Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities has raised its profit forecast for Guoquan (02517) for 2025-2027, expecting net profit to reach 440 million, 560 million, and 680 million yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 93%, 27%, and 21% [1] Group 1 - The company reported a net increase of 361 stores in Q3 2025, bringing the total number of stores to 10,761 by the end of Q3 2025 [1] - Revenue for Q3 2025 is projected to be between 1.85 billion and 2.05 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.6% to 25.8% [1] - Core operating profit for Q3 2025 is expected to be between 65 million and 75 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 44.4% to 66.7% [1] Group 2 - The company is likely to exceed its target of adding 1,000 new stores this year, as Q4 is typically a peak season for store openings [1] - The core operating net profit margin for Q3 2025 is calculated to be 3.6%, with an expected increase in core operating net profit margins for Q4 2024 and Q3 2025 to 2.8% and 6.6% respectively [1] - The logic behind the improvement in net profit margins has been consistently validated throughout the year [1] Group 3 - The company has shown continuous improvement in same-store sales this year, with increased motivation for franchisees to open new stores [2] - The store model in rural areas has become established, providing strong competitive advantages [2] - The ongoing expansion of revenue, combined with supply chain optimization and the release of scale effects, has led to a successful realization of improved net profit margins [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of Dongwu Securities is that the performance of Guoquan (02517) in Q3 2025 slightly exceeded previous expectations, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [1] - The company reported a net increase of 361 stores in Q3 2025, bringing the total number of stores to 10,761 by the end of Q3 2025 [1] - Revenue for Q3 2025 is projected to be between 1.85 billion to 2.05 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.6% to 25.8% [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to exceed its goal of adding 1,000 stores this year, as Q4 is typically a peak season for store openings [2] - The core operating net profit margin for Q3 2025 is estimated at 3.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8 percentage points [2] - The projected core operating net profit margins for Q3 and Q4 2024 are 2.8% and 6.6%, respectively [2] Group 3 - The company has shown continuous improvement in same-store sales, and the motivation for franchisees to open new stores has increased [3] - Revenue expansion, along with ongoing supply chain optimization and the release of scale effects, has led to an increase in net profit margins [3] - The company's performance has consistently exceeded expectations, with a 2026 valuation of less than 20X, indicating a safety margin [3]

Core Insights - The financial institutions are transitioning from "traditional service providers" to "full-cycle companions" for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), with the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) emerging as a primary platform for innovative SMEs [1] - The concept of "patient capital" and deep service is identified as crucial for stimulating technological innovation vitality [1] Group 1: Service Transformation - The service philosophy of brokerage firms is shifting from "single-point service" to "ecosystem co-construction," emphasizing a customer-centric approach [2] - The "1+3" service model introduced by Caitong Securities focuses on "full-cycle companionship, full-group empowerment, and full-ecosystem connection" [2] - The BSE has become a key base for serving innovative SMEs, with examples of companies like Suzhou Axis and Zero Carbon New Materials demonstrating significant growth due to the BSE's inclusive system [2] Group 2: Capital and Talent Support - There is a call for "long-term capital support" to address the capital and talent bottlenecks faced by SMEs, particularly in the commercial aerospace sector [3] - The introduction of targeted convertible bonds on the BSE is seen as a new financing channel for long-cycle R&D investments [3] - Public funds are encouraged to balance risk and return by increasing product offerings and enhancing research coverage, with recent BSE active management products showing an average return of 140% [3] Group 3: Building a Positive Cycle - There is a consensus among participants that financial services need to shift from a "transaction-oriented" approach to a "coexistence-oriented" model [4] - Caitong Securities is promoting a collaborative action plan to support enterprises in high-tech zones, aiming for comprehensive support [4] - The BSE is viewed as a "Chinese solution" for inclusive finance, with a mission for brokerages to grow alongside SMEs [4] Group 4: Innovation Tools and Talent Attraction - The BSE's trial of targeted convertible bonds is expected to provide robust financing options for companies exploring new business models [5] - The capital market is recognized for its role in attracting and retaining talent through equity incentives and employee stock ownership plans [5] - As reforms deepen at the BSE, the ability of financial services to support the real economy is anticipated to improve, fostering a healthy ecosystem for specialized SMEs [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates a slight decrease in public fund holdings in the non-bank financial sector as of the end of Q3 2025, with expectations for continued benefits from an improving market environment [1][5]. Summary by Category Public Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q3 2025, public fund stock investments in the non-bank financial sector accounted for 1.61%, a decrease of 0.32 percentage points from Q2 2025. This represents an underweight of 8.35 percentage points compared to the market capitalization of the CSI 300 index, with a slight narrowing of the underweight by 0.13 percentage points from Q2 2025 [2]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's holdings were at 0.78%, down 0.32 percentage points from Q2 2025. Notably, China Life and Ping An saw increases in shareholdings, while other companies like PICC and Taikang Life experienced significant reductions [3]. - The dynamic valuation for the insurance sector was 0.66x PEV, remaining stable compared to Q2 2025. The holdings for major insurers as of Q3 2025 were: China Life (0.02%), Ping An (0.48%), Taikang (0.18%), Xinhua (0.09%), and PICC (0.01%) [3]. Brokerage and Internet Finance Sector - The holdings in the brokerage and internet finance sector remained relatively stable at 0.74%, with a slight increase of 0.01 percentage points from the first half of 2025. Traditional brokerages accounted for 0.54% of the holdings, reflecting a 0.01 percentage point increase [4]. - The valuation for the brokerage industry (CITIC Securities II Index) was 1.55x P/B at the end of Q3 2025, up from 1.41x P/B at the end of the first half of 2025 [4]. Market Trends and Recommendations - The non-bank financial sector has shown continuous improvement in market conditions, with significant increases in trading volumes. The average daily trading volume for equity funds reached 18,723 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 109%, with Q3 alone seeing a 208% increase [5]. - Key recommendations for investment include China Ping An, Xinhua Insurance, China Life, CITIC Securities, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, as the sector remains underweighted in public fund portfolios [1][5].

Core Insights - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that Lihigh Food achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 248 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.03% [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 77 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.63% [1] - The revenue remains stable, but costs are impacting profit margins, with cream being the core driver of growth [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company maintains strong growth in channels such as supermarkets and new retail [1] - For Q4, the company has new products in reserve and expects marginal improvement in costs [1] - The company anticipates that Q4 will benefit from the peak season, with continued introduction of new cream products and a diversified price range, ensuring revenue stability [1] Cost Management - Oil prices have remained high since Q3, although there has been a slight decrease compared to earlier in the year, leading to a downward adjustment in profit forecasts [1] - Despite the high cost environment, the company expects a sequential improvement in net profit margin in Q4 due to seasonal scale effects [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating despite the adjustments in profit forecasts [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Jiangsu state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a rise of 0.55% on October 29, with Huatai Securities leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Huatai Securities (601688) closed at 22.96, with a gain of 3.52% and a trading volume of 1.6541 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 3.756 billion [1]. - Dongwu Securities (601555) closed at 66.6, up 3.20%, with a trading volume of 1.2451 million shares and a transaction value of 1.233 billion [1]. - Jiangnan Water (661109) closed at 5.86, gaining 3.17%, with a trading volume of 251,700 shares and a transaction value of 147 million [1]. - Ruida New Materials (301238) closed at 21.53, up 3.06%, with a trading volume of 138,300 shares and a transaction value of 294 million [1]. - Jiangsu Guotai (002091) closed at 8.62, gaining 1.65%, with a trading volume of 184,600 shares and a transaction value of 158 million [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The Jiangsu state-owned enterprise reform sector saw a net outflow of 130,300 yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 1.01 billion yuan [2]. - Huatai Securities had a net inflow of 31.9 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 34.4 million yuan from retail investors [3]. - Dongwu Securities experienced a net outflow of 84.18 million yuan from institutional investors and a net outflow of 2.52556 million yuan from retail investors [3].

Core Insights - The securities sector experienced a significant increase of 2.22% on October 29, with Huazhong Securities leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Securities Sector Performance - Huazhong Securities (600909) closed at 6.89, with an increase of 8.16% and a trading volume of 4.1986 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 2.879 billion [1] - Northeast Securities (000686) closed at 9.34, up 6.86%, with a trading volume of 1.9655 million shares, totaling 1.837 billion [1] - Dongxing Securities (601198) closed at 13.38, up 4.53%, with a trading volume of 1.3059 million shares, totaling 1.725 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Changjiang Securities (000783) at 8.81 (+4.38%), GF Securities (000776) at 23.92 (+4.09%), and Dongfang Securities (600958) at 11.65 (+3.65%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector saw a net inflow of 3.782 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.532 billion [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a strong interest from institutional players despite the outflow from retail investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report indicates that Ganyuan Foods achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 156 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 43.66% [1] - The company reported a net profit of 82 million yuan in Q3 2025, down 26.31% year-on-year, but with an improvement in net profit margin due to the release of prior investments [1] Group 1 - The snack wholesale channel is expected to remain the main channel, with e-commerce contributing incremental growth after adjustments [1] - New products launched during the Spring Sugar Festival are primarily being distributed in the second half of the year, showing promising results [1] - The adjustments in channels and expenditure are beginning to show positive effects, marking Q3 as the start of fundamental improvement [1] Group 2 - The cost of palm oil has been high this year, but there is potential for a decrease next year, which could enhance earnings elasticity [1] - The marginal improvement observed in Q3 has been realized, leading to a slight upward adjustment in the profit forecast for 2025, while maintaining the 2026-2027 forecasts unchanged [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating on the stock [1]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities reports that Yuehai Investment's water business shows stable performance, improved liabilities after divesting Yuehai Land, stable dividend ratio, and strong cash flow certainty. The firm raises its forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027, reflecting better-than-expected cost reductions and efficiency improvements, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's revenue from continuing operations reached HKD 14.281 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with comprehensive profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 4.067 billion, up 13.2% year-on-year [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 13.2%, while financial expenses decreased by 52.9% [3]. Water Resource Business - The Dongshen water supply project reported revenue growth of 1.6% to HKD 5.242 billion for Q1-Q3 2025, with revenue from Hong Kong supply increasing by 2.6% to HKD 4.303 billion [4]. - The total water supply volume reached 16.70 million tons, up 1.5%, with tax profit contribution from the Dongshen project at HKD 3.596 billion, a 3.9% increase [4]. Property and Other Segments - The property segment, including Yuehai Tianhe City, saw a tax profit increase of 11.3% to HKD 0.767 billion, with revenue from the property investment segment at HKD 1.262 billion, up 4.8% [4]. - The department store segment reported a revenue decline of 45.6% to HKD 0.317 billion, but tax profit increased by 37.3% to HKD 0.064 billion [4]. - The hotel segment's revenue grew by 57.8% to HKD 0.505 billion, while tax profit decreased by 20.3% to HKD 0.069 billion [4].

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities reports that Yuehai Investment's water business performance is stable, with improved liabilities after the divestment of Yuehai Land, stable dividend ratio, and strong cash flow certainty. The firm has raised its forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 due to better-than-expected cost reduction and efficiency improvements, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's continuing operations revenue reached HKD 14.281 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with comprehensive profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 4.067 billion, up 13.2% year-on-year [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 13.2%, while financial expenses decreased by 52.9% [3]. Water Resource Business - The Dongshen Water Supply Project generated revenue of HKD 5.242 billion (+1.6%) in Q1-Q3 2025, with HKD 4.303 billion (+2.6%) from Hong Kong supply and HKD 0.939 billion (-2.5%) from Shenzhen and Dongguan supply. The project contributed a pre-tax profit of HKD 3.596 billion (+3.9%) [4]. - Total water supply volume reached 16.70 million tons (+1.5%), indicating strong market pricing capabilities and profitability [4]. - Other water resource projects achieved revenue of HKD 5.611 billion (+5.8%) with a pre-tax profit of HKD 1.601 billion (-2.6%) [4]. Property Segment - The property segment, including Yuehai Tianhe City, reported a pre-tax profit increase of 11.3% to HKD 0.767 billion, with revenue from Yuehai Tianhe City and Yuehai Investment Building at HKD 1.262 billion (+4.8%) and HKD 0.036 billion (+2.6%) respectively [5]. - The department store segment contributed revenue of HKD 0.317 billion (-45.6%) with a pre-tax profit of HKD 0.064 billion (+37.3%) [5]. - The hotel segment saw revenue growth of 57.8% to HKD 0.505 billion, although pre-tax profit decreased by 20.3% [5].