风险提示：国内需求风险、海外市场风险、汇率波动风险。 公司发布2025 年第一季度报告。2025 年Q1 公司实现营业收入91.49 亿元，同比增加15.24%；归母净利 润6.57 亿元，同比增长32.00%；扣非归母净利润6.12 亿元，同比增长34.09%。2025 年Q1 公司净利率 7.03%，同比在高基数的背景下仍然提升0.54pct，接近上一轮周期高点2020Q2 的7.33%。从公司营运能 力看，2025Q1 存货周转天数是120 天，同比下降7 天。公司国企改革提升效率和净利率的逻辑持续验 证。此外，公司控股股东增持公司股份，计划6 个月内增持2.5~5.0 亿元，并且本次增持计划不设价格 区间，彰显公司对未来的发展信心。 公司装载机市场地位稳固，挖掘机业务增速大超行业增速。2024 年公司装载机业务国内市场份额稳居 第一，海外新兴市场增量显著，国际整机毛利率提升1.4 个百分点；电动装载机全球销量同比增幅 194%，市场占有率保持行业领先地位。公司2024 年挖掘机业务销量增速优于行业27 个百分点，出口销 量增速优于行业15 个百分点，海内外市场份额再创新高；整体盈利水平稳步提高，利润同 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, indicating a positive outlook for both domestic and international markets [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 9.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.24% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 657 million yuan, up 32.00% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 612 million yuan, reflecting a 34.09% increase year-on-year [1]. Industry Growth - The domestic earthmoving machinery industry showed a favorable growth trend, with excavator sales in China reaching 36,562 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38.3% - Loader sales also improved significantly, with 16,379 units sold, marking a 24.7% year-on-year growth - The company, as a leading brand in the domestic earthmoving machinery sector, is expected to benefit from the industry's recovery and increase its market share [2]. International Business Expansion - The company’s international business is anticipated to continue its strong growth, with excavator export value increasing by 22% year-on-year in Q1 2025 - Notably, exports to Africa and Indonesia saw substantial growth, with increases of 65% and 47% respectively - The company has been expanding its overseas manufacturing bases and R&D facilities, which is expected to enhance its long-term market share in international markets [2]. Profitability Improvement - The company’s net profit margin improved by 0.54 percentage points year-on-year in Q1 2025 - The comprehensive gross margin was reported at 22.01%, with a slight increase attributed to accounting adjustments - The competitive landscape for electric loaders is expected to improve, potentially leading to further enhancements in overall gross margins [3]. Shareholder Confidence - The controlling shareholder, Guangxi Liugong Group, plans to increase its stake in the company by investing between 250 million to 500 million yuan within six months, reflecting confidence in the company's future development - This move is expected to bolster market confidence and support the company's high-quality growth [3]. Future Profit Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.015 billion yuan and 2.623 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 10 times and 8 times [3].

Group 1 - The report highlights three main investment directions: 1) Technology AI+ led by Deepseek breakthroughs and open-source initiatives, 2) Valuation recovery and gradual revival of consumer stocks, 3) The rise of undervalued dividends [2] - Overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in sectors such as machinery, food and beverage, non-bank financials, real estate, environmental protection, and retail, while sectors like oil and petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, home appliances, banking, and public utilities are trending downward [2][20] - The report predicts strong performance in specific sub-industries over the next four weeks, emphasizing automotive services, general equipment, logistics, components, specialized equipment, paper, semiconductors, wind power equipment, consumer electronics, motors, textiles, optical electronics, photovoltaic equipment, jewelry, and infrastructure [2][20] Group 2 - In the agriculture sector, there is a strong short-term pig price due to a supply gap and inventory demand driven by state storage and increased channel inventory [3] - The report indicates a growing pressure on pig supply due to increasing inventory levels, with a notable rise in the number of small pigs stored [3] - The report recommends leading breeding companies such as Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and New Hope, while suggesting attention to flexible stocks like Shennong Group and Dekang Animal Husbandry [3] Group 3 - The aerospace industry is experiencing growth, with the domestic C919 aircraft entering commercial operation, leading to increased orders and production capacity [4][7] - The report anticipates significant benefits for the company as a key supplier in the aerospace engine industry, particularly with the development of advanced fighter jets and drones [4][7] - Revenue projections for the company are set at 44.84 billion, 54.48 billion, and 68.54 billion for 2025-2027, with a target price of 33.96 per share [7] Group 4 - The home appliance sector is seeing a return to growth, with new business and scenarios contributing to revenue despite short-term profitability pressure [8][29] - The company reported a revenue of 19.1 billion in 2024, with a slight increase in sales from industrial pumps and significant growth in the commercial pump segment [8][29] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, projecting net profits of 2.7 billion, 3.3 billion, and 3.8 billion for 2025-2027 [29] Group 5 - The report on the food and beverage sector indicates a stable performance for Laobai Ganjiu, with revenue and net profit showing slight increases [10][14] - The company is benefiting from market dynamics in Hebei and Hunan, with a positive outlook for future sales growth [10][14] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2026, expecting net profits of 8.87 billion and 10.27 billion, reflecting a cautious but optimistic view of the market [14] Group 6 - The cosmetics and personal care sector is experiencing a temporary performance pressure, but the color cosmetics business is showing remarkable growth [14][15] - The company reported a revenue of 57.36 billion in 2024, with a significant increase in color cosmetics sales [14][15] - The report anticipates a revenue growth trajectory for 2025-2027, with adjusted profit expectations reflecting competitive pressures in the market [15]

证券代码：000528 证券简称：柳 工 公告编号：2025-41 债券代码：127084 债券简称：柳工转2 广西柳工机械股份有限公司 关于控股股东取得银行贷款承诺函的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或重大遗漏。 近日，广西柳工机械股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")收到控股股东广西柳工集团有限公 司（以下简称"柳工集团"）通知，其已取得中国工商银行股份有限公司广西分行出具的《贷 款承诺函》。现将有关情况公告如下： 一、增持计划主要内容 基于对公司未来发展前景的信心和对公司长期价值的合理判断，为维护资本市场的健 康稳定，提振广大投资者的信心，同时确保国有控股地位，更好地支持公司未来高质量可 持续发展，柳工集团计划自 4 月 28 日起 6 个月内，通过深圳证券交易所（以下简称"深交 所"）交易系统以集中竞价交易的方式，合计增持金额为 2.5~5.0 亿元人民币，资金来源为 自有或自筹资金。详见公司于 2025 年 4 月 26 日在《中国证券报》及巨潮资讯网上披露的 《柳工关于控股股东增持公司股份计划的公告》（公告编号：2025-40）。 二、取得金融机 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6][5]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of 9.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 657 million yuan, up 32% year-on-year [1]. - The controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake by 250 to 500 million yuan, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term development [2]. - The company is accelerating its industrial cluster layout, with significant growth in excavators and loaders, and a diversified business model that enhances profitability across various segments [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company’s gross profit margin was 22.01%, and net profit margin reached 7.03%, showing an improvement in profitability metrics [1]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.17 billion, 3.10 billion, and 4.28 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 63%, 43%, and 38% [5][10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has strengthened its market position in various segments, with excavators and loaders leading in domestic market share, and significant growth in international markets, particularly in emerging regions [3][4]. - The company has expanded its dealer network to nearly 400, increasing coverage to approximately 70% across over 180 countries and regions [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 15.6 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 9.95 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 9.149 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 15.24%, and a net profit of 657 million CNY, up 32% year-on-year, aligning closely with prior forecasts [2][3]. - The recovery in the construction machinery sector is accelerating, with both domestic and international sales showing positive trends. The domestic market is benefiting from improved demand, while overseas markets, particularly in emerging regions, are also performing well [2][3]. - The company's profitability continues to improve, with gross and net profit margins at 22.01% and 7.03%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase due to cost control measures [3]. - The governance structure remains stable, with significant share buybacks and plans for major shareholder increases, enhancing investor confidence [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 9.149 billion CNY, a 15.24% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 657 million CNY, up 32% year-on-year, which is close to the upper limit of the previous guidance [2]. - The gross margin and net margin improved to 22.01% and 7.03%, respectively, with a reduction in operating expenses contributing to this growth [3]. Market Trends - The construction machinery industry is experiencing a recovery, with excavator sales increasing by 22.83% year-on-year and loader sales up by 14.82% year-on-year. Domestic sales are particularly strong, with a 38.25% increase in domestic excavator sales [2]. - The company is benefiting from a recovery in domestic demand and steady growth in international markets, especially in Europe, where profitability has significantly improved [2]. Governance and Shareholder Confidence - The company's governance structure has remained stable following recent leadership changes, with the major shareholder planning to increase their stake by 250 to 500 million CNY, which is expected to bolster investor confidence [4]. - The company has implemented share buybacks totaling 600 million CNY, indicating a commitment to enhancing shareholder value [4]. Future Projections - The company aims for a revenue target of 34.6 billion CNY in 2025, with projected net profits of 2.11 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 58.9% [9]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 34.83 billion CNY, 40.85 billion CNY, and 48.79 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 2.11 billion CNY, 2.95 billion CNY, and 4.06 billion CNY, indicating strong growth potential [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. plans to increase its shareholding through its controlling shareholder, Guangxi Liugong Group Co., Ltd., with a total investment of 250 to 500 million RMB within six months, reflecting confidence in the company's future development and long-term value [2][6][10] Group 1: Shareholding Increase Plan - The controlling shareholder, Guangxi Liugong Group, holds 505,753,552 shares, accounting for 25.05% of the total share capital as of the announcement date [3][4] - The increase in shareholding will be executed through centralized bidding on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange without a specified price range [7][8] - The purpose of the shareholding increase is to maintain market stability and boost investor confidence while ensuring the state-owned controlling position [6][10] Group 2: Implementation Details - The planned increase will occur within six months from the announcement date, subject to legal and regulatory restrictions [8][10] - The funding for the share purchase will come from self-owned or self-raised funds [10] - The controlling shareholder commits to comply with relevant regulations and will not engage in insider trading or short-term trading during the implementation period [9][10]

Group 1: Strategic Planning and Governance - The new board and management will continue the established "14th Five-Year" strategy, focusing on stable governance and long-term development [3][4] - The company aims to deepen internal incentive systems and organizational changes to promote sustainable high-quality growth [3] Group 2: Incentive and Compensation Plans - The 2023 stock option incentive plan will proceed as originally planned, with preparations for future incentives already in place [4] - A new executive compensation scheme has been approved, designed to enhance market competitiveness and align management interests with long-term company value [4] Group 3: Internationalization Strategy - The "15th Five-Year" internationalization strategy emphasizes transitioning from comprehensive internationalization to globalization, focusing on localizing operations overseas [5] - The goal is to elevate the company from a high-end Chinese brand to a globally recognized high-value brand [5] Group 4: Research and Development Focus - The company maintains a leading position in R&D intensity and efficiency within the industry, with a focus on smart and electric products [6] - Future R&D will prioritize agricultural machinery, mining machinery, and key components, leveraging an advanced innovation design system [6] Group 5: Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement - The company employs a comprehensive approach to cost reduction, optimizing the entire value chain from R&D to manufacturing [6] - Future strategies include enhancing asset quality and reducing expense ratios, aiming for improved gross margins and net profit rates [6] Group 6: Electric Product Internationalization - The company is a pioneer in electric loader and excavator manufacturing, with higher profit margins for electric products overseas [7] - A dual model of "subsidiary + local agents" will be used to enhance global market coverage and customer support [7] Group 7: Competitive Response to Domestic Market Cycles - The company has made significant progress in R&D, manufacturing, and operational management since the mixed-ownership reform [8] - With a strong domestic market foundation, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the upcoming market cycle [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 9.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.24%, and a net profit of 657 million yuan, up 32.00% year-on-year. The net profit margin reached 7.03%, close to the previous cycle's high point [1][3] - The company has a strong market position in the loader segment and significantly outperformed the industry growth rate in the excavator business, with a sales growth rate exceeding the industry by 27 percentage points [2][3] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with notable growth in emerging markets and a diversified regional market structure [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit margin of 7.03%, an increase of 0.54 percentage points year-on-year, nearing the previous cycle's high of 7.33% in Q2 2020 [1] - The company plans to increase its shareholding by 250 to 500 million yuan within six months, reflecting confidence in future growth [1] Market Position - The company maintained the largest domestic market share in loaders in 2024, with a significant increase in global sales of electric loaders by 194% [2] - The excavator business saw a sales growth rate that outpaced the industry by 27 percentage points, with export sales growth exceeding the industry by 15 percentage points [2] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 2.8 billion yuan, and 3.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.7, 7.3, and 5.5 [3] - The report suggests that the company can command a higher profit reversal premium and overseas growth premium due to anticipated domestic market recovery and strong overseas performance [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 9.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.24%, and a net profit of 657 million yuan, up 32.00% year-on-year. The net profit margin reached 7.03%, close to the previous cycle's high point [1] - The company maintains a strong market position in the loader segment and has significantly outpaced industry growth in the excavator business, with a sales growth rate 27 percentage points higher than the industry average [2] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with notable growth in regions such as Africa, South Asia, and the Middle East, contributing to a diversified market structure [2] Financial Performance Summary - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.1 billion, 2.8 billion, and 3.7 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.7, 7.3, and 5.5 [3] - The projected revenue growth rates for the years 2025 to 2027 are 17.1%, 14.7%, and 12.2%, respectively, indicating a robust growth trajectory [10] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.8% in 2025 to 14.7% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [10]