Group 1 - The lithium hexafluorophosphate sector is experiencing strong performance, with companies such as Tianji Co., Lianhua Technology, Yongtai Technology, and Duofluo leading in stock price increases [1]

Market Overview - The chemical products sector experienced a decline of 0.55% on January 14, with Chenghe Technology leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4126.09, down 0.31%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose to 14248.6, up 0.56% [1] Top Gainers in Chemical Sector - Qicai Chemical (300758) saw a significant increase of 20.01%, closing at 16.85 with a trading volume of 524,100 shares and a turnover of 832 million [1] - Changhua Chemical (301518) rose by 12.77%, closing at 44.60 with a trading volume of 124,200 shares and a turnover of 519 million [1] - Demei Chemical (002054) increased by 9.99%, closing at 8.81 with a trading volume of 420,300 shares and a turnover of 360 million [1] Top Losers in Chemical Sector - Chenghe Technology (688625) declined by 5.79%, closing at 58.71 with a trading volume of 88,500 shares and a turnover of 525 million [2] - Duofuduo (002407) fell by 4.31%, closing at 31.55 with a trading volume of 1,265,100 shares and a turnover of 404.6 million [2] - Kaisa Bio (688065) decreased by 3.97%, closing at 59.77 with a trading volume of 158,000 shares and a turnover of 965 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The chemical products sector experienced a net outflow of 1.757 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.333 billion [2] - The top stocks with significant net inflows from retail investors include Qicai Chemical (300758) with a net inflow of 256 million [3] - Demei Chemical (002054) also had a notable net inflow of 108 million from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing significant growth in production and demand, with notable increases in both battery and phosphoric iron lithium cathode material output in November 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2]. Production - In November 2025, domestic battery production reached 176.3 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 49.66% and a month-on-month increase of 3.34% [1][2]. - The production of phosphoric iron lithium cathode materials in December 2025 was 26.93 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.48% and a month-on-month growth of 0.16%, with a capacity utilization rate of 59.85% [1][2]. Pricing - As of January 9, 2026, the price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate rose to 138,000 yuan per ton, with a weekly increase of 17.92% [3]. - The price of phosphoric iron lithium (for power) was reported at 47,100 yuan per ton on January 9, 2026, up 4.43% from January 4 [3]. - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate slightly decreased to 160,700 yuan per ton on January 10, 2026, down 10.72% from January 3 [3]. Demand - In November 2025, the monthly shipment volume of phosphoric iron lithium batteries reached 75.3 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 43.62% and a month-on-month increase of 11.56%, setting a new high for the year [4]. - The monthly shipment volume of ternary power batteries was 18.2 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33.82% and a month-on-month increase of 10.30% [4]. - The new bidding capacity for domestic new energy storage projects in January to October 2025 was higher than in the same period of 2024, with a total new bidding scale of 21.8 GW/64 GWh in November, marking a month-on-month increase of 65% [4]. - In November 2025, China's battery exports were 21.2 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 69.60% and a month-on-month increase of 9.28% [4]. - Global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2 million units in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.53% and a month-on-month increase of 4.63% [4]. Investment Recommendations - The domestic production of batteries and phosphoric iron lithium cathode materials in January to November 2025 exceeded that of 2024, with stable raw material and cell prices, and an increase in monthly battery shipments and new energy storage bidding capacity [5]. - The rising demand for lithium batteries suggests a focus on companies involved in lithium battery materials [5]. - Recommended companies include CATL (300750), Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014), Xinwanda (300207), Hunan Youneng (301358), Rongbai Technology (688005), Tianci Materials (002709), and Duofluoride (002407) [5].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" [3] Core Insights - The production of positive electrode materials has increased significantly, with domestic battery production reaching 176.3 GWh in November 2025, a year-on-year growth of 49.66% [3] - Lithium carbonate prices have risen sharply, reaching 138,000 CNY per ton as of January 9, 2026, with a weekly increase of 17.92% [3] - The demand for lithium iron phosphate batteries has shown strong growth, with a monthly loading volume of 75.3 GWh in November 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 43.62% [3] Summary by Sections Production - In November 2025, the production of lithium iron phosphate positive electrode materials was 26.93 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 32.48% [3] Prices - As of January 9, 2026, the price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was reported at 47,100 CNY per ton, up 4.43% from January 4, 2026 [3] - The average price of square lithium iron phosphate energy storage batteries remained stable, with slight increases noted for various capacities [3] Domestic Demand - The monthly loading volume for lithium iron phosphate batteries reached a new high in November 2025, with significant increases in both domestic and new energy storage project bidding capacities [3] Overseas Demand - In November 2025, China's power battery exports reached 21.2 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 69.60% [3] - Global new energy vehicle sales reached 2 million units in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.53% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance on January 13, with the Battery 50 ETF (159796) experiencing a slight increase of 0.3% amid fluctuations in trading [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) recorded a trading volume of 4.94 billion CNY, with a price range between 0.990 and 1.012 CNY [1] - The ETF's net asset value was reported at 1.0038 CNY, with a premium rate of 0.42% [1] - The ETF's five-day net inflow was noted at 2.65% [1] Group 2: Component Stocks - Major component stocks of the Battery 50 ETF included Sanhua Intelligent Controls, which rose by 1.05%, and multiple fluorine, which increased by 1.26% [2] - Notable declines were observed in XINWANDA, which fell by 2.40%, and other key players like Yangguang Electric and Ningde Times also experienced slight declines [2] Group 3: Policy Impact - The recent adjustment in export tax rebates for battery products is expected to lead to a surge in exports in 2026, tightening supply and demand in the lithium battery industry [4] - The tax rebate for battery products will decrease from 9% to 6% starting April 1, 2026, and will be eliminated entirely by January 1, 2027 [5] Group 4: Industry Outlook - The battery sector is anticipated to benefit from increased demand driven by both domestic and international markets, with projections indicating a significant rise in global demand for power batteries from 1,253.4 GWh in 2025 to 1,834.2 GWh by 2027 [5] - The storage demand is also expected to grow substantially, with domestic installations projected to reach 265 GWh in 2026, reflecting a 60% increase [5] Group 5: Investment Strategy - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is highlighted as a leading option for investors due to its significant exposure to the storage sector, which accounts for 18.7% of its index, and a high proportion of solid-state battery technology at 45% [6][8] - The ETF's management fee is noted to be the lowest in its category at 0.15% per year, making it an attractive investment vehicle for capturing opportunities in the battery sector [11]

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing a rebound, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a significant increase, reaching a maximum intraday gain of 1.56% and closing up by 0.89% [1] - Key stocks in the sector include Kasei Bio, which surged by 12.54%, and Salt Lake Co., which rose by 7.13%, among others [1][2] - Recent capital inflow into the chemical sector has been strong, with the chemical ETF accumulating a net subscription of 560 million yuan over the last five trading days and over 910 million yuan in the last ten days [2] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products decreased by 1.9% year-on-year in December 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, indicating a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [3] - The chemical industry is expected to undergo a revaluation, as its industry position and profit levels do not align, with potential recovery in profitability anticipated [3] - The chemical sector is at a new starting point of supply-demand rebalancing, influenced by policies aimed at reshaping competition and advancements in new production capabilities [3] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry theme index, with nearly 50% of its holdings concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, providing an opportunity for investors to capitalize on strong performers [4] - Investors can also access the chemical ETF through linked funds, enhancing investment efficiency in the chemical sector [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that global lithium battery demand is expected to grow at a rate of 26% year-on-year by 2026, driven by both power storage and electric vehicle sectors [1][4] - In the electric vehicle sector, the registration of global electric vehicles reached 17.1 million units from January to October 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.5%, primarily due to the resumption of subsidies in Europe and vehicle replacement policies in China [1][4] - The global energy storage battery shipments reached 428 GWh from January to September 2025, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 90.7%, supported by the scaling of independent storage projects in China and market demand in the U.S. [1][4] Group 2 - The lithium battery materials supply side is undergoing optimization due to previous overcapacity leading to low-price competition, resulting in many companies facing continuous losses and high debt levels [2][3] - Companies are focusing on improving existing production efficiency and cost optimization rather than blind expansion, leading to a significant weakening of expansion capabilities and intentions among lithium battery material companies [2][3] - The tightening of environmental policies and energy consumption controls is raising industry entry barriers, causing smaller companies to exit the market, thus enhancing the rigidity of supply constraints [2][3] Group 3 - Technological upgrades are driving supply-side optimization, with advancements in high-pressure lithium iron phosphate and high-strength separators, which require higher production precision and R&D investment [3][4] - Leading companies are leveraging continuous R&D investment to scale up high-end product capacity, while smaller firms struggle to upgrade their products and processes, leading to market elimination [3][4] - The supply structure is evolving towards a "few but excellent" model, with resources concentrating on leading enterprises, which is expected to restore market share and profitability for these companies [3][4] Group 4 - The report indicates a strong certainty of profit recovery in lithium battery materials, driven by supply-side constraints, high demand growth, and industry restructuring [4] - The consensus among companies to scientifically release capacity has led to a continued limitation of supply over the next 1-2 years, while demand is experiencing rapid growth from both power storage and electric vehicle sectors [4] - Core material prices, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, have started to rebound, and the overall capacity utilization rate in the industry is expected to continue its upward trend in 2026 [4] Group 5 - Investment recommendations suggest prioritizing attention on lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium iron phosphate sectors, with specific companies like Tianqi Materials and Hunan Youneng being highlighted [5] - Other companies to watch include Duofu Technology, Fulian Precision, Longpan Technology, Defang Nano, Tianji Co., Shida Shenghua, and Wanrun New Energy, particularly in the context of price recovery [5] - For long-cycle, heavy-asset sectors like copper foil and separators, companies such as Enjie, Xingyuan Materials, Fusheng Technology, Defu Technology, Jiayuan Technology, and Nord are recommended for attention [5]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.09% on January 12, with 28 out of the 31 sectors experiencing gains, led by the Media and Computer sectors, which increased by 7.80% and 7.26% respectively [1] - The Basic Chemical sector saw a modest increase of 0.30%, while the Oil & Petrochemical, Coal, and Real Estate sectors faced declines of 1.00%, 0.47%, and 0.29% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 27.468 billion yuan, with 11 sectors experiencing net inflows. The Computer sector led with a net inflow of 15.774 billion yuan, followed by the Media sector with 5.391 billion yuan [1] - The sectors with the highest net capital outflows included the Power Equipment sector, which saw an outflow of 14.093 billion yuan, and the Electronics sector with an outflow of 11.193 billion yuan [1] Basic Chemical Sector Performance - In the Basic Chemical sector, 408 stocks were tracked, with 266 stocks rising and 130 stocks falling. The sector experienced a net capital outflow of 5.936 billion yuan [2] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included Wanhua Chemical, which saw an inflow of 113 million yuan, followed by Huafeng Superfiber and Yinhai Technology with inflows of 83.528 million yuan and 69.5548 million yuan respectively [2] - The stocks with the highest net outflows included Jinfat Technology, with an outflow of 1.388 billion yuan, followed by Duofluor and Pulite with outflows of 266.799 million yuan and 252.6524 million yuan respectively [4] Basic Chemical Sector Capital Inflow and Outflow - The top inflow stocks in the Basic Chemical sector included: - Wanhua Chemical: -1.52% change, 1.20% turnover rate, 112.8417 million yuan inflow - Huafeng Superfiber: 5.39% change, 6.04% turnover rate, 83.5279 million yuan inflow - Yinhai Technology: 13.28% change, 21.79% turnover rate, 69.5548 million yuan inflow [2] - The top outflow stocks in the Basic Chemical sector included: - Jinfat Technology: 2.82% change, 13.93% turnover rate, -1.3877252 billion yuan outflow - Duofluor: -0.85% change, 10.46% turnover rate, -266.8799 million yuan outflow - Pulite: 4.82% change, 29.15% turnover rate, -252.6524 million yuan outflow [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant surge on January 12, with over 4,100 stocks closing in the green and a record trading volume of 3.64 trillion yuan, surpassing the previous high on October 8, 2024. The adjustment of export tax rebate policies for batteries has influenced market dynamics, leading to a notable increase in trading activity for the Battery 50 ETF (159796), which closed down 0.69% despite a trading volume nearing 600 million yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) saw most of its constituent stocks decline, with notable drops including Sunshine Power and Xian Dao Intelligent, both down over 3%, while Ningde Times and Guoxuan High-Tech fell over 2% [3]. - The trading volume of the Battery 50 ETF (159796) surged to nearly 600 million yuan, indicating heightened investor interest despite the ETF's decline [1][3]. Group 2: Policy Impact - On January 9, two departments announced adjustments to export tax rebate policies, effective from April 1, 2026, which will reduce the VAT export rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6%, and eliminate it entirely by January 1, 2027 [4][5]. - The previous reduction in export tax rebates for certain photovoltaic and battery products from 13% to 9% in November 2024 had already triggered a rush in exports, and the latest adjustments may lead to a similar surge, benefiting the lithium carbonate sector [5]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Global demand for energy storage is expected to grow steadily, with projections indicating that global energy storage installations will reach 404 GWh by 2026, representing a 38% year-on-year increase [5]. - The battery sector is experiencing a sustained upward trend, driven by the growth of the global electric vehicle market, with domestic battery installations expected to maintain high growth rates through 2026 [5][6]. - Solid-state battery technology is advancing, with potential for significant industry upgrades, as companies that can provide stable supply and mature processes are likely to benefit [6]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is positioned to benefit from its high content in energy storage (18.7%) and solid-state batteries (45%), making it a strong candidate for investors looking to capitalize on these growing segments [7][9]. - The ETF's focus on battery chemicals, which account for 31% of its weight, positions it well to benefit from the recovery of upstream material prices, enhancing the overall industry outlook [9][12].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Duofuduo New Materials Co., Ltd. has approved a hedging business for 2026, focusing on lithium carbonate futures and foreign exchange hedging [1][3] - On January 9, 2026, Duofuduo's stock closed at 32.93 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.09% and a trading volume of 862,100 shares, amounting to a total transaction value of 2.843 billion yuan [1] - The company reported a net outflow of 195 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 153 million yuan on the same day [1][3] Group 2 - The board meeting on January 9, 2026, approved the proposal for the 2026 hedging business with a voting result of 9 in favor, 0 against, and 0 abstentions [1] - The company plans to set a maximum margin for commodity futures trading at 100 million yuan and a maximum contract value of 800 million yuan, while the foreign exchange hedging will have a maximum contract value of 50 million USD [1][3] - The hedging business will be funded through the company's own and self-raised funds, with a duration of twelve months from the board's approval [1]