Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The agricultural industry achieved a revenue of CNY 11,498.20 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders rose to CNY 466.39 billion, an increase of 806.55% [6][17] - In Q1 2025, the industry reported a revenue of CNY 2,706.77 billion, a year-on-year growth of 6.79%, with a net profit of CNY 133.13 billion, up 795.07% [6][17] - The overall profitability of the industry improved significantly in Q1 2025, with gross profit margin at 12.91%, net profit margin at 5.16%, and return on equity (ROE) at 2.57%, all showing year-on-year increases [21][30] Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - In 2024, the agricultural industry saw a slight decline in revenue but a substantial increase in net profit, indicating improved profitability despite lower sales [17] - The profitability metrics for Q1 2025 showed significant improvements compared to the previous year, with a notable decrease in the expense ratio [21] Sub-industry Analysis - The livestock sector experienced a remarkable increase in net profit, with pig farming turning profitable in 2024 and continuing strong performance into 2025 [6][29] - The poultry farming sector also showed strong growth, with net profit increasing significantly due to reduced feed costs and improved efficiency [43][44] - The pet food sector maintained high growth rates, with revenues and profits continuing to rise [6][25] Livestock Farming - In 2024, pig farming companies generated CNY 4,370.03 billion in revenue, a slight decline, but net profit surged to CNY 320.13 billion, reflecting a recovery in profitability [29] - In Q1 2025, revenues for pig farming increased by 18.69% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 236.12% [29][30] Poultry Farming - Poultry farming companies achieved a revenue of CNY 520.71 billion in 2024, with a net profit of CNY 28.49 billion, marking a significant increase [43] - In Q1 2025, revenue continued to grow, reaching CNY 118.71 billion, with net profit increasing to CNY 4.51 billion [43][44] Feed Industry - The feed industry reported a revenue of CNY 1,863.30 billion in 2024, with a net profit of CNY 52.48 billion, showing a significant recovery in profitability [58] - In Q1 2025, revenues rose to CNY 428.66 billion, with net profit increasing to CNY 15.26 billion [58][61] Animal Health - The animal health sector saw a revenue of CNY 129.02 billion in 2024, with a net profit of CNY 10.82 billion, despite a decline in profitability [66] - In Q1 2025, revenues increased to CNY 30.96 billion, with net profit rising to CNY 4.26 billion [66]

| 601688 | 华泰证 | 5 | 2.08 | 6.01 | 1.76 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 券 | | | | | | 603005 | 晶方科 | 5 | 1.94 | 5.46 | 9.07 | | | 技 | | | | | | 000933 | 神火股 | 7 | 1.91 | 6.53 | 4.81 | | | 份 | | | | | | 300657 | 弘信电 | 5 | 1.79 | 4.55 | 11.37 | | | 子 | | | | | | 688158 | 优刻得 | 5 | 1.78 | 5.36 | 13.31 | | 000630 | 铜陵有 | 5 | 1.71 | 8.40 | 1.58 | | | 色 | | | | | | 300382 | 斯莱克 | 5 | 1.62 | 8.36 | 24.17 | | 688208 | 道通科 | 5 | 1.50 | 5.56 | 14.00 | | | 技 | | | | | | 002558 | 巨人网 | 5 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 11. ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that brokerages are actively recommending stocks for May, with a total of 167 stocks recommended, and Hai Da Group leading with recommendations from five brokerages [1][2] - Hai Da Group is recognized for its comprehensive business coverage in the livestock and aquaculture feed, breeding, and animal health sectors, with short-term benefits expected from the recovery of livestock production capacity and aquaculture market [2][3] - The industrial and information technology sectors are highlighted as having the highest number of recommended stocks, with 34 stocks each, indicating a strong focus on these areas by brokerages [2] Group 2 - Analysts from various brokerages express optimism about the A-share market, predicting a potential upward trend supported by policy measures and reduced short-term market disturbances [4][5] - Specific sectors such as technology and consumer goods are identified as key areas for investment, with recommendations to focus on structural opportunities within these sectors [4][5] - The report outlines four industry directions for investment: technology growth (including AI, robotics, and semiconductors), consumer sectors (such as apparel and food), industries benefiting from cost improvements (like aquaculture and aviation), and sectors with structural opportunities related to exports [5]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [17] Core Views - The pig farming sector shows significant profitability but with large variances due to cost differences, leading to a stronger performance from leading companies [19][21] - The poultry sector is experiencing a structural adjustment with varying profitability across different types of chickens, indicating a potential bottoming out in the white chicken segment [22][26] - The seed industry faces inventory pressure, but the biotechnological breeding sector is expected to accelerate due to supportive policies [29][30] - The pet industry is witnessing rapid growth of domestic brands, with a focus on high-income growth companies [32][33] - The feed sector is recommended for investment due to improving market demand and continuous performance from leading companies [34] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - Q1 sales prices for most A-share pig companies were between 14.5-15.5 yuan/kg, down from 16-17 yuan/kg in Q4 2024 [19] - Leading companies like Shennong and Juxing saw over 60% year-on-year growth in output [19] - Average profit per pig improved significantly, with Shennong achieving around 300-350 yuan per head [19][21] - Some companies are returning cash to shareholders with dividend payout ratios of 49.6% for Tiankang and 42.4% for Muyuan [19] Poultry Sector - The profitability of white chickens is narrowing, with major companies reporting significant declines in net profits [22] - The supply of parent stock is at a five-year low, indicating a potential for price increases as demand recovers [26] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies like Shengnong Development and Yisheng [25][26] Seed Industry - The seed sector's net profit dropped by 37.6% in Q1 2025 due to oversupply, with leading companies showing varied performance [29] - High R&D investment continues, with a focus on biotechnological advancements expected to enhance competitiveness [30][31] Pet Industry - Major pet food companies reported strong revenue growth, with significant increases in net profits for companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong [32] - The demand for senior pet care products is rising, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [32] Feed Sector - Haida Group is highlighted for its market share growth and improving financial performance, with Q1 revenues up by 10.6% [34] - The aquaculture feed market is expected to improve due to rising fish prices and supportive consumption policies [34] Animal Health Sector - The animal health sector is experiencing revenue and profit differentiation, with some companies like Huisheng showing over 50% growth [35] - Investment focus is on new product lines and the potential for pet health products to capture market share [35][36]

Group 1: Swine Industry - The domestic supply and demand for pigs is expected to improve marginally by Q2 2025, with pig prices supported and entering a phase of gradual upward movement. External factors such as tariff-driven increases in feed raw material prices and higher costs for imported meat are also contributing positively to pig prices. The swine sector is highlighted as a defensive asset amid macroeconomic shocks, reinforcing investment logic. Recommended stocks include Wens Foodstuff Group, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [4][86]. - In 2024, China's pork production is projected to reach 56.75 million tons, accounting for 49% of global production, with consumption at 57.95 million tons, representing 50% of global consumption. This positions China as the world's largest pork producer and consumer [13][15]. - The average price of pork in 2024 is estimated at 16.8 yuan per kilogram, reflecting an increase of 11.8% year-on-year. The swine farming market size is expected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, up 11.2% year-on-year [17][32]. Group 2: Poultry Industry - The demand for white chicken remains resilient despite uncertainties from U.S.-China tariff policies and avian influenza outbreaks. The consumption of white feather broilers is expected to improve marginally, with recommended stocks including San Nong Development and He Feng Co [5][94]. - In 2024, the total output of meat chickens in China is projected to reach 14.84 billion, with white feather broilers accounting for 60.85% of this figure. The output of white feather broilers is expected to increase by 2.2% year-on-year [99]. Group 3: Animal Health - The market for piglets and poultry chicks is stable, with a solid demand for poultry chicks supported by increasing poultry farming. The market for ruminant and pet vaccines is also expected to remain robust, with recommended stocks including Bio-Group, Kexin Biology, and Pulaike [6]. Group 4: Planting and Seeds - The focus on food security is emphasized, with companies involved in high-yield genetically modified soybeans likely to benefit from the ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. The third batch of genetically modified corn varieties is expected to be approved for planting, which may increase the area under cultivation [7]. Group 5: Feed Industry - The recovery of the swine sector is expected to boost domestic demand for feed, while overseas markets present new growth opportunities. The demand for pig feed is anticipated to rebound as pig farming profitability improves and pig stocks gradually recover [8]. Group 6: Pet Industry - The upcoming shopping festivals are expected to drive demand for pet food, with domestic brands likely to gain market share due to increased tariffs on imported high-end products. Recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co, and Petty Co [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The agriculture industry achieved a revenue of 11,498.20 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders rose to 466.39 billion yuan, an increase of 806.55% [4][14] - In Q1 2025, the industry reported a revenue of 2,706.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.79%, and a net profit of 133.13 billion yuan, up 795.07% year-on-year [4][14] - The profitability indicators showed improvement, with the gross profit margin at 12.91% in Q1 2025, up 5.74 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin at 5.16%, an increase of 6.18 percentage points year-on-year [4][18] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The livestock sector saw significant year-on-year profit growth, with poultry farming, livestock farming, feed, and pet food sectors showing net profit increases of 1,109.96%, 389.01%, 230.88%, and 75.67% respectively in 2024 [5][20] - In Q1 2025, the net profit growth rates for feed, poultry farming, livestock farming, aquaculture, animal health, and pet food sectors were 962.42%, 588.35%, 254.62%, 117.28%, and 21.27% respectively [5][20] Weekly Perspective - The swine sector shows low-positioning value, with the recovery of profitability and consumer demand boosting the sector. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [6][24] - The feed sector benefits from the post-cycle of poultry and livestock, with strong overseas demand supporting prices. Recommended stocks include Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe [6][24] - The pet sector is experiencing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers, with recommended stocks including Guai Bao Pet, Zhong Chong Co., and Petty Co. [6][26] Market Performance - During the week of April 28 to May 2, the agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.08 percentage points, with the agriculture index down 0.56% [7][27] - The feed sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with individual stocks like Ruip Biotech, New Sai Co., and Daodaoquan leading the market [7][32] Price Tracking - As of May 2, the average price of live pigs was 14.84 yuan/kg, down 0.11 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of white strip meat rose by 0.11 yuan/kg to 19.2 yuan/kg [8][37] - The average price of beef increased to 69.03 yuan/kg, reflecting a 0.74% rise [8][43] - The average price of bass rose to 35.30 yuan/kg, up 3.82% from the previous week [8][48]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The industry experienced a decline in revenue in 2024 but saw a significant increase in net profit, indicating improved profitability. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue growth of 6.79% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 795.07% [4][14] - The livestock sector, particularly poultry and pet food, demonstrated high growth rates in net profit, with poultry farming seeing a 1109.96% increase in 2024 and a 588.35% increase in Q1 2025 [5][20] - The report highlights the recovery of the pig cycle and the upward trend in pig prices, suggesting a favorable outlook for the livestock sector [6][24] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - In 2024, the agriculture industry achieved a revenue of 11,498.20 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.68%, while net profit reached 466.39 billion yuan, an increase of 806.55%. In Q1 2025, revenue was 2,706.77 billion yuan, up 6.79%, and net profit was 133.13 billion yuan, up 795.07% [4][14] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig sector shows low valuation and potential for recovery, supported by consumption revival. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and others. The feed sector benefits from strong domestic and overseas demand [6][24] Market Performance - During the week of April 28 to May 2, the agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.08 percentage points, with the agriculture index down 0.56% [7][27] Price Tracking - As of May 2, the average price of live pigs was 14.84 yuan/kg, a slight decrease from the previous week. The average price of piglets was 36.88 yuan/kg, also down slightly [8][37]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating for the agriculture sector [4] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the SW Agriculture sector achieved a total profit of 13.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1049%, with significant contributions from the breeding, feed, and agricultural product processing sectors, accounting for 59%, 16%, and 15% of profits respectively [10][11] - The breeding sector saw a profit of 8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 254%, driven primarily by pig farming, which generated 7.615 billion yuan, up 242% year-on-year [10][11] - The feed and animal health sectors reported profits of 2.143 billion yuan and 512 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 676% and 34% [10][11] - The planting sector experienced a profit of 800 million yuan, a decrease of 12% year-on-year, influenced by declining grain prices [10][11] Summary by Sections Breeding Sector - The average price of lean pigs was 14.69 yuan/kg, down 1.1% from the previous week, while the average wholesale price of pork was 20.59 yuan/kg, down 1.4% [12][13] - The profit from self-breeding pigs decreased to 85.05 yuan per head, while the profit from purchased piglets was 48.53 yuan per head [14][15] - The average price of broiler chickens was 7.48 yuan/kg, up 0.1% from the previous week, and the average price of chicken products remained stable at 8.9 yuan/kg [25][27] Feed and Animal Health - The feed sector's profit growth was supported by the performance of the breeding sector, with significant increases in profits from poultry and aquatic feeds [10][11] - The pet food segment also showed strong performance, achieving a profit of 330 million yuan, up 28% year-on-year [10] Planting Sector - The planting sector's profit decline was attributed to lower prices for corn and wheat, which fell by 11% and 14% year-on-year, respectively [10][11] - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance the growth potential of industry companies [11] Market Trends - The agriculture sector underperformed the broader market by 0.1 percentage points, with a decline of 0.6% [8][9] - The feed sector saw a slight increase of 1.65% during the same period [9]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [15] Core Views - The pig farming sector shows significant profitability but with large disparities due to cost differences, leading to a "stronger becoming stronger" scenario [19][21] - The poultry sector is experiencing a structural decline in production capacity, with a focus on the white chicken segment as it approaches its lowest point [22][24] - The seed industry faces inventory pressure, but the biological breeding sector is expected to accelerate due to supportive policies [29][30] - The pet industry is witnessing rapid growth of domestic brands, with a focus on high-income growth companies [32][33] - The feed sector is recommended for investment due to improving market demand and cost control capabilities [34] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - Q1 sales prices for pigs were low, averaging 14.5-15.5 CNY/kg, down from 16-17 CNY/kg in Q4 2024 [19] - Companies like Shennong and Juxing saw over 60% year-on-year growth in output [19] - Average profit per pig improved significantly, with leading companies achieving profits of 300-350 CNY per head [19][21] - Some companies are returning cash to shareholders with high dividend payout ratios [19] Poultry Sector - The white chicken segment is under pressure, with significant price declines and narrowing profits [22] - The egg-laying chicken sector is benefiting from rising chick prices and sales, with companies like Xiaoming showing substantial profit growth [28] - The yellow chicken segment is experiencing a supply contraction, with demand expected to improve gradually [26][27] Seed Industry - The seed sector is under pressure with a net profit decline of 37.6% in Q1, primarily due to excess supply [29] - High R&D investment is noted, with leading companies like Longping High-Tech maintaining a strong position [29][30] - New regulations are expected to bolster the biological breeding sector, enhancing competitiveness [30][31] Pet Industry - Major pet food companies reported strong revenue growth, with brands like Maifudi leading the market [32] - The demand for elderly pet care products is increasing significantly, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [32] - The pet economy is thriving, with a focus on high-growth domestic brands [33] Feed Sector - The feed sector is recommended for investment, with companies like Haida Group showing improved revenue and profit [34] - The market for aquaculture feed is expected to recover, driven by rising fish prices and supportive consumption policies [34] Animal Health Sector - The animal health sector is experiencing revenue and profit differentiation, with some companies benefiting from price increases in raw materials [35] - New product opportunities in the pet health segment are emerging, providing potential growth avenues [35][36]

Industry Overview - Sturgeon (Acipenseriformes) is a group of bony fish known for its large size and long lifespan, with a history of over 200 million years, often referred to as "living fossils" [2][5] - China has become the world's largest sturgeon farming country, with production increasing from 10,900 tons in 2003 to 149,400 tons in 2023, accounting for over 85% of global sturgeon farming [1][9] - The domestic sturgeon farming industry is expected to exceed 150,000 tons in 2024, driven by technological advancements and market demand [1] Production and Technology - The sturgeon farming industry in China has developed a complete industrial chain from breeding to processing, with significant advancements in breeding technologies such as hybrid breeding and genome selection [5][18] - Various farming methods are employed, including pond farming, flow-through systems, and recirculating aquaculture systems, tailored to local conditions [3][5] - The introduction of the new sturgeon variety "Jinglong No. 1" in September 2023 marks a significant milestone in the industry [1] Regional Distribution - The sturgeon industry in China is highly concentrated in regions such as Guizhou, Yunnan, Hubei, and Shandong, which together account for over 60% of national production [9][18] - Guizhou has emerged as the leading province in sturgeon production, surpassing Yunnan in 2023, with production growth rates of 24.2% and 72.5% for Guizhou and Hubei, respectively [9] Export and Import Dynamics - China's sturgeon production fully meets domestic demand, leading to an increase in export volumes while reducing import needs [11] - In 2024, sturgeon exports reached 342,432 kilograms, a year-on-year increase of 24.14%, with a total export value of $9.8 billion, up 18.5% [11] - The export market is diverse, with significant shares going to the United States, Germany, Belgium, France, and Japan, accounting for 68.53% of total exports [11] Competitive Landscape - The sturgeon industry is characterized by a diverse competitive landscape, with key players like Xunlong Technology and Sichuan Runzhao Aquaculture leading the market [13][14] - Companies are increasingly focusing on technological innovation and ecological farming practices to enhance product quality and expand market reach [13][16] Development Trends - The sturgeon farming industry is experiencing continuous expansion and regional concentration, with a shift towards larger-scale cold-water farming systems [18] - The industry is moving towards high-value transformation, with a focus on deep processing of sturgeon products, including caviar and health supplements [20] - Technological innovations, such as gene editing and smart farming systems, are expected to drive industry upgrades and improve sustainability [21]