 30, 2025, the index's P/E ratio is 16.65 and P/B ratio is 1.69, indicating relatively suitable valuation levels [31]. - The index has shown strong profitability and a high willingness to distribute dividends, with a 12-month dividend yield of 2.80% [35]. 3. Analysis of the GF CSI All-Share Power Utility ETF - The GF CSI All-Share Power Utility ETF was established on December 29, 2021, and aims to closely track the CSI All-Share Power Utility Index [45]. - As of May 14, 2025, the ETF has a scale of 3.489 billion yuan and a daily average trading volume of 193 million yuan, indicating good market liquidity [45]. - The fund is managed by an experienced manager with over 25 years in the securities industry [46].

Group 1 - The public utility ETF (560190.SH) increased by 0.71%, with its associated index, the All Public Utility Index (000995.CSI), rising by 0.80% [1] - Key constituent stocks such as Changjiang Electric Power, China Nuclear Power, and Guotou Power saw significant gains, with increases of 1.35%, 1.47%, and 2.97% respectively [1] - The Ministry of Water Resources anticipates continuous rainfall in the central and northern regions of the Pearl River Basin, potentially leading to flood conditions, which has triggered a level IV flood emergency response [1] Group 2 - The increase in rainfall is expected to boost hydropower generation and performance for water electricity companies like Changjiang Electric Power and Guotou Power, contributing to their stock price increases [1] - Guosen Securities highlighted supportive policies such as the Guangdong Document No. 136 and Zhejiang's encouragement for computing centers to participate in long-term electricity trading, which bolster the public utility sector [1] - The public utility index rose by 0.08% this week, with the water electricity sector performing particularly well, increasing by 0.87% [1]

Group 1 - The central enterprise energy ETF has a turnover rate of 2.38% and a transaction volume of 3.0688 million yuan, with an average daily transaction volume of 5.4144 million yuan over the past week as of May 16 [2] - The index tracked by the ETF, the China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index, is currently at a historical low valuation with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 1.41, which is below 95.4% of the time over the past year, indicating a strong valuation cost-effectiveness [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index, including Changjiang Electric Power and China Nuclear Power, account for a total of 51.18% of the index as of April 30, 2025 [2] Group 2 - The A-share market has historically undervalued low-covariance assets due to insufficient risk awareness, but there is a growing recognition of the importance of the "return-risk ratio" amid increased market volatility, leading to a valuation uplift for utility and other low-covariance assets [2] - Huayuan Securities recommends selecting hydropower with strong risk resistance and undervalued quality thermal power benefiting from declining coal prices, while also suggesting a preference for undervalued quality wind power operators despite uncertainties in the new energy market under Document No. 136 [2]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨公用事业 [Table_Title] 国际认可加速绿证消费扩容，价改推进重视绿电 长期价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证，明确企业使用中国绿证不需 要再提供额外证明。标志着我国绿证体系的制度完善与国际互认取得里程碑式突破，助推我国 绿证需求侧加速扩容。长期低位运行的市场需求和绿证价格将得到显著催化，为新能源项目实 现合理收益提供重要支撑。在新能源价格改革持续持续推进的背景下，我们认为各省配套细则 也将承接 136 号文保护存量项目、稳定增量项目收益预期的原则，有助于长远角度新能源发电 的合理健康发展，同时随着绿电消费的加速扩容，绿电公司有望迎来价值重估。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC：BQT627 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 [T ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the power sector, including Huadian International, Huaneng International, Datang Power, and Jianou Energy, as well as leading fire power renovation equipment manufacturers like Qingda Environmental Protection [3][8]. Core Viewpoints - The Guangdong government has issued Document No. 136, focusing on incremental projects with a clear mechanism for a 90% electricity volume cap and long execution periods [3][12]. - Compared to Shandong's conservative approach to existing projects, Guangdong's plan emphasizes detailed competition for incremental projects, which is expected to enhance market-driven price formation [12][13]. - The report suggests paying attention to green power operators with a higher proportion of existing projects and short-term revenue certainty, as well as those with long-term cost reduction and efficiency advantages [3][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the recent performance of the power sector, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3367.46 points, up 0.76%, and the CSI 300 Index at 3889.09 points, up 1.12% [58]. - The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 2912.72 points, up 0.29%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.82 percentage points [58]. Key Developments - The Guangdong Provincial Power Trading Center has released draft rules for the sustainable development price settlement mechanism for new energy incremental projects, emphasizing competitive bidding [3][12]. - The report notes a decline in coal prices to 629 RMB/ton, which may impact fire power profitability [15]. - Water inflow at the Three Gorges Dam has decreased by 26.09% year-on-year, while outflow has dropped by 25.14% [31]. Market Trends - The report indicates a drop in silicon material prices to 37 RMB/KG and a decrease in mainstream silicon wafer prices to 1.12 RMB/PC, suggesting potential improvements in photovoltaic project returns [41]. - The national carbon market saw a price increase of 0.80% this week, with a total trading volume of 3.67 million tons and a total transaction value of 266 million RMB [53]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends focusing on undervalued green power stocks, particularly those listed in Hong Kong, as well as wind power operators like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [3][8].