Guotai Haitong Securities(601211)

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美银证券:降国泰海通(02611)目标价至17.3港元 评级“中性”
智通财经网· 2025-09-01 07:32
智通财经APP获悉,美银证券发布研报称,国泰海通(02611)上半年纯利同比升210%至155亿元人民币, 符合早前盈喜预期,次季盈利同比升35%至34亿元人民币,较同业次季表现弱。该行将国泰海通的目标 价由17.7港元微降至17.3港元,维持评级"中性"。 ...
国泰海通:钢铁板块需求边际回升 钢厂库存维持下降
智通财经网· 2025-09-01 07:08
智通财经APP获悉,国泰海通发布研报称,维持钢铁行业"增持"评级。该行预期若供给政策落地,行业 供给的收缩速度更快,行业上行的进展将更快展开。长期来看,产业集中度提升、促进高质量发展是未 来钢铁行业发展的必然趋势,具有产品结构与成本优势的钢企将充分受益;在环保加严、超低排放改造 与碳中和背景下,龙头公司竞争优势与盈利能力将更加凸显。 上周45港进口铁矿库存13763万吨,环比降82.18万吨。上周螺纹模拟平均吨毛利231.5元/吨,环比降 12.2元/吨,热卷模拟平均吨毛利171.5元/吨,环比降30.2元/吨;247家钢企盈利率63.64%,环比降1.3%。 展望来看,该行预期铁矿加速增产且需求难有较大提升,铁矿或逐步进入宽松周期,铁矿价格向上弹性 有限,钢铁成本掣肘因素有望改善,行业盈利中枢有望逐步修复。 需求有望企稳,供给维持收缩预期 地产持续下行,导致地产端需求占比下降,该行预期地产对钢铁需求的负向拖拽将减弱;基建、制造业 端用钢需求有望平稳增长。出口方面,1-7月钢材出口量仍维持同比增长。总体来看,该行预期钢铁需 求有望逐步企稳。供给端来看,行业自2022Q3开始亏损,目前仍有超30%钢企亏损,供给 ...
13家上市券商上半年净利同比翻番,国泰海通157亿净利跃升第一
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 07:05
值得一提的是,今年上半年,国泰海通(601211)的净利润规模与中信证券(600030)一起超过百亿, 并以157.37亿元的规模位列上市券商第一。中信证券则以137.19亿元的净利润规模排名第二。 业绩高增背景下,券商板块的未来行情被进一步看好。国泰海通证券非银首席分析师刘欣琦表示,继续 看好配置力量(含居民资金入市)+业绩改善的双轮驱动的非银板块行情。 营收超百亿券商增至10家 2025年半年报数据显示,50家上市券商中,营业收入超过100亿元规模的共有10家,与2024年同期的6家 相较增加4家,中金公司(601995)、国信证券(002736)、中信建投(601066)、招商证券 (600999)进入"百亿营收俱乐部"。 具体来看,今年上半年,中金公司营业收入为128.28亿元,去年同期则为89.11亿元;国信证券上半年营 业收入为110.75亿元,去年同期则为77.58亿元;中信建投上半年营业收入为107.40亿元,去年同期则为 95.28亿元;招商证券上半年营业收入为105.20亿元,去年同期则为95.95亿元。 而在排名方面,今年上半年,中信证券(600030)以330.39亿元的营收规模,继续 ...
国泰海通:黑磷是性能优异的电池负极材料 新兴领域应用积极拓展
智通财经网· 2025-09-01 06:10
Group 1 - Black phosphorus is an excellent layered material with significant application potential in battery materials, flame retardants, catalysis, medicine, and electronics [1] - The theoretical capacity of black phosphorus reaches 2596 mAh/g, which is much higher than that of graphite and other carbon-based materials, indicating a strong potential for enhancing battery energy density [2] - Black phosphorus has a high lithium intercalation potential and lithium diffusion coefficient, which reduces the risk of lithium dendrite formation and effectively improves fast charging safety [2] Group 2 - The industrialization process for black phosphorus preparation in domestic companies is making significant breakthroughs, with companies like Xingfa Group advancing steadily in their black phosphorus projects [3] - Xingfa Group has established a 100 kg-level black phosphorus pilot test facility, achieving stable production of black phosphorus crystals at a scale of 100 kg per batch, while continuously reducing production costs [3] - Ruifeng High Materials is working on a ton-level pilot production line, aiming to complete normal operation of a 100 kg facility by 2024, further promoting the low-cost industrialization of black phosphorus [3]
国泰海通首超中信,半年赚了163亿元
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-01 04:20
记者丨崔文静 实习生张长荣 编辑丨巫燕玲 证券行业在经历三年调整期后,终于冬去春来。 2025年上半年,头部券商净利润集体大增,营业收入除个别券商外也实现正增长,行业回暖信号明确。 其中,中金公司、国信证券、国泰海通表现尤为亮眼,营收同比增速分别达43.96%、42.77%、39.85%,行业排名均实现提升,目前,半年报 营收超百亿元的券商已达十家,头部阵营整体实力进一步增强。 合并券商的首份详细财报成为此次半年报的一大看点。国泰海通在合并后首次展现出强劲竞争力,上半年以163.21亿元净利润首超中信证券, 成为行业净利润新冠军,其中财富管理业务贡献近三分之一净利润,毛利率同比提升10.27个百分点,成为其反超的关键动力,标志着行业正 式进入半年"百亿净利润双雄"时代。 中金公司则上演"逆袭"戏码。凭借投行业务的爆发式增长,上半年投行收入同比猛增149.70%,达14.45亿元,其中港股IPO业务表现突出,前 八个月承销金额超2024年全年,带动营收排名升至行业第六,创下近十年中报最佳成绩,净利润增速也以94.46%稳居头部券商第二。 国信证券同样实现重大突破,上半年以110.75亿元营收重返行业第八,这是其 ...
太辰光股价跌5.51%,国泰海通资管旗下1只基金重仓,持有13.06万股浮亏损失100.43万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 03:19
9月1日,太辰光跌5.51%,截至发稿,报132.00元/股,成交14.76亿元,换手率5.63%,总市值299.81亿 元。 资料显示,深圳太辰光通信股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市坪山区坑梓街道秀新社区锦绣中路8号太辰 光通信科技园-101(1、2、3号楼)(一照多址企业),成立日期2000年12月12日,上市日期2016年12月6 日,公司主营业务涉及光器件的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为:光器件产品98.02%,其他 1.81%,光传感产品0.17%。 刘晟累计任职时间1年12天,现任基金资产总规模14.56亿元,任职期间最佳基金回报82.67%, 任职期 间最差基金回报3.9%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑:小浪快报 国泰君安中证1000指数增强A(015867)成立日期2022年8月16日,最新规模7.86亿。今年以来收益 36.29%,同类排名823/4222;近一年收益82.71%,同类排名731/3779;成立以来收益43 ...
券商分仓佣金排行榜来了!行业下滑超30%,“黑马”却暴增21倍
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-01 03:06
Core Insights - The overall brokerage commission income has significantly declined due to the implementation of new regulations, with a reported income of 4.458 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of over 30% [1][4][5] - The top ten brokerages maintain a stable position, collectively holding a market share of 48.11%, with CITIC Securities leading at 347 million yuan in commission income [1][2][5] - Some smaller brokerages, such as Huafu Securities and Huayuan Securities, have achieved growth despite the overall decline in the industry, indicating a potential shift in competitive dynamics [1][6] Industry Overview - The implementation of the "Publicly Raised Securities Investment Fund Securities Transaction Cost Management Regulations" on July 1, 2024, has standardized commission rates, leading to an expected 40% reduction in trading commission fees [4] - The top ten brokerages have shown varying degrees of decline in commission income, with CITIC Jiantou experiencing a 53.70% drop, while Zhejiang Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan saw smaller declines of 6.07% and 9.42% respectively [5][6] - The brokerage commission income from the trading model has become a focus area, with a total commission of 124.4 million yuan generated from this model in 2025, indicating a growing interest in enhancing service capabilities [7][8] Competitive Landscape - The competitive advantage of leading brokerages has become more pronounced, with CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan showing strong positions in trading unit rental income [3][5] - Huazhong Securities and Huafu Securities have established research centers focusing on various sectors, which has contributed to their growth in commission income [6] - The brokerage industry is witnessing a trend towards integrated research and business services, with firms like Shenwan Hongyuan emphasizing the importance of research in client decision-making [3][6]
前8月30家券商分32.99亿承销保荐费 中信证券未进前三
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-01 00:54
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In the first eight months of 2025, a total of 67 companies were listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, and Beijing Stock Exchange, raising a total of 65.38 billion yuan in funds, indicating a robust IPO market activity in China [1][2]. Group 1: Listing and Fundraising - 67 companies were listed, with 23 on the main board, 24 on the ChiNext, 8 on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and 12 on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. - The total fundraising amount reached 65.38 billion yuan, with Huadian New Energy leading at 18.17 billion yuan [1]. - Other notable fundraisers included Zhongce Rubber at 4.07 billion yuan and Tianyouwei at 3.74 billion yuan, ranking second and third respectively [1]. Group 2: Underwriting and Sponsorship Fees - 30 brokerage firms participated in the underwriting and sponsorship of new listings, earning a total of 3.30 billion yuan in fees [1]. - CITIC Securities topped the list with 399.19 million yuan in underwriting fees, having sponsored six companies including Huadian New Energy [1][2]. - Guotai Junan and Huatai United ranked second and third in underwriting fees, earning 327.94 million yuan and 294.48 million yuan respectively [2]. Group 3: Additional Brokerage Firms - Other significant brokerage firms included CITIC Securities and CICC, earning 250.80 million yuan and 231.62 million yuan respectively, ranking fourth and fifth [2][3]. - The top five brokerage firms collectively earned 1.50 billion yuan, accounting for 45.59% of the total underwriting fees [4]. - Other firms in the top ten included Shenwan Hongyuan, Minsheng Securities, Dongxing Securities, and Oriental Securities, with fees ranging from 136.59 million yuan to 171.31 million yuan [4].
存在局部泡沫化?国泰海通:总体未过热,还能创新高

Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 00:21
中信证券:我们重点分析了9月值得关注的重点事件和配置线索。第一,美联储可能的降息有望强化弱美元的环境,这将对原本就持续处于强势的资源品 产生新一轮催化,尤其是贵金属和铜,可能再度加速有色板块的行情。 第二,随着苹果和meta在9月发布会的陆续召开,苹果的 端侧AI 、meta的AR眼镜可能会带来新一轮更可持续的端侧设备和端侧AI生态产业趋势,接力当 下热炒的云测AI,消费电子板块尤其是 果链 值得关注。 第三,我们认为反内卷会逐步隐现出三条线索,一是过去2年资本开支强度大且有边际缩减迹象的行业,二是已经出现行业自律/政策落地迹象的行业,三 是供给在内反内卷、需求在外出利润,依靠配额持续提升利润率的行业。 过去一周,A股走势似乎慢了一些,但是A股走势依然稳健。展望后市,中金财富认为, 短期快速上涨后,存在局部泡沫化迹象, 我们建议投资者应该以 大局和大势为重,避免过度参与对局部机会的博弈; 国泰海通认为,随着上证指数站上3800点创下十年新高,市场分歧和疑虑也随之增加。我们认为,中国股市不会止步于此,股指还有新高。 市场也不必过虑阶段性调整,首先两融规模/流通市值处于历史均值,两市整体估值水平不高,多数权重股价 ...
偏爱金融股 公募机构上半年稳字当头
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-31 23:20
8月31日,2025年基金半年报披露完毕。根据天相投顾的统计数据,在今年上半年,国泰海通 (601211)成为公募基金净买入金额最多的股票。与此同时,澜起科技、兴业银行(601166)、东方财 富(300059)、顺丰控股(002352)等个股也被公募基金大举买入;比亚迪(002594)、宁德时代 (300750)、贵州茅台(600519)、五粮液(000858)等被大举卖出。 ● 本报记者 万宇 张凌之 公募基金青睐金融股 天相投顾数据显示,在今年上半年,国泰海通成为公募基金净买入金额最多的股票,净买入金额达 146.12亿元,这也是唯一一家今年上半年公募基金净买入金额超过100亿元的个股。 对于上半年公募基金大举买入金融股的情况,银华基金的基金经理李晓星和张萍表示,银行的经营依旧 稳健,风险拨备充足,资产质量逐渐向好,抵御风险的能力持续增强,保证了盈利的稳定性。目前行业 的股息率水平虽有所下降,但明显高于长期国债收益率,是长期资金配置的较好选择。保险行业最困难 的时期大概率已经过去,业绩将触底回升。券商的性价比较为合适,部分龙头券商的股息率接近银行股 水平,有重新配置的必要。 公募基金上半年净买入金额居前 ...