Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with residential prices continuing to rise and rental rates reaching historical highs [1] Residential Market - In November, residential prices experienced both month-on-month and year-on-year increases, with December indicators from Centaline Property suggesting a continued moderate price rise [1] - The transaction volume of private residential properties in December saw a significant year-on-year increase, achieving the highest cumulative new home transaction volume in 20 years for 2025, while second-hand property transactions reached a four-year high but have not yet surpassed the peak levels of 2021 [1] Commercial Real Estate - From January to November, the retail sales value showed a year-on-year rebound, leading to a significant narrowing of the month-on-month decline in retail rental rates in November [1] Investment Opportunities - There is optimism regarding the revaluation opportunities for Hong Kong-listed property companies, which are expected to benefit from the recovery trend in the Hong Kong real estate market, potentially leading to a "Davis Double Play" effect, supported by high dividend yields [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market has started 2026 with strong momentum, with multiple companies successfully completing their IPOs across various sectors, including semiconductors and software services [1][2] - As of January 13, 2026, 11 companies have completed IPOs in Hong Kong, raising a total of HKD 33.1 billion, with significant contributions from the semiconductor and software service industries [2] - In 2025, the Hong Kong IPO market reached a total fundraising amount of HKD 612.4 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of over 250% [2] Group 2 - The refinancing market in Hong Kong also showed robust growth in 2025, with 574 companies involved, marking a 43.5% increase year-on-year, and a total refinancing scale of HKD 326.4 billion, up 278.15% [2][3] - The automotive sector emerged as a key player in refinancing, with major companies like BYD and Xiaomi leading the way [3] Group 3 - Chinese securities firms have established a dominant position in the Hong Kong IPO market, holding six out of the top ten spots in equity underwriting, with a combined market share exceeding 56% [4] - Notable firms such as CICC and CITIC Securities have significantly contributed to the fundraising efforts, with CICC raising HKD 66.2 billion and CITIC Securities raising HKD 48.6 billion [4] Group 4 - The pipeline for IPOs remains strong, with over 300 companies waiting to go public, primarily in the technology and pharmaceutical sectors [7] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange's recent rule changes are expected to further enhance the market's competitiveness and liquidity, potentially leading to an IPO fundraising scale exceeding HKD 300 billion in 2026 [7] Group 5 - The overall performance of securities firms in 2025 has been bolstered by investment banking activities, with significant revenue growth reported across major firms [6] - CICC and CITIC Securities reported substantial increases in revenue, driven by strong performance in their core business segments [6]

● 本报记者 谭丁豪 2026年伊始，港股市场的IPO进程已在忙碌地进行。 港股一级市场迎来"开门红"，开年不久便有多家企业顺利完成IPO，涵盖半导体、软件服务等多个赛 道，部分企业募资表现亮眼。回望2025年，港股一级市场热度空前，不仅在全球主要交易所中脱颖而 出，而且IPO与再融资市场均展现出强劲活力。 与此同时，中资券商在港股投行市场占据主导地位，凭借扎实的业务能力展现出强劲竞争力，港股投行 业务也成为多家券商母公司业绩增长的重要支撑。 当前，港股市场仍有大批企业排队等待IPO，多家机构表示，得益于港交所持续优化相关上市规则，以 及各类资金的持续流入，2026年港股新股市场有望延续良好势头，市场发展前景值得期待。 11家公司完成上市 今年以来，截至1月13日，港股市场已有11家公司完成IPO上市，主板10家，创业板1家，募资总额达 331亿港元。上市公司分别为壁仞科技、MINIMAX-WP、豪威集团、兆易创新、智谱、天数智芯、瑞博 生物、精锋医疗-B、金浔资源、红星冷链、BBSB INTL。 从行业分类来看，上述11家上市公司中，4家为半导体行业，2家为软件服务行业，其余分别所属医药生 物、医疗设备与服 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a strong upward trend since the beginning of 2026, with the financing balance of the two markets exceeding 2.6 trillion yuan, prompting leading brokerage firms to issue bonds to support business development [1][3] - Major brokerages have actively engaged in bond issuance, with China Galaxy announcing a public bond issuance of up to 30 billion yuan and East Money Securities planning to issue up to 20 billion yuan in subordinated bonds [1][3] - The bond financing scale for brokerages has experienced explosive growth, with a total issuance amount of 81.3 billion yuan in early 2026, a nearly 70% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [3][4] Group 2 - The surge in bond financing is driven by a combination of factors, including increased market activity, rising capital demands, and a favorable low-interest-rate environment that makes bond financing more attractive than equity financing [6][7] - Brokerages are using the proceeds from bond issuances primarily for replenishing working capital and repaying maturing debts, which is crucial for their operational stability and growth [5][6] - The trend of bond issuance is expected to continue in 2026, with a focus on capital supplement bonds and a shift towards longer-term financing to match the capital needs of margin trading and proprietary investment [8][9]

Market Overview - On January 13, the securities sector declined by 0.64%, with Guosheng Securities leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4138.76, down 0.64%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14169.4, down 1.37% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huayin Securities (002945) saw a closing price of 18.92, up 3.61% with a trading volume of 1.0787 million shares and a turnover of 20.85 million [1] - Fangzheng Securities (601901) closed at 8.18, up 2.25%, with a trading volume of 2.5925 million shares and a turnover of 2.146 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Huatai Securities (601688) at 24.08, up 0.71%, and GF Securities (000776) at 22.86, up 0.66% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector experienced a net outflow of 2.057 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.835 billion [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors increased their positions [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Stock - Huayin Securities (002945) had a net inflow of 1.92 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 83.81 million [3] - Fangzheng Securities (601901) reported a net inflow of 1.42 million from institutional investors, with retail investors seeing a net outflow of 29.78 million [3] - Other stocks like Dongfang Securities (600958) and Huatai Securities (601688) also showed varied capital flows, reflecting differing investor sentiments [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by China's Ministry of Finance and State Taxation Administration regarding the adjustment of export tax rebate policies for photovoltaic products is expected to impact the industry significantly, particularly in the battery sector, leading to short-term export surges and long-term structural changes in the market [1]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The export VAT rebate rate for battery products will be reduced from 9% to 6% starting April 1, 2026, and will be completely eliminated from January 1, 2027 [1]. - This policy change is anticipated to create a rush in battery exports in 2026, intensifying supply-demand tensions in lithium mining and lithium hexafluorophosphate sectors [1]. Group 2: Market Impact - The adjustment is expected to lead to the elimination of outdated domestic production capacities in the long run, optimizing the battery industry landscape [1]. - Companies with overseas production capabilities are likely to benefit from these changes, as the market dynamics shift [1]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The Huaxia Photovoltaic ETF (515370) experienced a decline of 1.83%, while its constituent stocks, such as Junda Co., saw gains exceeding 8% [1]. - The ETF tracks the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index, which includes a comprehensive range of companies across the photovoltaic supply chain, reflecting an 83.64% photovoltaic content, ranking first in the market [1].

Core Insights - The A-share and Hong Kong IPO markets have shown signs of recovery in 2025, leading to discussions about a potential "IPO boom" [1] - The last significant IPO year for both markets was in 2021, marking a peak in IPO numbers and fundraising [2] A-share Market Summary - In 2025, the number of new A-share listings increased to 116, with total fundraising reaching 131.8 billion yuan, nearly doubling year-on-year [3] - The average fundraising amount per IPO rose significantly to 11.36 million yuan, with average underwriting fees for brokers increasing to 0.58 million yuan [7] - The focus has shifted from quantity to quality, with a notable increase in the "value" of individual projects [7] - The largest IPOs in recent years have transitioned from traditional sectors to technology-driven companies, particularly in semiconductors and renewable energy [11] - Leading brokers like CICC and CITIC Securities have maintained their competitive edge, with CICC involved in three of the largest IPOs in the past five years [12][13] Broker Competition in A-share Market - The competition among brokers has evolved, with CITIC Securities and CICC dominating the top spots in underwriting [13][14] - In 2025, the merger of Haitong Securities and Guotai Junan created a new leader in underwriting volume, while the competition in the lower tiers has intensified [14] - CITIC Securities has consistently led in underwriting revenue, with significant contributions from high-quality projects [15][16] Hong Kong Market Summary - The Hong Kong IPO market has experienced a "V-shaped" recovery, with total fundraising in 2025 exceeding 285.8 billion HKD, reclaiming the top position globally [20] - The average fundraising amount per IPO surged to 24.43 million HKD in 2025, driven by large projects from leading companies [20][22] - The narrative of the Hong Kong IPO market has shifted from internet-driven stories to technology and manufacturing innovations [22] Broker Competition in Hong Kong Market - Foreign investment banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs continue to hold key positions in large IPO projects, while Chinese brokers are increasing their participation [23][24] - The rise of Chinese brokers, particularly in joint underwriting roles, reflects their growing influence in the Hong Kong market [24][25] - Futu Securities has consistently led in the number of IPOs underwritten, while traditional bank-affiliated brokers are also making significant contributions [25][28] Future Outlook - The consensus indicates a more active IPO market in 2026, but challenges related to supply and market absorption capacity are anticipated [29] - The ability of brokers to price assets and manage project depth will be crucial for success in the upcoming years [29]

人民财讯1月13日电，华泰证券指出，2026年1月9日，中国财政部、税务总局发布《关于调整光伏等产 品出口退税政策的公告》，宣布自2026年4月1日起至2026年12月31日，将电池产品的增值税出口退税率 由9%下调至6%，2027年1月1日起，取消电池产品增值税出口退税。华泰证券认为出口退税率的下调短 期将推动电池2026年抢出口，加剧锂矿、六氟磷酸锂等环节的供需紧张，长期将推动国内落后产能出 清，优化电池行业格局，利好海外产能布局企业。 ...

证券日报网讯1月12日，华西股份（000936）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，目前，公司持有华泰 证券股份有限公司部分股票及联储证券股份有限公司部分股权。 ...

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Employment Data - Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to maintain its current policy in January, with two rate cuts anticipated in the remainder of 2026 due to initial signs of labor market stability [1] - JPMorgan has removed its forecast for a rate cut in 2026, now predicting a 25 basis point increase in Q3 2027 [1] - Societe Generale believes the decline in unemployment and rising wages provide a stronger rationale for the Fed to hold rates steady in January [1] Group 2: Oil Prices and Geopolitical Risks - Goldman Sachs indicates that despite ongoing geopolitical risks, oil prices may continue to decline due to ample supply, predicting Brent and WTI crude oil prices to average $56 and $52 per barrel respectively in 2026 [2] Group 3: Chinese Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities forecasts a "mild re-inflation" in China in 2026, driven by a slight increase in PPI and CPI, with core CPI expected to rise due to various factors including food prices and service costs [3] - CITIC Securities also notes that the balance between external and internal demand will be crucial for the A-share market, with a higher probability of upward movement in early 2026 [4] Group 4: Commodity Prices and Market Trends - CITIC Jinpu predicts that copper prices will continue to rise, with the market not yet at an end, and expects significant support for copper prices despite short-term corrections [5] - CITIC Securities anticipates that investment in the power grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan period may reach 3.8 trillion yuan, focusing on high-quality development and stability in the energy sector [6] Group 5: Currency and Market Dynamics - Huatai Securities expects the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts from January to May, with potential cuts occurring after the new Fed chair takes office [7] - Huachuang Securities highlights the commercialization of brain-computer interfaces, indicating a growing market with significant potential for expansion beyond the medical field [8] - Shenwan Hongyuan predicts that the RMB will appreciate by 2-3% annually over the next few years, with a total appreciation of over 30% in the next decade, benefiting the stock market [10]