智通财经5月6日电，截至发稿，赤峰黄金(06693.HK)涨7.55%、灵宝黄金(03330.HK)涨5.13%、山东黄金 (01787.HK)涨5.05%、招金矿业(01818.HK)涨4.12%。消息方面，国际金价在昨日大涨近3%后，今日再 度走强，目前价格在3360美元附近。 港股黄金股走强 赤峰黄金涨超7% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt [4][5]. Core Insights - Industrial metals are experiencing a rebound in prices due to ongoing inventory depletion, with LME aluminum, copper, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin prices showing increases of +1.11%, +0.83%, +0.57%, +1.28%, +0.35%, and +1.79% respectively [1][2]. - The report highlights the impact of macroeconomic factors, including concerns over economic slowdown and uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariffs, which have led to increased market volatility [2]. - Key recommendations include companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and Huayou Cobalt, among others, indicating strong potential for investment [2][3]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes a significant decrease in inventory levels for copper, with SMM social inventory dropping below 130,000 tons, indicating a tight supply situation [2][38]. - Aluminum production is recovering due to domestic restarts and new projects, with a notable inventory reduction of 71,000 tons driven by pre-holiday stocking [2][21]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing tightness in the cobalt market due to export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which is expected to lead to price increases [3][54]. Precious Metals - Gold prices have recently declined due to reduced demand for safe-haven assets amid optimistic trade negotiations between the U.S. and China, while silver prices have shown resilience due to its industrial applications [3][66]. - The report anticipates a long-term upward trend in gold prices driven by de-dollarization and ongoing geopolitical tensions, despite short-term fluctuations [3][66]. Key Company Performance - The report provides earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies, with Zijin Mining projected to have an EPS of 1.21 yuan in 2024, and a PE ratio of 14 times [4]. - Other companies such as Huayou Cobalt and Luoyang Molybdenum are also highlighted for their strong earnings potential and favorable market conditions [4][5].

赤峰吉隆黃金礦業股份有限公司 Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. （於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司） 股份代號 : 6693 執行董事 王建華先生 （董事長） 楊宜方女士 呂曉兆先生 高波先生 非執行董事 張旭東先生 2024 年度報告 赤峰吉隆黃金礦業股份有限公司 Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. 目錄 | 公司資料 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 五年財務概要 | 4 | | 董事長致辭 | 8 | | 財務摘要 | 11 | | 董事、監事及高級管理人員簡介 | 14 | | 資源量與儲量 | 30 | | 管理層討論與分析 | 44 | | 董事會報告 | 81 | | 獨立董事報告 | 124 | | 監事會報告 | 132 | | 環境與社會責任 | 138 | | 企業管治報告 | 151 | | 合併財務報表 | | | 審計報告 | 202 | | 合併資產負債表 | 208 | | 合併利潤表 | 210 | | 合併股東權益變動表 | 212 | | 合併現金流量表 | 214 | | 資產 ...

Market Analysis - Historical reference to the market performance post-2018 tariffs indicates that industries focused on self-sufficiency, domestic demand expansion, and stable dividends performed well[4] - Future market risk appetite is expected to rise, contingent on policy changes, including potential liquidity releases from the Federal Reserve due to U.S. bond and stock market liquidity issues[4] Recommended Industries - Key industries recommended for investment include metals, chemicals, electricity, military, non-banking financials, banking, retail, social services, automotive, and computing[4] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on industries with self-sufficiency, domestic demand expansion, and stable dividends amid macroeconomic disturbances[4] Stock Recommendations - **Metals**: Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (EPS forecast: 1.92 in 2025, PE: 13.8) shows strong performance potential[22] - **Chemicals**: Yara International ASA (EPS forecast: 2.42 in 2025, PE: 12.2) is positioned for significant growth due to its overseas potassium mining operations[22] - **Electricity**: Zhongmin Energy (EPS forecast: 0.36 in 2025, PE: 15.7) benefits from favorable wind resources in Fujian Province[22] - **Military**: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (EPS forecast: 1.44 in 2025, PE: 29.7) is expected to see steady growth driven by new aircraft models[22] - **Non-Banking Financials**: New China Life Insurance Co., Ltd. (EPS forecast: 7.36 in 2025, PE: 6.5) has a strong leverage position in the market[22] - **Banking**: Jiangsu Bank (EPS forecast: 1.74 in 2025, PE: 6.0) offers high dividend yield and stable growth prospects[22] - **Retail**: Yiwu Small Commodity City (EPS forecast: 0.75 in 2025, PE: 20.7) is set to benefit from international trade reforms[22] - **Social Services**: Core International (EPS forecast: 1.46 in 2025, PE: 22.5) is leveraging AI for enhanced operational efficiency[22] - **Automotive**: Xiaomi Group (EPS forecast: 1.37 in 2025, PE: 34.7) is expected to see significant sales growth in electric vehicles[22] - **Computing**: Cambricon Technologies (EPS forecast: 2.74 in 2025, PE: 257.5) is positioned to benefit from the growing AI chip market[22]

Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have drawn significant market attention, with record trading volumes in gold futures and active performance of gold stocks in A-shares. However, expectations of a trade war easing and positive U.S. employment data have led to a recent decline in gold prices [1] Group 1: Identification of True Gold Stocks - Investors must identify what constitutes a true gold stock, which should primarily engage in gold mining and refining, rather than merely trading or processing gold [2] - Companies like China Gold and Zhou Dasheng, while involved in gold sales, do not qualify as true gold stocks as they operate in the retail or jewelry sector [2] - The proportion of gold mining and refining in a company's main business is crucial for determining its classification as a gold stock [2][3] Group 2: Importance of Gold Resource and Ore Grade - The global gold supply is limited, with 2023 production at 3,000 tons and proven reserves at 59,000 tons, indicating a mining lifespan of approximately 20 years [6] - The amount of gold resources a company possesses is a key factor in its valuation, with a direct correlation between resource quantity and market capitalization [6][7] - Ore grade is also significant; higher-grade mines yield more gold from the same resource, enhancing their value [8] Group 3: Correlation Between Gold Prices and Gold Stocks - Gold stock performance is strongly correlated with gold prices, with a correlation coefficient of 0.82 since 2009 [12] - However, during specific periods, such as 2014-2018, gold stocks were more influenced by overall market performance than gold prices [14][15] - The relationship between gold prices and gold stocks has shifted post-2019, with increased volatility in gold prices leading to a stronger correlation with gold stock performance [16][17] Group 4: Volatility of Gold Stocks - Gold stocks tend to exhibit greater volatility than gold prices, with significant fluctuations observed in the past [21] - Individual gold stocks can show substantial performance differences, influenced by factors such as company valuation and earnings [24] - The performance of gold stocks can diverge significantly from the broader gold industry index, highlighting the need for careful selection [22] Group 5: Market Outlook and Investment Considerations - Despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, driven by factors such as trade tensions and the depreciation of the dollar [27][28] - Analysts suggest that while gold prices may experience temporary adjustments, the underlying bullish trend for gold is expected to continue [27] - Investors should consider both gold price trends and individual company fundamentals when investing in gold stocks [26]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of rising international gold prices on different segments of the gold industry, highlighting the contrasting performance of upstream mining companies versus downstream consumers and the cautious attitudes of stakeholders in the industry [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Upstream mining companies have seen significant profit increases due to rising gold prices, while downstream consumer demand has decreased, particularly for jewelry, which is more sensitive to price [2][6]. - In 2024, the average net profit of 11 gold companies in the Shenwan sector reached 1.28 billion yuan, while Zijin Mining's gold production gross profit was 19.66 billion yuan, with a gross margin of nearly 56% [3]. - Companies like Shandong Gold and Hengbang have experienced declining profit margins due to rising costs, with Hengbang's gross margin dropping to 0.71% despite revenue growth [5][6]. Group 2: Consumer Demand and Inventory - China's gold consumption in 2024 fell by 9.58% year-on-year, with jewelry and industrial gold usage declining significantly, while gold bars and coins saw a 24.54% increase [6]. - Companies heavily reliant on gold jewelry, such as Zhou Daxing and Lao Fengxiang, reported substantial revenue declines, with Zhou Daxing's revenue dropping over 47% in the first quarter of the year [7]. - Some downstream companies, like Zhou Daxing, have seen inventory levels rise, indicating a mismatch between production and consumer demand [10]. Group 3: Caution Among Stakeholders - Several gold companies, including Hunan Gold and Chifeng Gold, have reduced their inventory levels by significant percentages, indicating a cautious approach to potential price volatility [9][11]. - Fund holdings in gold companies have decreased, with total holdings dropping from 2.40 billion shares in June 2024 to 1.13 billion shares in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a cautious sentiment among institutional investors [11][12]. - The article emphasizes the complexity of gold pricing and the need for market participants to be vigilant, especially those who may be blindly chasing price increases [12].

本报记者 顾梦轩 夏欣 广州 北京报道 在经过持续上涨后，近日，国际金价高位盘整后连续下跌。5月1日，现货黄金日内大跌超过50美元，一 度下探3234美元/盎司，跌幅超1.6%。 国内金饰价格跟跌。5月1日，老庙黄金金饰最新标价995元/克。金饰价格20天来首次跌破千元。4月22 日，周六福足金999.9还曾涨破1100元。 其他金饰品牌标价也都跌回千元附近。5月1日上午，周六福足金饰品报价1009元/克；周生生足金饰品 报价1002元/克。 金价下跌，让许多狂热的投资者措手不及，有媒体报道称，有黄金投资者一夜损失47万元。 受金价下跌影响，黄金股以及黄金ETF表现也受到影响。但机构认为，从长期看，黄金股和黄金ETF以 及黄金股ETF的投资价值依然存在。 贸易政策缓和削减避险需求 狂飙已久的黄金价格为何突然大跌？ 格上基金研究员焦冰在接受《中国经营报》记者采访时表示，近期金价波动与美国关税扰动、美元指数 震荡关系及交易过热较为密切。 首先，2025年4月美国对华关税政策落地后，市场对贸易摩擦升级的担忧一度推高金价至历史高位，而 后白宫释放对各国的缓和信号，并且特朗普公开发表对华关税将大幅下降等言论，导致金价快 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market for gold and precious metal stocks has weakened, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (06693.HK) declining by 6.67% and Lingbao Gold Company Limited (03330.HK) falling by 3.62% [1]

Group 1 - The majority of Hong Kong gold stocks opened lower, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600988) dropping over 6% [1] - Zhu Feng Gold fell more than 4% [1] - Lingbao Gold decreased by more than 3% [1]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 日前，A股市场2024年报和2025年一季报业绩披露已经收官，黄金产业链上市公司的业绩全貌也完全展 现。 在金价大幅走高的背景下，金价上涨对产业链相关上市公司业绩的影响也清晰地展现出来。 值得注意的是，上述这种变化是金价持续上涨的背景下黄金产业链上下游出现的变化。如果后续金价走 势逆转，则相关影响可能也会正好相反。 "金饰"卖不动 黄金珠宝上市公司业绩普降 最近一年多来，黄金价格持续上涨，对一些主营业务涉及金饰销售的黄金珠宝上市公司构成明显压力。 比如黄金珠宝龙头企业老凤祥日前披露的2024年年报显示，公司2024年实现营业收入567.93亿元，同比 降低20.50%；利润总额34.18亿元，同比降低14.10%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润19.50亿元，同比降 低11.95%。老凤祥在上述年报中提及，2024年，世界经济增长动能不足，国内有效需求不足、消费不 振，叠加黄金价格持续上涨不断刷新历史新高，导致黄金珠宝消费疲软。 2025年一季度，老凤祥营收和利润再度同比双降，公司实现营业收入175.21亿元，同比下降31.64%，实 现归 ...