Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - Copper concentrate is expected to be included in the strategic reserve scope, enhancing the status of key metals [8] - The global average copper ore grade is declining, leading to a sustained tight supply trend, which may further elevate copper's status as a critical metal [8] - The "anti-involution" policy in copper smelting remains unchanged, with expectations for copper prices and smelting fees to rise in the medium term [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The copper resource reserve system is being improved, with plans to expand the national copper strategic reserve and explore commercial reserve mechanisms. The import dependency of domestic copper concentrate has reached 75%, indicating a need for enhanced supply chain security [8] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Major copper mining companies have reported a decline in copper production due to falling ore grades. The insufficient capital expenditure by mining companies and the decreasing rate of significant copper resource discoveries suggest that supply will not increase significantly in the medium term. Meanwhile, demand from traditional sectors and emerging fields like renewable energy is expected to grow [8] Policy and Market Trends - The domestic copper smelting capacity is being strictly controlled, with over 2 million tons of copper smelting projects halted. The "anti-involution" policy is expected to gradually show effects in the next two to three years, leading to a potential upward correction in smelting fees [8] Investment Recommendations - For copper mining, it is recommended to focus on Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) due to its large resource reserves and expected production increases. Other notable companies include Luoyang Molybdenum (603993, Not Rated) and Jincheng Mining (603979, Not Rated) [8] - For copper smelting, attention is drawn to Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630, Buy), which is expected to benefit from increased copper concentrate self-sufficiency and improved spot smelting fee expectations. Jiangxi Copper (600362, Not Rated) is also mentioned [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant rebound in the prices of non-ferrous metals, particularly copper, driven by both domestic and international factors [2][3] - Spot gold has returned to $5000 per ounce, indicating a completed technical correction and reduced risks for further declines [1] - The domestic copper market is expected to shift from a tight balance to a shortage due to insufficient capital expenditure and frequent supply disruptions [2] Group 2 - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association is considering including copper concentrate in its reserve system, which could lead to a substantial increase in copper stockpiling [2] - Trump's proposed mineral reserve plan, with an initial funding of $12 billion, aims to reduce U.S. manufacturers' reliance on foreign metals [2] - The market anticipates a copper stockpiling volume of 7-8 million tons, aligning with the safety stock levels for manufacturing countries amid de-globalization [2] Group 3 - The Huabao Nonferrous Metals ETF (159876) and its linked funds cover a wide range of metals, providing an efficient tool for investors to gain exposure to the non-ferrous metals sector [3] - The ETF is a financing and margin trading target, allowing for a comprehensive approach to capturing the sector's beta performance [3] - The combination of supply-demand mismatch, macroeconomic easing, and industrial upgrades is expected to sustain high profitability in the non-ferrous metals sector for 3-5 years [2]

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 风物长宜放眼量 ——有色钢铁行业周观点（2026 年第 5 周） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示 宏观经济增速放缓；关税影响需求与产业链稳定性；原料价格波动；中美关系变化 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 04 日 看好（维持） | 刘洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 | | --- | --- | | 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | 李一涛 | 执业证书编号：S0860124120001 | | liyitao@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | 黄雨韵 | 执业证书编号：S0860125070019 | | --- | --- | | | huangyuyun@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | 金银比突破 50，贵金属有望带领工业金属 加 速 上 涨 ： — — 有 色 钢 铁 行 业 周 观 点 （2 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth and transformation of China's copper smelting industry, emphasizing the shift towards green and intelligent manufacturing in response to global trends and domestic demands [2][6]. - China's refined copper production is projected to reach 13.644 million tons in 2024, marking a 5.1% increase from 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 9.9% observed in the first seven months of 2025 [1][2]. - The copper smelting industry in China is experiencing a continuous trade deficit, with the total import and export value of related products reaching 811.856 billion yuan in 2024, and the trade deficit expanding by 114.513 billion yuan [6][7]. Group 2 - The average import price of copper smelting-related products has shown an upward trend from 2019 to July 2025, with significant increases during the 2020-2021 period due to supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic [8]. - China's position as a major consumer in the global refined copper market is expected to strengthen, with the country's share of global refined copper production and sales anticipated to increase further [2].

Gold Companies - Shandong Gold (600547) is a leading domestic gold mining company with strong state-owned background, focusing on the Jiaodong Peninsula and possessing several top-tier gold mines, ensuring a complete gold industry chain from exploration to processing [1][12] - Chifeng Gold (600988) is a pioneer in internationalization within the gold industry, with high-grade core mining resources and significant cost advantages, actively expanding overseas projects in countries like Laos and Ghana [1][12] - Zijin Mining (601899) is a global mining giant with gold and copper as its core businesses, boasting extensive mineral resource layouts and advanced mining management techniques, providing strong support during market fluctuations [1][12] - Zhongjin Gold (600489) is a state-owned enterprise with a comprehensive gold industry chain, strong resource acquisition capabilities, and significant market presence in gold processing and circulation [1][12] - Western Gold (601069) is a leading gold mining company in Xinjiang, leveraging regional resource advantages and optimizing mining processes to enhance competitiveness [1][12] - Hunan Gold (002155) operates in both gold and antimony sectors, with a complete industry chain and strong market position in rare metals, effectively mitigating price volatility risks [1][12] - Yintai Gold (000975) focuses on gold and silver mining, with competitive mining costs and advanced recovery rates, continuously enhancing profitability through resource exploration [1][12] - Hengbang Shares (002237) is a leading gold smelting company with advanced technology and a complete industry chain, ensuring stable profitability and strong market presence [1][12] - Xiaocheng Technology (300139) combines gold mining with integrated circuits, benefiting from overseas gold assets and enhancing profitability through diversified operations [1][12] - Shengda Resources (000603) is a comprehensive precious metal resource developer with a stable production capacity and strong market presence in gold and silver [1][12] Silver Companies - Yuguang Gold and Lead (600531) is a leading silver smelting company with advanced technology and high recovery rates, focusing on high-value-added silver products [2][14] - Xingye Mining (000426) is a leading silver and multi-metal mining company with strong resource reserves and high recovery rates, effectively mitigating silver price volatility risks [2][14] - Chihong Zinc and Germanium (600497) focuses on silver and zinc-germanium, leveraging abundant resources and advanced mining techniques to maintain strong market competitiveness [2][14] - Zhongjin Lingnan (000060) is a large non-ferrous metal enterprise with a strong silver business, emphasizing technological innovation and resource utilization [2][14] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) integrates copper smelting with silver recovery, maintaining high recovery rates and product quality [2][14] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) is a comprehensive copper giant with a strong silver business, focusing on multi-metal development and technological innovation [2][14] - Western Mining (601168) is a multi-metal mining company with significant silver resources, emphasizing production capacity upgrades and cost control [2][14] - Yundeng Technology (000409) combines silver mining with smart mining technology, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs [2][14] - Guoyan Platinum (600459) is a leader in precious metal deep processing, focusing on high-end silver products and maintaining a strong market position [2][14] - Western Materials (002149) specializes in rare metal processing with a focus on high-end silver products, ensuring stable market demand and high added value [2][14]

Market Overview - After a significant drop yesterday, the A-share market rebounded today, influenced by a collective rebound in the external markets [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index closed up by 1.29%, 2.19%, and 1.86% respectively, with a total market turnover exceeding 2.5 trillion [4] Aerospace Sector - The aerospace sector was the strongest performer in today's rebound, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Zhongchao Holdings, Taihao Technology, and others [5] - The SpaceX concept, solar power, and aerospace stocks surged by 9.4%, 5.23%, and 4.38% respectively [7] Film and Television Sector - The film and television sector showed a continuous slight increase, with a notable performance from Hengdian Film, which achieved a four-day consecutive rise [13] - The sector closed up by 2.23%, driven by pre-holiday speculation for the upcoming Spring Festival box office [15] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector experienced a significant drop, with Tencent Holdings and other companies seeing declines due to rumors regarding potential increases in value-added tax rates [19] - Following clarifications from industry experts, the gaming sector rebounded, closing up by 2.89% [23] Computing Power Chips - The chip sector faced a sharp decline, particularly with Cambrian Technology, which saw a drop of over 14% due to rumors about revenue guidance [26] - Despite a clarification from Cambrian Technology denying the rumors, the stock still ended down over 9% [26]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential catalysts for the non-ferrous metal industry, particularly focusing on copper resources and strategic reserves [1][5]. - The Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Association emphasizes the need to improve copper resource reserves and expand national strategic reserves, suggesting the inclusion of copper concentrate in reserve considerations [5]. - Key companies involved in copper mining and processing are listed, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Copper, Jiangxi Copper, and others, indicating a competitive landscape in the copper sector [6].

当天机构净买入前三的股票分别是恒邦股份、盛达资源、铜陵有色，净买入金额分别是9.43亿元、4.17 亿元、3.37亿元。 当天机构净卖出前三的股票分别是钧达股份、万丰股份、杰普特，净流出金额分别是2.09亿元、4174万 元、3505万元。 共47只个股出现了机构的身影。 盘后数据显示，2月3日龙虎榜中，共47只个股出现了机构的身影，有31只股票呈现机构净买入，16只股 票呈现机构净卖出。 | 倍加洁 | 4.91% | 5031.78 | | --- | --- | --- | | 红墙股份 | 7.37% | 5016.90 | | 世纪恒通 | -1.14% | 4797.03 | | 天龙集团 | 6.41% | 3586.04 | | 天地在线 | 5.23% | 2991.14 | | 海兰信 | 15.82% | 2220.82 | | ST京机 | 5.01% | 1502.00 | | 肯特催化 | 5.11% | 1402.32 | | 世盟股份 | 106.18% | 992.46 | | 燕麦科技 | 18.39% | 790.76 | | 亿能电力 | 1.51% | 775.18 ...

Group 1 - The main stocks with significant capital outflows include Zhongji Xuchuang (-1.91 billion), BlueFocus (-1.13 billion), and Xinye Sheng (-1.10 billion) [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a slight decline of 0.22%, while BlueFocus saw an increase of 3.23% despite the capital outflow [2] - Other notable stocks with capital outflows include Industrial Fulian (-1.04 billion), Western Materials (-0.73 billion), and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (-0.65 billion) [1][3] Group 2 - The sectors affected by capital outflows include communication equipment, cultural media, and precious metals [2][3] - Stocks like Western Materials and Tongling Nonferrous Metals showed positive price movements of 8.63% and 5.38% respectively, despite significant capital outflows [2][3] - The overall trend indicates a mixed performance among the top stocks, with some experiencing price increases while others faced declines [1][2]

铜板块午后快速反弹，铜陵有色（000630）直线拉升，一度上涨超6%，截至发稿涨幅有所回落，最新 股价报7.76元/股，成交额超94亿元。云南铜业涨超4%，江西铜业涨超4%，北方铜业涨超2%。 消息面上，在2月3日中国有色金属工业协会举行的2025年有色金属工业经济运行情况新闻发布会上，中 国有色金属工业协会副秘书长段绍甫表示，完善铜资源储备体系建设，一方面扩大国家铜战略储备规 模，另一方面探索进行商业储备机制，通过财政贴息等方式选择国有骨干企业试行商业储备。此外，除 了储备精炼铜之外，也可研究将贸易量大、容易变现的铜精矿纳入储备范围。 作者：邵子怡、霍星羽新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之 目的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作， 风险自担。 责任编辑：宋雅芳 ...