Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is upgraded to "Overweight" [3] Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery driven by both cyclical and growth factors, with a focus on organic silicon, PTA, polyester filament, caprolactam, spandex, vitamins, sweeteners, refrigerants, and phosphorus chemicals [7] - The organic silicon industry is entering a recovery phase, with new applications becoming the core growth driver. From 2019 to 2024, domestic DMC capacity expanded rapidly, leading to temporary oversupply and declining prices. However, with no new capacity expected in 2025 and increasing demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics, the supply-demand balance is improving [7] - The PTA and polyester filament industries are approaching a turning point, with the expansion cycle nearing its end. The demand side is expected to continue growing, supported by easing trade tensions and improved external demand [7] - The introduction of quota policies is expected to lead refrigerants into a high prosperity cycle, with supply constraints and stable demand growth from markets like heat pumps and cold chain logistics [9] - The synthetic biology sector is poised for explosive growth, driven by the transition to low-energy products and breakthroughs in non-grain bio-based materials [9] - OLED technology is accelerating its penetration into various display sizes, supported by policy measures aimed at fostering the new display industry [10] - The demand for high-frequency and low-loss electronic resins is increasing due to the rise of AI infrastructure, with AI server shipments expected to grow significantly [11] - The electronic chemicals sector is benefiting from the expansion of wafer production capacity, with increasing demand for key materials like photoresists and packaging materials [12] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical sector's overall performance ranked 14th with a weekly change of 0.78%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.38 percentage points [6][21] - Key stocks such as Honghe Technology and Zhongcai Technology saw significant price increases due to rising demand in AI servers and high-speed network equipment [6] Supply-Side Tracking - A total of 155 companies in the chemical industry had their production capacities affected, with 4 new repairs and 7 restarts reported [14] Key Industry Dynamics - BlueStar announced the acquisition of Elkem's core organic silicon assets, marking a strategic move to enhance its position in the global organic silicon industry [34] - The first biofuel blending policy in China was approved, allowing for local blending and reducing reliance on imports [34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [4][3]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic recovery and tariff adjustments, with Brent crude oil expected to remain in the range of $60-75 per barrel [4][5]. - The report highlights a potential spring boom in the chemical sector, driven by the success of domestic robotics showcased during the Spring Festival and favorable export conditions following tariff reductions [4][3]. - Investment opportunities are identified in various chains, including textiles, agricultural chemicals, and overseas real estate, with specific companies recommended for investment [4][3]. Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is tightening due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output, while demand is stabilizing with improved global economic conditions [5]. - The chemical industry is at a cyclical turning point, with downstream operations gradually resuming post-holiday, indicating a positive demand outlook for the year [4][3]. - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 1.4% year-on-year in January, while the manufacturing PMI recorded 49.3, indicating some volatility in manufacturing activity [7][4]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy focusing on four key areas: textiles, agricultural chemicals, export chains, and beneficiaries of "anti-involution" policies [4][3]. - Specific companies to watch include those in the textile chain like Lu Xi Chemical and Tongkun Co., and in the agricultural chain like Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [4][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, recommending companies such as Yake Technology and Ruilian New Materials [4][3].

Core Insights - The rapid iteration of AI technology is driving an increase in chip power consumption, leading to a surge in demand for cooling solutions, particularly liquid cooling technology [1] - Liquid cooling is becoming the preferred solution for AI data centers due to its superior heat exchange efficiency compared to traditional air cooling methods [2] Industry Trends - The demand for liquid cooling technology is expected to grow explosively, driven by the dual forces of AI computing power needs and the green transformation of intelligent computing centers [1][2] - Liquid cooling systems can reduce the Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of data centers to 1.05, approaching the theoretical limit [2] Market Dynamics - Major fluorochemical and organic silicon companies are entering the liquid cooling market, indicating a significant shift in the industry landscape [3] - Domestic companies are positioned to capture market share as foreign production capacity contracts, creating opportunities for local enterprises [2][3] Company Developments - New安股份 has launched a commercial immersion liquid cooling project in Hangzhou, demonstrating the reliability and economic viability of silicon-based cooling materials [5] - 永太科技 has established a foundation for its fluorinated cooling liquid business, with initial small-scale orders contributing to overall revenue [3] - 润禾材料 has achieved mass production of its silicon-based cooling liquid products, which are crucial for data centers and energy storage applications [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities indicates a stable execution of long-term contracts for air conditioning companies in Q1 2026, with rising prices for mainstream refrigerants and a focus on the recovery of fluoropolymer prices due to cost support and supply-demand improvements [1][6]. Group 1: Refrigerant Prices - In Q1 2026, long-term contract prices for mainstream refrigerants are expected to continue rising, with R32 at 61,200 CNY/ton (up 1,000 CNY/ton, +1.66% from Q4 2025) and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton (up 1,900 CNY/ton, +3.57% from Q4 2025) [1]. - The expected price ranges for the upcoming week are approximately 62,000-63,000 CNY/ton for R32, 55,000-56,000 CNY/ton for R410A, and 56,000-57,000 CNY/ton for R134a [1]. Group 2: Production and Sales Data - In February 2026, total air conditioning production decreased by 31.6% year-on-year, significantly impacted by the timing of the Spring Festival [3]. - Domestic production in February 2026 was 4.555 million units (down 38.1% year-on-year), while export production was 6.93 million units (down 26.5% year-on-year) [3]. Group 3: Fluoropolymer Price Trends - The prices of fluoropolymers are on the rise due to ongoing cost increases and tight supply conditions, with PTFE prices ranging from 42,000 to 45,000 CNY/ton and PVDF prices for coating grade at 54,000-60,000 CNY/ton [4]. - The demand for fluoropolymers remains strong, with pre-holiday stockpiling intentions contributing to upward price pressure [4]. Group 4: Company Profit Forecasts - Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) are expected to achieve a net profit of 3.54-3.94 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-101% [5]. - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) anticipates a net profit of 530-630 million CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 111%-151% [5]. - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) projects a net profit of 1.99-2.15 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth of 156%-176% [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance for mainstream refrigerants like R32, R134a, and R125, with long-term price increases anticipated [6][7]. - Companies with complete industrial chains, advanced technology, and leading refrigerant quotas are recommended for investment, including Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160), Dongyue Group (00189), and Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) [8].

中加量化研选混合A（014691）成立日期2022年4月11日，最新规模2834.31万。今年以来收益9.83%， 同类排名1736/9000；近一年收益45.75%，同类排名2449/8193；成立以来收益38.26%。 2月2日，永和股份跌5.05%，截至发稿，报27.10元/股，成交4.14亿元，换手率2.96%，总市值138.43亿 元。 资料显示，浙江永和制冷股份有限公司位于浙江省衢州市世纪大道893号，成立日期2004年7月2日，上 市日期2021年7月9日，公司主营业务涉及氟化学产品的研发、生产、销售,产业链覆盖萤石资源、氢氟 酸、氟碳化学品、含氟高分子材料。主营业务收入构成为：氟碳化学品53.58%，含氟高分子材料 32.71%，化工原料9.06%，其他(补充)2.63%，含氟精细化学品2.02%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，中加基金旗下1只基金重仓永和股份。中加量化研选混合A（014691）四季度持有股数2.88万 股，占基金净值比例为1.68%，位居第十大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约4.15万元。 中加量化研选混合A（014691）基金经理为钟伟。 截至发稿，钟伟累计任职时间12 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing a stable price trend for the third-generation refrigerants, with a potential new round of price increases on the horizon. Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. and Aohua Technology have announced profit increases for 2025 [4][19] - The industry is entering a long-term prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across the entire fluorochemical value chain, from raw materials like fluorite to high-end fluorinated materials and fine chemicals [25] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The fluorite price has stabilized and is expected to gradually recover, with the average market price for 97% wet fluorite at 3,314 CNY/ton as of January 30, 2026, reflecting a 0.15% increase from the previous week [19][20] - The fluorochemical index decreased by 4.98% during the week of January 26 to January 30, 2026, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index by 4.54% [6][38] Refrigerant Market - As of January 30, 2026, the prices for various refrigerants remained stable, with R32 at 63,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 50,000 CNY/ton, and R134a at 58,000 CNY/ton [21][22] - The refrigerant market is entering a demand off-season, but there is potential for price adjustments as domestic demand increases, especially with low inventory levels and supply constraints [9][24] Company Announcements - Juhua Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 3.54 to 3.94 billion CNY for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 80% to 101%. Aohua Technology anticipates a net profit of 1.38 to 1.48 billion CNY, a growth of 30.96% to 40.44% [10] - Other companies such as Luxi Chemical and ST Lianchuang also forecast significant profit increases for 2025 [10] Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., Ltd., and Aohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Ltd., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhou Bang [11][25]

1月29日，永和股份跌2.43%，成交额5.37亿元。两融数据显示，当日永和股份获融资买入额4656.38万 元，融资偿还5606.55万元，融资净买入-950.17万元。截至1月29日，永和股份融资融券余额合计3.12亿 元。 融资方面，永和股份当日融资买入4656.38万元。当前融资余额3.12亿元，占流通市值的2.15%，融资余 额超过近一年80%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，永和股份1月29日融券偿还4800.00股，融券卖出0.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额0.00 元；融券余量8300.00股，融券余额23.95万元，低于近一年20%分位水平，处于低位。 资料显示，浙江永和制冷股份有限公司位于浙江省衢州市世纪大道893号，成立日期2004年7月2日，上 市日期2021年7月9日，公司主营业务涉及氟化学产品的研发、生产、销售,产业链覆盖萤石资源、氢氟 酸、氟碳化学品、含氟高分子材料。主营业务收入构成为：氟碳化学品53.58%，含氟高分子材料 32.71%，化工原料9.06%，其他(补充)2.63%，含氟精细化学品2.02%。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，永和股份十大流通股东中，信澳 ...

Price Trends - The latest price of R2201 as of January 28 is 17,333.33 yuan per ton, reflecting an increase of 11.83% over the last 60 days [2][4] Related Companies - Relevant producers include: - Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) - Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. (000830) - Haohua Technology Co., Ltd. (600378) [2][4]

当英伟达Rubin产品线携MCCP微通道技术呼啸而来，当AI芯片功耗冲破千瓦级物理极限，传统风冷已 触达命运的终局，液冷正从"前沿技术"蜕变为算力时代的"生存标配"。曾几何时，海外巨头垄断核心工 艺、把持价值链顶端，大陆厂商只能在代工赛道捡拾微薄红利，随时面临产能转移的生存危机；而今， 借着AI算力爆发与政策东风，一场以技术破壁、全链自主为核心的国产替代浪潮，正在液冷赛道澎湃 涌动——这不仅是份额的更迭，更是"中国智造"从追赶到引领的韧性史诗，每一步突破都镌刻着坚守， 每一处留白都藏着千亿级的星辰大海。 一、技术破壁：在博弈中突围，啃下"卡脖子"硬骨头 时代的浪潮，从来都眷顾有准备者。当前冷板式液冷以65%的市场份额占据主导，其对现有服务器架构 改动小、部署灵活的优势，成为国产厂商切入市场的最佳跳板。国家"东数西算"工程明确新建数据中心 PUE需低于1.25，四部门专项计划推动液冷技术规模化应用，北上广深更是要求新建智算中心液冷机柜 占比超50%。而液冷技术能将PUE稳定在1.1-1.2区间，远超风冷极限，既是实现"双碳"目标的核心支 撑，更是国产厂商的成长沃土。政策红利与市场需求形成共振，让国产替代从"被动 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Overweight [2] Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing a dual drive of cyclical recovery and growth, with a recommendation to focus on sectors such as organic silicon, PTA, polyester filament, caprolactam, spandex, vitamins, sweeteners, refrigerants, and phosphorus chemicals [5][6] - The organic silicon industry is entering a recovery phase, with new applications becoming key growth drivers. From 2019 to 2024, domestic DMC capacity is expected to expand rapidly, leading to a temporary oversupply and price decline. However, by 2025, no new capacity is anticipated, and demand from emerging sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics is expected to maintain high growth [5][6] - The PTA/polyester filament industry is approaching a turning point, with capacity expansion cycles nearing their end. The demand side is expected to continue growing, supported by improved external demand due to easing trade tensions [6] - Refrigerants are entering a high prosperity cycle due to quota policies that will reduce supply while demand remains stable, driven by market expansion in Southeast Asia and the development of heat pumps and cold chain markets [7] - The synthetic biology sector is poised for significant growth as fossil-based materials face disruptive challenges, with a focus on energy-efficient products and the potential for bio-based materials to see explosive demand [8] - OLED technology is rapidly penetrating various markets, with government policies supporting the development of new display industries and accelerating the localization of key materials and equipment [9] - The demand for electronic chemicals is increasing due to the rapid growth of the semiconductor industry, particularly in China, where the market is heavily reliant on imports [11] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical sector ranked 4th in overall performance for the week of January 19-23, 2026, with a gain of 7.29%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 6.45 percentage points [5][20] - The top-performing sub-sectors included textile chemical products (13.10%), nitrogen fertilizers (10.58%), and other chemical raw materials (10.09%) [21] Key Company Dynamics - The top three gaining companies for the week were Jianghua Micro (46.41%), Jiuding New Materials (28.47%), and Hongbaoli (26.73%) [26] - The companies in focus for potential investment include KaiSai Biological, Huaheng Biological, and other leading firms in synthetic biology and electronic chemicals [8][11][32] Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued guidelines for the construction of zero-carbon factories, aiming to establish a benchmark by 2027 across various sectors [35] - The U.S. government plans to finalize the 2026 biofuel blending quotas, maintaining high growth targets while addressing industry concerns [35]