Group 1: Market Overview - US stock index futures fell on Monday, and the US dollar index dropped below 99.00 for the first time since April 2022 [2] - Trump hinted at a desire to lower tariffs on China, suggesting a potential agreement within a month [2] - The domestic stock market is being supported by government efforts to stabilize the market and promote healthy development in the real estate sector [5][11] Group 2: Company Developments - MP Materials has ceased exporting rare earth concentrates to China, which may lead to a tightening of domestic supply and a potential increase in overseas rare earth prices [4][12] - Tesla's production of the low-cost Model Y may be delayed until next year, with significant sales declines reported in Europe, particularly in Germany, Denmark, and Sweden, where sales fell over 50% [3] - The first quarter saw significant profit increases for several companies, including: - Cambrian Technology with a net profit of 355 million yuan, turning a profit year-on-year [16] - Zhongji Xuchuang with a net profit of 1.583 billion yuan, up 56.83% year-on-year [16] - Zhengdan Co. with a net profit of 389 million yuan, a 558.59% increase year-on-year [16] Group 3: Industry Trends - The consumer electronics industry is experiencing a recovery, driven by demand for passive components like MLCCs, with prices rising due to increased orders and low inventory levels [13] - The humanoid robot industry is gaining traction, with the first humanoid robot half-marathon held in Beijing, showcasing advancements in robotics and potential market expansion [14] - The AI sector is driving demand for passive components, with projections indicating that the demand for MLCCs in AI applications will grow at an annual rate exceeding 30% by 2030 [13]

出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者：光心 2025年4月9日，纳芯微发布2024年年度报告，报告期内实现营业收入19.60亿元，同比增长49.53%，实现归母净利润-4.03亿元， 亏损较去年扩大1亿元。这已经是纳芯微连续两年亏损，两年亏损总额达到7.09亿元。 纳芯微早期创业团队专注于传感器信号调理ASIC芯片这一细分领域，了解到苏州明皜的开发需求便进行洽谈沟通，经历定制化 沟通和小规模生产验证后，于2013年底正式进行量产交付，合作至今约有11年之久。 苏州明皜是一家专业从事MEMS传感器研发、设计和销售的芯片设计公司，其曾于2023年6月向科创板递交上市申请稿。据招股 说明书披露，由于ASIC芯片的定制化特征、产品更新迭代的延续性等因素，苏州明皜选择与纳芯微作为ASIC芯片的唯一供应 商，同时纳芯微也不得将芯片的设计版图出售或授权给其他公司，可见二者合作关系的稳健性。 2019年开始，苏州明皜受益于国产化替代和供应链安全等环境变化，叠加公司领域拓展和工艺优化的战略变现，其营收增速出 现飞跃式的提升。2017年和2018年，苏州明皜的营收增速分别为-22.34%和7.16%，而2019年到2021年，其营 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][4]. Core Views - The company is experiencing significant revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 1.96 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 49.53%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -0.403 billion RMB, a decrease of 31.95% year-over-year [1][4]. - The automotive segment is becoming a key revenue driver, with its contribution expected to rise to 36.88% in 2024, up by 5.9 percentage points [1][3]. - The report highlights the successful launch of new products in the signal chain, power management, and sensor categories, with respective revenues of 0.963 billion RMB, 0.703 billion RMB, and 0.274 billion RMB in 2024, showing year-over-year increases of 36.57%, 64.37%, and 65.29% [2][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the easing of pricing pressures due to U.S.-China tariff policies and accelerated domestic production [1][3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a revenue of 1.96 billion RMB for 2024, with a quarterly revenue of 0.594 billion RMB in Q4 2024, marking a year-over-year increase of 91.64% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 14.93% [1][2]. - The gross margin has decreased by 5.9 percentage points to 32.7% due to increased competition and pricing pressures [1][2]. Product Development - The company has launched several new automotive products, including power path protection and various sensor chips, with stable mass production expected for 2025 [3][4]. - The total number of product SKUs has exceeded 3,300, with over 1,000 from the newly acquired company, Maiguan [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are 2.803 billion RMB and 3.587 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits of -0.7596 billion RMB and 0.15254 billion RMB [4][6]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 247.80 RMB, reflecting a significant increase from the previous target of 149.02 RMB [4][8].

证券研究报告 纳芯微 (688052 CH) 收入同比高增，汽车新品进入收获期 | 华泰研究 | | 更新报告 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 4 月 | 15 日│中国内地 | 半导体 | 2024 年营收 19.60 亿元(yoy +49.53%），归母净利润-4.03 亿元(yoy -31.95%) ， 符 合 业 绩 快 报 。 2024 年 Q4 单 季 度 营 收 5.94 亿 元 （yoy+91.64%/qoq+14.93%），归母净利 482.53 万元，同环比扭亏。 我们 看到公司围绕汽车布局新产品正逐步进入收获期，2024 年公司汽车收入占 比提升 5.9pct 至 36.88%。但受行业竞争等影响，毛利率同比下降 5.9pct 至 32.7%。公司剔除股份支付费用后的研发费用同比增长 44.6%，盈利水 平短期承压。我们看好 1)2025 年模拟下游如汽车工业等需求持续回暖，叠 加麦歌恩并表，公司收入有望持续高增；2）受中美关税政策影响，模拟降 价压力有望缓解，国产化导入有望加速，公司有望率先受益，维持"买入"。 2024 回顾：收入同比高增，信号链+电源管 ...

证券代码：688052 证券简称：纳芯微 公告编号：2025-022 苏州纳芯微电子股份有限公司 首次公开发行部分限售股上市流通公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次股票上市类型为首发限售股份；股票认购方式为网下，上市股数为 49,187,880股。 本次股票上市流通总数为49,187,880股。 本次股票上市流通日期为2025 年 4 月 22 日。 一、本次上市流通的限售股类型 中国证券监督管理委员会（以下简称"中国证监会"）出具了《关于同意苏州纳 芯微电子股份有限公司首次公开发行股票注册的批复》（证监许可〔2022〕427 号）， 同意公司首次公开发行股票的注册申请。公司首次向社会公众公开发行人民币普 通股（A 股）股票 25,266,000 股，并于 2022 年 4 月 22 日在上海证券交易所科创 板挂牌上市。公司首次公开发行 A 股前总股本为 75,798,000 股，首次公开发行 A 股后总股本为 101,064,000 股，其中有限售条件流通股 79,485,340 股 ...

光大证券股份有限公司 关于苏州纳芯微电子股份有限公司 首次公开发行部分限售股上市流通事项的核查意见 2022 年 10 月 24 日，公司首次公开发行网下配售限售的 1,226,451 股限售股 上市流通。 2023 年 4 月 24 日，公司首次公开发行战略配售限售股及部分限售股 29,981,911 股限售股上市流通。 2023 年 6 月 30 日，公司首次公开发行部分限售股 2,205,000 股限售股上市流 通。 2023 年 7 月 21 日，公司首次公开发行部分限售股 4,410,000 股限售股上市流 通。 1 2023 年 8 月 24 日，公司首次公开发行部分限售股 302,400 股限售股上市流 通。 2023 年 9 月 28 日，公司首次公开发行部分限售股 9,702,000 股限售股上市流 通。 光大证券股份有限公司（以下简称"光大证券"或"保荐机构"）作为苏州 纳芯微电子股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"纳芯微"）首次公开发行A股 股票并在科创板上市的保荐机构和持续督导机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务 管理办法》、《上海证券交易所科创板股票上市规则》以及《科创板上市公司持 续监管 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the semiconductor sector, including 圣邦股份 (Sengbang), 纳芯微 (Naxinwei), and others [8][16]. Core Insights - The newly released semiconductor origin recognition rules indicate that the location of wafer fabrication will be considered the origin, potentially increasing costs for chips fabricated in the U.S. due to tariffs [4][14]. - The CITE 2025 exhibition showcased over 1,000 exhibitors and highlighted advancements in smart terminals, AI, and other cutting-edge technologies [5][15]. - The electronic industry experienced a decline of 3.31% from April 7 to April 11, ranking 14th among all sectors, with a current P/E ratio of 52.63 [21][24]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The electronic sector's performance was down by 3.31% during the week of April 7-11, with semiconductor equipment and analog chip design showing slight increases [21][25]. - The report notes that the semiconductor materials and discrete devices sectors ranked fourth and fifth in terms of valuation [25]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report highlights several companies with their respective earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, recommending a "Buy" for companies like 圣邦股份 (Sengbang) and 纳芯微 (Naxinwei) [8][16]. - The earnings forecasts for 2023, 2024E, and 2025E are provided for each company, indicating growth potential [16][33]. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the impact of U.S. tariffs on semiconductor products, particularly affecting analog chips fabricated in the U.S. [4][14]. - The CITE 2025 event emphasized the importance of innovation in the electronics sector, showcasing new products and technologies [5][15]. Overseas Leaders Overview - The report notes that overseas semiconductor leaders showed varied performance, with 博通 (Broadcom) leading with a 17.78% increase [17][18]. - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index reflects a mixed trend, indicating fluctuations in the semiconductor market [19][20].

4月11日，中国半导体行业协会发布《关于半导体产品"原产地"认定规则的紧急通知》（下称"通 知"）。根据海关总署的相关规定，集成电路原产地按照四位税则号改变原则认定，即流片地认定为原 产地。中国半导体行业协会建议"集成电路"无论已封装或未封装，进口报关时的原产地以"晶圆流片工 厂"所在地为准进行申报。 值得注意的是，《通知》中所提到的"四位税则号改变原则"，即"税则改变（CTC）方法"，是指当货物 与生产该货物的原材料被归入《商品名称与编码协调制度的国际公约》中的不同税号时，即可视为该货 物经过生产制造已经发生了实质性改变，并获得原厂资格，比如在芯片在流片阶段从裸硅片变成未封装 芯片便适用于该原则。 事实上，我国海关对芯片原产地的这一认定规则并没有发生变更。 此前，市场普遍认为集成电路的原产地以封装地为准，而通常在美国本土生产晶圆、在国内或东南亚封 装的部分美国半导体IDM厂商不会受到关税反制政策的冲击。而此次对芯片原产地认定规则的再明确， 使市场逻辑更加清晰，A股市场也快速做出反应。4月11日，半导体板块大涨，唯捷创芯、晶华微（维 权）、纳芯微等多只股票涨停。 责任编辑：AI观察员 根据中国海关数据，202 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the significant impact of the April 2025 increase in US import tariffs, marking a new phase in global trade barriers and accelerating the regional restructuring of the electronics supply chain, creating opportunities for domestic semiconductor companies [2][15] - The report emphasizes that the tariff adjustments will likely lead to a short-term supply adjustment for US chip manufacturers due to increased costs, while long-term, the cost advantages of US IDM companies in the Chinese market will diminish, benefiting local semiconductor firms [2][15] - The report identifies key areas for domestic substitution, particularly in analog chips and RF modules, where local manufacturers are expected to gain market share due to reduced price pressures from foreign competitors [3][17] Group 2 - The semiconductor industry is entering an upward cycle, supported by a recovery in consumer electronics and AI computing demand, alongside the catalyzing effect of tariff policies [4][23] - The report forecasts strong earnings for leading companies in various segments, with notable projections such as North China Innovation's expected net profit of 1.42-1.74 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.69%-52.79% [4][20] - The report suggests focusing on companies that will benefit from tariff impacts, including those in analog chips, RF chips, and storage sectors, as well as those involved in domestic manufacturing and critical technology breakthroughs [5][23] Group 3 - The report indicates that the domestic self-sufficiency rate for analog chips is expected to rise significantly due to tariff impacts, with projections showing an increase from approximately 15% in 2023 to over 16% in 2024 [19][22] - The semiconductor sales in China are projected to exceed 170 billion USD in 2024, with a stable growth outlook for the industry despite challenges in the mid-to-low-end market segments [44][45] - The report notes that the global semiconductor market is expected to recover strongly in 2024, with a projected growth rate of 19%, driven by core markets like China and the US [44][45]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the domestic consumption electronics industry chain, suggesting a focus on companies related to this sector due to the resilience expected under the "reciprocal tariffs" policy [3]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that electronic products are a major category in China's exports to the US, with a total export scale of USD 125.8 billion in 2024, accounting for 24% of total exports to the US [3]. - It emphasizes the acceleration of domestic substitution due to increased tariffs, with a recommendation to focus on domestic companies in sectors significantly impacted by import tariffs, such as analog chips, CPUs, and semiconductor equipment [3]. - The report notes that the import tariff rate on all goods from the US has risen to 125%, enhancing the cost advantage of domestic products [3]. Summary by Sections Market Weekly Review - The TMT sector experienced declines across major industries, with electronics down 3.89%, computers down 5.79%, media down 6.78%, and communications down 7.67%, underperforming the CSI 300 index which fell 2.87% [3]. - The top-performing sub-industries included analog chip design (up 6.04%) and semiconductor equipment (up 2.23%), while the worst performers were communication network equipment and devices (down 11.74%) and printed circuit boards (down 10.16%) [3]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Significant events in the industry include the Siemens Data Center Ecosystem Conference and the 13th China Electronic Information Expo [16]. - The report mentions that global AI IT investment is projected to reach USD 315.8 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.9% expected until 2028 [26]. - It also notes that the global generative AI market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 63.8%, reaching USD 284.2 billion by 2028, representing 35% of the total AI market investment [26].