Industry Overview - Sturgeon (Acipenseriformes) is a group of bony fish known for its large size and long lifespan, with a history of over 200 million years, often referred to as "living fossils" [2][5] - China has become the world's largest sturgeon farming country, with production increasing from 10,900 tons in 2003 to 149,400 tons in 2023, accounting for over 85% of global sturgeon farming [1][9] - The domestic sturgeon farming industry is expected to exceed 150,000 tons in 2024, driven by technological advancements and market demand [1] Production and Technology - The sturgeon farming industry in China has developed a complete industrial chain from breeding to processing, with significant advancements in breeding technologies such as hybrid breeding and genome selection [5][18] - Various farming methods are employed, including pond farming, flow-through systems, and recirculating aquaculture systems, tailored to local conditions [3][5] - The introduction of the new sturgeon variety "Jinglong No. 1" in September 2023 marks a significant milestone in the industry [1] Regional Distribution - The sturgeon industry in China is highly concentrated in regions such as Guizhou, Yunnan, Hubei, and Shandong, which together account for over 60% of national production [9][18] - Guizhou has emerged as the leading province in sturgeon production, surpassing Yunnan in 2023, with production growth rates of 24.2% and 72.5% for Guizhou and Hubei, respectively [9] Export and Import Dynamics - China's sturgeon production fully meets domestic demand, leading to an increase in export volumes while reducing import needs [11] - In 2024, sturgeon exports reached 342,432 kilograms, a year-on-year increase of 24.14%, with a total export value of $9.8 billion, up 18.5% [11] - The export market is diverse, with significant shares going to the United States, Germany, Belgium, France, and Japan, accounting for 68.53% of total exports [11] Competitive Landscape - The sturgeon industry is characterized by a diverse competitive landscape, with key players like Xunlong Technology and Sichuan Runzhao Aquaculture leading the market [13][14] - Companies are increasingly focusing on technological innovation and ecological farming practices to enhance product quality and expand market reach [13][16] Development Trends - The sturgeon farming industry is experiencing continuous expansion and regional concentration, with a shift towards larger-scale cold-water farming systems [18] - The industry is moving towards high-value transformation, with a focus on deep processing of sturgeon products, including caviar and health supplements [20] - Technological innovations, such as gene editing and smart farming systems, are expected to drive industry upgrades and improve sustainability [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [2]. Core Insights - In April, the breeding profits improved, and the pet food export volume increased by 20% in Q1 [1]. - The agricultural index outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a rise of 3.3% from early April to April 29, while the CSI 300 fell by 2.89% [5][12]. - The domestic pet food market continues to expand, with a Q1 export value increase of 12% [5]. Summary by Sections Price Indicators and Agricultural Performance - In March, the CPI was down 0.1% year-on-year, with a 46% reduction in agricultural trade deficit [7]. - The total market value of the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector was 12,849.69 billion yuan, accounting for 1.38% of the total A-share market value [12]. Breeding Profits and Pet Food Exports - The breeding profits for pigs improved in April, with the price on April 23 being 15.09 yuan/kg, down 7.2% from the end of 2024 [5][31]. - The number of reproductive sows was 40.39 million, a 1% decrease from the previous quarter [34]. - The pet food market reached a scale of 107.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 12.7% from 2017 to 2024 [5]. Investment Recommendations and Stock Pool - Focus on leading pig farming companies with strong cost control and healthy financial conditions, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [5]. - The report suggests monitoring the poultry industry, particularly the yellow-feathered chicken sector, due to potential price increases [5]. - Attention is also drawn to feed industry leaders like Haida Group and animal vaccine companies such as Reap Bio and Kexin Bio [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a mixed performance in the livestock breeding sector, with the China Livestock Breeding Index experiencing a slight decline of 0.07% as of April 30, 2025, while specific stocks like Tiankang Biological and Tianma Technology showed gains [1] - The Agricultural and Rural Affairs Department has released an implementation plan aiming to reduce the proportion of grain used in livestock feed to 60% and soybean meal to 10% by 2030, promoting measures such as precise feed formulation and the development of high-quality forage [1] - The Livestock ETF has seen a 2.47% increase over the past month, ranking in the top quarter among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - According to a report from Guosheng Securities, the allocation of the livestock sector in fund heavy positions has significantly decreased, with a first-quarter heavy position ratio of 0.45%, down 0.06 percentage points from the previous quarter and 0.65 percentage points year-on-year, marking the lowest level in three years [2] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the Livestock ETF is 12.89, indicating it is at a historical low, being below 98.82% of the time over the past year [2] - The China Livestock Breeding Index includes companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the livestock sector [2] Group 3 - As of March 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index accounted for 69.05% of the index, with Hai Da Group, Wens Foodstuffs, and Muyuan Foods being the top three [3] - The weightings of the top stocks include Hai Da Group at 11.24%, Wens Foodstuffs at 10.10%, and Muyuan Foods at 10.08%, with Tiankang Biological showing a notable increase of 2.88% [5]

证券代码：002311 证券简称：海大集团 公告编号：2025-023 广东海大集团股份有限公司 关于 2024 年员工持股计划第一个锁定期届满的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 广东海大集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司""本公司"）于 2024 年 2 月 5 日召开的第六届董事会第十七次会议、第六届监事会第十四次会议，以及于 2024 年 3 月 20 日召开的 2024 年第一次临时股东大会审议通过了《关于<广东海 大集团股份有限公司 2024 年员工持股计划（草案）>及其摘要的议案》（以下简 称"2024 年员工持股计划"）等与 2024 年员工持股计划相关的议案，具体内容 详见公司指定信息披露媒体《证券时报》《中国证券报》《上海证券报》《证券日 报》和巨潮资讯网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的相关公告。 鉴于公司 2024 年员工持股计划第一个锁定期于 2025 年 4 月 30 日届满，根 据《关于上市公司实施员工持股计划试点的指导意见》《深圳证券交易所上市公 司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上市公司规 ...

Group 1: Future Growth Strategies - The company aims to achieve over 3 million tons of export volume by 2025 and 51.5 million tons of total sales by 2030, focusing on expanding its feed business as the core strategy [2][3] - The company is exploring light-asset pig farming and factory-style shrimp farming, which are expected to become key business areas in the future [2][3] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a feed sales volume of 26.52 million tons, a year-on-year increase of approximately 9%, with a net profit of 4.504 billion yuan, up 64.3% [3][4] - The company's revenue for 2024 was 114.601 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.31% year-on-year [3][4] Group 3: Market Position and Competition - The company’s domestic feed sales volume reached 22.06 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of about 5%, while the overall industrial feed production in China declined by 2.1% [5][6] - The company is focusing on enhancing its market share in regions such as South China, East China, and North China through operational excellence and customer orientation [5][6] Group 4: Risk Management and Challenges - The company has established a strict disease prevention system in feed production to mitigate risks associated with livestock diseases [6][7] - The company is prepared for future competition in overseas markets and is gradually expanding its seedling and feed businesses internationally [6][7] Group 5: Capital Management and Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of 1.8 billion yuan in 2024, with future distributions based on actual operating conditions [7][8] - The company’s debt levels and asset-liability ratios have decreased as of the end of 2024, indicating improved financial health [7][8]

Core Insights - The article discusses the structure and dynamics of the feed industry in China, highlighting the upstream raw materials, midstream production, and downstream demand from farming and aquaculture sectors [1][4][6]. Industry Chain Overview - The feed industry chain consists of three segments: upstream raw materials (energy, protein, and microbial sources), midstream feed product development and production (including pig, poultry, ruminant, and aquaculture feeds), and downstream demand primarily from farmers and aquaculture enterprises [1]. - Recent government initiatives aim to reduce reliance on imported corn and soybean meal, leading to a gradual establishment of domestic raw material sources and improved stability [1]. - Midstream companies are enhancing innovation capabilities and accelerating new product development, with increasing vertical integration between midstream and upstream/downstream sectors [1]. - Rising meat consumption levels in China are expected to boost the scale of downstream aquaculture and livestock farming [1]. Regional Distribution - Upstream raw material suppliers are mainly located in Inner Mongolia, Guangdong, Fujian, and Beijing, while feed production companies are concentrated in Guangdong and Sichuan [6]. - The majority of downstream aquaculture companies are found in Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Henan provinces [6]. Company Developments - Major feed companies in China, such as New Hope, Haida Group, and Tongwei, have reported feed revenues exceeding 30 billion yuan, with some companies like Dabeinong and Jingji Zhino achieving gross margins above 11% [9]. - Haida Group and New Hope have high feed production and sales volumes, each exceeding 20 million tons [9]. - Investment activities in 2023 include establishing subsidiaries, new projects, and increasing capital in existing subsidiaries by leading feed companies [10].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the resilience of agriculture, recommending undervalued leading companies in the sector. It highlights the importance of enhancing agricultural production and stabilizing prices for key agricultural products, with a target grain production of 1.4 trillion jin for 2025 [2][4] - The report suggests that the agricultural sector, being fundamental to the nation, presents significant allocation value due to its current low valuations and the need to protect farmers' incomes. The anticipated rise in agricultural stocks is expected to occur in three phases: emotional stimulation, industrial logic development, and cyclical upturn driving EPS and PE [4][5] Summary by Sections 1. Livestock - The latest pig price is 14.78 yuan/kg, with a weight of 128.94 kg for market pigs. The price of 15 kg piglets has dropped to 649 yuan/head, indicating a short-term strong performance but a long-term oversupply situation [5][18] - The total number of breeding sows is 40.39 million, with a year-on-year increase of 1.2%. The total pig inventory is 41.731 million, up 2.2% year-on-year [18][19] - Investment should shift from "cyclical thinking" to "quality and price," focusing on leading companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [19] 2. Poultry - The price of broiler chickens has rebounded, with chick prices stable at 3.1 yuan/chick. The price of broiler chickens is 7.5 yuan/kg, showing a year-on-year decrease of 4.58% [20] - The report highlights the concentration of industry profits towards upstream breeding sources, suggesting a focus on companies like Yisheng Livestock and Shennong Development [20] 3. Feed - Fish prices have risen while feed prices have decreased, indicating an improvement in aquaculture profitability. The report anticipates a recovery in demand for aquaculture feed in 2025 [21][22] - The leading companies are expected to improve their market share and cash flow as they enter a new phase of stable cash flow [21][22] 4. Pet Industry - Exports of pet food have increased significantly, with a total of 30,000 tons exported in March, a year-on-year increase of 24.6%. The revenue from exports reached 9.1 billion yuan [23][24] - The report notes a strong performance in canned pet food, with export volume increasing by 52.6% and revenue by 98% [24] 5. Agricultural Products - The report indicates that domestic agricultural products are less affected by tariffs, with a high self-sufficiency rate in grains. It predicts a potential upward trend in agricultural prices due to reduced imports [30] - The USDA's April report maintains previous forecasts for soybean and corn production, indicating a stable supply-demand balance [30] 6. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3787 points, with the Agricultural Index at 2608 points, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.16% [31] - The report highlights the need for policies to support low-income groups and enhance consumption, which could positively impact the agricultural sector [61]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has shown impressive performance with a new growth curve driven by its overseas business [1] - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1146.01 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.31%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 64.3% to 45.04 billion. For Q1 2025, revenue grew by 10.6% to 256.29 billion, and net profit rose by 48.99% to 12.82 billion [5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The company's feed sales reached 26.52 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 9%, with market share further improving. Breakdown includes poultry feed sales of 12.65 million tons (up 12%), pig feed sales of 5.64 million tons (down 3%), and aquaculture feed sales of 5.85 million tons (up 11%). Domestic feed sales were 22.06 million tons (up 5%), while overseas sales were 2.36 million tons (up 40%) [5] Business Segments - The company maintains an advantage in its breeding and animal health segments. The breeding business generated 1.4 billion in revenue, with significant advancements in shrimp breeding and tilapia varieties. The animal health segment achieved approximately 800 million in revenue, focusing on product innovation and integration with feed products [5] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1321.57 billion, 1485.4 billion, and 1688.58 billion respectively, with net profits projected at 49.68 billion, 60 billion, and 75.35 billion. Corresponding P/E ratios are 18, 15, and 12 [5][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [10][3]. Core Views - The company has achieved rapid growth in performance, with a projected revenue of 1146.01 billion CNY for 2024, a slight decrease of 1.31% year-on-year, and a net profit of 45.04 billion CNY, reflecting a significant increase of 64.30% year-on-year [1][3]. - The feed business has seen both volume and profit growth, with a total feed sales volume of 26.5 million tons in 2024, up 9% year-on-year, and a notable 40% increase in overseas sales [2][3]. - The company is focusing on a light asset operation model in livestock farming, which enhances its risk resistance, and has successfully turned around its pig farming business to profitability [3][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1146.01 billion CNY, with a net profit of 45.04 billion CNY, and for Q1 2025, revenue reached 256.29 billion CNY, up 10.60% year-on-year, with a net profit of 12.82 billion CNY, up 48.99% year-on-year [1][3]. - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 50.71 billion CNY, 57.87 billion CNY, and 65.84 billion CNY respectively, with EPS projected at 3.05 CNY, 3.48 CNY, and 3.96 CNY [3][4]. Business Segments - The feed segment is expected to see a rise in both volume and profit, with a target of over 3 million tons in external sales for 2025, driven by a strong domestic market and expanding overseas operations [2][3]. - The company has adopted a light asset operation model in pig farming, which has proven effective in mitigating risks and enhancing profitability [3][2]. Market Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on its core cost advantages amid expected fluctuations in feed raw material prices in 2025, with a continuous increase in market share anticipated [3][2]. - The overseas market is expected to replicate the success of domestic operations, contributing to additional growth [3][2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1146.01 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.31%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 45.04 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 64.30% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 256.29 billion yuan, up 10.60% year-on-year, and a net profit of 12.82 billion yuan, an increase of 48.99% year-on-year [1] - The feed business volume and profit are expected to rise, with overseas sales opening new growth opportunities [2] - The company is focusing on optimizing breeding costs and adopting a light-asset operation model, which enhances its risk resistance [3] - The company is projected to have net profits of 50.71 billion yuan, 57.87 billion yuan, and 65.84 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 3.05, 3.48, and 3.96 yuan, and PE ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times respectively [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved feed sales of 26.5 million tons, a 9% increase year-on-year, with significant growth in poultry and aquaculture feed exports [2] - The company’s net profit for 2024 was 45.04 billion yuan, a 64.30% increase from the previous year [4] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 125.12 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.18% [4] Business Strategy - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with a 40% year-on-year increase in overseas sales in 2024 [2] - The light-asset operation model in pig farming has led to a turnaround in profitability, with 6 million pigs sold in 2024 [3] - The company aims to deepen integration with large-scale farming entities domestically while accelerating market expansion internationally [2][3] Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the company will continue to enhance its market share in the feed business, with a focus on cost advantages amid fluctuating raw material prices [3] - The company is expected to replicate its domestic success in overseas markets, contributing to additional growth [3]