Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The aluminum price has recently retreated from high levels due to fluctuating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable drop in aluminum prices observed [6][9] - The demand for aluminum is entering a traditional off-season, leading to concerns about inventory levels and price stability [9] - Long-term prospects for the aluminum industry remain positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases, justifying the "Recommended" rating [9] Summary by Sections Price - As of November 21, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2808.0 per ton, down $500.0 from the previous week, a 2.3% decrease [13] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21340.0 yuan per ton, reflecting a 2.4% decrease compared to the previous week [19] Production - In October 2025, the aluminum production was 3.742 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.5% and a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [50] - The alumina production for the same month was 7.785 million tons, also showing a month-on-month increase of 2.4% and a year-on-year increase of 12.6% [50] Inventory - As of November 20, the domestic mainstream consumption area of aluminum ingot inventory recorded 621,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 2,500 tons from the previous week [7] - The overall inventory situation remains a concern as the market enters the off-season, with potential risks of inventory accumulation [9] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies in the industry include China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, Shenhuo Co., China Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum, all rated as "Buy" [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth of China's alumina production, indicating a significant increase in output and projecting future trends in the industry [1]. Industry Overview - As of September 2025, China's alumina production reached 8 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [1]. - Cumulatively, from January to September 2025, the total alumina production in China was 68.56 million tons, with an overall increase of 8.4% compared to the previous year [1]. Companies Involved - Listed companies in the alumina sector include China Aluminum (601600), Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Zhongfu Industrial (600595), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), Hongchuang Holdings (002379), Minfa Aluminum (002578), and Ningbo Fubang (600768) [1]. Research and Analysis - The report titled "Analysis of Development Models and Future Prospects of China's Alumina Industry from 2026 to 2032" was published by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China [1]. - Zhiyan Consulting has been dedicated to industry research for over a decade, providing comprehensive industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1].

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯天富能源11月20日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司管理层未从天山铝业获取任何 分红。 ...

Market Overview - On November 20, the industrial metals sector declined by 0.52% compared to the previous trading day, with Xinweiling leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05, down 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12980.82, down 0.76% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the industrial metals sector included: - Guocheng Mining (Code: 000688) with a closing price of 29.65, up 4.99% and a trading volume of 610,600 shares, totaling 1.823 billion yuan [1] - Asia-Pacific Technology (Code: 002540) with a closing price of 7.15, up 3.03% and a trading volume of 307,700 shares, totaling 220 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - Xinweiling (Code: 920634) with a closing price of 24.91, down 3.67% and a trading volume of 12,900 shares, totaling 33.008 million yuan [2] - Chang Aluminum (Code: 002160) with a closing price of 5.41, down 3.22% and a trading volume of 751,900 shares, totaling 413 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The industrial metals sector experienced a net outflow of 1.961 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.359 billion yuan [2] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Huayu Mining (Code: 601020) with a net inflow of 97.347 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Xizang Zhuofeng (Code: 600338) with a net inflow of 94.423 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive outlook for the Chinese stock market, with foreign institutions increasing their investments and adjusting target indices upward for 2026, indicating a strong long-term investment potential in A-shares [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 20, 2025, the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index rose by 0.15%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Bluestar Technology (up 3.44%) and China National Materials (up 2.31%) [1]. - The CSI 500 Quality Growth ETF (560500) also saw a rise of 0.17%, reflecting overall positive market sentiment [1]. Group 2: Foreign Investment Trends - Multiple foreign institutions, including UBS and Morgan Stanley, have released optimistic reports for the Chinese stock market, collectively raising their target index levels for 2026 [1][2]. - Foreign institutional research and investment activities have been robust, with over 1,300 instances of foreign institutions conducting research on A-share companies since the beginning of the fourth quarter [1]. Group 3: Policy Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued a plan to optimize the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system, aiming to enhance cross-border investment facilitation [2]. - The ongoing improvements in the QFII system are expected to create a more stable and transparent environment for foreign investments in the Chinese capital market [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - The CSI 500 Quality Growth Index comprises 100 high-profitability, sustainable earnings, and cash-rich growth companies selected from the CSI 500 Index [2]. - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 21.64% of the total index weight, with companies like Huagong Technology and Kaiying Network being significant constituents [2].

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum experienced a decline of 3.64% in stock price on November 17, with a trading volume of 653 million yuan, indicating market volatility and investor sentiment towards the company [1] Financing Summary - On November 17, Tianshan Aluminum had a financing buy-in amount of 54.47 million yuan and a financing repayment of 47.25 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 7.22 million yuan [1] - The total financing and securities balance for Tianshan Aluminum reached 537 million yuan, with the current financing balance at 522 million yuan, accounting for 0.83% of the circulating market value, which is below the 20th percentile level over the past year, indicating a low financing level [1] - In terms of securities lending, Tianshan Aluminum had a repayment of 251,400 shares and a sell-out of 16,600 shares on November 17, with a sell-out amount of 224,300 yuan, while the securities lending balance stood at 14.86 million yuan, exceeding the 80th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high level of securities lending [1] Business Performance - As of September 30, Tianshan Aluminum had 37,800 shareholders, a decrease of 23.85% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 31.32% to 109,224 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Tianshan Aluminum reported a revenue of 22.32 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.34 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.31% increase year-on-year [2] Dividend Information - Since its A-share listing, Tianshan Aluminum has distributed a total of 7.48 billion yuan in dividends, with 4.38 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh largest circulating shareholder of Tianshan Aluminum, holding 131 million shares, an increase of 18.54 million shares compared to the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - Concerns over overseas electrolytic aluminum supply due to power shortages have led to aluminum prices surpassing 22,000 RMB/ton [11] - The macroeconomic environment remains favorable, with expectations of continued demand growth despite entering the traditional off-season [11] - The aluminum industry is expected to maintain high prosperity in the long term due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases [11] Summary by Sections Price - As of November 14, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was 2,858.5 USD/ton, a decrease of 3.5 USD/ton week-on-week but an increase of 330.5 USD/ton year-on-year [21] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21,840.0 RMB/ton, up 215.0 RMB/ton week-on-week and up 1,075.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [21] Production - In October 2025, electrolytic aluminum production was 3.742 million tons, an increase of 127,000 tons month-on-month and 168,000 tons year-on-year [51] - The production of alumina in October 2025 was 7.785 million tons, up 182,000 tons month-on-month and 872,000 tons year-on-year [51] Inventory - As of November 13, the inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots in major domestic consumption areas was 621,000 tons, with a slight decrease of 1,000 tons week-on-week [7] - The inventory of alumina at electrolytic aluminum plants was 3.281 million tons, an increase of 16,000 tons week-on-week [31] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK): Price 30.55 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 2.65 RMB, with a PE ratio of 11.5, rated as "Buy" [5] - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ): Price 14.02 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 1.00 RMB, with a PE ratio of 14.0, rated as "Buy" [5] - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ): Price 25.73 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 2.13 RMB, with a PE ratio of 12.1, rated as "Buy" [5] - China Aluminum (601600.SH): Price 11.66 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 0.84 RMB, with a PE ratio of 13.8, rated as "Buy" [5] - Yun Aluminum (000807.SZ): Price 25.95 RMB, EPS forecast for 2025E is 1.88 RMB, with a PE ratio of 13.8, rated as "Buy" [5]

Core Viewpoint - The new energy concept stocks continue to perform strongly, particularly in the power equipment sector, with significant price increases and historical highs being reached by several companies [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - In the week of November 10 to 14, over 83 stocks reached historical highs, with a concentration in the power equipment, basic chemicals, and electronics sectors [3]. - The leading company, Siyuan Electric, achieved historical highs 13 times in the last 30 trading days, indicating strong market momentum [1][3]. - The lithium battery supply chain has seen explosive growth, with over 10 related stocks hitting record prices [1]. Group 2: Policy and Demand - The National Energy Administration recently issued guidelines to promote the integrated development of new energy, emphasizing the importance of energy storage [3]. - The demand for energy storage and power batteries has exceeded expectations, with global energy storage battery demand projected to surge by 2025 [4]. - In Q3, China's energy storage lithium battery shipments reached 165 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 65%, indicating robust growth in the sector [3]. Group 3: Supply and Pricing - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a reduction in supply surplus, with some products facing supply tightness [4]. - Prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate have significantly increased, with market quotes reaching 150,000 yuan per ton, doubling since mid-October [4]. - The prices of electrolyte additives like VC and FEC have also risen sharply, with VC prices increasing by 77% since June [4]. Group 4: Trading Volume - The top stocks by trading volume this week included Tebian Electric, Shannon Chip Creation, Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Artis, with trading volumes of 57.22 billion yuan, 52.65 billion yuan, 35.35 billion yuan, 27.33 billion yuan, and 25.20 billion yuan respectively [5]. - Stocks that frequently reached new highs in the last 30 trading days included Shannon Chip Creation and Electric Investment Energy, each hitting new highs 15 times [5].

Core Insights - The new energy concept stocks continue to strengthen, with the power equipment sector seeing significant gains, leading to a total market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan for leading companies [1] - The lithium battery industry chain has experienced a collective surge, closely related to favorable policies and improved supply-demand dynamics [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - A total of 83 stocks reached historical highs this week, a decrease from 94 the previous week [1] - Among these, the power equipment, basic chemicals, and electronics sectors had the highest concentration of stocks reaching new highs, with 17, 11, and 11 stocks respectively [1] - The main board had 48 stocks, the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had 14, the Growth Enterprise Market had 18, and the Beijing Stock Exchange had 3 stocks reaching new highs [1] Group 2: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery industry is benefiting from favorable policies, such as the recent guidelines from the National Energy Administration promoting large-scale development and high-level consumption of new energy [2] - In Q3, China's energy storage lithium battery shipments reached 165 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 65% [2] - The supply-demand situation is improving, with some products experiencing supply tightness, while demand for energy storage and power batteries is exceeding expectations [2] Group 3: Price Movements - Prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate have surged, with some market quotes reaching 150,000 yuan per ton, doubling since mid-October [3] - The prices of electrolyte additives VC and FEC have also increased significantly, with VC rising 77% from 48,700 yuan per ton in early June to 86,000 yuan per ton by November 12 [3] - FEC prices increased by 64%, from 33,000 yuan per ton at the end of May to 54,000 yuan per ton by November 12 [3] Group 4: Trading Volume - The stocks with the highest trading volumes this week included TBEA, Shannon Chip, Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Canadian Solar, with trading volumes of 57.22 billion yuan, 52.65 billion yuan, 35.35 billion yuan, 27.33 billion yuan, and 25.20 billion yuan respectively [3] Group 5: Market Capitalization - Among the 83 stocks, six had a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan, with Agricultural Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Baofeng Energy, Jiangbolong, and TBEA leading the list with market caps of 29,748.56 billion yuan, 29,403.52 billion yuan, 1,421.21 billion yuan, 1,220.01 billion yuan, and 1,195.49 billion yuan respectively [5] Group 6: Stock Price Increases - The stocks with the highest price increases this week included Huasheng Lithium Battery, Haike New Source, Furui Shares, Online and Offline, and Yuegui Shares, with increases of 79.61%, 71.38%, 61.23%, 46.55%, and 36.45% respectively [6]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 89.46%, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Tianshan Aluminum achieved a revenue of 22.32 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.34% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.34 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.31% compared to the previous year [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 14, Tianshan Aluminum's stock was trading at 14.16 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 65.87 billion yuan [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 16.72 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Tianshan Aluminum was 37,800, a decrease of 23.85% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 31.32% to 109,224 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Tianshan Aluminum has distributed a total of 7.48 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.38 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Ownership Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh largest circulating shareholder, holding 131 million shares, an increase of 18.54 million shares from the previous period [3].