Core Insights - Tongling, a city in Anhui province, is a significant hub for the copper industry in China, with its copper-based new materials industry generating over 70 billion yuan in output value last year [2] - The "Vibrant China Research Tour" highlighted the advancements in the copper industry, focusing on the full industrial chain from copper wire production to innovative applications [2][21] Company Highlights - Jingda Special Electromagnetic Wire Co., Ltd. is the leading company in China's special electromagnetic wire sector, holding a 35% share of the global market [4] - The company has transitioned from serving household appliances to becoming a champion in the special electromagnetic wire industry, with new products being developed for future industries like smart robotics [13] - Jin Guan Copper Industry, part of Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group, is the largest single copper smelting plant in China, actively implementing smart technology to enhance efficiency and promote green development [9][21] Industry Developments - The copper industry in Tongling is undergoing a transformation through innovation, focusing on sustainable practices and energy efficiency [20] - The production facilities are equipped with advanced technology, allowing for real-time monitoring and improvements in production processes [7][9] - The industry is increasingly connected to market demands and research, facilitating the integration of new production capabilities [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Views of the Report - The IMF has lowered the global economic growth rate forecast for 2025 to 2.8%, and trade policy uncertainty will disrupt the global supply chain. The Fed may be cautious about the timing of interest rate cuts, while the ECB may end the easing cycle. China will continue to implement an expansionary fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy in the second half of the year [4]. - In terms of supply, the global copper concentrate supply growth rate is expected to be only 1.7% in 2025 and further decline to 1.4% in 2026. The global refined copper supply growth rate will drop to 2% in 2025. In the second half of the year, domestic small and medium - sized smelters may face production cut risks, and the release of new global refined copper production capacity will be significantly limited [4]. - In terms of demand, copper has become a key strategic reserve resource in the context of global AI and electrification transformation. The global refined copper consumption growth rate is expected to be 3.7% in 2025, and the domestic growth rate will be 3.4% [4]. - The copper price center is expected to continue to rise in the second half of this year, with the risk of periodic high - level corrections due to overseas macro disturbances. The medium - to - long - term upward trend of copper prices remains unchanged. The main operating range of SHFE copper is expected to be 77,000 - 85,000 yuan/ton, and that of LME copper is 9,500 - 10,500 US dollars/ton [4]. Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Review of the First - Half Market in 2025 - In the first half of 2025, copper prices showed a trend of bottoming out and rebounding. In the first quarter, SHFE copper rose from a low of 73,000 to 83,000 due to supply concerns and macro - economic factors. In the second quarter, prices fluctuated due to trade policy uncertainties, and then rebounded after the Sino - US trade negotiation [11]. - Domestic copper inventory first increased and then decreased. The spot premium changed from discount to premium. In the second half of the year, domestic refined copper spot premium is expected to remain in the premium range, with the center of premium moving up [13]. 2. Macroeconomic Analysis 2.1 Global Trade Situation Eases, and the US Economy Faces Stagflation Risks - The IMF has lowered the economic growth forecasts of major economies in 2025. The Sino - US trade negotiation has reached a preliminary consensus, but the tariff measures after the 90 - day suspension period are uncertain. The US economy has the risk of stagflation, while the eurozone economy shows a weak recovery [15][16]. 2.2 The Fed's Interest Rate Cut Expectations Rise, and the ECB May Slow Down the Rate - Cutting Pace - The Fed may have 1 - 2 small interest rate cuts this year, possibly starting in September. The ECB cut interest rates in June. The future monetary policies of both central banks will be affected by trade policies and economic data [17][19]. 2.3 Strengthen the Domestic Circulation System, and the Central Bank's Monetary Policy Remains Moderately Loose - China's economy faced challenges in the first half of the year. The central bank implemented a series of measures to support the economy. China's economy showed resilience in the first half, and the economic structure is expected to continue to optimize in the second half [21][22]. 3. Copper Ore Supply Analysis 3.1 The Global Concentrate Shortage Exceeds Expectations, and Chinese Enterprises Actively Explore Copper Ore Resources - In the first half of 2025, both Chinese and foreign capital accelerated the development of copper resources. However, the output of major mines was affected by various factors, and the shortage of copper concentrates is expected to exceed market expectations in 2025 - 2026 [25][27]. 3.2 The Global Copper Concentrate Growth Rate in 2025 is Expected to Drop to 1.7% - The planned global copper ore supply increment in 2025 is 115.5 million tons, but the actual increment is expected to be 70 - 80 million tons, with a growth rate dropping to 3%. Considering major interference factors, the actual supply growth rate in 2025 is expected to be only 1.7% and further decline in 2026 [31][33]. 4. Refined Copper Supply Analysis 4.1 Domestic Refined Copper Production Will Slow Down in the Second Half of the Year, and the Annual Year - on - Year Growth Rate May Drop to 4.5% - In the first half of 2025, domestic refined copper output was high, but more than 30% of smelters cut production to some extent. The actual output increment may be significantly lower than expected, and the annual growth rate is expected to slow down to 4.5% [41][43]. 4.2 The Release of Overseas Refined Copper Production in 2025 is Very Slow - Overseas new refined copper smelting capacity in 2025 is only 62 million tons, and the actual output is quite limited. The actual increment is expected to be about 15 million tons [45][46]. 4.3 Refined Copper Imports Will Remain at a Low Level in the Second Half of the Year, and Copper Has Become a Strategic Resource in the Great - Power Game - From January to May 2025, China's refined copper imports decreased year - on - year. In the second half of the year, imports are expected to remain at 25 - 28 million tons per month, and the annual imports will drop significantly compared with last year [48][49]. 4.4 Domestic Scrap Copper Supply is Generally Stable, and Southeast Asia May Fill the Gap in US Scrap Copper Imports - From January to May 2025, China's scrap copper imports decreased slightly year - on - year. The supply of scrap copper is expected to remain stable in the second half of the year, with Southeast Asian imports filling the gap left by the US [66][69]. 4.5 LME Inventories Plummeted by More Than 70% in the First Half of the Year, and the Tight - Balance Reality Has Lowered the Global Inventory Center - As of June 27, global visible inventories decreased significantly. LME inventories are at a low level with a risk of squeezing, while COMEX inventories are rising. Domestic inventories are expected to remain low in the second half of the year [73][75]. 5. Refined Copper Demand Analysis 5.1 This Year's Grid Investment Scale is Expected to Exceed 800 Billion, and the New UHV Grid System is Upgrading at an Accelerated Pace - The planned grid investment in 2025 is expected to reach 825 billion, with an increase of 220 billion compared with 2024. The copper consumption growth rate in grid investment is expected to be 3 - 4% [77]. 5.2 The Real Estate Market is Bottoming Out, and the Real Estate Regulation Policies are Intensifying - The real estate market showed a decline in the first five months of 2025, but the price decline margin narrowed. The market is expected to gradually recover in the second half of the year, with a slight decline in copper consumption growth rate [78][80]. 5.3 The "Two New" Policies Drive the Accelerated Production and Sales of Air - Conditioners - From January to May 2025, air - conditioner production and sales increased year - on - year. However, due to various factors, the production scale may be adjusted in the third quarter, and the export may decline [81][82].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the conversion of the company's convertible bonds "铜陵定02" and the changes in the company's share capital structure, highlighting the bond's conversion period and price adjustments [1]. Group 1: Convertible Bond Issuance - The company received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission on July 12, 2023, to issue 2,140,476,679 shares and 3,336,626 convertible bonds to purchase related assets, with a fundraising limit of up to 2.146 billion yuan [1]. - A total of 21,460,000 convertible bonds were issued, with the bond code "124024" and the bond name "铜陵定02," which were registered on October 23, 2023 [1]. Group 2: Conversion Price Adjustments - The initial conversion price was set at 3.38 yuan per share, which was adjusted to 3.30 yuan and then further reduced to 3.20 yuan due to annual equity distribution adjustments [1]. Group 3: Conversion and Share Capital Changes - As of the announcement, the remaining number of convertible bonds "铜陵定02" is 21,419,990, with the remaining amount reflecting the company's capital structure [1][2].

证券代码：000630 证券简称：铜陵有色 公告编号：2025－050 债券代码：124024 债券简称：铜陵定 02 铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司 关于股份回购进展情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 三、其他说明 公司回购股份的时间、回购股份的数量及集中竞价交易的委托时段等均 符合《上市公司股份回购规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 9 号——回购股份》及公司回购股份方案的相关规定。具体情况如下： 一、回购股份的基本情况 （一）铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2024 年 9 月 5 日、2024 年 9 月 20 日召开十届十三次董事会、2024 年第二次临时 股东大会，审议通过了《公司关于回购公司股份方案的议案》，基于对未来 发展的信心和对公司价值的认可，为维护广大投资者利益，增强投资者信心， 提升公司资本市场形象，在考虑经营情况、财务状况及未来发展战略的基础 上，同意公司以自有资金通过集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份，本次回购的 股份将用于转换上市公司发行的可转换为股票的公司债券。本次回购资金总 额 ...

证券代码：000630 证券简称：铜陵有色 公告编号：2025－051 债券代码：124024 债券简称：铜陵定 02 铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司 关于 2025 年第二季度可转换公司债券转股 情况的公告 一、可转债发行上市基本情况 （一）2023年7月12日，中国证券监督管理委员会核发了《关于同意铜陵 有色金属集团股份有限公司发行股份和可转换公司债券购买资产并募集配套 资金注册的批复》（证监许可〔2023〕1529号），同意公司向铜陵有色金属 集团控股有限公司发行2,140,476,679股股份、3,336,626张可转换公司债券 购买相关资产的注册申请；同意公司发行可转换公司债券募集配套资金不超 过214,600万元的注册申请。 1 （二）根据中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司出具的《证券初 始登记确认书》，本次向特定对象发行可转换公司债券募集配套资金合计发 行可转债21,460,000张，债券代码"124024"、债券简称"铜陵定02"，该 等可转债已于2023年10月23日在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司 完成了登记。 根据《铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司发行股份、可转换公司债券及支 付现 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in copper prices is primarily driven by optimism surrounding the U.S. "Big and Beautiful" bill and a weakening U.S. dollar, which has created a favorable environment for copper and other base metals [3][4][8]. Group 1: Copper Price Movement - International copper prices spiked, reaching a high of $9,984, with a rise of over 1% [1][6]. - Domestic copper futures also saw an increase, closing up by 1.09% [2][6]. - The surge in copper prices has positively impacted related stocks, such as Yunnan Copper and Jiangxi Copper, which experienced significant gains [2]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The optimism in the market is largely attributed to the voting process of the U.S. "Big and Beautiful" bill, which is expected to boost market confidence [3]. - The U.S. dollar index has fallen below 97, marking a decline of over 10% in the first half of the year, the worst performance since 1973 [4][8]. - Analysts predict that the Federal Reserve may implement interest rate cuts starting in September 2025, further supporting the prices of base metals [8]. Group 3: Fundamental Support - The current copper price is supported by both macroeconomic factors and fundamentals, with expectations of a trade agreement among major partners and increased fiscal deficits due to the U.S. bill [10]. - LME copper inventories are declining, and there is a significant increase in the premium for copper, indicating tightening supply conditions [11]. - The market is currently in a tight balance regarding refined copper supply, with limited production increases expected [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for LME copper prices for the second half of 2025 from $9,140 to $9,890 per ton, expecting a peak of $10,050 in August [13]. - The outlook for copper prices remains positive, with expectations of reaching $10,000 to $11,000 per ton in the second half of the year, contingent on macroeconomic policies and global economic recovery [12].

Group 1 - The copper concept sector increased by 1.95%, ranking 6th among concept sectors, with 58 stocks rising, including Northern Copper, which hit the daily limit, and Jin Chengxin, Jiangxi Copper, and Jintian Co., which rose by 6.70%, 6.12%, and 6.05% respectively [1][2] - The main capital inflow into the copper concept sector was 281 million yuan, with 35 stocks receiving net inflows, and 5 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 50 million yuan, led by Northern Copper with a net inflow of 244 million yuan [2][3] - The net inflow ratios for Northern Copper, Xiyu Co., and ST Shengtun were 19.90%, 15.00%, and 11.19% respectively, indicating strong investor interest in these stocks [3] Group 2 - The top gainers in the copper concept sector included Northern Copper, which rose by 10.03%, and Xiyu Co., which increased by 5.95%, while the top losers included Huamao Co., which fell by 7.56% [3][6] - The trading volume and turnover rates for the leading stocks in the copper sector showed significant activity, with Northern Copper having a turnover rate of 6.86% and Xiyu Co. at 4.85% [3][4] - The overall performance of the copper concept sector reflects a positive sentiment among investors, as evidenced by the substantial net inflows and the number of stocks experiencing gains [2][5]

Group 1 - The gold concept sector saw an increase of 1.71%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 55 stocks rising, including Jin Yi Culture, Northern Copper, and Zhuhai Group hitting the daily limit [1] - Notable gainers included Jin Chengxin (up 6.70%), Jiangxi Copper (up 6.12%), and Quzhou Development (up 6.05%), while major decliners were Western Gold (down 2.83%), Shandong Gold (down 2.81%), and Caibai Co. (down 2.04%) [1] - The gold concept sector experienced a net inflow of 178 million yuan, with 35 stocks receiving net inflows, and six stocks seeing inflows exceeding 50 million yuan, led by Northern Copper with a net inflow of 244 million yuan [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital inflow ratios, Jin Yi Culture, Northern Copper, and ST Shengtun had the highest net inflow rates at 22.51%, 19.90%, and 11.19% respectively [2] - The top stocks by net inflow included Northern Copper (10.03% increase), Jin Yi Culture (10.13% increase), and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (3.42% increase) [2] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflows were Luoyang Molybdenum (up 5.06%) and Quzhou Development (up 6.05%) [2] Group 3 - The overall performance of the gold sector was mixed, with some companies like Western Gold and Shandong Gold facing declines, while others like Northern Copper and Jin Yi Culture showed strong gains [1][2] - The data indicates a strong interest from institutional investors in the gold sector, as evidenced by the significant net inflows into key stocks [1][2]

证券代码：000630 证券简称：铜陵有色 债券代码：124023 债券简称：铜陵定转 债券代码：124024 债券简称：铜陵定02 2024 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》（以下简称"《管理办法》"） 《公司债券受托管理人执业行为准则》《铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司向特定 对象发行可转换公司债券之债券受托管理协议》（以下简称"《受托管理协议》"） 《铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司发行股份、可转换公司债券及支付现金购买资 产并募集配套资金暨关联交易报告书》（以下简称"《重组报告书》"）《铜陵有 色金属集团股份有限公司 2024 年年度报告》等相关公开信息披露文件、第三方 中介机构出具的专业意见等，由本次债券受托管理人国泰海通证券股份有限公司 （以下简称"国泰海通"）编制。 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相关 事宜做出独立判断，而不应将本报告中的任何内容据以作为国泰海通所作的承诺 或声明。在任何情况下，投资者依据本报告所进行的任何作为或不作为，国泰海 通不承担任何责任。 | 4 | | --- | | 12 | | 13 | | 15 | | 18 | | 19 | | ...

Group 1 - The company has adjusted the maximum repurchase price for its shares from RMB 4.60 per share to RMB 4.50 per share, effective from June 23, 2025 [1] - The total amount for the share repurchase is set between RMB 200 million and RMB 300 million, with the repurchase period not exceeding twelve months from the approval date [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1.00 per 10 shares to all shareholders, with the record date set for June 20, 2025 [1] Group 2 - The adjustment in the repurchase price is due to the distribution of cash dividends, calculated as the previous maximum repurchase price minus the cash dividend per share [1] - The estimated number of shares to be repurchased is up to 66,666,666 shares, which represents approximately 0.52% of the company's total share capital, based on the upper limit of the repurchase fund [1] - The company will continue to disclose information regarding the repurchase plan in accordance with market conditions and regulatory requirements [1]