Core Viewpoints - The mechanical industry is expected to outperform the market, with a focus on high-quality leading companies and structural growth opportunities [15][5][24] - The industry is undergoing a transformation driven by domestic upgrades, self-sufficiency, and accelerated overseas development [15][20] Industry Overview and Outlook - The core equipment localization is fundamental for the rise of the industry, breaking through bottlenecks in high-end equipment is essential for true autonomy and industrialization [15] - The trend of industrial upgrading is inevitable, with advancements in digitalization and energy transformation enhancing social efficiency and reducing costs [15] - The development of exports is transitioning from point to surface, with competitive manufacturing enterprises moving from import substitution to export substitution [15] Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on emerging growth sectors and export-driven leading companies, particularly in areas such as humanoid robots, AI infrastructure, and coal chemical equipment [25][26] - Key recommended stocks include Huace Testing, Guodian Measurement, and Yizhiming, among others [24][2] Key Recommendations - The report highlights specific companies for investment, including: - Humanoid Robots: Hengli Hydraulic, Huichuan Technology, and Zhenyu Technology [26] - AI Infrastructure: Yingliu Technology and Haomai Technology [28] - Engineering Machinery: Hengli Hydraulic, XCMG, and Sany Heavy Industry [29] - Nuclear Power Equipment: Jiadian Co., Zhongmi Holdings, and Jiangsu Shentong [29] - General Equipment: Huichuan Technology, Green Harmonic, and Baichu Electronics [29] Performance Tracking - In June, the mechanical industry index rose by 2.82%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.32 percentage points, with stable valuation levels [6][11] - The manufacturing PMI index for June was reported at 49.70%, indicating a slight improvement [6][12] Financial Projections - The report provides forecasts for key companies, indicating resilience in operations, with expected revenue and profit growth across various sectors [31] - For example, Hengli Hydraulic is projected to achieve a revenue of 27.68 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a net profit of 7.96 billion yuan [31]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on undervalued leaders in the shipbuilding sector, particularly China Shipbuilding, and highlights potential investment opportunities in industrial gases and engineering machinery [3][9]. Core Insights - The global new ship price index showed a slight increase of 0.22% in June 2025, indicating a marginal improvement in industry sentiment [3][22]. - China Shipbuilding's H1 2025 net profit is projected to be between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 98.25% to 119.49%, showcasing strong performance and capacity for profit release [3][22]. - Industrial gas prices have returned to positive year-on-year growth, driven by structural demand improvements and low inventory levels, with a significant increase in pipeline gas revenue expected for Hangzhou Oxygen [3][22]. - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a robust upward trend, with excavator sales in June 2025 reaching 18,804 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [3][36]. Summary by Sections General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector shows resilience, with domestic excavator sales increasing by 6.2% and exports by 19.3% in June 2025 [3][36]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is witnessing a slowdown in decline, with the new ship price index indicating a recovery trend [3][44]. Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is stabilizing at the bottom, with global rig counts rising to over 1,600 units, reflecting a recovery in demand [3][47]. Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is expected to perform well in Q3 2025, benefiting from previous maintenance and low base effects [3][55]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine industry is on a steady upward trajectory, with significant order growth reported for leading companies [3][57].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator sales in China showed significant growth in the first half of the year, exceeding expectations, with a total of 120,520 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.8% [1] Sales Performance - In the first half of the year, domestic sales reached 65,637 units, up 22.9%, while exports totaled 54,883 units, marking a 10.2% increase [1] - In June alone, excavator sales reached 18,804 units, a 13.3% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales at 8,136 units (up 6.2%) and exports at 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [3] Market Trends - After a brief decline in May, domestic excavator sales rebounded in June, supported by accelerating second-hand machine exports and policy-driven demand [2] - The construction machinery industry is experiencing a recovery, with the real estate sector's negative impact on excavator sales diminishing and infrastructure investment remaining resilient [3] Export Dynamics - The export value of China's construction machinery in May was 36.168 billion yuan, a 10.1% increase year-on-year, with a total export value of 165.91 billion yuan from January to May, also up 10.2% [4] - Emerging markets in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa are driving demand, with Chinese equipment's cost-performance advantage facilitating market expansion [4] Industry Outlook - Major construction machinery companies are optimistic about the market recovery, with expectations of stable growth in domestic and overseas markets [5][7] - The industry is anticipated to continue its upward trajectory, driven by infrastructure investments, new urbanization, and the increasing penetration of renewable energy products [9]

Group 1: Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a cyclical recovery, with domestic demand showing signs of improvement and export growth driven by emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East [4][6] - Domestic engineering machinery demand is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by a peak in equipment replacement and increased investment in infrastructure projects, with local government bond issuance rising by 84% year-on-year in the first four months of 2025 [6] - The export value of engineering machinery reached USD 5.152 billion in April 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, with total exports from January to April amounting to USD 18.07 billion, up 9.01% year-on-year [6][8] Group 2: Semiconductor Equipment - The domestic semiconductor equipment industry is poised for expansion, with significant capital expenditure expected for 300mm wafer fabs in China, projected to exceed USD 100 billion from 2025 to 2027 [10][13] - The trend towards self-sufficiency in semiconductor equipment is accelerating, with low domestic localization rates in critical equipment categories, indicating substantial room for import substitution [11][13] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, and Quick Intelligent [13][25] Group 3: Industrial Mother Machines - The machine tool industry is on an upward cycle due to ongoing domestic substitution and increasing demand for high-end machine tools, with government policies supporting tax incentives and talent development [14][16] - Short-term performance improvements are anticipated as the industry enters a renewal phase [16] Group 4: Traditional Energy Equipment - The traditional energy equipment sector is benefiting from low oil inventories in the U.S. and the upcoming peak consumption season, which is expected to support rising oil prices [17][19] - Geopolitical factors, including U.S.-Iran negotiations and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are influencing market dynamics [19] - Companies such as Nuwei Co., Xizhuang Co., and Jerry Co. are recommended for investment [19][25] Group 5: New Energy Equipment - The controlled nuclear fusion sector is witnessing increased capital expenditure and technological advancements, with a growing number of startups and active financing in the past five years [20][24] - Significant progress in nuclear fusion technology has been made, with multiple records achieved in plasma operation [24] - Investment opportunities include companies like Hezhuan Intelligent, Xizhuang Co., and Jingda Co. [24][25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the mechanical industry [1] Core Insights - The mechanical industry is experiencing significant advancements, particularly in humanoid robots and automation technologies, with major companies launching mass production of innovative products [3][4][6] - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see a breakthrough in 2025, with mass production levels reaching thousands of units, which will enhance data collection and training capabilities [6] - The agricultural machinery market is facing challenges, but long-term demand is anticipated to rise due to policy support and export opportunities [9] - The engineering machinery sector is currently under pressure domestically but is witnessing growth in exports, with a positive outlook for infrastructure investments [13] - The low-altitude economy is gaining traction, with government support and increasing applications in tourism and logistics [24] Summary by Relevant Sections Humanoid Robots - On June 30, Junpu Intelligent's subsidiary launched mass production of humanoid robots, marking a significant milestone in the industry [3] - The Sichuan provincial government is promoting the development of humanoid robots and related AI products [3] - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see substantial growth, with a focus on complex functionalities and cost reduction in production [6] Agricultural Machinery - The agricultural machinery market's sentiment index is at 40.9%, indicating a downturn [8] - Despite current challenges, tractor exports have increased by 12.6% in quantity and 31.2% in value from January to May 2025 [9] Engineering Machinery - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, with domestic sales declining by 1.5% but exports increasing by 5.4% [13] - The engineering machinery sector is expected to recover as infrastructure investments rise [13] Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy is being actively developed, with initiatives in low-altitude tourism and support for eVTOL aircraft [24][22] - The government is encouraging the application of low-altitude equipment and services across various sectors [22]

Core Viewpoint - XuGong Group aims to deepen international cooperation in smart manufacturing, green low-carbon initiatives, and mutual benefits, aligning Chinese advanced manufacturing capabilities with the development needs of BRICS countries, particularly Brazil [1][4]. Group 1: Technological Innovation and Digital Transformation - XuGong Group has implemented a "smart transformation and digital networking" strategy, establishing a leading smart manufacturing demonstration factory in Brazil, integrating technologies such as automation, industrial robotics, IoT, and big data to enhance production efficiency and product quality [2]. - The digital transformation has significantly reduced labor intensity and improved equipment delivery efficiency, providing South American clients with smarter and more efficient engineering solutions [2]. Group 2: Green Development Initiatives - Green development is a core direction for global industrial restructuring and a key strategy in Brazil's new industrial policy, aligning with China's green manufacturing goals [2]. - XuGong Group released the industry's first "dual carbon" planning outline in 2021 and accelerated its layout in new energy engineering equipment, including the delivery of the world's first intelligent battery-swapping unmanned mining truck cluster in May [2]. - In the second half of 2025, XuGong Group plans to deliver pure electric wide-body mining trucks and pure electric mining graders for trial use in Brazil's main mining areas [3]. Group 3: Economic Impact and Future Investments - Since its establishment in 2014, XuGong Brazil has directly facilitated bilateral trade worth billions of dollars and created over 1,800 local jobs [4]. - The company plans to increase investment in cutting-edge technologies such as automation, unmanned systems, and electrification, enhancing its smart factory system to meet diverse and high-standard customer demands [4]. - XuGong Group encourages more Chinese manufacturing enterprises to engage with BRICS partners to build collaborative platforms for research and industry, promoting the co-innovation of smart equipment and green technologies [4].

Core Viewpoint - XCMG's new energy heavy trucks are leading the industry towards zero-carbon transportation, showcasing advanced technology and performance in various challenging environments [1][19]. Group 1: Product Performance - The XCMG 400-degree pure electric tractor has been successfully delivered in the E. Dong region, demonstrating its capability to carry 40 tons of sand and stone uphill without issues [3][5]. - The 423-degree pure electric tractor operates efficiently even under extreme heat, with drivers noting significant energy savings and effective air conditioning performance [6][7]. - The 352-degree pure electric tractor has been tested in extreme cold conditions, functioning normally at -30°C, which has increased customer confidence in the product [11][12]. - The 433-degree pure electric dump truck is designed for complex construction conditions, offering robust performance and a 33% reduction in operating costs compared to traditional fuel vehicles [16][17]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - XCMG has developed a multi-dimensional intelligent torque control technology that balances economic and power output, enhancing vehicle efficiency [9]. - The new generation rear axle has improved drag torque by 66% compared to the previous model, increasing energy recovery efficiency and safety during downhill operations [10]. - The unique battery thermal management technology allows XCMG's electric trucks to operate effectively in a temperature range from -35°C to 65°C, ensuring reliable performance in various climates [14]. Group 3: Market Impact - XCMG's new energy heavy trucks are contributing to a growing trend towards zero-carbon transportation across different regions, reinforcing the company's commitment to providing reliable products and services [19].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The June PMI for the machinery industry has rebounded to 49.7%, indicating a recovery in general equipment and engineering machinery sectors [4][6] - Despite a decline in domestic engineering machinery operations, exports are experiencing rapid growth, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8% in May [5][6] - The overall demand for machinery equipment is expected to improve in the second half of the year due to easing US-China trade tensions and supportive fiscal and monetary policies [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the machinery industry has shown a relative return of 19.5% and an absolute return of 35.6% [3] General Equipment - The production index and new orders index have increased to 51.0% and 50.2%, respectively, indicating expansion [4] - The overall manufacturing sector is showing resilience, with a continuous recovery in PMI for May and June [4] Engineering Machinery - The average working hours for major engineering machinery products in June were 77.2 hours, down 9.1% year-on-year [5] - The average operating rate for engineering machinery was 56.9%, a decline of 7.55 percentage points year-on-year [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the engineering machinery sector, which is expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and strong export growth [6] - Specific companies to watch include Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and Hengli Hydraulic [6] Key Company Forecasts - The report includes earnings forecasts and ratings for key companies, with several companies rated as "Buy" [20]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the machinery sector, particularly highlighting specific companies for investment opportunities [13]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery sector shows short-term fluctuations in operating rates but maintains a long-term recovery logic driven by domestic demand [7][25]. - The new shipbuilding prices have stabilized and are showing signs of recovery, indicating an upward trend in industry sentiment [7][46]. - The gas turbine sector is experiencing robust growth, with significant increases in orders and production expected [7][55]. Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.26% over the past week, ranking 24th among 31 primary industry categories [3][16]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 8.29%, ranking 7th among the same categories [3][18]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The operating rate for major engineering machinery products was 56.9% in June, down 7.55% year-on-year [7][25]. - The average working hours for these products were 77.2 hours, reflecting a decline of 9.11% year-on-year [7][25]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.11 in June, marking a 0.22% increase, the first rise since February [7][46]. Oilfield Equipment - The global rig count has stabilized at over 1,600 units, indicating a bottoming out of demand in the oilfield equipment sector [48]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is on a steady upward trajectory, with GEV's new orders increasing by 44.9% in Q1 2025 [55][56]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the recovery trends in various segments, including engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and gas turbines, as they present potential investment opportunities [7][55].

Core Viewpoint - The new energy heavy truck market in China has experienced rapid growth since 2025, with significant increases in sales, particularly for new energy tractors, which have outpaced overall market growth [1][2][4]. Sales Performance - In June 2025, 12,000 new energy tractors were added, marking a year-on-year increase of 306% and a month-on-month increase of 21% [4][5]. - The sales figures for June indicate that the new energy tractor market continues to thrive, with a monthly sales increase of over 2,000 units compared to May [5][6]. - A total of 30 provincial-level administrative regions reported new energy tractor sales in June, with Shanghai leading at nearly 3,000 units [5][7]. Cumulative Sales Data - By the end of June 2025, cumulative sales of new energy tractors exceeded 51,800 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 276% [15][16]. - Among manufacturers, Jiefang, SANY, and XCMG have each sold over 7,500 units, leading the market [15][16]. Market Share and Competition - The top five companies in the new energy tractor market, including Jiefang, SANY, and XCMG, hold market shares exceeding 10%, with Jiefang at 16.52% [21][19]. - The competitive landscape is intense, with frequent changes in rankings among manufacturers, indicating a dynamic market environment [23]. Monthly Sales Rankings - In June, Jiefang led the sales with 2,127 units, followed by SANY and XCMG with 1,886 and 1,657 units, respectively [10][11]. - Nine out of the top ten manufacturers achieved year-on-year sales growth, with several companies experiencing significant increases [13][19]. Future Outlook - The growth trend in the new energy tractor market is expected to continue, with anticipation for further increases in July [23].