Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-ferrous and steel industries, suggesting potential investment opportunities in these sectors [8]. Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a new era of non-linear changes in copper and gold prices, with expectations for sustained price increases [14]. - The Grasberg mine incident is expected to significantly disrupt copper supply, enhancing the certainty of rising copper prices in the medium term [14][15]. - The report highlights that the copper smelting capacity growth is likely to slow down, which may improve smelting fees and profitability for copper smelting companies [15]. - For gold, the report emphasizes that the core pricing logic is tied to the deterioration of dollar credit in the medium term, rather than short-term interest rate expectations [16][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report discusses the potential for copper prices to rise due to supply shortages exacerbated by the Grasberg mine incident, which could reduce copper concentrate supply by 200,000 tons in 2025 and 270,000 tons in 2026 [14]. - It notes that global demand for copper is expected to grow rapidly due to factors such as electric vehicle adoption and data center expansion [14]. - The report also mentions that the copper smelting industry is facing a "de-involution" trend, which may lead to improved smelting fees in the future [15]. 2. Steel Industry - The report indicates that steel prices are expected to find support at the bottom due to cost factors, with a potential recovery in profitability in the fourth quarter [18]. - It highlights a seasonal shift in demand, with an increase in rebar consumption by 4.96% week-on-week, although it remains down 13.71% year-on-year [24]. - The report notes that the overall steel price index has slightly decreased by 0.28%, with specific products like hot-rolled steel showing a decline of 0.65% [39]. 3. New Energy Metals - The report states that lithium production in China saw a significant year-on-year increase of 46.54% in August 2025, indicating strong supply growth in the new energy sector [43]. - It also mentions that the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China have maintained high growth rates, with August 2025 figures showing a 26.00% increase in production [47]. - The prices of lithium, cobalt, and nickel have shown an overall upward trend, reflecting strong demand in the energy metal market [54].

Market Overview - On September 29, the industrial metals sector rose by 4.5% compared to the previous trading day, with Xingye Silver Tin leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xingye Silver Tin (000426) closed at 31.26, with a gain of 9.99% and a trading volume of 772,200 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 2.338 billion yuan [1] - Shengda Resources (000603) also saw a 9.99% increase, closing at 25.66 with a trading volume of 371,900 shares, totaling 925 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) with an 8.40% increase, closing at 5.16, and China Aluminum (601600) with a 6.96% increase, closing at 8.15 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metals sector experienced a net inflow of 1.127 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 562 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like China Aluminum (601600) had a net inflow of 215 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 122 million yuan [3] - Xingye Silver Tin (000426) attracted a net inflow of 90.15 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 73.58 million yuan [3]

证券日报网讯 9月29日，铜陵有色发布公告称，2025年9月26日，公司第十届第二十五次董事会审议通 过了《公司关于聘任总经理的议案》。公司董事会同意聘任文燕先生为公司总经理，任期自本次董事会 审议通过之日起至第十届董事会届满之日止。 （编辑 任世碧） ...

证券日报网讯 9月29日，铜陵有色发布公告称，2025年9月26日，公司第十届第二十五次董事会审议通 过了《公司关于增补董事的议案》，公司董事会同意增补文燕先生为第十届董事会非独立董事候选人， 任期自股东大会审议通过之日起至第十届董事会届满之日止。 （编辑 任世碧） ...

证券日报网讯 9月29日，铜陵有色发布公告称，公司于2025年9月26日召开十届二十五次董事会和十届 十五次监事会，会议审议通过了《公司2025年半年度利润分配预案》。公司2025年半年度利润分配预案 为：以实施权益分派股权登记日登记的总股本为基数，向全体股东每10股派发现金红利0.5元（含 税）。现暂以截至2025年9月26日相关数据测算，公司总股本为13，409，471，510股，拟派发现金红利 为670，473，575.50元（含税）。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry index in China has shown strong performance, with significant increases in various stocks, driven by a government plan aimed at stabilizing growth in the sector and rising gold prices reaching historical highs [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of September 29, 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) rose by 3.10%, with notable stock increases including Vanadium Titanium Co. (000629) up 10.00%, Xingye Silver Tin (000426) up 9.11%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) up 7.77% [1]. - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) also increased by 3.07%, with the latest price reported at 1.61 yuan [1]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, issued the "Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" to support the sector [1]. Group 3: Commodity Insights - East Wu Securities forecasts that copper prices will remain strong due to anticipated supply contractions and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate amid weak demand [1]. - The gold market is influenced by a shift in the Federal Reserve's stance during the global central bank conference in August, with expectations of continued inflation and declining nominal interest rates, suggesting a broad potential for precious metals [1]. Group 4: ETF Composition - The non-ferrous metal industry index includes 50 prominent securities based on size and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the sector [2]. - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 50.35% of the total, including Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111) [2].

Group 1 - Spot gold prices have surpassed $3,810 per ounce, marking a new historical high with an increase of over 1% on the day and a cumulative rise of approximately 45% year-to-date [1] - COMEX gold also exceeded $3,830 per ounce, indicating strong performance in the precious metals sector [1] - The precious metals sector saw significant gains, with companies like Shengda Resources and Zhaojin Gold hitting their daily limit up, while others like Xiaocheng Technology and Shanjin International also experienced notable increases [1] Group 2 - The price of gold jewelry has reached a peak, with brands like Chow Sang Sang quoting gold at 1,111 RMB per gram, reflecting a 5 RMB increase from the previous day [3] - The largest gold ETF, SPDR, has seen its holdings rise to 1,005.72 tons, the highest level since August 2022 [3] - Analysts attribute the current gold price surge to lower opportunity costs due to interest rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have increased market risk aversion [3] Group 3 - Deutsche Bank noted that the recent record high in gold prices is driven by investor fear and the perception of gold as a safe haven during times of panic [3] - Goldman Sachs projected that gold prices could reach $4,000 per ounce by 2026 under baseline scenarios, with potential peaks of $4,500 and $5,000 per ounce under tail risk scenarios [3]

数据显示，嘉实基金旗下1只基金位居铜陵有色十大流通股东。嘉实沪深300ETF（159919）二季度增持 622.04万股，持有股数6160.2万股，占流通股的比例为0.59%。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约1478.45万 元。连续3天上涨期间浮盈赚取2833.69万元。 嘉实沪深300ETF（159919）成立日期2012年5月7日，最新规模1695.71亿。今年以来收益18.17%，同类 排名2814/4221；近一年收益31.36%，同类排名2404/3836；成立以来收益119.76%。 嘉实沪深300ETF（159919）基金经理为何如、刘珈吟。 9月29日，铜陵有色涨5.04%，截至发稿，报5.00元/股，成交16.83亿元，换手率3.09%，总市值669.50亿 元。铜陵有色股价已经连续3天上涨，区间累计涨幅10.7%。 资料显示，铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司位于安徽省铜陵市长江西路有色大院西楼，成立日期1996年 11月12日，上市日期1996年11月20日，公司主营业务涉及铜矿开采、冶炼及铜加工业务。主营业务收入 构成为：铜产品83.78%，黄金等副产品13.58%，化工及其他产品2.18%，其他 ...

每经AI快讯，9月29日，铜陵有色午间公告称：2025年半年度利润分配预案拟每10股派发现金红利0.5元 （含税）。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

格隆汇9月29日｜①康弘药业：近日收到国家药监局签发的依帕司他片的药品注册证书。依帕司他片适 应症为糖尿病性神经病变。 ②鲁西化工：进一步推进资源整合、优化管理架构，公司拟吸收合并全资子公司山东聊城鲁西化工第二 化肥有限公司。 ③铜陵有色：2025年半年度利润分配预案拟每10股派发现金红利0.5元（含税）。 ④海泰科：9月29日是"海泰转债"最后一个转股日。9月29日上午收市后，距离"海泰转债"停止转股并赎 回仅剩半个交易日。如投资者未及时转股，可能面临损失。 ⑤松原安全：距离"松原转债"停止转股仅剩最后半个交易日，即9月29日下午交易时段，9月29日收市 后，未实施转股的"松原转债"将停止转股，剩余可转债将按照100.07元/张的价格被强制赎回。若被强制 赎回，投资者可能面临大额投资损失。 ...