Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance on July 15, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 0.93% to 3486.88 points, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.64% [2] - The total market turnover reached 1.1 trillion yuan, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous day [5] Sector Performance - The coal and power sectors experienced notable declines, with major companies like Dayou Energy and Shaanxi Black Cat seeing significant drops of 8.61% and 7.08% respectively [8][9] - The power sector also faced losses, with Huayin Power and Huaneng International dropping by 9.60% and 9.58% respectively [9] Notable Stocks - On the contrary, Upwind New Materials achieved a 20.01% increase, marking its fifth consecutive trading day of gains, closing at 19.37 yuan per share [19][22] - The stock has been highlighted as one of the "doubling stocks" for the month, following an announcement of a significant share acquisition by Zhiyuan Robotics [22] Earnings Forecasts - Several companies reported poor earnings forecasts, leading to multiple stocks hitting their daily limit down. For instance, Ando麦A projected a net loss of 108 million to 54 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [11] - Other companies like Tongding Interconnection and Xingmin Zhitong also faced significant losses, with expected net losses of 80 million to 100 million yuan and 170 million to 250 million yuan respectively [14][17] Regulatory and Industry Insights - The China Coal Transportation and Marketing Association emphasized the need for coal companies to recognize the severe imbalance in supply and demand, urging adherence to long-term contracts and improved management practices [11]

Core Viewpoint - The coal and electricity sectors are experiencing declines, while the company "Shangwei New Materials" is seeing a surge with five consecutive trading limits [2][10][26]. Market Overview - On July 15, the A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.93% to 3486.88 points, while the ChiNext Index rose 0.64% [2][5]. - The total market turnover reached 1.1 trillion yuan, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous day [5]. Sector Performance - The communication sector performed well, with significant gains in optical modules, optical chips, and optical communication stocks [5][6]. - The coal sector saw major declines, with companies like Dayou Energy and Shaanxi Black Cat experiencing drops of 8.61% and 7.08% respectively [10][11]. - The electricity sector also faced downturns, with Huayin Power and Tuo Ri New Energy dropping by 9.60% and 8.72% respectively [12][13]. Company-Specific Developments - Shangwei New Materials achieved a 20.01% increase in stock price, marking its fifth consecutive trading limit [26][27]. - The company announced that its price-to-earnings ratio is significantly higher than the industry average, advising investors to be cautious [27]. - The acquisition of a 63.62% stake by Zhiyuan Robotics is set to change the controlling shareholder and actual controller of Shangwei New Materials [27]. Earnings Forecasts - Several companies, including Ando Mai A and Tongding Interconnection, are expected to report losses for the first half of the year, leading to significant stock price declines [17][20][23]. - The coal industry is facing challenges due to a mismatch in supply and demand, prompting calls for improved contract management and industry self-regulation [15].

Group 1: Stock Performance - Multiple stocks have shown significant price increases, with notable performances including Lvtian Machinery with a 10.02% rise over three consecutive days, and Dayilong with a 9.99% increase also over three days [3][4] - New Yi Sheng is projected to achieve a net profit of 3.7 billion to 4.2 billion yuan for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 328%-385% [5] - Stocks related to liquid cooling for data centers, such as Bohui Co., have seen a rise of 19.97%, driven by increased demand for cooling solutions in AI applications [8][7] Group 2: Industry Trends - The liquid cooling system is identified as a crucial component for data centers, with a surge in demand attributed to AI applications, leading to a significant growth forecast for this sector [7] - The rare earth permanent magnet industry has experienced a notable increase in exports, with June exports reaching 7,742.2 tons, a month-on-month increase of over 30% [9] - The Chinese innovative drug sector is considered to be undervalued, with a market capitalization only 14%-15% of that of U.S. counterparts, despite contributing nearly 33% to global innovation [16] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - Experts suggest that the next phase will focus on enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the system, improving the efficiency of mergers and acquisitions, and fostering patient capital [11] - Stocks like Jinpu Titanium and Fuda Alloy have seen initial gains of 10.11% and 10.01% respectively, attributed to merger and acquisition activities [12]

行 业 及 产 业 机械设备 2025 年 07 月 15 日 国产机器人阵营崛起，商业化场景 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 胡书捷 A0230524070007 husj@swsresearch.com 联系人 胡书捷 (8621)23297818× husj@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 应用已现 看好 ——机器人行业点评 - ⚫ 机器人公司实现证券化是大趋势，优必选、越疆等港股上市，多家零部件公司被上市公 司收购，港股多家机器人公司排队上市，智元等人形机器人公司有积极动作： ⚫ 1）5 月 28 日，杭州宇树科技有限公司即日起名称变更为"杭州宇树科技股份有限公 司"，并于 6 月完成 C 轮融资的交割，由中国移动旗下基金、腾讯、锦秋基金、阿 里、蚂蚁集团、吉利资本等共同领投。 ⚫ 2）7 月 8 日，上纬新材发布公告：智元与上市公司控股股东签署《股份转让协议》， ...

Macro Strategy - The "Great Beautiful Act" has been quickly implemented, but its distribution effects and the tightening fiscal impact from excluding extended and expanded tax cuts limit its growth stimulus for the US economy [1][24] - The act's characteristic of "increasing deficits first, reducing deficits later" implies a risk of a "fiscal cliff" around 2028 [1][24] - In the short term, concerns about the impact of US Treasury issuance on market liquidity and yield premiums are not excessive; however, the long-term path dependency of unsustainable US government debt makes it difficult for Treasury yield premiums to decrease [1][24] Fixed Income - The "stock-bond seesaw" effect is evident as the stock market stabilizes, influencing bond yields; the 10-year government bond yield rose from 1.641% to 1.666% during the week [3][5] - The bond market's reaction to Trump's threats of additional tariffs on BRICS countries was muted, indicating a limited impact on bond yields [3][5] - The bond yield's upward trend is expected to continue, influenced by stock market performance, but the extent of the increase is likely to be limited [5] Industry Insights - Wanda Film's diversified layout in esports and concert live streaming is expected to create new growth points, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.0 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan, respectively [8] - Lianlian Digital is projected to achieve a reasonable P/S valuation of 8.0x and 7.0x for 2025 and 2026, respectively, as it continues to expand its business [10] - Youyou Foods has revised its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 232 million, 285 million, and 329 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 47.2%, 23.2%, and 15.3% [11] - Siyi Electric's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 1.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46%, driven by strong overseas orders [14][15] - The energy sector, represented by Furan Energy, anticipates stable growth in natural gas supply and a steady increase in new energy business, with net profit forecasts of 872 million, 922 million, and 976 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12] - The lithium battery sector, represented by Weilan Lithium Core, has revised its profit expectations upwards, forecasting net profits of 750 million, 1 billion, and 1.31 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting significant growth [13] - The pharmaceutical sector, represented by Lianbang Pharmaceutical, is expected to see revenue growth driven by innovative drug development, with net profits projected at 3.11 billion, 3.10 billion, and 3.38 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [21]

Core Viewpoint - The entry of Zhiyuan Robotics into the Sci-Tech Innovation Board-listed company, Shuangwei New Materials, has attracted significant attention in the capital market, highlighting a collective leap of Zhejiang automotive parts companies into the humanoid robotics industry, aiming for high-quality development and a new growth curve [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Transition - Zhejiang Province has over 100 humanoid robotics-related companies, with more than 40 listed on the A-share market, indicating a robust shift from automotive manufacturing to humanoid robotics assembly [2]. - Companies like Xiash Precision and Junsheng Electronics are strategically pivoting towards humanoid robotics as a second growth curve, leveraging their existing automotive parts expertise [2][4]. - The humanoid robotics industry is seen as a new growth space, with companies like Shuanglin Co. and Wanliyang actively developing core components to tap into a market worth hundreds of billions [2][4]. Group 2: Technological Synergy - The transition of Zhejiang automotive parts companies to humanoid robotics is facilitated by the technological similarities in precision manufacturing, power control, and sensor integration, allowing for cost-effective R&D [7][11]. - Companies are utilizing existing production equipment and supply chains from the automotive sector to minimize costs and risks associated with entering the humanoid robotics market [9][11]. - The collaboration with leading automotive manufacturers enhances the supply chain and accelerates the development of humanoid robotics components [8][9]. Group 3: Market Potential - The humanoid robotics market is projected to experience explosive growth, with global sales expected to reach 1.24 million units by 2025 and over 500 million units by 2035, indicating a significant opportunity for companies in this sector [4][5]. - The aging population and labor shortages in manufacturing are driving the demand for humanoid robots, further solidifying the market's potential [6]. Group 4: Policy Support and Ecosystem - The Zhejiang government is providing targeted policy support to facilitate the transition of traditional manufacturing to future industries, emphasizing a collaborative approach between enterprises, academia, and research institutions [13][14]. - The establishment of a comprehensive ecosystem that includes supply chain collaboration and technological innovation is crucial for the successful transition of companies into the humanoid robotics sector [12][14].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced mixed performance on July 14, with the Shanghai Composite Index recording a three-day rise, reaching a new closing high for the year. The index rose by 0.27% to 3519.65 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.11% and 0.45%, respectively. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 148.09 billion yuan, a decrease of 25.57 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with over 3100 stocks rising [1]. Robotics Sector - The robotics sector saw a collective surge, particularly in PEEK materials and reducers, with stocks like Upway New Materials, Zhongdali De, Dafeng Industrial, and Jintian Co. hitting the daily limit. Upway New Materials announced on July 8 that it would acquire at least 63.62% of shares from Shanghai Zhiyuan New Technology Co., thereby changing its controlling shareholder. The stock price of Upway New Materials increased by 107.46% over the period from July 9 to 14, achieving four consecutive limit-ups [2]. - China Mobile recently announced a procurement project where Zhiyuan Robotics and Yushu Technology won a contract for humanoid biped robot manufacturing services, with a total budget of 124 million yuan, marking the largest order in the domestic humanoid robot sector to date. Analysts believe that with capital market support, humanoid robot manufacturers are expected to enter a rapid production and expansion phase, positively impacting the entire supply chain [2]. Short-term Profit Taking - There has been a noticeable increase in short-term profit-taking actions in the market, leading to significant declines in several strong stocks. For instance, Huicheng Environmental Protection fell over 9%, and Honggong Technology dropped over 10%. Dazhihui announced a projected net loss for the first half of the year, estimating a loss between 4.2 million and 2.8 million yuan, primarily due to the sale of a subsidiary. The company indicated that while some business revenues increased, they were insufficient to cover costs, resulting in a net loss [3]. Market Outlook - Citic Securities anticipates that the "step-up" market trend is likely to continue, driven by ample liquidity and rising market sentiment. Positive external conditions are expected to further enhance this trend. The firm maintains a strategic optimistic outlook, noting that macroeconomic conditions and market risk appetite are showing positive signals [4]. - Huaxi Securities highlights that after the Shanghai Composite Index first surpassed 3500 points this year, major financial sectors and technology themes are experiencing alternating upward movements. The increase in market financing and trading volumes reflects a recovery in risk appetite among investors. The current market valuation has returned to above historical median levels, indicating a more favorable investment environment [4][5]. - For investment strategies, Huaxi Securities recommends focusing on three main areas: stable dividend assets in a low-interest-rate environment, resource-related sectors benefiting from price increases, and new technology and growth sectors such as marine economy, AI computing power, and solid-state batteries [5].

Core Viewpoint - On July 14, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27%, with institutional investors appearing on the trading lists of 35 stocks, net buying 19 and net selling 16 [1] Institutional Trading Summary - Institutional special seats net bought the most in Xiangyang Bearing, which closed at the daily limit with a turnover rate of 27.67% and a transaction amount of 2.076 billion yuan, net buying 110.74 million yuan [2] - San Chuan Wisdom closed up 15.27% with a turnover rate of 32.50%, net buying 75.27 million yuan, but had a net outflow of 35.2 million yuan [2] - Zhongke Magnetic Industry closed down 5.10% with a turnover rate of 45.77%, net buying 53.99 million yuan, but had a net outflow of 49.77 million yuan [2] Market Performance - The average increase of stocks with institutional net purchases was 2.36%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [3] - Stocks like Changrong Co. and Xinling Electric showed strong performance, closing at the daily limit [3] - Historical data indicates a 52.06% probability of stocks with institutional net purchases rising the next day, and a 39.70% probability of rising in the following three days [3] Earnings Forecasts - Among the stocks with institutional net purchases, four have released half-year earnings forecasts, with Yuhua Development expected to have a net profit of 200 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 708% [3] Net Selling Summary - The stock with the highest net selling by institutions was Siyuan Electric, with a net selling amount of 162.84 million yuan, while also seeing a net inflow of 98.77 million yuan [3] - Dazhihui was noted for a net selling of 120.24 million yuan, with a significant net outflow of 433 million yuan [4] Deep and Shanghai Stock Connect - On July 14, 15 stocks on the trading list had appearances from the Deep and Shanghai Stock Connect, with Siyuan Electric and Zhongke Jincai seeing net purchases of 139 million yuan and 113 million yuan respectively [7][8] - Stocks like Hengbao Co. and Greenland Holdings experienced significant net selling amounts of 193 million yuan and 79.38 million yuan respectively [8]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The stock market saw significant activity with 21 stocks having sealed orders exceeding 100 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest and potential bullish trends in certain sectors [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The top stock by sealed order funds was Shangwei New Materials, with 856 million yuan, followed by Huitong Group and Jingyuntong with 580 million yuan and 401 million yuan respectively [2]. - Shangwei New Materials achieved a four-day consecutive limit-up due to equity changes involving its controlling shareholder, SWANCOR Samoa, which will be replaced by Zhiyuan Hengyue [2][3]. - Jingyuntong also recorded a three-day consecutive limit-up, despite forecasting a net loss of 165 million to 225 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [3]. Group 2: Industry Insights - In the robotics sector, stocks such as Changrong Co., Shangwei New Materials, and Huahong Technology showed strong performance, with Changrong Co. having technology reserves in robot control [5]. - The power sector saw stocks like Jiantou Energy and Jingyuntong performing well, with Jiantou Energy focusing on enhancing operational efficiency in traditional power generation while expanding into renewable energy [6]. - In the nuclear power sector, companies like Degute and China Nuclear Technology are involved in critical components for nuclear power plants, indicating ongoing investment in this area [7][8]. Group 3: Market Activity - The top net buying stocks on the Dragon and Tiger list included Degute and Laimei Pharmaceutical, with net purchases exceeding 70 million yuan for several stocks [9]. - Institutional buying was notable in stocks like Xiangyang Bearing and San Chuan Wisdom, with net purchases of 111 million yuan and 75 million yuan respectively [10].

? 公司股票交易连续4个交易日内（2025年7月9日至2025年7月14日）日收 盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到100%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》等有关规 定，属于股票交易严重异常波动。 ? 公司自查并向控股股东核实，截至本公告披露日，除公司已披露信息外， 公司、公司控股股东SWANCOR IND.CO.,LTD.（Samoa）（以下简称"SWANCOR 萨摩亚"）不存在应披露而未披露的重大信息。 证券代码：688585 证券简称：上纬新材 公告编号：2025-052 上纬新材料科技股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动暨严重异常波动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 上纬新材料科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"上纬新材"）股 票交易于2025年7月11日、2025年7月14日连续两个交易日内日收盘价格涨幅偏离 值累计达到30%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》《上海证券交易所科创板股 票异常交易实时监控细则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动。 ? 公司控股股东SWANCOR萨摩亚于2025 ...