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中信证券:网下打新收益将继续维持稳态区间,2亿元规模的A类账户打新收益预计在3%~4%左右
Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities predicts a significant increase in new stock issuance on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 110% and an average first-day price increase of 213% [1] Group 1: New Stock Issuance - In 2025, the total new stock issuance on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges is expected to grow to a scale of approximately 110% year-on-year [1] - The first-day price increase for newly listed stocks on these exchanges is projected to have an average increase of 213% [1] Group 2: Offline Subscription Returns - For A-class accounts with a scale of 2 to 5 billion, the estimated offline subscription returns for 2025 on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges are approximately 2.49% to 3.83% [1] - The offline subscription returns are expected to remain stable within a range of 3% to 4% for A-class accounts with a scale of 2 billion [1] Group 3: North Exchange Insights - The total new stock issuance on the North Exchange is projected to reach 7.5 billion in 2025, with a continuing downward trend in online winning rates [1] - The average first-day price increase for newly listed stocks on the North Exchange is expected to be 284% [1] - For accounts with a scale of 10 million, the estimated online subscription returns for 2025 on the North Exchange are approximately 2.64% [1]
中信证券:预计25Q4美国实际GDP增速较25Q3或将有所回落
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 00:45
中信证券指出,2025年第三季度,美国实际GDP第三季度环比折年率达到4.3%,超市场预期。三季度 美国GDP表现较好的核心原因在于居民消费和净出口两项分项表现超预期。虽然第三季度美国实际GDP 增速表现强劲,但也需注意企业投资的韧性出现了走弱迹象。整体考虑到政府停摆对于美国25Q4 GDP 的冲击,以及近期美国整体经济增长动能放缓,我们预计25Q4美国实际GDP增速较25Q3或将有所回 落。 ...
纳芯微股东将股票存入中信证券经纪香港 存仓市值1.30亿港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 00:40
近日,纳芯微被调入港股通标的证券名单,方正证券此前研报指出,纳芯微是国产汽车模拟芯片龙头, 2024年在中国汽车模拟芯片市场中份额为1.8%,位居所有厂商第十、中国厂商第一。SerDes芯片等高价 值量产品正加速放量推动毛利率持续提升,同时收购麦歌恩带来的协同效应逐渐显现,公司业绩增长动 力强劲。 香港联交所最新资料显示,1月7日,纳芯微(02676)股东将股票存入中信证券经纪香港,存仓市值1.30亿 港元,占比5.11%。 ...
纳芯微(02676)股东将股票存入中信证券经纪香港 存仓市值1.30亿港元
智通财经网· 2026-01-08 00:35
近日,纳芯微被调入港股通标的证券名单,方正证券此前研报指出,纳芯微是国产汽车模拟芯片龙头, 2024年在中国汽车模拟芯片市场中份额为1.8%,位居所有厂商第十、中国厂商第一。SerDes芯片等高价 值量产品正加速放量推动毛利率持续提升,同时收购麦歌恩带来的协同效应逐渐显现,公司业绩增长动 力强劲。 智通财经APP获悉,香港联交所最新资料显示,1月7日,纳芯微(02676)股东将股票存入中信证券经纪香 港,存仓市值1.30亿港元,占比5.11%。 ...
中信证券:看好智谱 (02513) 领军国内通用大模型 公司25年收入超1亿美金
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 00:15
Company Overview - Company is a leading domestic general large model enterprise, focusing on advanced general large model development and is the largest independent developer in China, serving over 8,000 clients with more than 45 million downloads in the global developer community [2] - The management team has a strong technical background, including top scientists like Academician Zhang Bo [2] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be 312 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 150.9%, with H1 2025 revenue expected to reach 191 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 325.0% [2] - R&D expenses for H1 2025 are estimated at 1.595 billion yuan, with 1.145 billion yuan allocated to computing power [2] - The gross margin for local deployment business remains above 60%, indicating sustained scale effects driven by model performance [2] Industry Overview - The large language model market is expected to grow 20 times in the next six years, with enterprise-level demand dominating the trillion yuan opportunity [3] - According to Frost & Sullivan, the market size for China's large language models is projected to reach 5.3 billion yuan in 2024 and grow to 101.1 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 63.7% from 2024 to 2030 [3] - The enterprise-level large language model market is expected to reach 90.4 billion yuan by 2030, accounting for nearly 90% of the market [3] - The company holds a 6.6% market share in the large language model revenue for 2024, making it the largest independent large language model vendor [3] Model Capabilities - The company's models are characterized by high cost-effectiveness and low hallucination rates, covering diverse enterprise needs [4] - The model range includes parameters from edge deployment (9B) to flagship models (355B), catering to various enterprise requirements [4] - The GLM-4-9B model achieved one of the lowest hallucination rates (1.3%) among top models, according to Stanford University's AI Index report [4] - The latest flagship model, GLM-4.7, has shown excellent performance in coding and agent capabilities, narrowing the gap with leading overseas models [4] Business Growth Analysis - Local deployment revenue is expected to exceed 2 million yuan per client in 2024, having doubled over the past two years [5] - In 2024, 50% of the company's revenue is expected to come from the internet and technology sectors, with plans to expand into consumer electronics and IoT in the next six months [5] - The company aims to enter high-barrier industries such as education and healthcare, leveraging enhanced model capabilities to accelerate application deployment [5] - Cloud business is driven by new products like GLM CodingPlan and AutoGLM, with the latest GLM-4.7 ranking first in open-source performance [5] - The number of paid users on the open platform Bigmodel.cn is expected to grow tenfold, with high-cost performance coding tools significantly impacting cloud revenue in 2026 [5]
中信证券:看好智谱领军国内通用大模型 目标市值539亿港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 13:30
Company Overview - Zhiyu (02513) is a leading domestic general large model enterprise, focusing on internet and technology sectors, achieving over 100% revenue growth in the past two years [1][2] - The company is the largest independent developer of general large models in China, serving over 8,000 clients with more than 45 million downloads in the global developer community [2] - The management team has a strong technical background, including top scientists like Academician Zhang Bo [2] Financial Performance - The company is projected to generate revenue of 312 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 150.9%, and 191 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 325.0% [2] - R&D expenses for the first half of 2025 are expected to be 1.595 billion yuan, with 1.145 billion yuan allocated to computing power [2] - The gross margin for local deployment business is maintained above 60%, indicating strong scalability [2] Industry Overview - The large language model market in China is expected to grow 20 times in the next six years, with enterprise-level demand dominating the market, which is projected to reach 101.1 billion yuan by 2030 [3] - According to Frost & Sullivan, the market size for large language models in China is estimated to reach 5.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 63.7% from 2024 to 2030 [3] - Zhiyu holds a market share of 6.6% in the large language model sector, making it the largest independent player [3] Model Capabilities - The company's models are characterized by high cost-effectiveness and low hallucination rates, covering diverse enterprise needs [4] - The GLM-4-9B model achieved one of the lowest hallucination rates (1.3%) among top models, according to Stanford University's AI Index report [4] - The latest flagship model, GLM-4.7, has shown excellent performance in coding and agent capabilities, narrowing the gap with leading international models [4] Growth Analysis - The proportion of cloud deployment is gradually increasing, with local deployment revenue accounting for 85% and cloud deployment rising from 0% to 15% over the past two years [4] - The company plans to expand into high-barrier industries such as education and healthcare, leveraging its model capabilities to accelerate application deployment [5] - New products like GLM CodingPlan and AutoGLM are expected to significantly enhance cloud revenue, with the number of paid users on the platform Bigmodel.cn increasing tenfold [5]
中信证券:看好智谱(02513)领军国内通用大模型 目标市值539亿港元
智通财经网· 2026-01-07 13:07
Company Overview - Company is a leading domestic general large model enterprise, focusing on advanced general large model development and serving over 8,000 clients with a global developer community download exceeding 45 million [2] - The management team has a strong technical background, including top scientists like Academician Zhang Bo [2] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be 312 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 150.9%, with H1 2025 revenue expected to reach 191 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 325.0% [2] - R&D expenses for H1 2025 are estimated at 1.595 billion yuan, with 1.145 billion yuan allocated to computing power [2] - The gross margin for local deployment business remains above 60%, indicating sustained scale effects [2] Industry Overview - The large language model market is expected to grow 20 times in the next six years, with enterprise-level demand dominating the trillion yuan opportunity [3] - According to Frost & Sullivan, the Chinese large language model market is projected to reach 5.3 billion yuan in 2024 and grow to 101.1 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 63.7% from 2024 to 2030 [3] - The enterprise-level large language model market is expected to reach 90.4 billion yuan by 2030, with the enterprise segment accounting for nearly 90% of the market [3] - Company holds a 6.6% market share in the large language model revenue for 2024, making it the largest independent large language model provider [3] Model Capabilities - The company's models are characterized by high cost-effectiveness and low hallucination rates, covering diverse enterprise needs [4] - The GLM-4-9B model achieved one of the lowest hallucination rates (1.3%) among top models according to Stanford University's AI Index report [4] - The latest flagship model, GLM-4.7, has shown excellent performance in coding and agent capabilities, narrowing the gap with leading overseas models [4] Business Growth Analysis - Local deployment revenue is expected to exceed 2 million yuan per client in 2024, with a doubling growth over the past two years [5] - In 2024, 50% of revenue is expected to come from the internet and technology sectors, with plans to expand into consumer electronics and IoT industries [5] - The company aims to enter high-barrier industries such as education and healthcare, leveraging enhanced model capabilities to accelerate application deployment [5] - Cloud business is expected to grow significantly, with new products like GLM CodingPlan and AutoGLM driving rapid increases in global paid user numbers [5] - The open platform Bigmodel.cn is projected to see a tenfold increase in paid customers throughout the year, with high-cost performance coding tools expected to have a greater impact on cloud revenue in 2026 [5]
越秀资本(000987.SZ):公司及子公司合计持有中信证券8.54%的股份,是中信证券第二大股东。
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-07 10:00
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Yuexiu Capital holds a total of 8.54% shares in CITIC Securities, making it the second-largest shareholder of the company [1] Group 2 - Yuexiu Capital and its subsidiaries collectively own 8.54% of CITIC Securities [1] - This ownership stake positions Yuexiu Capital as a significant player in the shareholder structure of CITIC Securities [1]
沪指14连阳,全天成交额近2.9万亿!中信证券尾盘现14.52亿元巨额卖单
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 09:55
红星资本局1月7日消息,A股今日再度集体上涨,截至收盘,沪指涨0.05%录得14连阳,深证成指涨0.06%,创业板指涨0.31%,北证50指数涨0.22%。沪深 京三市成交额28815亿元,较上日放量493亿元,超3100只个股下跌。 图片来自同花顺App,下同 板块题材上,煤炭开采加工、半导体设备、稀土永磁、CRO、有色金属、可控核聚变、旅游及酒店、液冷服务器板块涨幅居前;脑机接口、跨境支付、证 券、互联网金融、贵金属板块跌幅居前。 红星资本局注意到,临近收盘时,"券商一哥"中信证券(600030.SH;06030.HK)A股"卖一"位置出现一笔49.22万手的巨额卖单。以中信证券29.50元/股收盘 价计算,这部分压单约14.52亿元,而中信证券今日全天成交额为68.30亿元。 | 100 11:4 | 27.40 /1.5 0072.110 1 | | --- | --- | | -0.69 -2.29% 开 HEL BOLLO COOCL LUNVIA TOOD WILL ALL | 30.21 市盈™ 15.58 餐 | 此事在盘后引发市场热议。1月7日下午,红星资本局以投资者身份致电中信证券投资者 ...
券商板块下跌,中信证券再现大额卖单,总值超14.5亿元
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-07 09:40
Group 1 - The A-share market continues to show an upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 4085.77 points, up 0.05%, marking a 14-day consecutive rise [1] - The securities industry sector experienced a decline of 1.16%, ranking first in the list of declining sectors, with most brokerage stocks, except for Huayin Securities and Huaxin Co., recording losses, many exceeding 2% [3] - CITIC Securities, as the leading firm in the industry, saw a significant sell order of 492,200 shares, totaling over 1.45 billion yuan, indicating a pattern of large sell orders [3] Group 2 - CITIC Securities has faced large sell-offs multiple times, with a notable sell order of 3.1 billion yuan on September 17, 2025, and another exceeding 1 billion yuan on October 24, 2025 [5] - The repeated large sell orders from CITIC Securities have occurred during a period of continuous upward movement in the Shanghai Composite Index, leading to discussions in the market about profit-taking [6] - Some market participants suggest that large funds may be controlling the market rhythm by suppressing major brokerage stocks like CITIC Securities to prevent the index from rising too quickly, although some analysts argue that other sectors with higher weight, such as banking and telecommunications, would be more effective for such control [6]