Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural sector [6] Core Insights - Corn prices continue to rise, with a current spot price of 2,375 CNY/ton as of January 23, 2026, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.46%. The report is optimistic about the recovery of planting sentiment in the agricultural sector [4][10] - The report highlights a trend of increasing investment in the agricultural sector, with institutional investors increasing their holdings in companies like Wens Foodstuffs and Zhongxing Junye, while reducing positions in others like Noposion and New Hope [3] - The pet industry is also highlighted, with significant trends noted in pet fashion and pet-human cohabitation, indicating a growing investment in this sector. Major pet exhibitions are scheduled for March 2026, which are expected to catalyze new product launches [5] Summary by Sections Agricultural Sector - The agricultural sector's fund holdings are valued at 46.896 billion CNY, which is 0.14 percentage points below the standard industry allocation ratio, marking five consecutive quarters of underperformance [3] - The report anticipates stable to rising prices for corn and other grains, which is expected to benefit seed companies that adhere to a "quality for price" strategy [4] Livestock and Poultry - The report notes fluctuations in pig prices, with a current price of 13.1 CNY/kg, reflecting a 2.92% weekly increase. However, the annual comparison shows a decrease of 15.19% [10] - The average self-breeding and self-raising profit in the industry is reported at 43.4 CNY per head, showing a significant increase of 486.6% week-on-week [10] Pet Industry - The report emphasizes the increasing consumer investment in pets, with major exhibitions in South and North China expected to draw significant attention and new product launches from leading brands [5] - Recommended stocks in the pet sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruipubio, all of which are expected to benefit from the growing market [6] Key Company Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies, with several companies rated as "Overweight," including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [39]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the strengthening of pork prices as the breeding stock decreases to 35.61 million heads by the end of December, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1][2] - The report emphasizes the importance of the seed industry revitalization action, which has made significant progress in enhancing seed security and promoting domestic seed usage [1][12] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is expected to accelerate, contributing to higher self-sufficiency rates in key varieties [1][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has reported progress in the seed industry revitalization action, with a focus on policy support, funding, and institutional guarantees [1][12] - Key companies recommended for investment include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, as well as leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs is reported at 12.99 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 2.27% [2][13] - The breeding stock of sows is at 39.61 million heads, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% [2][13] - Recommended companies in the pig farming sector include Lihua Co., Muyuan Foods, and Shuanghui Development [5][13] Feed and Veterinary - The average price of pig feed is 2.65 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.38% [52] - Companies in the feed sector such as Haida Group and veterinary companies like Jinhai Biological and Zhongmu Co. are expected to benefit [5][13]

基金年报对农业维持低配，精选农业个股。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 农业《猪价继续上涨，关注寒潮和腊月对价格影 响》2026.01.18 农业《业绩的线索》2026.01.11 农业《周期破晓见曦，成长擎画新篇》2026.01.03 农业《瑞派宠物医院递表，宠物医疗关注度提 升》2025.12.28 农业《冬至备货小高峰结束，价格先涨后跌》 2025.12.22 [Table_Industry] 农业 维持低配，β弱α强 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——2025 基金年报农林牧渔板块持仓分析 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 王艳君(分析师) | 021-38674633 | wangyanjun2@gtht.com | S0880520100002 | | 林逸丹(分析师) | 021-38038436 | linyidan@gtht.com | S0880524090001 | | 巩健(分析师) | 021-23185702 | gongjian@gtht.com ...

证券之星消息，1月23日饲料板块较上一交易日下跌0.29%，中宠股份领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4136.16，上涨0.33%。深证成指报收于14439.66，上涨0.79%。饲料板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603668 | 天马科技 | 16.13 | 2.94% | 13.92万 | 2.22 乙 | | 688156 | 路德科技 | 19.76 | 2.44% | 2.96万 | 5794.28万 | | 001366 | 播恩集团 | 14.33 | 1.13% | 2.78万 | 3976.63万 | | 301498 | 乖宝宠物 | 71.33 | 0.85% | 3.09万 | 2.20亿 | | 920419 | 路斯股份 | 16.98 | 0.71% | 1.06万 | 1802.24万 | | 603363 | 傲农生物 | 4.31 | 0.70% | 40.50万 | 1.73亿 | | 002100 | 天康生物 | 7.0 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance of the consumer sector in China, particularly the growth of brand value for Kweichow Moutai, which increased by 2.2% to reach $59.63 billion, ranking first in the global liquor industry [1] - The China Securities Index shows that the major consumer index has risen by 0.20%, with significant gains from stocks such as Hainan Rubber (+2.15%), Yanjing Beer (+1.64%), and Dongpeng Beverage (+1.53%) [1] - The market is currently favoring sectors like snacks and dairy, which are experiencing clear growth and higher elasticity, driven by policy support and improving monthly data, while the liquor sector is in a "bottoming out" phase [1] Group 2 - The major consumer index includes leading A-share consumer stocks across various categories, with liquor being the largest sector, accounting for over 38% of the index [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the major consumer index, which include Yili, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye, collectively account for 68.63% of the index [1] - Investors can also access the consumer recovery trend through the Consumption ETF linked fund (009180) [3]

证券之星消息，1月21日饲料板块较上一交易日下跌0.69%，傲农生物领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4116.94，上涨0.08%。深证成指报收于14255.12，上涨0.7%。饲料板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日饲料板块主力资金净流出9594.33万元，游资资金净流入3263.52万元，散户资金 净流入6330.81万元。饲料板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002548 | 金新农 | 2161.14万 | 8.29% | -929.04万 | -3.56% | -1232.10万 | -4.72% | | 301498 | 乖宝宠物 | 1497.78万 | 4.65% | -159.65万 | -0.50% | -1338.13万 | -4.15% | | 002311 | 海大集团 | 651.69万 | 1.12% | -1286.03万 | -2.20% ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - Short-term recovery in pig prices is expected, while the breeding capacity remains high [3] - The industry is undergoing a significant policy transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and encouraging innovation [6][17] - The high-quality development of the industry is essential, with cost-leading and farmer-inclusive companies likely to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [6][17] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine breeding sector saw a decline of 4.9%, primarily due to market sentiment and concerns over capacity reduction [5][16] - In 2025, the national pig output reached 71.973 million heads, an increase of 2.4% year-on-year, while the breeding sow inventory decreased by 2.9% [5][16] - As of January 18, 2026, pig prices rose to 13.25 CNY/kg, indicating a recovery in the industry [5][16] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector is experiencing a contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption," with the price of broiler chickens at 3.65 CNY/kg, down 3.18% week-on-week [7][18] - The impact of avian influenza in France may lead to reduced imports of breeding chickens, potentially increasing prices for parent stock [7][18] - The industry is expected to see a continued advantage for leading companies due to integrated operations and contract farming [7][18] 3. Feed Industry - The prices of various aquatic products have shown recovery, with significant year-on-year increases for certain species [19][20] - Hai Da Group is recommended for its clear long-term growth path and plans to increase its dividend payout ratio [20] 4. Pet Industry - The competitive landscape in the pet food sector is becoming more concentrated, with leading brands outperforming mid-tier brands [10][21] - Despite concerns over Q4 2025 performance, the growth outlook for the pet industry remains strong, with domestic sales expected to continue growing [10][21] - Recommended companies include Zhongchong Co., which is positioned for growth in both domestic and international markets [11][21] 5. Agricultural Products - Domestic soybean meal prices fell by 2.1%, while corn prices increased by 0.8% due to declining inventories [26] - The egg market is showing strength, with prices rising by 1.4% [26] - The agricultural sector is viewed as having significant investment value due to its historical low valuations and the need to protect farmers' incomes [26]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive trend in pig prices driven by the consumption peak season, with the average price of lean pigs reaching 12.49 CNY/kg, a 2.6% increase month-on-month [1] - The stock performance of the livestock breeding index shows mixed results, with leading stocks like Ruisheng Biological rising by 9.91% and the Livestock ETF priced at 0.68 CNY [1] - The overall pig farming sector is experiencing a "tug-of-war" state, where companies with cost advantages are more resilient in competition [1] Group 2 - According to Huaxi Securities, the average price of external three yuan pigs reached 12.7 CNY/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.26%, indicating a steady rise in pig prices [2] - As of the end of October, the number of breeding sows in China was 39.9 million, a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month, reflecting ongoing adjustments in pig production capacity [2] - The self-breeding and external purchasing pig farming models have turned profitable, with profits of 7.39 CNY/head and 2.31 CNY/head respectively [2] Group 3 - The CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) includes companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the livestock sector [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 67.66% of the index, with major companies including Muyuan Foods, Haida Group, and Wens Foodstuffs [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - The report highlights that the consumption peak for pork has not yet arrived, and attention should be paid to the rhythm of hog slaughtering by producers, which impacts pork prices [22][23] - The white feather broiler market is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with chick prices significantly lower due to insufficient parent stock and market pressures [34] - The aquaculture sector shows stable prices, with potential investment opportunities identified [41] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The agricultural sector experienced a decline of 3.27% this week, ranking 29th among the primary industries [14] - The animal health sector saw a notable increase, with a rise of 1.19% [17] 2. Industry Data Tracking 2.1. Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.69 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.60% and a two-week increase of 1.57% [21] - The average price of piglets is 425 CNY/head, with a week-on-week increase of 17.08% [21] - Daily average slaughter volume is 223,400 pigs, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.27% [22] 2.2. Poultry Farming - The average price of white feather broilers is 7.59 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.65% [34] - Chick prices have dropped to 2.74 CNY/bird, reflecting a significant week-on-week decrease of 23.68% [34] 2.3. Planting Sector - The average price of corn is 2359.57 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.26% [38] - The average price of domestic wheat is 2513.57 CNY/ton, remaining unchanged [38] 2.4. Aquaculture Sector - Prices for various aquatic products remain stable, with carp at 20.00 CNY/kg and crab at 260.00 CNY/kg, both showing no week-on-week change [41]

Group 1: Market Performance - A-shares experienced a slight increase with the consumer sector performing well, as evidenced by the leading consumer ETF (159928) rising by 0.39% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 360 million yuan [1] - The consumer ETF has seen a net subscription of 28 million units today, accumulating over 1.6 billion yuan in the past five days [1] Group 2: Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's GDP for the year reached 14,018.79 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% growth year-on-year at constant prices [3] - In December 2025, the retail sales of consumer goods grew by 0.9% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to November [3] - The per capita disposable income for residents in 2025 was 43,377 yuan, marking a nominal increase of 5% year-on-year, with a real growth of 5% after adjusting for price factors [3] Group 3: Consumer Trends and Policies - The focus on enhancing service consumption is evident, with a CAGR of approximately 9.6% in per capita service consumption from 2020 to 2024, expected to reach 46.1% of total consumption by 2024 [7] - The government aims to boost domestic demand and has outlined key tasks for 2026, emphasizing the importance of "domestic demand as the main driver" [3][7] - Policies are expected to support sectors such as elderly care, cultural tourism, and sports, with a focus on new consumption scenarios and enhancing service quality [4][8] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The consumer ETF (159928) is noted for its resilience across economic cycles, with a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 18.91, which is lower than 99% of the historical data over the past decade [4][9] - The top ten holdings in the consumer ETF account for over 68.55% of its weight, with significant representation from leading liquor brands and agricultural companies [9][10] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer 50 ETF (159268) is highlighted as an efficient investment vehicle for the consumer sector, particularly appealing to the younger generation [10]