Group 1: Fixed Income Market - The recent volatility in the US Treasury market is largely attributed to the upcoming June maturity, which may be overestimated in terms of its impact on financial markets [2] - In the short term, the supply pressure from maturing US Treasuries is expected to be limited, with a more significant focus on the debt ceiling adjustments anticipated in Q3 [2] - Long-term demand for US Treasuries may face a downward trend, with potential alternatives including European and Japanese bonds, as well as gold [2] Group 2: Technology Sector - The report discusses India's potential as the next manufacturing hub for Apple, highlighting the competitive tariff advantages for Indian exports compared to China [4] - Apple theoretically has the capacity to produce the required number of iPhones in India, but initial production will still rely on Chinese exports due to current limitations [4] - The localization of components in India is still in its early stages, with significant reliance on supply chains from other Asian countries for critical parts [4] Group 3: Energy and New Energy - The lithium battery production forecast for May shows a slight decline in overall production, primarily due to the cancellation of mandatory storage policies and the impact of US tariffs on exports [5] - Despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term outlook for the lithium battery industry remains positive, driven by new vehicle models and technologies [5] - Recent power outages in Spain, Portugal, and southern France have underscored the need for investment in grid upgrades and DC grid technology, presenting opportunities for Chinese power equipment companies [6] Group 4: Media and Publishing - Phoenix Media reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 3.226 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year decline, but a significant increase in net profit due to continued tax incentives [7] - The company maintains a stable core business and is rated as a "buy" based on its solid performance and favorable tax policies [7] Group 5: Financial Sector - The report indicates that the China Construction Bank's Q1 2025 net profit and revenue showed slight year-over-year changes, with a focus on asset quality and credit expansion [9] - The bank's diversified income sources and stable operations support a "buy" rating [9] Group 6: Consumer Goods - The report highlights the strong performance of China National Offshore Oil Corporation, with Q1 revenues showing a significant year-over-year increase, driven by stable oil and gas production [20] - The company is expected to maintain a "buy" rating due to its robust operational performance and project advancements [20] Group 7: Real Estate - The report notes that China Petroleum's Q1 2025 revenue and net profit exceeded expectations, attributed to increased natural gas production and sales [34] - The company is rated as "increase" based on its strong performance and potential for further growth in the natural gas sector [34]

● 本报记者 董添 稳定分红提升公司价值 从分红角度看，5294家上市公司发布2024年度利润分配方案。其中，3638家公司拟现金分红，占比 68.68%，合计拟派息1.65万亿元。剔除金融股，中国移动、中国石油、中国神华、贵州茅台、中国海 油、美的集团等公司拟派息金额居前。 年报显示，上市公司加速锻造新质生产力，战略性新兴产业成为驱动转型的核心力量，为中国经济向新 向智向未来注入澎湃势能。 加码研发投入 从申万一级行业看，农林牧渔、非银金融、电子、交通运输、汽车、家用电器、通信、商贸零售、食品 饮料、公用事业、有色金属等行业上市公司业绩回暖明显。其中，农林牧渔中的养殖业、饲料板块，电 子行业中的光学光电子、元件、消费电子、半导体板块，交通运输中的航空机场、航运港口板块净利润 同比增幅居前。 上市公司持续加码研发投入，巩固技术壁垒，提升产品核心竞争力。在AI浪潮席卷下，上市公司纷纷 拥抱AI技术，重视AI领域的研发投入，抢占市场机遇。 研发投入方面，Wind数据显示，4256家上市公司披露研发投入相关金额，合计约为1.59万亿元。其中， 比亚迪以541.6亿元再度位居A股上市公司年度研发投入榜榜首，中国建筑、 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved excellent performance in Q1 2025, demonstrating its investment value even in adverse conditions [1][6] - The company reported a total revenue of 1068.54 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 365.63 billion yuan, down 7.95% year-on-year but up 71.84% quarter-on-quarter [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 365.63 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.77 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.33% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.00% [1] - The company's revenue and net profit figures indicate resilience despite a challenging market environment [1][6] Production and Output - The company produced 145.5 million barrels of oil liquids in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.62% [3] - Natural gas production reached 2530 billion cubic feet, up 10.24% year-on-year and 8.63% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to contributions from specific projects [3] Pricing and Costs - The average oil price realized by the company was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 6.10% year-on-year but up 2.57 USD per barrel quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company maintained a low oil cost of 27.03 USD per barrel, which is a decrease from the previous year, indicating effective cost management [4] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - The company reported capital expenditures of 27.7 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a stable budget for 2025 set between 1250-1350 billion yuan [5] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a net profit of 1364.41 billion yuan in 2025, with expected growth rates of -1.1%, 4.3%, and 5.3% for the following years [5][6]

证券代码：600938 证券简称：中国海油 公告编号：2025-014 中国海洋石油有限公司 2025 年第五次董事会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 中国海洋石油有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 29 日召开 2025 年第五次董事会。本次董事会的会议通知及议案已于 2025 年 4 月 10 日发送给公 司全体董事。本次会议应出席董事 8 人，实际出席董事 7 人。执行董事穆秀平女 士因公不能到会，已书面委托副董事长、执行董事周心怀先生代为行使表决权。 会议由副董事长周心怀先生主持。会议的召集、召开、表决程序符合有关法律法 规及《中国海洋石油有限公司组织章程细则》的相关规定，合法、有效。 二、董事会审议情况 （一）审议通过《关于公司 2025 年第一季度报告的议案》 具体内容详见公司于上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《中国 海洋石油有限公司 2025 年第一季度报告》。本议案已经公司审核委员会审议通 过，并同意提交董事会审议。 表决 ...

Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 106,854 million, a decrease of 4.1% compared to RMB 111,468 million in the same period last year[4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was RMB 36,563 million, down 7.9% from RMB 39,719 million year-on-year[4] - The net cash flow from operating activities was RMB 57,274 million, reflecting a decline of 4.5% from RMB 59,978 million in the previous year[4] - The company's oil and gas sales revenue for Q1 2025 was approximately RMB 882.7 billion, a decrease of 1.9% compared to the previous year, primarily due to falling oil prices[16] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 36,601 million, down 7.1% from RMB 39,726 million in Q1 2024[24] - The total comprehensive income for Q1 2025 was RMB 36,229 million, down from RMB 39,877 million in Q1 2024, indicating a decline of 6.6%[24] Asset and Liability Overview - The total assets at the end of the reporting period were RMB 1,102,706 million, an increase of 4.4% from RMB 1,056,281 million at the end of the previous year[5] - The company's total assets as of March 31, 2025, amounted to RMB 1,102.7 billion, compared to RMB 1,056.3 billion at the end of 2024[20] - The total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, were RMB 316.9 billion, an increase from RMB 306.8 billion at the end of 2024[21] Production and Exploration - In Q1 2025, the company's total net production reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year[15] - The company achieved 2 new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures in Q1 2025, indicating strong exploration prospects[15] Pricing and Costs - The average realized price for crude oil was USD 72.65 per barrel, down 7.7% from USD 78.75 per barrel in the same period last year[10] - The average realized oil price in Q1 2025 was $72.65 per barrel, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price was $7.78 per thousand cubic feet, an increase of 1.2%[16] - The company reported a cost per barrel of $27.03, a decrease of 2.0% year-on-year[16] - Total operating costs decreased to RMB 56,530 million in Q1 2025 from RMB 59,520 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a reduction of 5.0%[23] Shareholder Information - The number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 233,407, with the largest shareholder holding 60.54% of the shares[11] - The company's basic and diluted earnings per share for Q1 2025 were both RMB 0.77, compared to RMB 0.84 in Q1 2024, representing a decline of 8.3%[24] Cash Flow and Investments - Cash flow from operating activities for Q1 2025 was RMB 57,274 million, a decrease of 4.5% from RMB 59,978 million in Q1 2024[28] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 totaled RMB 101,403 million, down from RMB 158,407 million at the end of Q1 2024[28] - Investment activities resulted in a net cash outflow of RMB 35,408 million in Q1 2025, compared to RMB 33,884 million in Q1 2024[28] - The company reported an investment loss of RMB 637 million in Q1 2025, contrasting with a gain of RMB 577 million in Q1 2024[23] Capital Expenditures - Capital expenditures totaled RMB 27,713 million, a decrease of 4.5% from RMB 29,014 million year-on-year[10] - Capital expenditures for Q1 2025 were approximately RMB 277.1 billion, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year due to reduced exploration and adjustment work[16] Non-recurring Items - Non-recurring losses amounted to RMB 464 million, primarily due to asset disposal losses of RMB 704 million[7]

此外，阎洪涛还表示，公司始终坚持全球配置油气资产的原则，如若国际油价继续下跌，对于中国海油这种有大 量现金流、桶油成本较低且利润率较高的公司而言，或是较好的并购机会。公司将根据彼时的市场情况、国际形 势，以及公司的技术专长和管理能力，具体分析并决策，按照市场运行原则，寻求调整和优化公司油气资产组合 的机会。 "基于对全球石油供需长期情况的预判，我们并不悲观。低油价不会影响中国海油的长期发展战略，公司2025年的 投资计划和产量目标指引也不会调整。"阎洪涛指出，当前低油价是受特朗普政府相关关税政策影响，市场预期未 来全球经济下行将影响石油需求，"低油价是结果，而非原因。"基于此，他认为，低油价不会造成石油行业在全 球所有行业中地位变弱，也不代表石油公司的经济性、地位在全球范围内下降，特朗普关税政策对全球的影响 是"一贯且连续的"。 面对国际油价低位震荡现状，阎洪涛表示，中国海油将继续坚持低成本策略，始终在全球主要石油公司中保持桶 油成本优势。"在高油价时不盲目乐观，不大手笔花钱、增加桶油成本；低油价时也不悲观，要坚守成本优势。" 不过，油气销量上升，以及公司对桶油成本的控制一定程度抵消了油价下跌影响。今年一季度 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, despite an increase in oil and gas production, highlighting the impact of falling international oil prices on financial performance [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved operating revenue of 106.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 36.56 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD/barrel, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD/thousand cubic feet [2] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 6.2% [1][2] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter [2] - Significant contributions to production came from the Bohai region and overseas projects, particularly from Brazil's Mero2 [1][2] Capital Expenditure and Projects - Capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year [2] - Several new projects, including the Panyu 10/11 block and the Wenchang 19-1 oil field, have been successfully put into production [2][3] - The Wenchang 9-7 oil field development project was announced to have commenced production, with an expected peak output of about 12,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2027 [3][4] Future Outlook - CNOOC's controlling shareholder announced plans to increase shareholdings in the company by 2 to 4 billion yuan over the next 12 months, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term investment value [3] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and achieve its annual production and operational targets [3]

2025 年 04 月 29 日 与传统风格相关性更低，A 股资产配置 新方向：大成中证全指自由现金流 ETF （159235）投资价值分析 ——指数基金产品研究系列报告之二百四十七 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 报 告 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 方思齐 A0230123090003 fangsq@swsresearch.com 联系人 方思齐 (8621)23297818× fangsq@swsresearch.com 益 量 化 研 究 权 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 第2页 共25页 简单金融 成就梦想 股 票 基 金 证券分析师 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 现金流 ETF 已经成为海外市场热门产品，国内产品申报火热。国内自由现金流产品目前 处于起步阶段，而海外现金流产品已经取得了丰硕的发展成果。其中规模领先的 COWZ 规模已超 200 亿美元。近期国内现金流 ETF 迎来集中申报浪潮， ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance and potential of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China, particularly in the context of ongoing reforms and the integration of artificial intelligence in operations, which may enhance their competitiveness and market performance [2][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the National Enterprise Win-Win ETF (159719) decreased by 0.47%, with a latest price of 1.48 yuan. Over the past week, it has seen a cumulative increase of 0.54% [1]. - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF had a turnover of 1.2% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 2.3576 million yuan. The average daily transaction volume over the past year was 17.9394 million yuan [1]. - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) increased by 0.43%, with a latest price of 1.16 yuan. Over the past year, it has accumulated a rise of 13.72% [4]. Group 2: Index and Component Stocks - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win-Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong. The top ten constituent stocks are predominantly "China National" stocks [4][6]. - The top ten stocks in the index include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, China Construction, and China Mobile, with respective weightings of 15.58%, 12.33%, and 8.89% [6]. - The Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) saw a slight increase of 0.06%, with notable performers including Keda Manufacturing and Weigao Medical, which rose by 6.95% and 4.54%, respectively [4]. Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is actively promoting the "AI+" initiative, focusing on integrating artificial intelligence into enterprise operations to enhance efficiency [1]. - According to Galaxy Securities, SOEs are expected to play a crucial role in China's modernization process, with ongoing reforms aimed at improving core competitiveness and operational efficiency [2]. - The market-oriented operational mechanisms of SOEs are being refined, with plans to implement performance adjustments and exit strategies for underperforming entities by 2025, which may lead to improved profitability [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the chemical industry, specifically for the petrochemical and transportation sectors [4]. Core Views - The macroeconomic recovery in China, driven by various government measures to stabilize employment and promote economic growth, is expected to positively impact the chemical industry, leading to a rebound in profitability for chemical products in 2025 [1][2]. - The report anticipates a recovery in cyclical sectors such as refining, MDI (Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate), agricultural chemicals, and vitamins, with overall chemical prices expected to rise from their current lows [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The Chinese government has introduced several measures to stabilize employment and promote economic growth, which are expected to support the chemical industry [1]. - In Q1 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.4% year-on-year, surpassing the growth rate of 5% for the entire year of 2024 [1]. 2. Chemical Product Price Trends - Refining: Lower energy prices are expected to ease cost pressures for downstream refining companies, with a positive outlook for large refining and coal chemical enterprises [2]. - MDI: Major companies have increased MDI prices by €175 per ton in Europe and $100-$300 per ton in other regions, although the average industry price continues to decline [2]. - Agricultural Chemicals: Potash prices have rebounded due to seasonal demand and tariffs, while phosphate prices are also showing signs of recovery [2]. - Vitamins: Supply for certain vitamins is shifting towards China, with prices for Vitamin D3 rising significantly [2]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued, high-dividend companies in the oil sector, including China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [3]. - It also highlights opportunities in domestic material companies benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution, as well as in the agricultural chemicals and private refining sectors [3]. - Companies in the vitamin and methionine sectors are also recommended for investment [3].