| 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | | --- | 股 票 研 究 出口链月度跟踪：汇率与运价边际回落，海外 需求结构分化 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 赵玥炜(分析师) | 021-23185630 | zhaoyuewei@gtht.com | S0880525040040 | | 丁嘉一(分析师) | 021-23187266 | dingjiayi@gtht.com | S0880525080009 | 本报告导读： 美元兑人民币小幅贬值，主要航线海运费同比继续下滑；美国餐饮 RPI 环比下降， 美国住房市场指数环比承压。 投资要点： 同比下降 63.74%；12 月出口量为 1.21 万辆，1-12 月累计出口量为 10.54 万辆，同比下降 62.24%。5）摩托车行业：2025 年 12 月，中 国摩托车出口额环比下降 2.73%，同比上升 15.83%； ...

| 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | | --- | 股 票 研 究 出口链月度跟踪：汇率与运价边际回落，海外 需求结构分化 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 赵玥炜(分析师) | 021-23185630 | zhaoyuewei@gtht.com | S0880525040040 | | 丁嘉一(分析师) | 021-23187266 | dingjiayi@gtht.com | S0880525080009 | 本报告导读： 美元兑人民币小幅贬值，主要航线海运费同比继续下滑；美国餐饮 RPI 环比下降， 美国住房市场指数环比承压。 投资要点： 同比下降 63.74%；12 月出口量为 1.21 万辆，1-12 月累计出口量为 10.54 万辆，同比下降 62.24%。5）摩托车行业：2025 年 12 月，中 国摩托车出口额环比下降 2.73%，同比上升 15.83%； ...

转自：前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司：银都股份(603277.SH)、新麦企业(1580.TWO)等; 中国商用烘焙设备行业市场规模 2024年中国商用烘焙设备行业市场规模约37亿元 商用烘焙设备是指用于规模化生产面包、蛋糕、披萨、中式糕点等各类烘焙食品的机械设备以及相关展 示设备。这类设备以满足商业场景中的高效生产、标准化品控和多样化需求为核心目标，广泛应用于面 包店、中式糕点店、超市卖场、便利店、酒店、西餐厅、快餐店、茶饮咖啡店等餐饮零售场所，以及中 央烘焙工厂、中央厨房、食品烹饪培训学校等非零售场所。中国商用烘焙设备行业的发展历经历了从引 入国际技术、初步发展、规模扩张到转型升级的全过程，展现了行业的技术进步、市场需求变化以及政 策导向的影响。2024年中国商用烘焙设备行业市场规模约37亿元，近五年行业复合增速-1.11%。 产品市场 根据产品功能的不同，商用烘焙设备可以分为搅拌机、打蛋机、醒发箱、分割滚圆机、整形机、压面 机、烤炉、切片机、展示柜等类型。根据数据显示，2024年烤炉类市场和搅拌机类市场是中国商用烘焙 设备行业最大的两个细分产品市场，占比分别达到40%和30%。 中国商用烘焙设备市场竞 ...

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The luxury goods retail revenue in China is showing signs of recovery, with high-end brands like LVMH, Hermès, and Prada experiencing positive growth since Q2 2025 [15][16] - The global network literature market is witnessing rapid growth, particularly in Latin America, with WebNovel reaching nearly 400 million cumulative users by October 2025 [34][35] - The micro-drama and comic-drama market in China is projected to exceed 100 billion yuan in 2025, significantly surpassing the film box office revenue [37][38] - The probiotic market is expanding, with a focus on next-generation probiotics (NGPs) like AKK bacteria, which show significant potential in health applications [55][63] Summary by Sections 1. Duty-Free Shopping - Post-New Year duty-free shopping in Hainan shows strong growth, with sales reaching 3.89 billion yuan and a 49.6% year-on-year increase in shopping amount [31][33] - The high net worth individuals are expected to drive luxury consumption, with a notable increase in spending on preservation-type luxury goods [15][16] 2. Network Literature - The Chinese network literature market reached 49.55 billion yuan in 2024, with a 29.37% year-on-year growth, while the overseas market grew by 10.68% [34] - WebNovel has cultivated nearly 530,000 authors and over 820,000 original works, with a significant increase in user engagement [34][35] 3. Micro-Drama - The micro-drama and comic-drama market in China is expected to reach 100 billion yuan in 2025, with a 98% year-on-year growth [37][38] - The user base for micro-dramas is approaching 700 million, with a strong preference among female viewers [40][42] 4. Probiotics - The global probiotic market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.7%, reaching 93.49 billion USD by 2028, with China's market expected to reach 134.89 billion yuan by 2024 [55][63] - Next-generation probiotics like AKK bacteria are gaining traction, with significant potential in health management and consumer interest [55][63]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, with a focus on mining equipment, AI devices, and consumables [1]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to enter a new recovery cycle driven by monetary and fiscal policies, with significant capital expenditure anticipated in mining due to rising prices of non-ferrous metals [6][8]. - The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, leading to increased demand for high-performance servers, GPUs, and advanced PCBs, which are critical for AI applications [6][20]. - The report highlights key companies in various segments, including industrial control, robotics, machine tools, and testing industries, suggesting a broad range of investment opportunities [6][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The mechanical industry comprises 636 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 70,956.73 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 58,998.75 billion yuan [3]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Several companies are highlighted with strong profit forecasts and investment ratings, including: - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): EPS forecasted at 2.11 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Falan Technology (603966.SH): EPS forecasted at 0.60 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Xinjie Electric (603416.SH): EPS forecasted at 1.83 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Other notable mentions include companies like Anhui Heli (600761.SH) and Sany Heavy Industry (600031.SH), both receiving strong buy ratings [2]. Market Performance - The mechanical sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.4% increase in the index, while the overall market performance varied across different indices [10][13]. - The 3C equipment segment experienced the highest growth at 14.4%, indicating strong demand in this area [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the AI wave, such as: - Dingtai High-Tech and Zhongtung High-Tech in the consumables sector [20][21]. - Dazhu CNC and Xinqi Micro-Assembly in the equipment sector [20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-end equipment and consumables in the PCB market, projecting significant growth in this area [20][21]. Key Data Tracking - The report includes macroeconomic indicators and industry-specific data, such as the manufacturing PMI and fixed asset investment growth rates, which are crucial for understanding the industry's health [32][36].

关于副总经理、董事会秘书、财务负责人辞任暨聘任 董事会秘书、财务负责人、内审负责人的公告 证券代码：603277 证券简称：银都股份 公告编号：2026-002 银都餐饮设备股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 银都餐饮设备股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）董事会收到副总经理、 董事会秘书鲁灵鹏先生、财务负责人王芬弟女士提交的书面辞任报告。因工作调 整，鲁灵鹏先生辞去副总经理、董事会秘书职务；王芬弟女士辞去财务负责人职 务，辞任自 2026 年 1 月 16 日起生效。辞任后，鲁灵鹏先生、王芬弟女士继续在 上市公司任职。鲁灵鹏先生调任投资部总经理，负责公司投资事务；王芬弟女士 调任内审负责人，负责公司内部审计事务。 公司于 2026 年 1 月 16 日召开第五届董事会第十七次会议，审议通过《关 于变更董事会秘书、财务负责人的议案》《关于聘任内审负责人的议案》，同意聘 任王云桥先生为公司董事会秘书兼财务负责人，任期自本次董事会审议通过之日 起至第五届董事会届满时止；同意聘任王芬弟女士为内审 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别和连带责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 证券代码：603277 证券简称：银都股份 公告编号：2026-001 银都餐饮设备股份有限公司 第五届董事会第十七次会议决议公告 银都餐饮设备股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第五届董事会第十七次会 议于 2026 年 1 月 16 日（星期五）上午 8:30 在杭州市临平区星桥街道博旺街 56 号公司会议室以现场结合通讯的方式召开。会议通知已于 2026 年 1 月 12 日通过 电子邮件、短信的方式送达各位董事。本次会议应出席董事 7 人，实际出席董事 7 人（其中：以通讯方式出席董事 4 人）。 会议由董事长周俊杰先生主持，高管列席。会议召开符合有关法律法规、 规章和《公司章程》的规定。经各位董事认真审议，会议形成了如下决议： 二、董事会会议审议情况 （一）审议通过《关于变更公司董事会秘书、财务负责人的议案》 本议案已经公司董事会提名委员会资格审查通过、董事会审计委员会审查 通过，并同意提交董事会审议。 表决结果：同意 7 票、反对 0 票、弃 ...

Group 1 - The company announced the resignation of Deputy General Manager and Board Secretary Lu Lingpeng and Financial Officer Wang Fendi due to work adjustments [1] - After their resignation, both Lu Lingpeng and Wang Fendi will continue to hold positions within the listed company [1] - The company approved the appointment of Wang Yunqiao as the new Board Secretary and Financial Officer, and Wang Fendi will take on the role of Internal Audit Head [1] Group 2 - Silver prices have surged over 80% in the past 50 days, indicating a level of speculation that surpasses that of gold [1] - Historically, significant increases in silver prices often signal that a bull market for precious metals is reaching its peak, raising questions about the current market dynamics [1]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strong resilience of leading white goods companies, highlighting their high dividend yields, with Gree Electric at 7.3%, Midea Group at 5.1%, Hisense Home Appliances at 4.9%, and Haier Smart Home at 4.6% [6][22] - The "Home Appliance +" strategy indicates opportunities in extending the appliance industry into robotics, with companies like Midea Group and Fuhua Co. making significant advancements [6][58] - The export market shows potential, particularly in the U.S. real estate sector, with expectations of demand recovery due to anticipated interest rate cuts and housing stimulus policies [6][70] Section Summaries 2025 Home Appliance Review - The home appliance index has shown a modest increase of 7.7% year-to-date, underperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 9.7 percentage points [11][14] - The market style in 2025 has favored growth stocks, while the home appliance sector has leaned towards value, leading to a mismatch in market expectations [13][14] - The public fund allocation in the home appliance sector is at a historical low of 2.94%, indicating potential for future growth as external demand remains optimistic [18][19] Dividends - Leading white goods companies maintain high dividend yields, with Gree Electric at 7.3%, Supor at 6.1%, and Midea Group at 5.1%, reflecting strong earnings resilience [24][29] - The report suggests that the dividend rates for companies like Midea and Haier may continue to increase, supported by robust profit growth [24][30] Domestic Sales - The national subsidy policy has positively impacted consumer confidence, with a clear trend towards structural upgrades in appliance consumption [34] - The sales growth of home appliances has been driven by the "trade-in" policy, although growth rates have shown a declining trend in the latter part of the year [34][39] - The air conditioning market has maintained stable pricing, with a continued trend towards mid-to-high-end products [39] "Home Appliance +" - Midea Group has made significant investments in robotics, with humanoid robots already in practical application within factories [58] - Fuhua Co. is expected to launch its grain storage robots in 2026, indicating a diversification into new growth areas [59] - Key component manufacturers like Huaxiang Co. and Hanyu Group are positioned to benefit from the robotics trend, focusing on core components such as reducers and harmonic drives [64][65] Exports - The U.S. real estate market is expected to recover, with potential interest rate cuts and housing stimulus policies likely to boost demand for home appliances [71][84] - Retail inventory levels in the U.S. are high, which may affect sales performance in the short term, but long-term housing demand remains strong [76][83] - The report anticipates that if mortgage rates fall below 6%, there could be a significant recovery in demand within the real estate chain [84]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report aims to summarize important deep reports, significant commentary, and marginal changes within the large manufacturing sector [1] - Key companies highlighted include Yokogawa Precision, Zhejiang Rongtai, Shanghai Yanpu, and Sany Heavy Industry among others [2][3] Group 2: Industry Performance - As of December 12, 2025, the best-performing indices in the last week were: Communication (+6.27%), National Defense and Military Industry (+2.8%), and Electronics (+2.63%) [4][19] - Within the large manufacturing sector, the top three indices were: Industrial Gases (+4.62%), ChiNext Index (+2.74%), and Semiconductor Index (+2.68%) [4][22] Group 3: Company Analysis - Yindu Co., Ltd. - Yindu Co., Ltd. is a leading player in commercial kitchen equipment, with a revenue CAGR of 10.6% from 2017 to 2024, growing from 1.36 billion to 2.75 billion [7] - The global commercial kitchen equipment market is projected to grow from $37.4 billion in 2024 to $54.35 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 4.8% [8] - The company has a strong overseas presence, with 93% of its revenue coming from international markets in the first half of 2025 [8] Group 4: Company Analysis - Shuanghuan Transmission - Shuanghuan Transmission has achieved a remarkable CAGR of 112% in net profit from 2020 to 2024, driven by its three main business segments: gears, smart actuators, and reducers [9] - The gear business is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10% from 2024 to 2027, benefiting from the trend of electric vehicles [9] - The company is expanding its global footprint with production facilities in Hungary and Vietnam, which are expected to enhance its growth prospects [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - Western Superconducting Technologies - Western Superconducting Technologies is focusing on high-performance superconducting materials and has established a joint venture for nuclear fusion supply [10] - The company is the only global producer of NbTi superconducting wire and has a production capacity of 2,000 kilometers per year [10] - The high-end titanium alloy business is a stable revenue source, contributing 87% of revenue in the first half of 2025, with applications in aerospace and deep-sea technology [12]