新能源及有色金属日报 | 2026-01-28 春节临近需求持续偏弱 铜价仍陷震荡格局 市场要闻与重要数据 期货行情： 2026-01-27，沪铜主力合约开于 103260元/吨，收于 102600元/吨，较前一交易日收盘0.71%，昨日夜盘沪铜主力合 约开于 101,900元/吨，收于 101,560 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘下降1.18%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯，昨体贴水格局。因此，沪铜现货贴水预计将继续承压运行。 今日SMM 1#电解铜现货对2602合约报贴水310至220元/吨，均价贴水265元，较昨日下跌35元。现货价格区间为 101140-101600元/吨。 期铜主力早盘跳空低开后震荡走弱，盘中下探101610元，随后于101860-102200元间波动，收于101880元。隔月 Contango价差在340-270元之间，当月进口亏损约610-730元/吨。早间好铜报贴水220-150元，平水铜报贴水300-240 元，中条山等以贴水300-280元成交，祥光等报贴水240元，湿法铜货紧报贴水350-330元。部分持货商月底甩货， 当月票货源价格较高，金川isa等贴水330元迅速成交。午后 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of precious metals, particularly gold and silver, driven by geopolitical risks and central bank purchases [1][2] - As of January 28, the spot gold price surpassed $5200 per ounce, with major gold jewelry brands in China quoting prices above 1600 yuan per gram [1] - The global official gold reserves have surpassed U.S. Treasury securities for the first time in 30 years, indicating a shift in reserve asset preferences [1] Group 2 - In the copper market, Zambia's copper production is expected to grow by 8% to 890,346 tons by 2025, although it falls short of the 1 million tons target [2] - The London Metal Exchange copper price fell below $13,000, but long-term demand is supported by investments in AI data centers and China's State Grid [2] - The silver market has seen a year-to-date increase of over 55%, with a single-day jump of 8% on January 27 [2] Group 3 - The Precious Metals ETF (516650) closely tracks a series of sub-indices, selecting 50 large, liquid listed companies from related sectors, with top holdings including Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold [2]

Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.49% to 4160.01, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.09% to 14342.74, and the ChiNext Index declining by 0.37% to 3330.39 [1][2]. Sector Performance - Precious metals, industrial metals, and petrochemicals sectors performed strongly, while solar energy, pharmaceuticals, and aerospace sectors experienced fluctuations [2]. - The basic metals sector saw significant gains, with copper and aluminum industries leading the rise, as multiple stocks hit the daily limit up [6]. Stock Highlights - Notable stocks included China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petroleum, and China Unicom, which showed strong performance [4]. - The aluminum futures market saw a rise of over 4%, with the main contract reported at 25345 yuan/ton [8]. Biotechnology Sector - The biotechnology sector faced declines, with several companies such as Zhijiang Biology and Baipusais losing over 9% [10][11]. Solar Energy Sector - The solar energy sector faced downward adjustments, with companies like High Measurement and Maiwei experiencing drops exceeding 6% [11].

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a rebound on January 28, with several companies reaching their daily limit up, indicating strong market performance [1] - Notable companies that saw significant gains include Nanmin Group, Xiaocheng Technology, Hunan Gold, Sichuan Gold, and others, reflecting a broad-based rally in the sector [1] - Additional companies such as Copper Crown Mining, Naipu Mining Machinery, and Dongfang Tantalum also showed upward movement, suggesting positive sentiment across the industry [1]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector experienced a volatile rebound, with several companies reaching their daily limit up [1] - Notable companies that saw significant gains include Nanmin Group, Xiaocheng Technology, Hunan Gold, Sichuan Gold, and Silver Industry [1] - Other companies that followed suit with increases include Zhaojin Gold, Yuguang Gold Lead, Western Gold, Zinc Industry Co., Feinan Resources, and Hebang Bio [1] Group 2 - China Aluminum, Yiqiu Resources, Chang Aluminum, and China Nonferrous Metals also reported notable stock price increases [1] - Additional companies that experienced upward movement include Tongguan Mining Construction, Naipu Mining Machinery, Xinweiling, Fushite, and Dongfang Tantalum [1] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals was among the companies that benefited from the overall market trend [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant surge in the performance of the Huabao Nonferrous Metal ETF (159876), which has reached a historical high with a price increase of over 4.2% and a current rise of 3.55% [1] - The Huabao Nonferrous Metal ETF has seen a net subscription of 12.9 million units, with a total inflow of 856 million yuan over the past 20 days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Key stocks within the nonferrous metal sector, such as Silver Nonferrous, Hunan Gold, and Western Gold, have hit the daily limit, while others like Huafeng Aluminum and Tongling Nonferrous have risen over 8% [1][2] Group 2 - International gold prices have reached a new high of $5,220 per ounce, driven by various macroeconomic events and geopolitical tensions, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - The World Gold Council reported that international gold prices surged by 67% in 2025, marking the most significant increase since 1979, while domestic gold prices rose by 58% [3] - Analysts suggest that the ongoing bullish sentiment in the gold market may continue, influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and geopolitical uncertainties [3][4] Group 3 - The market is currently witnessing a comprehensive bull market in nonferrous metals, with significant price increases across various metals including gold, silver, copper, and lithium [4] - Investment strategies recommend maintaining a 10%-20% allocation in the nonferrous metal sector within investment portfolios to capitalize on potential price increases while diversifying risk [3] - The Huabao Nonferrous Metal ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of metals, allowing investors to better capture the overall sector's performance [3]

风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 兴业证券此前发布研报称，万国黄金集团成长性和盈利能力占优。公司主要增量来自于金岭矿业，所罗 门金矿选厂已启动1000万吨/年新建计划，紫金赋能工程建设，投产后采选规模将从目前的350万吨/年 增至1350万吨/年，预计于2028年建成投产，估计黄金年产量有望达到15吨，打造成为世界级金矿。 据了解，有色矿业ETF招商(场内：159690；场外：026477)前三大权重品种铜（31%）、金（14%）、 铝（12%）合计占比近6成，龙头集中度高。还自带"杠杆属性"，被称为"周期放大器"：由于集中投资 上游资源龙头，在矿业公司成本相对固定时，有色金属价格上涨导致涨价部分几乎全是利润。因此形成 利润+估值双提升的"戴维斯双击"行情，净值涨幅数倍于商品本身。 1月28日，金银狂飙！数据显示，截至10时55分，有色矿业ETF招商(159690)放量涨4.12%，一度涨 4.85%；成分股白银有色、湖南黄金、西部黄金纷纷涨停！湖南白银、华锡有色、赤峰黄金涨幅居前。 | 序号 | 代码 | 有色矿 ETF招商159690成分蒸馏。 | | 估算权重 | | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold industry is experiencing a significant surge, driven by a decline in the US dollar index and increasing demand for gold from private investors and central banks, with gold prices potentially reaching new highs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 28, 2026, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 5.98%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology (up 18.09%), Mankalon (up 13.89%), and China Gold (up 10.04%) [1]. - The Gold Stock ETF (159322) increased by 6.02%, with the latest price reported at 2.41 yuan [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - On January 27, the US dollar index fell significantly, reaching its lowest point in nearly four years, with the euro to dollar exchange rate surpassing the 1.2 mark for the first time since 2021 [1]. - US President Trump expressed confidence in the current performance of the dollar, stating he does not believe it has depreciated excessively, which contributed to the dollar's rapid decline [1]. Group 3: Future Projections - UBS Wealth Management's investment office indicated that if regional tensions escalate, gold prices could rise to $5,400 per ounce [1]. - Goldman Sachs raised its year-end gold price target from $4,900 to $5,400 per ounce, citing growing demand from private investors and central banks, with expectations of central banks purchasing 60 tons of gold monthly [1].

华宝资源优选混合A（240022）基金经理为丁靖斐、杨奇。 截至发稿，丁靖斐累计任职时间6年148天，现任基金资产总规模37.84亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 355.72%， 任职期间最差基金回报-27.48%。 1月28日，铜陵有色涨5.27%，截至发稿，报7.99元/股，成交31.07亿元，换手率3.63%，总市值1071.42 亿元。铜陵有色股价已经连续6天上涨，区间累计涨幅28.21%。 资料显示，铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司位于安徽省铜陵市长江西路有色大院西楼，成立日期1996年 11月12日，上市日期1996年11月20日，公司主营业务涉及铜矿开采、冶炼及铜加工业务。主营业务收入 构成为：铜产品83.78%，黄金等副产品13.58%，化工及其他产品2.18%，其他(补充)0.46%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，华宝基金旗下1只基金重仓铜陵有色。华宝资源优选混合A（240022）四季度增持1129万 股，持有股数2295万股，占基金净值比例为5.01%，位居第五大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 918万元。连续6天上涨期间浮盈赚取3832.65万元。 华宝资源优选混合A（240022）成立日 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to rise, with companies such as Shengda Resources, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Yuguang Gold Lead, and Huafeng Aluminum reaching new highs during trading [1] - Silver Industry has achieved a seven-day consecutive increase, indicating strong market performance [1] - Companies like Zinc Industry Co., Yiqiu Resources, Electric Alloy, Pengxin Resources, Northern Copper, China Aluminum, and China Nonferrous Metals are also experiencing significant gains [1]