Core Viewpoints - The coal market is experiencing a slight recovery, with the advantage of imported coal narrowing further [7][81] - The overall profitability of the coal mining industry is expected to improve in 2026 after a significant decline in 2025 [7][84] Market Dynamics - The CCI5500 thermal coal index reported at 698 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 2 RMB/ton [13][82] - The average daily consumption of coal in coastal power plants is 208,000 tons, with a stock availability of 15.4 days [22][28] - The coal inventory at major ports decreased by 5.5% week-on-week, indicating a tightening supply [22][28] Industry Insights - The coal mining industry saw a profit total of 352 billion RMB in 2025, a year-on-year decline of 42% [7][84] - The expected supply-demand balance in 2026 is anticipated to support coal prices, with a significant reduction in supply growth [7][84] - The long-term contracts for coal supply in 2026 are expected to enhance the fulfillment rate due to increased market factors [84][85] Key Companies - Major companies with stable dividends include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, and Shaanxi Coal [7] - Companies benefiting from improved demand expectations and supply contraction include Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal [7] - Companies with long-term growth potential include Huayang Co., New Energy Co., and Baofeng Energy [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies in the coal industry, including 晋控煤业, 山煤国际, 潞安环能, 华阳股份, 兖矿能源, 中国神华, 陕西煤业, 中煤能源, and 中广核矿业 [2][14] Core Insights - The reduction in coal production in Indonesia has heightened expectations for supply contraction, which is anticipated to positively impact coal prices post-holiday [6][9] - The report forecasts that coal prices may return to a seasonal fluctuation range of 750-1000 RMB/ton, driven by domestic capacity reductions and Indonesian production cuts [9][10] - The report highlights the importance of companies with high spot market exposure and improved balance sheets, particularly those in Shanxi province, which are expected to be less affected by production limits [9][14] Summary by Sections Company Earnings Forecasts, Valuation, and Ratings - 晋控煤业: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.68 RMB, PE for 2024A is 9, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 山煤国际: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.14 RMB, PE for 2024A is 10, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 潞安环能: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.82 RMB, PE for 2024A is 16, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 华阳股份: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.62 RMB, PE for 2024A is 15, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 兖矿能源: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.44 RMB, PE for 2024A is 11, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 中国神华: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.95 RMB, PE for 2024A is 14, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 陕西煤业: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.31 RMB, PE for 2024A is 10, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 中煤能源: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.46 RMB, PE for 2024A is 10, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 中广核矿业: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.04 HKD, PE for 2024A is 93, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 新集能源: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.92 RMB, PE for 2024A is 8, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 淮北矿业: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.80 RMB, PE for 2024A is 7, rated as "Recommended" [2] - 兰花科创: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.49 RMB, PE for 2024A is 13, rated as "Cautiously Recommended" [2] Market Dynamics - The coal market has seen a slight increase in prices due to ongoing supply constraints and decreasing port inventories, with expectations for a price surge post-holiday as downstream operations resume [9][10] - The report notes that the coal consumption by power plants remains high, despite a week-on-week decrease, indicating strong demand [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring coal price trends and the performance of coal companies in light of changing market conditions [10][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key companies in the coal industry, including Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, Yancoal Energy, and China Shenhua [5][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that supply constraints, particularly from Indonesia, are expected to support coal prices, suggesting a favorable environment for investment in flexible coal stocks [7][8]. - The coal market is anticipated to maintain a weak supply-demand balance as the Chinese New Year approaches, but with expectations of rising global coal prices due to reduced supply from Indonesia [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for coal prices to rise, recommending a focus on companies with strong dividend yields and low valuations, as well as those with significant production capacity growth [8][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry comprises 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 19,855.11 billion [2]. 2. Company Performance - Key companies such as Shanxi Coking Coal and Lu'an Environmental Energy are projected to have strong earnings per share (EPS) growth, with respective estimates for 2026 at 0.40 and 0.76 [5]. - The report tracks the operational performance of listed companies, noting their dividend policies and growth prospects [12][14]. 3. Coal Price Tracking - The report provides insights into coal price trends, indicating that the price of thermal coal at the Qinhuangdao port has seen a slight increase, while coking coal prices have experienced a decline [8][9]. - As of February 6, 2026, the average daily production of thermal coal from sample mines was 5.281 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.90% [8]. 4. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that supply from Indonesia is tightening due to government-imposed production cuts, which is expected to impact global coal prices positively [7][8]. - Demand for coal is projected to decline as industrial electricity consumption decreases with the approach of the Chinese New Year [7][8]. 5. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies three main investment themes: focusing on high-dividend, low-valuation stocks, companies with significant production growth, and those positioned for recovery in coking coal prices [8][9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2][26]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Indonesia's coal production is expected to decline significantly in 2026 due to the revision of the RKAB quota, with production set at approximately 600 million tons, a notable decrease from 740 million tons in 2025 [6][7]. - The reduction in coal production is anticipated to lead to a tightening of coal supply, which may drive up global coal prices, particularly for thermal coal [7]. - The Indonesian government is implementing policies to control coal production and exports, aiming to enhance domestic energy security and increase fiscal revenue through coal export taxes [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total number of listed companies in the coal industry is 37, with a total market capitalization of approximately 198.55 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of about 194.41 billion yuan [2]. Regulatory Changes - The Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources is reviewing the RKAB quotas, which are crucial for coal mining operations. The approval rate for the first batch of RKAB in 2026 was only 71.49%, with significant reductions in approved quotas for many companies [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the domestic market obligation (DMO) will be adjusted to ensure local demand is met before allowing coal exports. The DMO demand is expected to remain above 250 million tons [7]. - The report predicts that Indonesia's coal exports will face substantial declines starting in Q2 2026, which will further constrain global coal supply and potentially elevate prices [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-elasticity stocks in the thermal coal sector, including companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Huayang Co., and others, as they are expected to benefit from rising coal prices [7].

中证报中证网讯(记者刘丽靓)2月6日，中国神华（601088）能源股份有限公司的千亿级资产重组项目迎 来新进展。根据上海证券交易所官网信息，该交易在获得上海证券交易所受理5个工作日内，已提交注 册。根据规则，本次交易符合简易审核程序条件，成为中国资本市场首个适用这一高效通道的重组案 例。 此次中国神华重组，核心目的是收购控股股东国家能源投资集团旗下12家核心企业股权，交易对价高达 1335.98亿元。长期以来，中国神华与国家能源集团在部分业务领域存在重叠。此次交易将实质性解决 自2004年以来便存在的同业竞争问题，兑现控股股东对资本市场的长期承诺，从根本上提升上市公司质 量。重组后中国神华将构建起从煤炭开采、坑口煤电、煤化工到运输物流的完整产业链闭环，显著增强 公司的全产业链协同效应和抗风险韧性。这一整合深刻契合了国务院国资委鼓励央企控股上市公司通过 并购重组提升核心竞争力的政策导向。 作为市场首单适用简易审核程序的重组项目，中国神华案例的成功推进具有显著的示范效应和风向标意 义。 业内人士认为，通过本次交易，检验重组简易程序全流程的设计合理性与运行效率，为后续规则的优化 积累了宝贵的一手经验。同时，对于其他 ...

证券日报网讯2月6日，中国神华（601088）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年三季度末， 公司记名股东总数为209226户。 ...

证券日报网讯 2月6日，中国神华在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司按照披露要求，在年报、半 年报中披露分地区经营情况。2025年上半年，公司来源于境外市场的对外交易收入约41亿元，约占公司 营业收入的3%。公司境外运营项目主要位于印尼。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

证券日报网讯 2月6日，中国神华在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司煤炭产品主要通过一体化运 营供给国内市场，优先保障国内用煤需求，近两年出口规模极小。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

中国神华昨晚披露的发行股份及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易报告书(注册稿)显示，本 次交易的独立财务顾问是中信证券。 中国经济网北京2月6日讯中国神华（601088）(601088.SH)昨晚披露了关于发行股份及支付现金购买资 产并募集配套资金暨关联交易事项获得上海证券交易所审核通过的公告。 中国神华拟发行A股股份及支付现金购买控股股东国家能源投资集团有限责任公司持有的国家能源集团 国源电力有限公司100%股权、国家能源集团新疆能源化工有限公司100%股权、中国神华煤制油化工有 限公司100%股权、国家能源集团乌海能源有限责任公司100%股权、内蒙古平庄煤业(集团)有限责任公 司100%股权、国家能源集团陕西神延煤炭有限责任公司41%股权、山西省晋神能源有限公司49%股权、 国家能源集团包头矿业有限责任公司100%股权、国家能源集团航运有限公司100%股权、神华煤炭运销 有限公司100%股权、国家能源集团港口有限公司100%股权，以支付现金的方式购买国家能源集团西部 能源投资有限公司持有的国电建投内蒙古能源有限公司100%股权，并于A股募集配套资金("本次交 易")。 上海证券交易所已于2026年2 ...

2026.02. 06 本文字数：1024，阅读时长大约2分钟 长期以来，中国神华与国家能源集团在部分业务领域存在重叠。此次交易将实质性解决自2004年以来便存在的同业竞争问题，兑现控股股东对资本市场 的长期承诺，从根本上提升上市公司质量。 国家能源集团表示，重组后中国神华将构建起从煤炭开采、坑口煤电、煤化工到运输物流的完整产业链闭环，显著增强公司的全产业链协同效应和抗风 险韧性。这一整合深刻契合了国务院国资委鼓励央企控股上市公司通过并购重组提升核心竞争力的政策导向。 2026年1月30日，上交所正式受理中国神华发行股份及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金的申请文件。与常规重组审核程序不同，此次交易适用2025年5 月修订后规则新增的并购重组简易审核程序。 根据规则设计，简易审核程序效率大幅提升。交易所基于中介机构的核查意见，在2个工作日内决定是否受理，受理后5个工作日内出具审核意见。整个 审核过程不需要进行多轮问询，也无需提交并购重组委员会审议。 "并购六条"发布后推出的简易审核程序，是中国资本市场审核理念向"精准监管"演进的重要标志。这一程序设定了明确的门槛：上市公司市值需超过 100亿元，且最近两年信息披露 ...