2025 年第三季度报告 证券代码：603919 证券简称：金徽酒 金徽酒股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 公司董事会及董事、高级管理人员保证季度报告内容的真实、准确、完整，不存在虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并承担个别和连带的法律责任。 公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人（会计主管人员）保证季度报告中财务信 息的真实、准确、完整。 第三季度财务报表是否经审计 □是 √否 1 / 15 2025 年第三季度报告 一、主要财务数据 （一）主要会计数据和财务指标 注："本报告期"指本季度初至本季度末 3 个月期间，下同。 2 / 15 单位：元 币种：人民币 项目 本报告期 本报告期比上年同期 增减变动幅度(%) 年初至报告期末 年初至报告期末比上年 同期增减变动幅度(%) 营业收入 546,160,089.97 -4.89 2,305,617,669.83 -0.97 利润总额 39,166,215.01 -7.02 423,515,271.6 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a third-quarter revenue of 546 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 4.89% [1] - The net profit for the third quarter was 25.5 million yuan, down 33.02% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters, the total revenue was 2.306 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.97% [1] - The net profit for the first three quarters amounted to 324 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.78% [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The food and beverage sector showed a slight increase of +0.86% from October 13 to October 17, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which decreased by -1.47%, and the CSI 300 Index, which fell by -2.22% [21] - The report highlights a mixed performance across sub-sectors, with other alcoholic beverages leading with a +3.62% increase, while soft drinks experienced a significant decline of -5.19% [21] - The report emphasizes the importance of performance catalysts in the liquor sector, particularly in the context of the recent Autumn Sugar and Wine Fair, where feedback was relatively subdued [2][13] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The liquor sector, particularly baijiu, showed a +1.78% increase, outperforming the overall food and beverage sector [2][13] - The report notes a cautious sentiment among distributors, with a focus on cost-effective products gaining attention [2][13] Investment Recommendations - For the baijiu sector, three main lines of recommendation include strong beta stocks like JiuGuiJiu and Shuidao, value recovery concepts like YingJiaGongJiu, and strong alpha stocks like Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai [20] - In the broader consumer goods sector, recommended stocks include DongPeng Beverage and NongFu Spring, focusing on performance elasticity and potential cost benefits [20] Sector Performance - The report details the performance of various sub-sectors, with notable increases in other alcoholic beverages and health products, while soft drinks and meat products faced declines [21] - The report also provides insights into the valuation metrics, indicating that the baijiu sector's PE-TTM is at 18.94X, which is considered low compared to historical averages [13][30]

Market Overview - The liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.31% on October 22, with Jinhuijiu leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Shede Liquor closed at 62.68, up 0.51% with a trading volume of 83,900 shares and a turnover of 529 million yuan [1] - Luzhou Laojiao closed at 134.67, up 0.34% with a trading volume of 56,200 shares and a turnover of 757 million yuan [1] - Jinhuijiu closed at 19.90, down 1.87% with a trading volume of 39,700 shares and a turnover of 79.43 million yuan [2] - Gujing Gongjiu closed at 153.69, down 1.63% with a trading volume of 15,400 shares and a turnover of 239 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The liquor sector saw a net outflow of 188 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 168 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Luzhou Laojiao and Shede Liquor experienced mixed capital flows, with Luzhou Laojiao seeing a net inflow of 41.57 million yuan from main funds [3] - Guizhou Moutai had a net inflow of 27.73 million yuan from main funds, indicating continued interest despite overall sector decline [3]

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the liquor sector, particularly the baijiu segment, is experiencing a decline during the 2025 double festival peak season, with leading brands showing slightly better performance than the industry average [1] Industry Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913 points, down 0.07%, while the baijiu sector closed at 2295.12 points, down 0.16% [1] - A total of 17 baijiu stocks declined, with Jinhuijiu leading the drop at 1.87% [1] - The industry is witnessing a further increase in concentration, indicating a shift towards fewer dominant players [1] Company Summary - Kweichow Moutai's closing price was 1458.70 CNY per share, down 0.24% [1] - Wuliangye's closing price was 120.10 CNY per share, down 0.35% [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu's closing price was 188.31 CNY per share, down 0.74% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao's closing price was 134.67 CNY per share, up 0.34% [1] - Yanghe's closing price was 69.72 CNY per share, down 0.33% [1] - According to a report by China Merchants Securities, the sales performance of leading brands like Feitian and Pu Wuliang is more favorable compared to the overall industry trend, especially after price adjustments that enhance their cost-performance ratio [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Jinhuijiu has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a year-to-date increase of 3.98%, indicating mixed performance in the market [1][2]. Company Overview - Jinhuijiu Co., Ltd. is located in Huixian, Longnan City, Gansu Province, established on December 23, 2009, and listed on March 10, 2016. The company specializes in the production and sales of liquor [2]. - The main business revenue composition is as follows: 55.10% from products priced between 100-300 yuan, 21.62% from products priced above 300 yuan, and 20.82% from products priced below 100 yuan [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jinhuijiu achieved an operating income of 1.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 298 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.12% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Jinhuijiu has distributed a total of 1.168 billion yuan in dividends, with 598 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Jinhuijiu is 44,500, a decrease of 7.68% from the previous period, with an average of 11,408 circulating shares per person, an increase of 8.32% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, the China Securities White Wine Index A (161725) ranks as the sixth largest, holding 20.9613 million shares, an increase of 6.4165 million shares compared to the previous period [3]. Market Activity - On October 22, Jinhuijiu's stock price was reported at 19.87 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 62.0491 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.61%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 10.079 billion yuan [1]. - The net outflow of main funds was 6.2274 million yuan, with large orders buying 4.2784 million yuan (6.90% of total) and selling 10.5058 million yuan (16.93% of total) [1].

Core Viewpoint - The plant-based meat sector experienced a significant surge in stock prices, particularly driven by Beyond Meat's announcement of expanding its product distribution in Walmart stores across the U.S. [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The plant-based meat concept saw strong gains on the 22nd, with companies like Suobao Protein and Shuangta Foods hitting the daily limit, while Dongbao Bio and Haoxiangni rose approximately 6%, and Shandong Heda increased over 3% [1] - Beyond Meat, known as the "first stock" in the plant-based meat industry, experienced a dramatic stock price increase, soaring over 160% at one point and nearly 600% over the past three trading days [1] Group 2: Product Expansion - Beyond Meat announced plans to increase the supply of certain products in over 2,000 Walmart locations in the U.S. [1] - Walmart will be one of the first national retailers to offer the new Beyond Burger 6-pack, which features the company's latest recipe in an economical packaging format [1] - The expanded product distribution will include three key items: Beyond Burger 6-pack, Beyond Chicken Nuggets, and Korean BBQ-flavored Beyond Steak [1]

Core Insights - The liquor sector experienced a slight increase of 0.14% on October 21, with *ST Rock leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.33, up 1.36%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13077.32, up 2.06% [1] Stock Performance Summary - *ST Rock (600696) closed at 5.84, with a rise of 5.04% and a trading volume of 47,600 shares, totaling 27.11 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Tianyoude Liquor (002646) at 9.80, up 1.34%, and Qingdao Wenzhou (000995) at 13.97, up 1.31% [1] - Major stocks like Luzhou Laojiao (000568) and Kweichow Moutai (600519) saw minor increases of 0.80% and 0.30%, respectively, with Moutai's closing price at 1462.26 and a trading volume of 25,400 shares, totaling 3.73 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The liquor sector saw a net inflow of 12.19 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 15.9 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 172 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Kweichow Moutai (600519) had a significant net inflow of 1.26 billion yuan from major funds, while it faced a net outflow of 1.26 billion yuan from speculative funds [3] - Wuliangye (000858) reported a net inflow of 29.16 million yuan from major funds, but a net outflow of 39.27 million yuan from retail investors [3] - *ST Rock (600696) showed a net inflow of 6.38 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors withdrew 5.52 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the liquor industry [1] Core Insights - The report analyzes the adjustment phases of the liquor industry, comparing the current phase with the 2013-2016 period, highlighting that the current adjustment is primarily driven by a decline in business demand, which is less severe than the previous round [3] - It emphasizes that the purchasing power of consumers for high-end liquor has significantly improved compared to the lowest price point in 2014, indicating a potential for market recovery [3] - The report identifies three major changes in the liquor market: increased concentration among top companies, the rise of sauce-flavored liquor, and improved market value management practices among liquor companies [3] Summary by Sections 1. Historical Adjustment Phases - The liquor industry has entered a fifth year of adjustment since 2021, with significant impacts from the 2025 policy aimed at reducing government consumption [8] - The report reviews the historical context of the 2013-2016 adjustment, noting that the current environment is different but shares some similarities [8] 2. Current Adjustment Stage - The report indicates that the liquor industry has been in a downward adjustment since the third quarter of 2024, with expectations for recovery around the second quarter of 2026 [42] - It highlights that the current adjustment is less severe than the previous one, with a maximum revenue decline of 5% and profit decline of 8% compared to the previous maximums of 15% and 30% respectively [50] 3. Market Changes Impacting Investment - The concentration of the top six liquor companies has increased significantly, with their revenue share rising from 18.3% in 2013 to 48.1% in 2024, enhancing industry self-regulation [51] - The report notes that the expansion of sauce-flavored liquor production capacity has not yet translated into revenue share, but it is expected to gain traction in the future [3] - It discusses the evolving market value management strategies among liquor companies, including increased dividend payouts and share buybacks, which are expected to enhance investor returns [3]

Core Viewpoint - The 23rd China International Wine Expo was held in Wuhan, showcasing a full range of products from Jinhui Wine, highlighting the company's commitment to quality and market expansion [1][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The expo was initiated by the Ministry of Commerce and guided by several national departments, serving as a platform for the 2025 "Ten Cities Linkage, Shared Food and Drink" promotional activities [3]. - The theme of the expo was "World Famous Wines, Shared Glory," aimed at energizing the wine industry's market transformation [3]. Group 2: Jinhui Wine's Product Showcase - Jinhui Wine presented a comprehensive product line, including the Year Gold Jinhui series, Old Jinhui series, Soft Gold Jinhui series, Energy Gold Jinhui series, Century Gold Jinhui series, and limited cultural creative products, catering to various price ranges and consumer scenarios [5][10]. - The classic products of Jinhui Wine received authoritative awards at the expo, with Century Jinhui (Four Stars) and Jinhui Treasures winning silver and bronze awards, respectively, in the 2025 International Spirits Excellence Competition [6]. Group 3: Brand Recognition and Consumer Experience - During the event, attendees praised Jinhui Wine for its smooth taste and sweet aftertaste, enhancing the brand's recognition and influence in the market [12]. - The company actively engaged with visitors, providing an immersive experience that showcased the quality and craftsmanship of its products, thereby boosting its market expansion potential [12].