Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly recommending stocks such as China Shipbuilding, China Power, and Sumec [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the launch of the first shipping industry index fund on December 19, 2025, and notes a continued increase in second-hand ship prices, with a 5-year-old VLCC price rising by $2 million to $120 million [4]. - Seasonal fluctuations are observed in freight rates, with oil and bulk carrier second-hand prices increasing. The report recommends stocks like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger demand, recommending stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - The second-hand ship price index increased by 0.38% to 194.32 points, with a recommendation for COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [4]. - VLCC freight rates decreased by 11% to $101,623 per day, while Suezmax rates increased by 9% to $78,107 per day [4]. Airline Sector - The report indicates that the global aircraft manufacturing chain is facing unprecedented challenges, with an aging fleet and supply constraints expected to continue [4]. - Airlines are projected to experience significant profitability improvements, with recommendations for stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines [4]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for industry performance [4]. - Recommended stocks include Shentong Express and Yunda Holdings, with a focus on companies benefiting from Southeast Asian e-commerce growth [4]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volume and highway truck traffic are expected to maintain steady growth, with data showing a slight decrease in freight volume [4]. - The report suggests that traditional high-dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts will be key investment lines through 2025 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key companies in the aviation and logistics sectors, including China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and SF Express [2]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from multiple catalysts, including the recovery of passenger demand and improved ticket pricing due to high load factors and regulatory support [4][6]. - The logistics and express delivery industry is experiencing a divergence in growth rates, with a focus on improving operational quality through policies aimed at reducing "involution" and the adoption of automation technologies [6][7]. Summary by Sections Aviation Sector - The report highlights the positive impact of the national strategy to expand domestic demand, which is expected to drive up airline stock prices. For instance, companies like China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines saw stock increases of 12.48% and 13.60%, respectively [4]. - Key metrics for airlines from December 15 to December 19 include average daily flights and aircraft utilization rates, with notable year-on-year increases in flight numbers for several airlines [4]. - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the aviation sector, driven by a combination of recovering demand, regulatory support for pricing, and a gradual recovery in aircraft utilization rates [6]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is witnessing a mixed trend in volume and pricing, with November data showing a year-on-year increase in delivery volumes for some companies while others face declines [6]. - The report notes that the integration of Danbird Logistics into Shentong Express is expected to enhance scale and operational efficiency [6]. - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to improve profitability across the express delivery industry, with a focus on enhancing service quality and pricing strategies [6][7]. Infrastructure - The report suggests that the infrastructure sector, particularly highways, remains stable with consistent cash dividends and ongoing expansion projects [6]. - Data from December 8 to December 14 indicates a slight decline in freight traffic on highways and railways, but overall port throughput showed a year-on-year increase [6]. Shipping and Trade - The shipping sector is experiencing fluctuations in freight rates, with oil shipping showing strength while dry bulk rates are declining. The report suggests that geopolitical factors may reshape global shipping dynamics [7]. - The report recommends monitoring companies in the shipping sector for potential investment opportunities, particularly those positioned to benefit from seasonal demand increases [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Shanghai Juneyao Airlines Co., Ltd., has received notification from its controlling shareholder, Juneyao Group, regarding the pledge of 12.5 million shares, accounting for 0.57% of the company's total share capital, to provide performance guarantees for Juneyao Group's debts [1] Group 1: Business Overview - The main business of the company includes air passenger and cargo transportation, covering domestic (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) and international air transport, as well as in-flight catering services [1] - The company benefits from being based in Shanghai, a major international city and core of the Yangtze River Delta, which has a high volume of passenger and cargo flow and serves as an important window for international exchanges [1] Group 2: Strategic Expansion - The company has established auxiliary bases in Nanjing and Chengdu due to the tight scheduling resources at Shanghai's Pudong and Hongqiao airports, enhancing its operational capacity and market reach [2] - Nanjing serves as a core city in the Yangtze River Delta, providing a foundation for international routes and customer expansion, while Chengdu is a key hub connecting Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia [2] Group 3: Target Market - The company's target customers are primarily located in Shanghai and the surrounding Yangtze River Delta region, focusing on mid-to-high-end business, travel, and leisure clients [3] - The region is the largest economic engine in China, characterized by high income levels and strong demand for air transport, which aligns well with the company's market positioning [3] Group 4: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 17.48 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.089 billion yuan [4]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Juneyao Airlines announced the pledge of 12.5 million shares by its controlling shareholder, Shanghai Juneyao (Group) Co., Ltd [2] Group 2 - The announcement was made on the evening of December 19 [2] - The pledged shares represent a portion of the shares held by the controlling shareholder [2]

公司于近日收到公司控股股东均瑶集团通知，获悉其将所持有公司的部分股 份办理了质押业务，具体事项如下： 一、本次股东股份质押基本情况： 注：若有尾差，则是因四舍五入所致。 证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：临 2025-086 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 关于控股股东股份质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东上海均瑶（集 团）有限公司（以下简称"均瑶集团"）持有公司股份 971,886,975 股， 占公司股份总数的 44.50%，均瑶集团累计质押公司股票（含本次）70,100 万股，占其所持公司股份数的 72.13%，占公司股份总数的 32.10%。 上述质押股份不存在被用作重大资产重组业绩补偿等事项的担保或其他保 障用途的情形。 单位：万股 股东 名称 是否为 控股股 东 本次质 押股数 是否为限售 股（如是，注 明限售类型） 是否补 充质押 质押起 始日 质押到 期日 质权人 占其所 持股份 比例 占公司总 股本比例 ...

Core Insights - The aviation industry experienced an expansion in supply and demand growth year-on-year in November, with domestic routes showing significant improvement and international routes surpassing 2019 levels [1][3] - The overall passenger load factor increased by 2.5 percentage points to 85.6%, with domestic routes seeing a 2.1 percentage point increase to 86.6% [1] - Despite short-term demand pressure on China-Japan international routes, the long-term recovery trend remains intact, supported by resilient demand and price elasticity [3] Industry Performance - In November, the total supply and demand for six listed airlines increased by 7.1% and 10.3% year-on-year, respectively, reaching 110.4% and 116.7% of the levels seen in the same month of 2019 [1] - Domestic routes saw supply and demand growth of 4.2% and 6.8%, while international routes experienced a more robust increase of 15.0% and 20.7% [1] - The three major airlines reported a supply and demand increase of 6.7% and 10.3% year-on-year, with Eastern Airlines leading in passenger load factor at 87.4% [2] Airline-Specific Insights - Spring Airlines and Eastern Airlines led in passenger load factors among private carriers, with Spring Airlines achieving a 92.3% load factor [2] - China National Airlines showed the fastest recovery in load factor, increasing by 3.9 percentage points to 83.3% in November [2] - Hainan Airlines and China National Airlines are highlighted as preferred investment choices due to their performance and recovery potential [3]

Group 1: Airline Industry Performance - In November 2025, the six major listed airlines in China achieved a total passenger transport volume of approximately 48.615 million, representing an 18.4% increase compared to the same period in 2019 [1] - China National Airlines led with a passenger transport volume of 13.0717 million, including 1.6374 million on international routes, which is a 19.7% increase from 2019 [1] - The international routes became a key growth driver, with a total of 6.305 million passengers transported, marking a 16.6% increase compared to 2019 [1] Group 2: Capacity and Load Factor - The overall load factor for the six major airlines remained high, with Spring Airlines leading at 92.3%, an increase of 5.8 percentage points from 2019 [2] - Other airlines also reported healthy load factors: China Eastern Airlines at 87.4% (up 7.2 percentage points), China Southern Airlines at 86.3%, and China National Airlines at 83.3% [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Strategy - The aviation industry is experiencing a clear pattern of "overall recovery with internal differentiation," with hub airlines leveraging their network advantages for steady growth [3] - Private airlines like Juneyao Airlines and Spring Airlines are adopting flexible strategies to penetrate international markets, showcasing significant results [3] - The competition is shifting from scale expansion to quality improvement, indicating a transition towards high-quality development in the aviation sector [3] Group 4: Airbus A320 Production Milestone - Airbus delivered its 800th A320 series aircraft from the Tianjin assembly line, marking a significant milestone in its operations in China [5] - The A321neo aircraft, received by China National Airlines, features advanced engines and a comfortable cabin layout, reflecting Airbus's commitment to enhancing its production capabilities in China [5] - The establishment of a second A320 assembly line in Tianjin further strengthens Airbus's global production network, which includes ten assembly lines worldwide [5][8] Group 5: Sustainable Aviation Initiatives - The A320neo series aircraft is designed to reduce fuel consumption and CO2 emissions by 20% compared to previous generations [6] - Airbus aims for all its aircraft to operate on up to 100% sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) by 2030, highlighting its commitment to sustainability in aviation [6] Group 6: Localization and Global Integration - The delivery of the 800th A320 aircraft signifies China's evolution from a market and component supplier to a core assembly and delivery center in the global aviation manufacturing landscape [8] - This development underscores the quality and efficiency of China's high-end manufacturing system, aligning with international standards in aircraft manufacturing [8]

要的是稀缺结构 有业界观察人士L总感叹，疯狂扩张的中国航司实在没地方可以飞了，只能变着法地飞欧洲。 那为什么是布鲁塞尔？最直接的原因是布鲁塞尔是小机场，时刻比较宽松，航司有更大的动力参与其中。 国航近日宣布，将于明年3月下旬连续开通两条国内直飞布鲁塞尔航线，把一个原本由海航主导的航点，直接推入正面竞争。 环球旅讯评论员高思伟对此表示认同。他指出，在中国庞大的机队规模和稳定的飞行员队伍支撑下，航空公司仍需要积极开拓新的国际航点，优化海外航 线布局、开拓新航点，以充分利用现有运力。 布鲁塞尔的吸引力，虽然不像巴黎、法兰克福那样热闹，但它拥有三重稀缺价值：稳定的高端政商客源、可早期贡献现金流的腹舱货运，以及能放大欧洲 网络的枢纽节点属性——这才是海航、国航同时加码的原因。 对西南市场而言，这一变化尤为显著。此前从成都前往布鲁塞尔需在第三城市中转，耗时15至20小时；直飞开通后，飞行时间压缩至11小时，节省近8小 时。 竞争的焦点也因此变得清晰：北京线硬刚、成都线切西南、上海线拼频次。 国航入场之前，国内航司长期由海航主导布鲁塞尔航线，吉祥航空作为补充。 3月24日，北京—布鲁塞尔航线将正式运营，两天后，成都—布鲁塞 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the airline transportation industry is "Positive" [2][7]. Core Insights - The industry has maintained a high passenger load factor during the off-peak season, with both domestic and international travel thriving. The high load factor and slight recovery in ticket prices suggest a significant improvement in airline unit revenue. The implementation of "anti-involution" measures and the self-regulatory agreement by the China Air Transport Association is expected to reduce malicious low pricing, further supporting ticket price recovery and enhancing airline profitability. Additionally, the decline in oil prices is likely to reduce costs, contributing to further profit growth for airlines. Key airlines to focus on include China Southern Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, Air China, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines [3][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Recommendations - The industry has seen sustained high passenger load factors since early 2025, with both domestic and international routes performing well. The off-peak season is not as weak as expected, with high load factors and a slight recovery in ticket prices, indicating a potential significant recovery in airline unit revenue. The implementation of self-regulatory measures is expected to mitigate low pricing practices, further supporting ticket price recovery and enhancing airline profitability [3][13]. 2. Off-Peak Passenger Load Factor and Ticket Prices 2.1 Supply and Demand - The capacity growth rate has rebounded, leading to an increase in passenger load factors. In October 2025, the industry’s Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) and Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) increased by 6.2% and 8.9% year-on-year, respectively, with a load factor of 87.4%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [4][15]. 2.2 Ticket Prices - Ticket prices have weakened in December, with the average domestic ticket price at 839 yuan, down 7.0% year-on-year. The average ticket price for domestic routes, including fuel, was 709 yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year [4][23]. 2.3 Oil Prices and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation fuel has slightly increased in December, with the domestic aviation fuel price at 6045 yuan per ton, up 3.9% year-on-year. The exchange rate of the Chinese yuan has appreciated against the US dollar, with the exchange rate at 7.0602 yuan per dollar as of December 16, 2025, down 1.78% from the end of 2024 [5][37]. 3. Airline Capacity and Load Factors 3.1 Operational Status - In November, most airlines maintained stable capacity growth, with significant increases in international capacity. The passenger load factors for both domestic and international routes have shown year-on-year improvements, significantly increasing compared to 2019 levels [4][43]. 3.2 Fleet Expansion - In November, Air China and China Southern Airlines each added 7 aircraft, marking the highest net increase among the six major airlines. From January to November, China Southern Airlines, Air China, and China Eastern Airlines saw net increases of 47, 26, and 21 aircraft, respectively [4][7].

Group 1 - The aviation stocks experienced a significant increase, with Southern Airlines rising over 6% [1] - China Eastern Airlines and Huaxia Airlines both saw an increase of over 5% [1] - Juneyao Airlines reported a rise of over 4% [1]