证券代码：601689 证券简称：拓普集团 公告编号：2026-007 宁波拓普集团股份有限公司 2025 年经营业绩情况 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日 二、上年同期经营业绩和财务状况 公司预计 2025 年度营业收入为 287.50 亿元～303.50 亿元，同比增加 8.08%～ 14.10%。 公司预计 2025 年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 26.00 亿元～29.00 亿元，同比下降 3.35%～13.35%。 公司预计 2025 年度实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润 为 24.20 亿元～27.20 亿元，同比下降 0.30%～11.30%。 （一）公司 2024 年度营业收入为 266.00 亿元。 （二）业绩预告情况 1、经宁波拓普集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）财务部门初步测算， 预计 2025 年度公司营业收入为 287.50 亿元～ ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Top Group (601689.SH), projects a revenue increase for 2025, while expecting a decline in net profit compared to the previous year [1] Financial Projections - The company anticipates 2025 revenue to be between 28.75 billion and 30.35 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.08% to 14.10% [1] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be between 2.6 billion and 2.9 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year decrease of 3.35% to 13.35% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 2.42 billion and 2.72 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 0.30% to 11.30% year-on-year [1] Business Strategy and Market Position - The Tier 0.5 collaboration model has gained wide recognition from domestic and international clients, allowing the company to deeply engage in clients' early-stage R&D processes and provide integrated solutions [1] - The customer base continues to expand, with an optimized structure and a steady increase in per-vehicle supply amounts, enhancing customer loyalty and collaboration depth [1] - The company is deepening its product platform layout, with nine product series demonstrating sustained competitiveness, and core technologies being reused across different fields, enriching the product matrix and creating synergistic growth effects to support stable revenue growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Top Group (601689.SH), projects a revenue increase for 2025, while expecting a decline in net profit compared to the previous year [1] Financial Projections - The company anticipates 2025 revenue to be between 28.75 billion and 30.35 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.08% to 14.10% [1] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be between 2.6 billion and 2.9 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year decrease of 3.35% to 13.35% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 2.42 billion and 2.72 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 0.30% to 11.30% year-on-year [1] Business Strategy and Market Position - The Tier 0.5 collaboration model has gained wide recognition from domestic and international clients, allowing the company to deeply engage in clients' early-stage R&D processes and provide integrated solutions [1] - The customer base continues to expand, with an optimized structure and a steady increase in per-vehicle supply amounts, enhancing customer loyalty and collaboration depth [1] - The company is deepening its product platform layout, with nine product series demonstrating sustained competitiveness, and core technologies being reused across different fields, enriching the product matrix and creating synergistic growth effects to support stable revenue growth [1]

拓普集团公告，预计2025年度公司实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为26亿元～29亿元，同比下降 3.35%～13.35%。公司预计2025年度营业收入为287.5亿元～303.5亿元，同比增加8.08%～14.10%。 ...

Core Insights - The global humanoid robot industry is predominantly led by China, which houses over 110 companies, accounting for more than 50% of the total 220 humanoid robot manufacturers worldwide [1] - China excels in hardware and integration segments, while the US leads in the "brain" segment, focusing on AI models and software [4][5] - China has filed approximately five times more humanoid robot patents than the US, with a total of 7,705 patents, indicating a strong emphasis on innovation and technology development [6] - The competition among China, the US, and Japan in the humanoid robot industry is characterized by distinct strategies and market focuses [9] Industry Overview - Major listed companies in China's humanoid robot sector include Huichuan Technology, Sanhua Intelligent Control, Lens Technology, Hengli Hydraulic, Top Group, Linying Intelligent Manufacturing, Zoomlion Heavy Industry, and Jinli Permanent Magnet [1] - The global humanoid robot industry is expected to reach a market size of 861 billion yuan by 2027, with China aiming for a fully controllable supply chain and over 70% localization of core components [9][11] Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies like Zhiyuan Robotics and UTree Technology are rapidly advancing in mass production and cost control, while US firms like Boston Dynamics and Tesla focus on core technology breakthroughs [11][12] - The strategic direction for Chinese firms includes low-cost strategies to expand into consumer and industrial markets, while US companies are investing heavily in AI and technology development [11] - Japan's approach is centered on precision manufacturing and specialized components, targeting healthcare and industrial applications [9][11] Patent and Innovation - China leads in humanoid robot patent applications, with 7,705 patents compared to the US's 1,561 and Japan's 1,102, showcasing its dominance in core technology areas [6] - The focus of Chinese patents includes body structure, intelligent perception, and drive control, indicating a comprehensive approach to technology development [6] Market Projections - By 2027, the humanoid robot market is projected to achieve significant growth, with China aiming for a market scale of 861 billion yuan and the US targeting over 40% of the global market share [9][11]

Investment Highlights - The SW auto parts index increased by 0.34% this week, ranking 4th among SW automotive sectors, with a year-to-date increase of 3.20% [3][14] - The latest PE (TTM) for SW auto parts is at the 83.10% historical percentile, while the PB (LF) is at the 77.55% historical percentile [3][35] - The Wande robot index decreased by 0.21% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 0.27%, underperforming the SW auto parts sector by 0.55% [4][14] - The latest PE (TTM) for the Wande robot index is at the 67.47% historical percentile, and the PB (LF) is at the 77.11% historical percentile [4][44] Key Stock Movements - The top five gainers this week are: - Yinchuan Co., Ltd. +17.13% - Xingyu Co., Ltd. +8.65% - Daimai Co., Ltd. +6.67% - Yap Co., Ltd. +3.71% - Ruima Precision +2.74% [6][51] Major Events - On February 4, Elon Musk publicly praised Optimus again - On February 8, Zhiyuan will host the world's first large-scale robot gala [7][45] Core Coverage Changes - Xinquan announced a $100 million investment in Bayern Xinquan and the establishment of subsidiaries in Malaysia and Kaifeng - Precision Forging Technology established a subsidiary in Germany [8][54] Investment Recommendations - For auto parts, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, with a priority on potential leading companies in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [9][56] - For robots, seek certainty in opportunities, with Musk stating that Optimus V3 is expected to be released in Q1 2026, and monitor the order timeline and application deployment by domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yushu, and Zhiyuan [9][56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive and technology sectors [5]. Core Insights - Tesla's Q4 gross margin exceeded expectations at 20.1%, marking a significant recovery in profitability despite a decline in vehicle deliveries [10][12]. - The company is accelerating its transition towards a "physical AI" strategy, with a focus on autonomous driving and robotics [10][13]. - The FSD (Full Self-Driving) subscription model is set to replace the one-time purchase option, reflecting confidence in the technology's future penetration [14][15]. - Tesla's energy business continues to show strong growth, with a record gross profit margin of 28.6% [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - Tesla's Q4 performance highlights a shift towards physical AI, with a focus on autonomous driving and robotics [10]. - The automotive sector is facing delivery pressures, but profitability is recovering, particularly in the energy business [10][12]. - The global regulatory framework for L4 autonomous driving is evolving, which may benefit companies with global compliance capabilities [19]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Xpeng Motors, Coboda, SOTON, Horizon Robotics, Top Group, Hesai Technology, Minth Group, and Yinlun [7]. - The report emphasizes the potential for companies with overseas production capacity and mass delivery capabilities to gain a stronger market position [10]. Financial Performance - Tesla's Q4 revenue was $24.9 billion, slightly above market expectations, with a year-over-year decline of 3% [10][12]. - The energy segment achieved a record gross profit of $1.1 billion, contributing to a 25% year-over-year revenue increase [12]. - The company plans to invest over $20 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, the highest in its history, focusing on new factories and AI infrastructure [13]. Robotics and Autonomous Driving - The Optimus robot is entering mass production, with the Fremont production line being repurposed for this purpose [18]. - The Robotaxi initiative is progressing, with plans for Cybercab production to start in April [13][18]. - The report notes the increasing importance of the robotics software ecosystem and the potential for public showcases, such as the Spring Festival, to enhance visibility [23]. Market Trends - The report highlights the trend of platformization in the Robotaxi sector, with companies like Uber and Alipay entering the market [21]. - Significant capital movements and strategic integrations are occurring in the L4 commercial vehicle sector, indicating a rapid acceleration towards commercialization [22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive and technology sectors [5]. Core Insights - Tesla's Q4 gross margin exceeded expectations at 20.1%, driven by a strong performance in the energy business, despite a decline in net profit due to Bitcoin devaluation and increased stock-based compensation [2][10]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of Tesla's physical AI transformation strategy, with a focus on autonomous driving and robotics [10][13]. - The global regulatory framework for Level 4 (L4) autonomous driving is rapidly forming, which is expected to benefit companies with global compliance capabilities [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Perspective - Tesla's Q4 performance shows a gross margin of 20.1%, significantly above the expected 17.0%, marking the highest level in two years [10][12]. - The automotive delivery faced pressure, with a total of 418,000 vehicles delivered in Q4, a year-over-year decline of 16% [12]. - The energy business continues to thrive, with a record gross profit of $1.1 billion and a gross margin of 28.6% [12]. Autonomous Driving - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) will transition to a subscription model, eliminating the one-time purchase option, reflecting confidence in the FSD experience and future penetration [14]. - The Robotaxi fleet in Austin has begun operating with a small number of vehicles without safety drivers, marking a significant step towards fully autonomous operation [16]. - Tesla has established a data center in China to support the FSD rollout without the need for data to leave the country [17]. Robotics - The Optimus Gen3 robot is set to debut in Q1 2026, with production lines being repurposed from Model S/X to focus on robotics [18]. - The robotics software ecosystem is evolving, with significant advancements in control systems that enhance autonomous capabilities [23]. - The report highlights the increasing attention on the robotics supply chain as companies prepare for mass production [18]. Market Recommendations - Key stock recommendations include Xiaopeng Motors, Coboda, SOTON, Horizon Robotics, Top Group, Hesai Technology, Minth Group, and Yinlun [7]. - The report suggests a focus on companies with strong production capabilities and those positioned to benefit from the shift towards robotics and autonomous driving [10][18].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The upcoming release of Tesla's Optimus V3 is expected to catalyze the industry, with a focus on companies involved in the humanoid robot supply chain and those with significant advancements in autonomous driving technology [9] - The demand for gas turbines and generator sets is anticipated to surge due to increased overseas data center construction, benefiting companies in the gas turbine and robotics supply chains [9] - Companies with strong alpha characteristics in the automotive and parts sector are expected to withstand industry risks and achieve revenue and profit growth [3] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Strong alpha automotive and parts companies are expected to resist industry risks and achieve revenue and profit growth; focus on advanced autonomous driving supply chains, data center liquid cooling, and gas turbine industries [3] - Suggested companies to watch include: - Humanoid robot-related: Xinquan Co., Ltd. (603179, Buy), Top Group (601689, Buy), Yinlun Co., Ltd. (002126, Buy), and others [4] - Gas turbine-related: Yinlun Co., Ltd. (002126, Buy) [4] - Liquid cooling-related: Yingweike (002837, Not Rated), Yinlun Co., Ltd. (002126, Buy), Top Group (601689, Buy), and others [4] - Autonomous driving-related: Jingwei Hengrun-W (688326, Buy), Bertley (603596, Buy), Desay SV (002920, Buy) [4]

Group 1 - The humanoid robot industry is expected to accelerate its commercialization, with 49 A-share humanoid robot companies being intensively researched by institutions since January 2026 [2] - Jingzhi Technology has launched its first full-size humanoid robot, Blot, which achieved a record speed of 10 meters per second, marking the fastest humanoid robot globally [2] - Li Xiang, chairman of Ideal Auto, announced that the upcoming Ideal L9 will transform from a passive tool to an active partner, integrating a complete technology stack for embodied intelligent robotics [2] Group 2 - Faraday Future has entered the robotics field by unveiling its first series of embodied intelligent robots at the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) event, including the Futurist, Master, and Aegis series [3] - Analysts from Great Wall Securities predict that 2026 will be a critical year for robot mass production, with leading domestic companies achieving breakthroughs that could resonate across related industries [3] - The robot ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159213) is highlighted as a tool for investors to access the humanoid robot market, with a high concentration of humanoid robots in its index [4] Group 3 - In the robot ETF Huatai-PineBridge, key stocks such as Koryo Technology and Tianzhihang-U have shown significant gains, with Koryo Technology hitting the daily limit and Tianzhihang-U rising over 9% [5]