Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is facing intensified regulatory scrutiny, with China Pacific Insurance (CPIC) being penalized for compliance issues, reflecting broader challenges in the sector regarding growth and governance [2][3]. Regulatory Penalties - On July 11, the National Financial Regulatory Administration announced penalties totaling 10.74 million yuan against CPIC's subsidiaries, including 4.72 million yuan for CPIC Property Insurance and 3.53 million yuan for CPIC Life Insurance, due to violations such as improper use of approved insurance terms and inaccurate reporting [5][6]. - The penalties stem from historical compliance issues, with CPIC stating that all related problems had been rectified prior to the penalties being issued [6][7]. Industry Challenges - The penalties highlight ongoing issues within the insurance industry, where some companies have previously prioritized market share over compliance, leading to various irregularities in pricing, expense management, and data reporting [6][7]. - The current regulatory environment is characterized by a significant increase in enforcement actions, with approximately 1,100 fines issued to around 600 institutions in the first half of 2025, totaling about 190 million yuan [8]. Financial Performance - CPIC's financial performance is under pressure, with a reported 1.79% decrease in revenue to 93.72 billion yuan and an 18.13% drop in net profit to 9.63 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [8][9]. - For the first five months of 2025, CPIC Life Insurance reported a 10.2% increase in original insurance premium income to 134.79 billion yuan, while CPIC Property Insurance saw only a 0.5% increase to 92.38 billion yuan, indicating a significant slowdown in growth [9]. Management Changes - Recent leadership changes at CPIC Property Insurance, including the appointment of Yu Bin as chairman, raise questions about how the company will navigate the dual challenges of slowing performance and compliance governance [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the insurance industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The recent policy adjustment aims to enhance the long-term investment capabilities of insurance funds by increasing the weight of long-cycle assessments to 70%, addressing the mismatch between the nature of insurance funds and performance evaluations [2][3] - The policy is expected to release the potential for incremental capital from insurance funds, with a focus on long-term investments in dividend assets, benefiting companies like China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, China Property & Casualty, and New China Life [2][10] Summary by Sections Policy Overview - On July 11, 2025, the Ministry of Finance issued a notification to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, introducing a five-year assessment cycle to enhance the performance evaluation of state-owned commercial insurance companies [2][3] - The new assessment framework includes a 30% weight for annual indicators, 50% for three-year indicators, and 20% for five-year indicators, marking a significant shift towards long-term performance evaluation [3][5] Impact on Insurance Funds - The adjustment is designed to resolve the structural contradiction of "long money short investment" by providing a system that allows insurance funds to better tolerate short-term market fluctuations [6][10] - The policy encourages insurance companies to refine their asset-liability matching strategies, emphasizing the need for detailed management of asset and liability characteristics [10] Investment Strategy - The notification promotes a shift in investment strategies from short-term gains to long-term value creation, requiring insurance companies to enhance their investment decision-making processes and risk assessment frameworks [10] - The expected increase in capital inflow from insurance funds is anticipated to inject liquidity into the market in the short term while fostering a sustained demand for dividend assets in the long term [2][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-banking sector, highlighting the potential for both beta and alpha resonance in the market due to upcoming mid-year performance catalysts [5]. Core Insights - The introduction of new regulations for insurance capital, promoting long-term investments, is expected to enhance the matching of assets and liabilities for insurance companies, thereby increasing their equity investment ratios and stabilizing profit margins [1]. - The performance of listed securities firms is anticipated to show robust growth in the first half of 2025, with several firms projecting significant year-on-year profit increases, driven by active market conditions and improved business operations [2]. - The China Securities Association's new self-regulatory management guidelines aim to enhance the quality of the securities industry, focusing on compliance and risk management, which is expected to support sustainable growth in the sector [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Major indices experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.09% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.78% during the week of July 7-11, 2025 [8]. Securities Sector - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 8.80 trillion yuan, with a daily average trading amount of 1.47 trillion yuan, reflecting a 2.25% increase week-on-week and a 118.28% increase year-on-year [17]. - The IPO underwriting scale for the year reached 391.22 billion yuan, while refinancing underwriting amounted to 795.95 billion yuan as of July 11, 2025 [17]. Insurance Sector - The new regulations for insurance capital are expected to improve the long-term investment capabilities of insurance companies, enhancing their ability to provide stable returns and support economic growth [1]. Liquidity Tracking - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 425.7 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 226.5 billion yuan from the market, indicating tightening liquidity conditions [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading insurance companies such as China Pacific Insurance, Sunshine Insurance, and China Life, as well as top securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities, due to their strong market positions and growth potential [39][40].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector index increased by 3.96%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.14 percentage points, ranking third among all primary industries [2][15] - The implementation of the "28 Measures for High-Quality Development of the Securities Industry" aims to enhance self-regulation and promote high-quality development within the securities sector [3][16] - The recent notification from the Ministry of Finance emphasizes the importance of long-term stable investments by state-owned insurance companies, adjusting performance evaluation metrics to include longer time frames [7][17] Market and Sector Performance - The average daily trading volume of A-shares reached 14,961 million yuan, a week-on-week increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year increase of 138.2% [20] - In the second quarter of 2025, the average daily trading volume was 12,886 million yuan, up 55.7% from the same period in 2024 [20] - As of July 10, 2025, the margin trading balance was 18,737.06 billion yuan, a 0.78% increase from the previous period and a 19.57% increase compared to the average level in 2024 [20] Regulatory Developments - The "Implementation Opinions" released by the China Securities Association outlines 28 measures to strengthen self-regulation and enhance the service capabilities of securities firms [3][16] - The new performance evaluation system for state-owned insurance companies will now consider annual, three-year, and five-year indicators for net asset return and capital preservation rates, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [7][17][19] Investment Opportunities - The adjustment in performance evaluation metrics for insurance companies is expected to reduce sensitivity to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the willingness of insurance funds to enter the market, potentially stabilizing market operations [8][19] - The securities sector is anticipated to achieve high-quality development as the new measures are gradually implemented, fostering a more robust industry ecosystem [6][16]

"1+3+5"长周期考核背后的深意 2025 年 07 月 13 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：张凯烽 研究助理：李劲锋 执业证号：S0100524070006 执业证号：S0100124080012 邮箱：zhangkaifeng@mszq.com 邮箱：lijinfeng_2@mszq.com ➢ 事件：2025 年 7 月 11 日，财政部下发《关于引导保险资金长期稳健投资 进一步加强国有商业保险公司长周期考核的通知》（财金〔2025〕62 号）（以下 简称《通知》），调整了相关经营指标的考核方式，国有商业保险公司自开展 2025 年度绩效评价工作开始执行。 ➢ 增设长周期考核指标，引导长期稳健投资。根据财政部《商业保险公司绩效 评价办法》，商业保险公司绩效评价指标体系中经营效益的考核占比为 25%，主 要分为 3 大指标：（国有）资本保值增值率、净资产收益率、分红上缴比例，分 别占比 10%、8%、7%。本次《通知》对其中（国有）资本保值增值率、净资产 收益率两大指标进行了调整，形成"1+3+5"（当年、3 年周期、五年周期）的考 核模式，引导险企更加着眼长期投资和稳健投资。 ➢ 净资产收 ...

Group 1: Key Meetings and Collaborations - Shanghai Mayor Gong Zheng met with Prudential Group CEO Huakang Yao, emphasizing the importance of financial openness and collaboration in asset management and green finance [2] - The Shanghai Financial Industry Association held a successful re-election meeting, with a focus on enhancing the role of the association in supporting economic development and financial innovation [3] Group 2: Policy and Regulatory Developments - The Shanghai Municipal Financial Office convened a meeting to convey the spirit of the 12th Municipal Committee's seventh plenary session, outlining future work deployment [4] - A notice was issued regarding the 2025 Shanghai Oriental Talent Plan, inviting applications for outstanding youth projects in the financial sector [5] Group 3: Financial Support Initiatives - Shanghai encourages financial institutions to provide seamless and non-repayment loans to small and medium-sized enterprises in the software and information services sector [6][7] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange released an international version of its business rules to facilitate high-level openness in the futures market [10] Group 4: Market Developments - The first batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs was established, with net subscription amounts exceeding 2.9 billion yuan [8] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange announced the upcoming launch of several specialized indices focusing on niche markets [9] Group 5: Financial Technology and Innovation - The Shanghai Financial Technology Innovation Regulatory Tool Workgroup announced the testing phase for six new innovative applications aimed at enhancing digital finance [11] - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank issued a $30 million non-resident acquisition loan to support a domestic pharmaceutical company's cross-border acquisition [12] Group 6: Long-term Investment Regulations - The Ministry of Finance introduced new regulations for insurance companies to enhance long-term investment stability and sustainability [14] - The National Financial Supervision Administration released guidelines for the appropriate management of financial products to protect consumer rights [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, particularly highlighting the potential for valuation increases driven by policy support and favorable mid-year performance [1][2]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing a boost due to supportive policies for insurance capital market entry and positive earnings forecasts for brokerages, with an expected year-on-year profit growth of 36% for the first half of 2025 [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the growing involvement of Chinese brokerages in the stablecoin and virtual asset sectors, spurred by recent discussions and policy developments in Shanghai and Hong Kong [2][16]. - Insurance companies are expected to benefit from new long-term investment policies aimed at aligning investment strategies with performance evaluations, which could enhance their market stability and investment returns [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,014.81 with a weekly change of +0.82%, while the non-bank index rose by 3.96% to 1,945.59 [5][11]. - The brokerage sector saw a significant increase of 4.46%, with notable performances from individual stocks such as Zhongyin Securities (+22.56%) and Haitong Securities (+16.36%) [7][14]. Non-Bank Financial News and Key Announcements - The Ministry of Finance issued a notification to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, which is expected to enhance the investment appetite and stability of insurance companies [16][20]. - Several brokerages have reported optimistic earnings forecasts for the first half of 2025, with companies like Guolian Minsheng expecting a staggering 1183% increase in net profit [27][30]. - The report highlights the increasing stock and securities investment by insurance funds, which reached a total of 4.46 trillion yuan, accounting for 12.8% of their total investments, marking a significant increase from previous periods [2][11].

Core Viewpoint - Insurance funds are accelerating their entry into the capital market through private equity funds, driven by regulatory policies and declining interest rates [1][5]. Group 1: Private Fund Establishment - The recently established Honghu Fund Phase 1 and Phase 2 are part of the third batch of long-term investment pilot funds for insurance capital, with a total scale of 225 billion yuan, equally funded by New China Life and China Life [1][2]. - Since the long-term investment reform pilot began at the end of 2023, three batches have been approved, totaling 222 billion yuan, with the first batch fully invested in the stock market [1][2]. - Major insurance companies, including China Life, Ping An, and New China Insurance, have been actively setting up private equity funds since 2025 [2][4]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Focus - The newly established funds primarily focus on long-term equity investments, targeting companies with stable cash flows and growth potential [6][7]. - The Honghu Fund Phase 1 aims for steady dividend income through low-frequency trading and long-term holding of large-cap A+H shares [5][6]. - Sunshine Insurance's fund will invest in stocks from the CSI 300 Index and Hang Seng Index, utilizing various investment methods to enhance capital market participation [6][7]. Group 3: Market Impact and Trends - The orderly entry of insurance funds into the market is expected to enhance market depth and resilience, fostering the development of high-quality listed companies [5][6]. - The focus of these pilot funds is on companies with good fundamentals and stable dividends, reflecting a long-term investment philosophy [6][7]. - Insurance capital is increasingly concentrated in sectors such as banking, telecommunications, automotive, electronics, and pharmaceuticals, as indicated by recent investment trends [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry compared to the overall market performance [3][4]. Core Insights - The recent policy from the Ministry of Finance aims to support long-term investments by insurance companies, addressing the mismatch between long-term investment strategies and short-term performance evaluations [3]. - The report highlights that as of the end of Q1 2025, the total investment balance of insurance funds in stocks and securities investment funds reached 4.46 trillion yuan, accounting for 12.8% of the total, which is an increase of 937.2 billion yuan from Q2 2023 [4]. - The focus is on enhancing the asset-liability management of insurance companies, with a shift towards profitability and sustainability rather than merely expanding scale [5]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The new policy encourages insurance companies to adopt longer evaluation periods for performance, with a significant weight on multi-year metrics [3]. - The adjustments in performance evaluation metrics aim to align the investment strategies of insurance companies with the long-term nature of their capital [3]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the insurance sector has faced challenges such as increased volatility in profits and net assets, but recent regulatory measures have effectively addressed these issues [4]. - The anticipated further reduction in preset interest rates in Q3 is expected to optimize the cost of new liabilities for insurance companies [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the insurance sector, including New China Life, China Life (H), China Pacific Insurance, and others, due to their favorable fundamentals and market conditions [5].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - China Pacific Insurance (601601) has shown a positive stock performance, with a closing price of 38.46 CNY on July 11, 2025, reflecting a 3.55% increase from the previous week [1]. Company Announcements - The company announced a cash dividend of 1.08 CNY per share (before tax), with the record date set for July 17, 2025 [1]. - The total cash dividend distribution amounts to approximately 10.39 billion CNY, based on a total share capital of 9,620,341,455 shares [1]. - The dividend payment date is scheduled for July 18, 2025, coinciding with the ex-dividend date [1]. - Different tax policies apply to various types of shareholders, with A-share individual shareholders and mutual funds enjoying different tax benefits based on their holding periods [1]. - QFII shareholders will be subject to a 10% corporate income tax rate, resulting in a net dividend of 0.972 CNY per share [1]. - For investors in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, the same 10% withholding tax applies [1]. - GDR investors will receive their dividends through Citibank, National Association, with funds expected to arrive by July 25, 2025, London time [1].