丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨宁波银行（002142.SZ） [Table_Title] 单季增速上双超预期，零售风险预计改善 ——2025 年半年度业绩快报点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 上半年营收同比增速 7.9%（二季度单季增速 10.3%），归母净利润同比增速 8.2%（二季度单 季同比增速 10.8%）。预计利息净收入保持双位数以上增速，源于贷款高速扩表+预计净息差相 对稳定。预计非利息收入增速改善，投资等其他非息收入受益债市企稳回暖。扩表强劲，上半 年末贷款较期初大幅增长 13.4%，预计对公政府类业务是今年以来主要投向。上半年末不良率 环比持平于 0.76%，拨备覆盖率环比回升 4pct 至 374%，预计二季度不良净生成率企稳，推断 零售风险指标开始改善。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马祥云 盛悦菲 SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 宁波银行（002142.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Ta ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Viewpoints - In 2023, cyclical bank stocks have generally lagged in performance and are at historically low valuations. The market is beginning to focus on which cyclical bank stocks currently offer attractive value for investment [2][6] - The report highlights three categories of banks worth attention: stable performance small and medium-sized rural commercial banks, city commercial banks with improving retail asset quality, and undervalued joint-stock banks [2][6] Summary by Sections Small and Medium-Sized Rural Commercial Banks - Changshu Bank has significantly lagged behind the sector in 2023, with a valuation of 0.77x 2025 PB, at a historical percentile of 24%. Despite concerns over retail credit demand, the bank's operational performance remains strong, with a revenue growth of 10.1% and a net profit growth of 13.6% in the first half of 2025 [7] - Ruifeng Bank, another leading rural commercial bank in Zhejiang, has a valuation of 0.56x 2025 PB, also under pressure from pessimistic economic expectations. However, it is expected to maintain double-digit credit growth under its strategic initiatives [8] City Commercial Banks - Ningbo Bank, with a valuation of 0.80x 2025 PB, has seen a significant decline in its stock price since 2023. The bank's retail loan quality is improving, and if economic expectations rise, there is potential for valuation recovery [9] - Changsha Bank, which focuses on consumer finance, has a low valuation of 0.56x 2025 PB and has underperformed compared to peers. A recovery in economic expectations could enhance its valuation [9] Joint-Stock Banks - Ping An Bank's valuation is at 0.52x 2025 PB, significantly lower than its peers. The bank has experienced a decline in performance due to strategic adjustments by its new management. If real estate policies improve and economic expectations rise, there is potential for revaluation [10]

2025 年7 月17 日，宁波银行披露2025 年半年度业绩快报，宁波银行营收利润增速均实现环比上升，不 良保持低位稳定，拨备小幅上升，在二季度外部环境不确定性增强的情况下仍表现优异。 宁波银行营收利润增速均实现环比上行。2025 年上半年公司实现营业收入增速7.9%，环比提升2.3pct， 归母净利润增速8.2%，环比一季度提高2.5pct。 投资建议：宁波银行属于积极进取的银行，长期以来坚持实施"大银行做不好，小银行做不了"的策略， 深耕优质经营区域，信贷规模增速高于行业，在宏观经济活跃度高时候获得了超额alpha。近两年，由 于名义GDP 增速下行，新增高收益资产减少，存量高收益资产风险暴露增加，公司的策略优势有所收 敛，业绩增速从之前的行业前茅退回到行业中上游水平。但这种退回是务实的，因为我们看到了公司通 过加大不良处置实现了不良低位稳定，拨备水平依然维持行业前列，债券收益兑现审慎，这都为中长期 业绩提供保障。 展望2025，财政发力，宏观经济活跃度有望提升，公司经营策略的alpha 会再回归，业绩增速有望重回 两位数和行业前列。建议积极关注。 风险提示：经济恢复不及预期；资产质量恶化超预期。 预计 ...

Group 1 - The banking sector has shown strong performance, with Ningbo Bank leading the gains, rising by 6.5% in the morning session on July 25, following a positive earnings report [2][6] - Ningbo Bank reported a net profit of 14.772 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.23%, which acted as a catalyst for the stock price increase [4][6] - The banking sector has seen a cumulative increase of 12.40% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the broader market [2][6] Group 2 - Several regional banks have reported double-digit profit growth, with Hangzhou Bank achieving a net profit of 11.662 billion yuan, up 16.67% year-on-year [3] - Changshu Bank reported a net profit of 1.969 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.55%, and its total assets surpassed 400 billion yuan for the first time [3][4] - The asset quality of Changshu Bank remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76%, which has decreased by 0.01 percentage points since the beginning of the year [3] Group 3 - Institutional investors remain optimistic about the banking sector, anticipating a continuation of the valuation recovery trend [7][9] - Northbound capital has increased its holdings in A-share banking stocks, with a reported growth of 26.6 billion yuan in the second quarter of 2025 [8] - Public funds have reached a record high in their allocation to banking stocks, with a fund position of 4.33%, the highest since the second quarter of 2021 [9]

Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Bank reported a solid performance in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating resilience in a challenging economic environment [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Ningbo Bank achieved operating income of 37.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.91% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14.77 billion yuan, up 8.23% compared to the same period last year [1]. - As of June 30, 2025, total assets amounted to 3,470.33 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.04% increase from the end of the previous year [1]. - Total customer deposits reached 2,076.41 billion yuan, a growth of 13.07% from the end of last year [1]. - Total loans and advances stood at 1,673.21 billion yuan, increasing by 13.36% compared to the end of the previous year [1]. Risk Management and Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.76% as of June 30, 2025 [1][3]. - The provision coverage ratio improved to 374.16%, up by 3.62 percentage points from the previous quarter [1]. - The capital adequacy ratio was reported at 15.21%, an increase of 0.27 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio rose to 9.65%, up by 0.33 percentage points from the previous quarter [1]. Strategic Initiatives - Ningbo Bank is implementing a differentiated business strategy to adapt to changing market conditions and enhance its competitive advantages [2]. - The bank is focusing on digital transformation and has introduced various online platforms to improve customer engagement and operational efficiency [2]. - The bank is actively managing its liability costs and structure to optimize its financial performance [2]. Market Outlook - Despite external economic uncertainties, Ningbo Bank is expected to maintain stable profitability due to its strong asset quality and effective risk management [3]. - The bank's high provision coverage is anticipated to support stable net profit growth in the future [3].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced narrow fluctuations on July 25, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.10%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.20%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.21% [1] - The market showed active sectors including photolithography materials, with stocks like ASMC hitting the daily limit, and a rebound in the banking sector led by Ningbo Bank [1] - Declining sectors included Hainan concept stocks, diversified finance, and engineering materials, with coal mining, steel, liquor, and electric grid showing significant declines [1] Sector Highlights - The photolithography sector was notably active, with ASMC hitting the daily limit and other companies like Kangpeng Technology and Shanghai Xinyang also rising [2] - A significant development in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) photolithography materials was reported by Tsinghua University, which could provide new design strategies for advanced semiconductor manufacturing [2] Institutional Insights - Shenwan Hongyuan indicated that the necessary conditions for a bull market are gradually accumulating, with a favorable outlook for Q4 2025 as the market transitions towards 2026 expectations [3] - The focus on low-valuation cyclical stocks is recommended in the short term, while mid-term strategies should target midstream manufacturing sectors that may benefit from improving economic conditions and supply-side reforms [3] - Industrial rotation is expected to continue, with a focus on structural main lines as macroeconomic conditions remain stable, according to Industrial Securities [4] - Dongguan Securities noted that since the end of June, the total market value of A-shares has remained above 100 trillion yuan, reflecting market expansion and confidence in China's capital market [5]

银行板块盘初拉升，宁波银行（002142）涨超5%，常熟银行（601128）、江苏银行（600919）、杭州 银行（600926）、成都银行（601838）多股上扬。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Bank's mid-year report shows a revenue growth rate of 7.9% and a profit growth rate of 8.2%, both improving by over 2% compared to Q1 2025, indicating a stable and positive overall performance [3] Financial Performance - Revenue and profit growth rates have improved quarter-on-quarter, with core Tier 1 capital also showing a quarter-on-quarter improvement [3] - The non-performing loan ratio remains stable, reflecting a solid financial position [3] - The bank has reversed the downward trend in provisions and the phenomenon of profit growth lagging behind revenue growth [3] Fund Performance - As of July 24, 2025, the Ping An SSE Dividend Low Volatility Index A Fund has seen a net inflow of 4.618 billion yuan over three of the last five trading days, averaging a daily net inflow of 924 million yuan [3] - The fund's financing net purchases reached 1.13 billion yuan in the past week, with a latest financing balance of 78.049 billion yuan [3] - The fund's trading congestion level is at 20.98%, lower than 79.02% historically, indicating less trading activity [3] Historical Returns - The Ping An SSE Dividend Low Volatility Index A Fund has a maximum monthly return of 11.16% since inception and an average monthly return of 3.98% [4] - The fund has a one-year Sharpe ratio of 1.15, ranking it in the top half among comparable funds [4] - The maximum drawdown for the fund this year is 5.35%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.44% [4] Fund Management - The fund was established on April 23, 2024, and aims to minimize tracking deviation and error against its benchmark [5] - The current fund managers, Qian Jing and Bai Guiyao, have achieved a return of 14.96% since the fund's inception [5] - The fund's top ten holdings include companies like COSCO Shipping, Chengdu Bank, and Industrial Bank, accounting for a total of 17.41% of the fund [5][7]

重点要闻 中金黄金公布6名学生参观子公司溺亡情况说明 中国黄金披露，东北大学6名学生在中金黄金股份有限公司控股子公司中国黄金集团内蒙古矿业有限公司乌努格吐山铜钼矿选矿厂参观学习浮选工艺过程 中，因格栅板脱落坠入浮选槽。经全力施救，6人被救出后，医护人员确认已溺亡。另有1名老师受伤。事件发生后，公司领导高度重视，立即启动应急预 案，第一时间前往现场组织处理，及时按相关程序上报当地政府各相关部门。目前各项处置工作正有序进行。 常熟银行拟吸收合并三家村镇银行并设立分支机构 根据披露，截至2024年末，滨海兴福总资产159,472.50 万元，总存款137,636.10 万元，总贷款14.05亿元，不良率0.98%，拨备覆盖率361.10%；润州长江总资 产78,656.24 万元，总存款5.59亿元，总贷款1.26亿元，不良率1.44%，拨备覆盖率424.28%；钟楼长江总资产43,043.40 万元，总存款31,742.67 万元，总贷款 2.84亿元，不良率1.77%，拨备覆盖率246.63%。 宁波银行2025年上半年净利润同比增长8.23% 宁波银行(002142.SZ)公告2025上半年业绩快报，2025 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 shows stable growth, with a revenue of 37.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.8 billion yuan, up 8.2% year-on-year [1][2] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 374% as of the end of Q2 2025, indicating a solid financial position [2] - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio, which supports stable future net profit growth [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 37.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 7.9%, and a net profit of 14.8 billion yuan, up 8.2% year-on-year [1][2] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) for H1 2025 is 13.8%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] Asset Quality - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total assets reached 3.47 trillion yuan, growing by 11.0% year-to-date and 14.4% year-on-year [1] - The non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with the provision coverage ratio at 374%, reflecting a strong asset quality [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged, with expected net profits of 29.2 billion yuan, 31.6 billion yuan, and 34.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 7.6%, 8.4%, and 7.8% [3][4] - The estimated diluted EPS for 2025 is 4.27 yuan, with a current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.4x and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.78x [3][4]