云南云铝润鑫铝业有限公司 2025 年 1-9 月 审计报告 致同会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）云南分所 目 录 | 审计报告 | 1-3 | | --- | --- | | 资产负债表 | 1-2 | | 利润表 | 3 | | 现金流量表 | 4 | | 所有者权益变动表 | 5-6 | | 财务报表附注 | 7-52 | 致同会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙） 云南分所 中国云南昆明市人民西路 315 号云投 财富广场 B3 栋 23 层 邮政编码(Postal Code)：650021 电话(Tel)：(0871)68042731 68042732 传真(Fax)： (0871)68376929 审计报告 致同审字（2025）第 530C034957 号 云南云铝润鑫铝业有限公司全体股东： 一、审计意见 我们审计了云南云铝润鑫铝业有限公司（以下简称"润鑫公司"）财务 报表，包括 2024 年 12 月 31 日、2025 年 9 月 30 日的资产负债表，2024 年度、 2025 年 1-9 月的利润表、现金流量表、所有者权益变动表以及相关财务报表附 注。 我们认为，后附的财务报表在所有重大方面按照企业会计 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry index has shown strong performance, with significant increases in key stocks, driven by rising precious metal prices and positive demand forecasts for lithium and other materials [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 25, 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) rose by 2.81%, with notable stock increases including Placo New Materials (300811) up 11.34%, Dongyang Sunshine (600673) up 6.14%, and Zhongjin Gold (600489) up 5.52% [1]. - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) increased by 2.28%, with the latest price at 1.71 yuan [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller reiterated support for a potential interest rate cut in December, indicating that inflation is not a major concern at this time [1]. - The chairman of Tianqi Lithium, Jiang Anqi, projected that global lithium demand will reach 2 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2026, suggesting a balance between supply and demand [1]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Dongguan Securities highlighted that the supply side of industrial metals may remain constrained, emphasizing the growth in demand from the new energy sector [1]. - The supply of minor metals and new materials is under rigid constraints, while emerging demand is expected to surge [1]. - The supply side of energy metals is gradually optimizing, with ongoing attention to the recovery of downstream demand [1].

Group 1: Copper - The supply-demand imbalance for copper is becoming evident, with the price center expected to rise due to tight copper concentrate supply and surging green demand [1] - Global copper mine grades are declining, and long-term insufficient capital expenditure has limited new mining projects, contributing to a tight copper concentrate market [1] - Demand for copper is supported by investments in electricity, new energy vehicles, and data center construction, driven by global monetary easing and green transition trends [1] - Recommended companies to focus on include Zijin Mining (601899.SH) and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH), which have rich resource reserves and clear capacity planning [1] Group 2: Aluminum - The supply of electrolytic aluminum is tight, with domestic capacity capped at 45 million tons and limited new capacity, while overseas production progress is slow [2] - The demand for electrolytic aluminum shows structural resilience, and prices are expected to rise due to rigid supply, low inventory, and cost support [2] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum is projected to be around 22,000 yuan/ton by 2026, with increasing profitability leading companies to raise dividend ratios [2] - Key companies to watch include Yunnan Aluminum (000807.SZ), Mingtai Aluminum (601677.SH), and Shenhuo Group (000933.SZ) [2] Group 3: Precious Metals - The value of gold as an investment is highlighted amid the Fed's policy shift and ongoing global macro uncertainties [3] - Silver, with both industrial and monetary properties, shows stronger price elasticity during liquidity easing cycles [3] - The gold-silver ratio is expected to decline from around 100 in May 2025 to about 80 by November 2025, indicating potential for downward correction [3] - Recommended investment opportunities include Zijin Mining (601899.SH), Shandong Gold (600547.SH), Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH), and Shengda Resources (000603.SZ) [3] Group 4: Superhard Materials - Traditional demand for superhard products is under pressure, leading the industry into a downturn [4] - However, breakthroughs in functional diamond technology are opening new growth opportunities, particularly in high-end chip cooling applications [4] - Companies to focus on include Guoji Precision (002046.SZ), which has made progress in functional diamonds, and Sifangda (300179.SZ), which has large-scale CVD diamond production lines [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][108] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high volatility due to the Federal Reserve's expectations of a rate cut in December, with recent price changes showing a decline of 1.38% for London copper and 1.43% for Shanghai copper [5][25] - The report indicates a potential shift in the copper supply-demand balance from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mining and frequent supply disruptions [5] - The aluminum market is facing macroeconomic disturbances, leading to a decline in aluminum prices, but a long-term upward trend is still anticipated due to stable demand growth [5][37] - Lithium prices are entering a new cycle driven by demand, with significant price increases observed in lithium carbonate and lithium spodumene [5][78] - The cobalt market remains tight, with prices expected to continue rising due to ongoing supply constraints [5][90] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report notes that the U.S. non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, with 119,000 jobs added in September, impacting market sentiment [9] - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector showed a decline of 6.75%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.85 percentage points [11][12] 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - London copper prices fell by 1.38%, while Shanghai copper prices decreased by 1.43%, with inventories rising significantly [25] - The copper smelting profit margin is reported at -1909 yuan/ton, indicating a narrowing loss [25] 2.2 Aluminum - London aluminum prices decreased by 2.24%, and Shanghai aluminum prices fell by 2.32%, with a notable increase in inventory levels [37] - The profit margin for aluminum enterprises dropped to 5533 yuan/ton, down 8.56% [37] 2.3 Lead and Zinc - Lead prices fell by 3.97% in London and 2.19% in Shanghai, with significant inventory changes [50] - Zinc prices also saw a decline, with smelting processing fees dropping to 2350 yuan/ton [50] 2.4 Tin and Nickel - Tin prices decreased slightly, while nickel prices also saw a decline, with domestic nickel iron enterprises reporting reduced profitability [63] 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices have shown significant increases, with lithium carbonate rising to 92,300 yuan/ton, reflecting a strong demand-driven cycle [78] 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices are on the rise, with domestic prices reaching 405,000 yuan/ton, indicating a tightening supply situation [90]

Core Viewpoint - Yun Aluminum Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 79.66%, despite a recent decline of 6.29% over the last five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 24, Yun Aluminum's stock price reached 23.41 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 81.185 billion CNY [1] - The trading volume was 8.22 billion CNY, with a turnover rate of 1.03% [1] - The stock has experienced a 2.32% increase over the last 20 days and a 36.82% increase over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yun Aluminum reported a revenue of 44.072 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.47% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 4.398 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.14% [2] Group 3: Shareholder and Dividend Information - Since its A-share listing, Yun Aluminum has distributed a total of 6.069 billion CNY in dividends, with 3.884 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 8.51% to 79,100, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 9.30% to 43,857 shares [2][3] - The third-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 269 million shares, an increase of 72.0936 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The aluminum price has recently retreated from high levels due to fluctuating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable drop in aluminum prices observed [6][9] - The demand for aluminum is entering a traditional off-season, leading to concerns about inventory levels and price stability [9] - Long-term prospects for the aluminum industry remain positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases, justifying the "Recommended" rating [9] Summary by Sections Price - As of November 21, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2808.0 per ton, down $500.0 from the previous week, a 2.3% decrease [13] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21340.0 yuan per ton, reflecting a 2.4% decrease compared to the previous week [19] Production - In October 2025, the aluminum production was 3.742 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.5% and a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [50] - The alumina production for the same month was 7.785 million tons, also showing a month-on-month increase of 2.4% and a year-on-year increase of 12.6% [50] Inventory - As of November 20, the domestic mainstream consumption area of aluminum ingot inventory recorded 621,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 2,500 tons from the previous week [7] - The overall inventory situation remains a concern as the market enters the off-season, with potential risks of inventory accumulation [9] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies in the industry include China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., China Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum, all rated as "Buy" [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth of China's alumina production, indicating a significant increase in output and projecting future trends in the industry [1]. Industry Overview - As of September 2025, China's alumina production reached 8 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [1]. - Cumulatively, from January to September 2025, the total alumina production in China was 68.56 million tons, with an overall increase of 8.4% compared to the previous year [1]. Companies Involved - Listed companies in the alumina sector include China Aluminum (601600), Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Zhongfu Industrial (600595), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), Hongchuang Holdings (002379), Minfa Aluminum (002578), and Ningbo Fubang (600768) [1]. Research and Analysis - The report titled "Analysis of Development Models and Future Prospects of China's Alumina Industry from 2026 to 2032" was published by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China [1]. - Zhiyan Consulting has been dedicated to industry research for over a decade, providing comprehensive industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1].

Core Viewpoint - China is a significant player in the global aluminum die-casting alloy industry, with the market size expected to reach 215.26 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.67% driven by the automotive market, electronics industry, and high-end equipment manufacturing [1][10]. Industry Overview - Aluminum die-casting alloys are produced through die-casting processes, primarily composed of silicon, manganese, magnesium, and trace elements, with production involving melting, refining, molding, and pouring [3]. - The industry benefits from the lightweight, high strength, and corrosion resistance of aluminum die-casting alloys, which are widely used in automotive, aerospace, medical, military, and electronic sectors [3]. Market Size and Growth - The aluminum die-casting alloy market in China is projected to grow, supported by the country's large automotive market and rapid advancements in the electronics sector [1][10]. - The global aluminum die-casting alloy market is expected to reach $142.78 billion by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.0% from 2024 to 2031 [10]. Competitive Landscape - International companies like Nemak, Ahresty, and Ryobi dominate the industry due to their technological expertise and extensive market presence [10]. - Domestic companies such as Aikodi, Wencan Group, and Guangdong Hongtu are emerging as significant players, benefiting from China's market demand and industrial support [10]. Industry Trends - The industry is moving towards precision and high performance, driven by the increasing quality and performance requirements from the automotive sector, especially for electric vehicles [12]. - There is a growing demand for customized solutions, necessitating improved customer communication and tailored product designs [13]. - The industry is also expanding into international markets, seeking to enhance competitiveness and brand influence through global partnerships and participation in international events [14].

Core Viewpoint - China Aluminum Corporation (中铝) has announced a capital increase agreement involving Yunnan Aluminum Foil (云南铝箔) and several subsidiaries, totaling RMB 906 million, aimed at enhancing the aluminum industry chain and supporting national carbon reduction strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Capital Increase Details - The capital increase will involve cash and asset contributions from China Aluminum High-end (中铝高端), Yunnan Aluminum (云铝股份), and Kunming Copper (昆明铜业), with contributions of RMB 229 million, RMB 500 million, and RMB 177 million respectively [1]. - After the capital increase, Yunnan Aluminum Foil's registered capital will rise from RMB 800 million to RMB 1.147 billion, with shareholdings of 68.31% for China Aluminum High-end, 9.06% for Northwest Aluminum (西北铝), 16.70% for Yunnan Aluminum, and 5.93% for Kunming Copper [1]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The capital increase is expected to optimize Yunnan Aluminum's production capabilities, enhance local aluminum liquid conversion, and increase alloying rates, aligning with national dual carbon strategies and aluminum industry development plans [2]. - Yunnan Aluminum Foil plans to establish a new energy high-precision aluminum plate and foil project, which is anticipated to yield significant economic benefits upon completion [2].

Core Viewpoint - China Aluminum Corporation (Chinalco) has announced a capital increase agreement involving Yunnan Aluminum Foil, which will enhance its production capabilities and align with national carbon reduction strategies [1][2] Group 1: Capital Increase Details - Chinalco's subsidiaries, including Chinalco High-end, Yunnan Aluminum, and Kunming Copper, will contribute a total of RMB 906 million to Yunnan Aluminum Foil, with specific contributions of RMB 229 million, RMB 500 million, and RMB 177 million respectively [1] - Following the capital increase, Yunnan Aluminum Foil's registered capital will rise from RMB 800 million to RMB 1.147 billion, with ownership stakes of 68.31%, 9.06%, 16.70%, and 5.93% held by Chinalco High-end, Northwest Aluminum, Yunnan Aluminum, and Kunming Copper respectively [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The capital increase will enable Yunnan Aluminum to optimize its aluminum industry chain, promote local conversion of primary aluminum, and enhance alloying rates, supporting the national "dual carbon" strategy [2] - Yunnan Aluminum Foil plans to establish a new energy high-precision aluminum plate and foil project, which is expected to yield significant economic benefits upon completion [2]