Market Performance - The A-share market collectively rose on September 1, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.46%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 1.05%, and the ChiNext Index surging by 2.29%, while the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 fell by 0.36% [2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 27,776 billion yuan, a decrease of 525 billion yuan compared to the previous day [2] - Over 3,200 stocks in the market experienced gains [2] Sector Performance - The leading sectors in terms of gains included precious metals, non-ferrous metals, innovative pharmaceuticals, CPO, and storage chips [2] - Conversely, the sectors that saw declines included insurance, airport and shipping, securities, military equipment, banking, and gaming [2] Notable Stocks - International gold prices surpassed 3,480 USD per ounce, leading to a collective surge in gold stocks, with companies like Zhongjin Gold, Hunan Gold, and Western Gold hitting the daily limit [2] - Innovative pharmaceutical stocks saw significant increases, with Maiwei Biotech hitting the daily limit and over 10 stocks including Lifang Pharmaceutical and Baihua Medicine also reaching the daily limit [2] - CPO concept stocks maintained strong performance, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Tianfu Communication, and Xinyi Sheng reaching historical highs [2] - The satellite navigation and military equipment sectors saw multiple stocks decline, with China Satellite, China Satcom, and Aerospace Hongtu among those with notable losses [2] - The securities sector also underperformed, with Huaxi Securities, Dongwu Securities, and Dongfang Securities experiencing declines [2]

Core Insights - Alibaba Cloud's revenue exceeded expectations, confirming the view that AI is a key investment direction amid global macroeconomic volatility [2] - The report suggests several investment opportunities, including Hong Kong internet leaders, the gaming industry, film and cultural tourism, and data rights [1] Market Overview - In the week of August 25-29, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, the CSI 300 Index increased by 2.71%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 7.74% [1] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.37%, and the Hang Seng Internet Index declined by 1.03%, lagging behind the Hang Seng Index by 0.66 percentage points [1] - The SW Media Index increased by 1.05%, trailing the ChiNext Index by 6.69 percentage points, ranking 12th among 31 industries [1] Alibaba's Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Alibaba Cloud's revenue grew by 26% year-on-year to 33.398 billion yuan, marking a three-year high [2] - AI-related product revenue has seen triple-digit year-on-year growth for eight consecutive quarters, accounting for over 20% of external commercialization revenue [2] - Capital expenditure in the AI and cloud sector reached a record high of 38.6 billion yuan during the reporting period, with over 100 billion yuan invested in AI infrastructure and product development over the past four quarters [2] Gaming Industry Developments - In August 2025, the National Press and Publication Administration approved 166 domestic and 7 imported game licenses, with a total of 1,050 domestic game licenses issued this year [3] - The increase in approved licenses indicates a strengthening trend in the supply side of the industry, supported by policies that provide certainty for product matrix expansion [3] Media Industry Data - Top three films in theaters: "浪浪山小妖怪," "南京照相馆," "东极岛" [4] - Top three TV series: "凡人修仙传," "生万物," "利剑玫瑰" [4] - Top three variety shows: "地球超新鲜," "心动的信号第八季," "脱口秀和Ta的朋友们第二季" [4] - Top three animated series: "沧元图," "凡人修仙传," "开心锤锤" [4] - Top three iOS games: "王者荣耀," "和平精英," "穿越火线-枪战王者" [4] - Top three Android games: "心动小镇," "我的休闲时光," "崩坏：星穹铁道" [4]

Group 1 - The potential for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates may strengthen a weak dollar environment, catalyzing a new round of growth in resource commodities, particularly precious metals and copper, which could accelerate the performance of the non-ferrous sector [2] - The upcoming product launches from Apple and META in September, focusing on edge AI and AR glasses, may lead to a sustainable trend in edge devices and AI ecosystems, making the consumer electronics sector, especially the Apple supply chain, worth watching [2] - The "anti-involution" trend is expected to reveal three clues: industries with high capital expenditure intensity and signs of marginal reduction, industries showing self-discipline or policy implementation, and industries relying on quotas to continuously improve profit margins [2] Group 2 - The number of innovative drug catalysts is expected to increase significantly in September, and recent technology shifts have cleared out short-term speculative funds, suggesting that innovative drugs may continue to rise after this adjustment [2] - The market is likely to maintain a volatile upward trend, driven by the accumulation of profit-making effects and continuous inflows of incremental capital, with a focus on sectors like AI computing power, semiconductor autonomy, solid-state batteries, commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, and innovative drugs [4][5] - The market is expected to remain in a high center of gravity, with structural rotation among sectors, supported by active trading and favorable policy expectations, particularly in growth sectors that have shown high prosperity in the first half of the year [5] Group 3 - The current market sentiment is high, with significant inflows of incremental capital, particularly from financing funds, leading to a further acceleration of market growth [6] - The market is experiencing structural differentiation, with volatility increasing, and a need for sectors to alternate and rise for a more stable and sustainable market [7] - Long-term capital, particularly from insurance funds, is increasing its presence in the A-share market, contributing to the stability of the current "slow bull" market [8] Group 4 - The market is expected to exhibit a primary trend of oscillation, with limited space for strong continuation, and a focus on defensive dividend sectors as their value is increasing [9] - The current bull market is supported by long-term factors such as the economic cycle nearing a bottom, supportive funding conditions, and positive signals from the industry [12] - The index center of gravity is expected to rise further, with a continuation of the growth trend in total market capitalization [12]

Group 1 - The A-share securities sector experienced a decline at the beginning of trading on September 1, with Huaxi Securities falling over 2% [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Great Wall Securities, Yangtze Securities, Guotou Capital, and Nanjing Securities, also saw declines [1]

Report Information - Report Title: "Research on Major Asset Classes Isn't Complicated: The Second Lesson from a Decade of Research" [1] - Report Date: August 29, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Liu Yu [5] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report. Core Viewpoints - Different major asset classes have unique risk - return characteristics, and these characteristics change over time. Therefore, investors should regularly re - evaluate these features, select high - quality assets, and aim for beta returns by avoiding frequent timing and trading [2][13] - The pricing of stocks, bonds, and gold can be unified within a framework of liquidity, risk preference, and institutional behavior. Understanding these factors helps in analyzing asset price trends and making investment decisions [3] Summary by Directory 1. What is a Good Asset? - Asset characteristics can be evaluated using the risk - return ratio, which combines return and volatility. Assets with high returns and low volatility are considered good assets [11][12] - Historically, gold has shown an upward trend, and the domestic bond market has been in a long - term bull market since 2018, both providing good holding experiences. The domestic stock market is range - bound, making timing crucial for investors [12] - In 2025 from January to July, due to factors such as US tariff policies and the entry of market - stabilizing funds, the risk - return ratios of various assets changed significantly. Gold's ratio increased, domestic equities improved, and pure - bond indices deteriorated [2][12] 2. The Unified Framework for Major Asset Classes - Asset price movements have three phases: rising, falling, and sideways. The key to research and investment is to find the inflection points between these phases. The pricing of stocks, bonds, and gold can be unified under the framework of liquidity, risk preference, and institutional behavior [3][16] - Liquidity refers to the ease of obtaining funds in the market. Loose monetary policies usually lead to more funds flowing into the capital market, driving up asset prices [3][17] - Risk preference reflects investors' expectations and confidence in the future. It is influenced by economic fundamentals and policy expectations, and has a significant impact on asset pricing [18][19] - Institutional behavior affects the market in two ways: strengthening short - term trends and having a structural impact on specific sectors [4][20] 3. Equities: Risk Preference is Key - Stock market pricing can be simply measured by the price - earnings ratio, and risk preference is a crucial factor. High risk preference leads to more optimistic pricing, while low risk preference can cause prices to fall [21] - The balance of margin trading can be used to measure market risk preference. An increase in the balance indicates rising risk preference, and vice versa [21] - The driving factors for risk preference in the stock market include corporate earnings and policy expectations. Different driving factors require different investment strategies [26][31] 4. Bonds: Monetary Policy is the Lifeline - The main ways to obtain returns in the bond market are through coupon payments, leverage, and duration. Monetary policy and the money market are vital for the bond market [33][35] - The net lending scale of the banking system can be used to judge the stability of the money market. Policy changes and institutional behavior can also have a significant impact on the bond market [35][40] 5. Gold: De - dollarization is the Main Line - Gold is globally priced. Its price is affected by global liquidity, risk preference, and institutional behavior, especially the gold - buying behavior of central banks [46] - Historically, gold was negatively correlated with the real US dollar interest rate. However, since 2020, the relationship has become positive, indicating a change in the pricing logic due to the de - dollarization process [46][50] - As the de - dollarization trend continues, central banks' increased gold purchases support the price of gold, and gold is expected to benefit from this trend [50][52]

Core Viewpoint - The article presents a special ranking list for private equity institutions, highlighting their unique investment research needs and preferences, which reflect their professional judgment and market voice [1][24]. Summary by Sections Private Equity Institutions Voting - A total of 177 private equity institutions participated in the voting process, managing over 1 trillion yuan [2]. Ranking of Analysts in Various Categories - The rankings for the 23rd New Fortune Best Analysts include various categories such as macroeconomics, strategy research, fixed income research, and more, showcasing the top institutions in each field [6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21]. Categories and Top Institutions - **Macroeconomics**: Top institutions include Guangfa Securities, Changjiang Securities, and Huachuang Securities [6]. - **Strategy Research**: Guangfa Securities leads, followed by Shenwan Hongyuan Securities [6]. - **Fixed Income Research**: Huatai Securities ranks first, with Tianfeng Securities and Changjiang Securities following [7]. - **Banking**: Top institutions are Guohai Securities, CITIC Securities, and Guangfa Securities [8]. - **Real Estate**: Changjiang Securities ranks first, followed by Guangfa Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan Securities [9]. - **Food and Beverage**: Changjiang Securities leads this category [10]. - **Pharmaceuticals and Biology**: Tianfeng Securities ranks first, with Guosheng Securities and CITIC Securities following [10]. - **Consumer Services**: Tianfeng Securities is the top institution [11]. - **Household Appliances**: The leading institution is Caitong Securities [11]. - **Agriculture**: Changjiang Securities ranks first [12]. - **Electronics**: Huachuang Securities leads this category [13]. - **Communications**: Tianfeng Securities ranks first [14]. - **Machinery**: Guangfa Securities is the top institution [15]. - **New Energy and Power Equipment**: Tianfeng Securities ranks first [16]. - **Defense and Military**: Changjiang Securities leads this category [17]. - **Chemicals**: Shenwan Hongyuan Securities ranks first [18]. - **Utilities**: Changjiang Securities is the top institution [19]. - **Metals and New Materials**: Changjiang Securities ranks first [20]. - **Non-Metallic Building Materials**: Changjiang Securities leads this category [21]. - **Overseas Market Research**: Tianfeng Securities ranks first [21].

Market Overview - On August 29, the securities sector rose by 0.01% compared to the previous trading day, with Huaxi Securities leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huaxi Securities (002926) closed at 10.82, with a gain of 3.64% and a trading volume of 1.42 million shares, totaling a transaction value of 15.59 billion [1] - Dongfang Caifu (300059) closed at 28.91, up 3.40%, with a trading volume of 11.32 million shares and a transaction value of 324.03 billion [1] - CITIC Securities (601066) closed at 28.36, gaining 3.20%, with a trading volume of 656,200 shares and a transaction value of 18.63 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Zhongyin Securities (601696) with a 1.51% increase and a closing price of 16.15, and Changjiang Securities (000783) with a 0.94% increase and a closing price of 8.55 [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The securities sector experienced a net outflow of 1.183 billion from institutional funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.103 billion [2] - The main funds showed a significant net inflow in Dongfang Caifu (30.58 billion) and CITIC Securities (1.27 billion), while experiencing outflows in several other stocks [3] - Retail investors contributed positively to the net inflow in stocks like Huaxi Securities and Changjiang Securities, despite overall institutional outflows [3]

记者丨易妍君 编辑丨巫燕玲 受益于A股市场交投活跃，券商2025年中报集体"报喜"。 截至8月28日午盘，已有14家上市券商公布2025年半年度报告，以中小券商为主。 其中，浙商证券、东吴证券、国元证券、长城证券、华安证券、信达证券等10家上市券商，今年上半年营收均超过20亿元；同时，前述提及 的6家券商上半年净利润均达到10亿元以上。 业绩增幅方面，相较去年同期，今年上半年有12家上市券商实现营收、净利润"双增"；不过也有2家上市券商呈现"营收降、净利润增"的情 况。 值得关注的是，部分区域券商迎来业绩爆发期。例如，华西证券上半年净利润暴增了11倍，东北证券、华林证券半年度净利润分别增长了2 倍、1倍以上，为净利润增幅最突出的3家券商。 21世纪经济报道记者梳理发现，今年上半年，经纪、自营业务成为证券行业业绩增长的主要驱动力。上述14家上市券商的经纪业务手续费净 收入均实现了同比增长。 据Wind统计，在已披露2025年中报的14家上市券商中，今年上半年归母净利润超过10亿元的券商共有6家，分别为东吴证券、国元证券、长 城证券、浙商证券、华安证券和信达证券。 值得关注的是，这6家券商上半年营收均超过20亿元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The securities industry in China has shown significant recovery in the first half of 2025, with many brokerages reporting strong earnings growth driven by active trading in the A-share market [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - As of August 28, 2025, 14 listed brokerages have reported their mid-year earnings, with 10 of them achieving revenue exceeding 2 billion yuan and net profits over 1 billion yuan [1][2]. - Six brokerages, including Dongwu Securities and Guoyuan Securities, reported net profits exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Dongwu Securities achieving a revenue of 4.43 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.93 billion yuan [2][4]. - Notably, Huaxi Securities experienced a net profit surge of 11 times, while Northeast Securities and Hualin Securities saw net profit growth of 2 times and over 1 time, respectively [1][5]. Group 2: Revenue and Profit Growth - In the first half of 2025, all 14 listed brokerages reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with Huaxi Securities, Northeast Securities, and Hualin Securities showing remarkable growth rates of 1195.02%, 225.90%, and 172.72% respectively [5][6]. - Two brokerages reported a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, specifically Zheshang Securities and Xibu Securities, with revenue decreases of 23.66% and 16.23% respectively [6][8]. Group 3: Business Drivers - The main drivers of growth in the securities industry were brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, with all 14 brokerages reporting an increase in net income from brokerage fees [8][10]. - Nine brokerages, including Huaxi Securities and Guoyuan Securities, saw their brokerage fee income increase by over 40% year-on-year [8][10]. - Investment income also generally increased, with several brokerages reporting a doubling of investment net income compared to the previous year [8][11]. Group 4: Investment Banking and Asset Management - The investment banking sector showed signs of recovery, with 11 out of 14 brokerages reporting an increase in investment banking fee income [12][13]. - However, asset management businesses posed a drag on overall performance, with only Dongwu Securities and Changcheng Securities reporting growth in asset management fee income [12][13]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The securities sector's investment value is gaining attention due to significant earnings recovery, supported by favorable policies and capital influx [14]. - The industry is focusing on developing high-value-added services, particularly wealth management and institutional business, to enhance income stability and profitability [14].

Group 1 - A-shares of brokerage stocks have risen, with Huaxi Securities increasing by over 6% [1] - Guosheng Financial Holdings, Guolian Minsheng, and CITIC Securities have all risen by over 2% [1] - Other notable increases include Guojin Securities, GF Securities, China Galaxy, Guotai Junan, Zhongyin Securities, and Changjiang Securities, all rising by over 1% [1] Group 2 - Huaxi Securities has a market value of 29.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 34.48% [2] - Guosheng Financial Holdings has a market value of 38.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 51.57% [2] - Guolian Minsheng has a market value of 71 billion but a year-to-date decrease of 7.12% [2] - CITIC Securities has a market value of 217.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 9.57% [2] - Guojin Securities has a market value of 38.8 billion and a year-to-date increase of 21.28% [2] - GF Securities has a market value of 167.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 39.22% [2] - China Galaxy has a market value of 203.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 23.74% [2] - Guotai Junan has a market value of 375.8 billion and a year-to-date increase of 15.90% [2] - Zhongyin Securities has a market value of 44.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 44.25% [2] - Changjiang Securities has a market value of 47.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 28.35% [2]