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大行评级|花旗:维持将紫金矿业列为行业首选股之一 目标价39港元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-05 03:45
花旗发表报告指,紫金矿业创始人兼董事长陈景河已正式退休,自其决定退休的公告发布后,尽管他仍 将担任公司高级顾问及名誉董事长,但部分投资者似乎感到担忧并选择获利了结。花旗认为这些担忧是 错置的,关键原因在于:陈景河认为现在是将管理权移交给管理团队的合适时机,因为这是将紫金矿业 这家国有企业从创始人驱动转型为机制驱动的必要一步。在该行看来,这正是紫金管理团队如此强健的 部分原因。花旗维持将紫金列为行业首选股之一,予"买入"评级及目标价39港元。 ...
沪深300ETF中金(510320)涨1.28%,半日成交额326.07万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 03:44
来源:新浪基金∞工作室 沪深300ETF中金(510320)业绩比较基准为沪深300指数收益率,管理人为中金基金管理有限公司,基 金经理为刘重晋,成立(2025-04-16)以来回报为24.56%,近一个月回报为2.38%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 1月5日,截止午间收盘,沪深300ETF中金(510320)涨1.28%,报1.263元,成交额326.07万元。沪深 300ETF中金(510320)重仓股方面,宁德时代截止午盘涨1.68%,贵州茅台涨2.72%,中国平安涨 5.56%,招商银行涨0.64%,紫金矿业涨1.91%,新易盛跌0.51%,中际旭创涨1.97%,美的集团涨 0.88%,东方财富涨1.81%,长江电力涨0.11%。 ...
新年如何布局?1月金股出炉!这只股票人气最高
券商中国· 2026-01-05 03:07
2026年1月金股陆续披露。 整体来看,有色板块在1月获得券商一致青睐,紫金矿业被10家券商扎堆推荐,是当之无愧的"人气王"。此外,电子、机械、非银板块也有不俗人气。 展望1月市场行情,券商普遍认为,"春季躁动"正徐徐展开,中期大盘趋势依然向上。 1月金股出炉,紫金矿业人气最高 回顾2025年全年,券商金股在波澜壮阔的A股行情中收益亮眼。根据每市APP数据,国元证券月度金股组合在2025年以超80%的收益率居于第一,东北证券、开源证 券去年收益率也近70%,东兴证券、华鑫证券、招商证券等收益率超60%。 进入2026年,1月金股陆续披露。 在众多推荐标的中,紫金矿业获得中泰证券、光大证券等10家机构的一致推荐,是当之无愧的最热金股。推荐券商普遍认为,公司兼具"金+铜"双轮驱动逻辑,在 降息周期与供需格局优化的背景下,金价与铜价有望同步上行,公司业绩弹性与资源成长性突出。 中际旭创则被开源证券、招商证券等7家券商推荐,人气排名第二。推荐理由上,券商认为,作为光模块龙头,公司受益于AI算力建设加速,1.6T等高端产品有望放 量,业绩增长确定性较强。 保险板块也获得券商高度关注,例如中国平安获得国联民生证券、申万宏 ...
西部证券晨会纪要-20260105
Western Securities· 2026-01-05 02:57
Group 1: Leasing Industry Overview - The leasing industry in China is categorized into financial leasing and commercial financing leasing, with financial leasing companies being regulated by the National Financial Regulatory Administration [6] - The main business models are direct leasing and sale-leaseback, which cater to different financing needs of enterprises [6] - The industry has entered a phase of high-quality development since 2018, with stable growth in financial leasing and domestic commercial leasing, while foreign leasing companies have seen a decline [7] Group 2: Key Players and Market Dynamics - The leasing business is capital-intensive, with net interest income being the primary revenue source, and asset scale reflecting differentiated strategic layouts among companies [8] - Leading companies like Guoyin Financial Leasing and Far East Horizon maintain their positions through diversified industry layouts and national service networks, while others focus on niche markets such as aviation and microfinance [8] Group 3: Weigao Blood Purification Company Analysis - Weigao Blood Purification is a leading player in the domestic blood purification industry, with a comprehensive product matrix including dialysis machines and accessories [11] - The company has shown steady growth, with projected EPS of 1.08, 1.20, and 1.32 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] - The blood purification market in China is expected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 21.52% from 2023 to 2027, driven by increasing ESRD patient numbers and improving healthcare coverage [12] Group 4: Market Trends and Growth Potential - The demand for blood purification products is rising due to a rapid increase in ESRD patients and enhanced medical payment capabilities [12] - Weigao's market share in key products like blood dialysis machines and accessories is strong, with 32.5%, 24.6%, and 31.8% market shares respectively [13] - The company is expanding its business through acquisitions, such as Weigao Purui, to enhance its position in the biopharmaceutical upstream sector [13] Group 5: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing PMI for December showed a seasonal rebound, indicating synchronized expansion in production and demand, with a PMI of 50.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month [15] - The non-manufacturing business activity index also rose to 50.2%, reflecting a slight recovery in the service sector [21] - The construction industry saw a significant rebound, returning to expansion territory due to favorable weather and increased construction activity [21] Group 6: Hong Kong Stock Market Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to benefit from a declining US dollar index and a recovering Chinese economy, positioning it as a favorable offshore market for capital [24] - The market is anticipated to experience valuation expansion driven by global liquidity and improved fundamentals in China, potentially leading to a "Davis Triple Play" scenario [29] - The outlook for the Hang Seng Technology Index remains positive, with expectations of significant growth in consumer-sensitive sectors like internet and new energy vehicles [29]
避险情绪升温,金价放大器黄金股(517520)高开涨超2%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 02:21
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that geopolitical events have activated the global gold market, leading to a significant increase in gold prices and related stocks, particularly following a military action by the US against Venezuela [2] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks rose by 1.34%, with notable increases in stocks such as Hunan Silver (up 5.49%) and Xiaocheng Technology (up 4.68%) [1] - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit of 51-52 billion yuan for 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 59%-62%, driven by growth in core metal production and rising sales prices [2] Group 2 - The ETF tracking gold stocks (517520) is expected to benefit from the strong performance of its largest component, Zijin Mining, which has a combined weight of about 15% in the index [2] - Long-term outlook suggests that the trend of rising precious metals prices may continue, despite short-term volatility influenced by economic data and oil price fluctuations [2] - The gold stock ETF (517520) is highlighted for its higher elasticity during gold price increases, making it an attractive investment option for capturing gold price gains while diversifying individual stock risks [3]
永安期货股指期货早报-20260105
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3968.84 points, up 0.09%[1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58%[1] - The Hang Seng Index rose by 2.76% to 26338.47 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 4%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 140.9 billion HKD[1] U.S. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.66% to 48382.39 points[1] - The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.19% to 6858.47 points[1] - The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 0.03% to 23235.63 points[1] Venezuela Situation - U.S. military operations captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, who is now in the U.S. for trial[8] - Trump announced that U.S. oil companies would invest billions in Venezuela's energy infrastructure[12] - The Venezuelan Supreme Court appointed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president[12] OPEC+ Response - OPEC+ decided to maintain its production cut strategy in Q1 to address global oil supply surplus risks[8] - The organization is monitoring the situation in Venezuela for potential impacts on oil supply[12] China-Korea Relations - Chinese President Xi Jinping met with South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol, emphasizing the importance of bilateral relations[8] - Yoon reaffirmed South Korea's respect for the "One China" principle regarding Taiwan[12]
紫金矿业量价齐升最高预盈520亿 2026年碳酸锂生产剑指12万吨
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2026-01-05 00:06
Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve record-high operating performance in 2025, with projected net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 59% to 62% [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a non-GAAP net profit of 47.5 to 48.5 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 50% to 53% [2] - The growth in performance is primarily driven by an increase in both production volume and sales prices of major mineral products [2][3] - Gold production is expected to reach approximately 90 tons, a 23% increase from 73 tons in 2024, exceeding the annual target of 85 tons [2] Group 2: Lithium Business Expansion - The lithium business is highlighted as the most explosive growth area, with lithium carbonate equivalent production projected at about 25,000 tons in 2025, a significant leap from 261 tons in 2024 [3] - The company has secured lithium resources amounting to 17.88 million tons, ranking among the top ten globally, with key projects in Argentina and Tibet set to commence production in 2025 [3] - The company plans to produce 120,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent in 2026, marking a 380% increase from the 2025 target [5][6] Group 3: Strategic Acquisitions - Zijin Mining's rapid expansion is closely linked to its ongoing acquisition strategy, having established a presence in 16 countries and 17 provinces in China [7] - In 2024 and 2025, the company accelerated its acquisition pace, including the purchase of the Arequipa copper-gold mine in Peru and investments in various gold projects [8] - The company has also acquired a 24.82% stake in Zangge Mining, enhancing its copper and lithium portfolio [8]
券商推荐212只首月金股
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-04 16:51
Group 1 - Investors are focusing on potential investment opportunities and market dynamics as the new year begins, with brokerages recommending a total of 212 stocks for January [1] - The "spring market rally" is anticipated, supported by policy initiatives and capital inflows, leading analysts to have an optimistic outlook for the A-share market in January [3][4] Group 2 - Among the recommended stocks, Zijin Mining received the highest attention with 8 joint recommendations from brokerages, while Zhongji Xuchuang received 7, and China Duty Free, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and China Pacific Insurance each received 4 [2] - The bullish outlook for Zijin Mining is based on the rising copper cycle driven by demand in new energy and the significant investment value of gold [2] Group 3 - Analysts predict that the "spring market rally" will be supported by ongoing policy efforts and a favorable economic environment, with expectations of a sustained upward trend in the market [3] - The macroeconomic environment is in a marginal recovery phase, with a neutral to loose financial environment, and the technology sector is expected to continue strengthening [3] Group 4 - New investment themes are emerging, with four key allocation directions identified: AI investments aligned with global manufacturing recovery, Chinese equipment exports, consumer recovery driven by inbound tourism and income growth, and non-bank financials benefiting from market expansion [4] Group 5 - In 2025, the performance of stocks recommended by brokerages was notable, with some stocks seeing monthly gains exceeding 150%, indicating strong market interest in these recommendations [5][6] - The number of recommended stocks remained stable, with a significant percentage of them achieving price increases in several months, particularly in August where 82% of recommended stocks rose [6] Group 6 - The performance of brokerage stock indices in 2025 was positive, with all 34 brokerage indices showing increases, and the Guoyuan Securities index leading with a 106% gain [7]
最高预增超360%!44家A股公司披露2025年度业绩预告,近八成预喜
值得注意的是,传化智联(002010.SZ)以高达256.07%至361.57%的净利润预计增幅,暂列目前"预增 王"。公司预计2025年归母净利润为5.4亿至7亿元。公告显示,业绩大幅增长除因主营业务取得良好增 长外,也受益于转让部分子公司股权确认的投资收益及回购子公司股权提升持股比例等因素。 传统制造业在此轮业绩预告中表现尤为亮眼。钢铁行业方面,首钢股份(000959.SZ)预计2025年归母 净利润为9.2亿元至10.6亿元,同比增长95.29%至125.01%,增速上限在已披露公司中位居前列。公司表 示,业绩增长得益于产品结构优化、高端化发展及"极低成本"管理理念的贯彻。 同样属于钢铁板块的华菱钢铁(000932.SZ)在消化了补缴环保税及滞纳金约6.57亿元的情况下,依然 预计净利润增长27.97%至47.66%。对此,公司解释,主要得益于降本增效以及高端化、绿色化、智能 化、精益化四化转型等工作的开展。 以电子、医药生物为代表的高景气赛道则呈现批量报喜的态势。其中,电子行业的强一股份 (688809.SH)预计净利润增长52.30%至80.18%;医药行业的百奥赛图(688796.SH)则凭借海外 ...
有色金属行业周报(20251229-20260102):金属供给刚性逻辑持续,期待春季躁动下表现-20260104
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-04 11:15
证 券 研 究 报 告 有色金属行业周报(20251229-20260102) 推荐(维持) 金属供给刚性逻辑持续,期待春季躁动下表现 观点:我们建议关注春季躁动行情下电解铝的弹性和红利属性。从基本面看, 本周全球铝安全库存总体仍维持低位,海外项目因电力问题减产预期在持续发 酵,未来 2-3 年全球供需或维持紧平衡,库存或维持低位对铝价形成支撑。从 金融属性看,本周国内外铜铝比虽然环比上周有所回落,但依然维持历史高位, 铝补涨空间仍存,考虑美国当前铝面临高升水,若未来缺电逻辑造成美国地区 减产,铝上涨弹性或更强,静待春季躁动行情叠加铜铝比修复带来的铝价弹性。 我们持续看好电解铝红利属性,我们预计本周电解铝行业平均利润提升至 6000 以上,预计未来电解铝利润有望维持高位。从分红意愿看,因为这几年 电解铝企业总体进入现金流持续修复和盈利稳定性提升的阶段,并且由于行业 未来资本开支强度较低,上市公司普遍具备提高回馈股东的能力和意愿,红利 资产属性逐步凸显,看好电解铝行业弹性和红利属性。 观点:我们认为公司 2025 年业绩符合预期,公司作为全球矿业龙头,核心金 属稳步扩张,预计公司 2025 年 Q4 实现归母净 ...