股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 廣州汽車集團股份有限公司(於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年9月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601238 | 說明 | A股 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,383,697,595 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 7,383,697,595 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 7,383,697,595 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of GAC Group, with current prices at 7.67 CNY and 3.38 HKD respectively [5]. Core Views - GAC Group's performance in the first half of 2025 is under pressure, with total revenue declining by 8.0% year-on-year to 42.17 billion CNY, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 2.54 billion CNY, compared to a profit of 1.52 billion CNY in the first half of 2024 [1]. - The decline in performance is attributed to intensified industry competition, a drop in sales of self-owned brands, and increased promotional expenditures [1]. - GAC Toyota's sales have rebounded, with total sales in the first half of 2025 down by 12.5% year-on-year to 755,000 units, while GAC Honda's sales have shown a positive trend [2]. - The company is focusing on revitalizing its self-owned brands and enhancing its "technology + ecology" strategy, including new model launches and partnerships with tech firms like Huawei [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, GAC Group's total operating revenue decreased by 8.0% to 42.17 billion CNY, with a net profit attributable to shareholders turning negative at -2.54 billion CNY [1]. - The gross margin fell by 7.7 percentage points to -1.7% [1]. Sales and Market Position - Total sales for GAC Group in 1H25 were down 12.5% to 755,000 units, with GAC Honda's sales increasing by 1.7% year-on-year [2]. - GAC Toyota's new electric SUV has achieved significant sales success, indicating a positive shift in the joint venture's performance [2]. Strategic Initiatives - GAC Group is launching new models to rejuvenate its self-owned brands, including the introduction of new electric vehicles and a partnership with Huawei for high-end smart electric vehicles [3]. - The company is also expanding its energy ecosystem, with over 1,600 charging stations and plans for further international expansion [3]. Profit Forecasts - The report revises the net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to -1.975 billion CNY, 80 million CNY, and 961 million CNY respectively, reflecting the ongoing transformation period for both joint ventures and self-owned brands [3].

Core Viewpoint - GAC Group has reported significant financial losses in the first half of 2025, with a notable decline in both revenue and net profit, primarily due to falling sales across its main brands and poor strategic decisions [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, GAC Group achieved revenue of 42.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.9%, and a net profit of -2.54 billion yuan, representing a decline of 267.4% [1]. - The second quarter revenue was 22.73 billion yuan, also down 7.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of -1.87 billion yuan, worsening from a profit of 300 million yuan in the same quarter of 2024 [1][3]. Sales Performance - GAC Group's total sales for the first half of 2025 reached 755,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 12.5%. Notably, GAC Honda, GAC Trumpchi, and GAC Aion saw sales drop by 25.6%, 22.6%, and 14.0% respectively [2]. - GAC Toyota was the only brand to show a slight increase in sales, up 2.6% [2]. Profitability Issues - The gross profit margin for GAC Group fell to -3.4% in the second quarter, a decrease of 10 percentage points year-on-year, while the half-year gross margin dropped to -1.7% [3]. Research and Development - GAC Group's R&D expense ratio has remained low, between 1% and 2%, indicating that a significant portion of R&D investments is not accounted for in current expenses [4][5]. - Despite high R&D spending historically, the company has faced multiple strategic missteps, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, leading to a delayed transition to electrification and smart technology [5]. Strategic Decisions - GAC Group's previous decision to terminate its partnership with Huawei has been criticized, especially as competitors who maintained such collaborations have seen success [6]. - The company has recently announced a renewed partnership with Huawei to establish a new automotive brand, but market skepticism remains regarding the potential success of this initiative [6]. Leadership Changes - The recent leadership change, with Feng Xingya taking over from Zeng Qinghong, raises questions about the company's ability to reverse its current downward trend [6].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is experiencing overall growth, but GAC Group has reported significant declines in both revenue and profit, leading to the largest half-year loss in its history [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, GAC Group achieved total revenue of 42.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.9%, and a net profit of -2.54 billion yuan, a decline of 267.4% [2][4]. - GAC Group's second-quarter revenue was 22.73 billion yuan, also down 7.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of -1.87 billion yuan, marking a significant acceleration in losses compared to previous periods [4][6]. Sales Performance - GAC Group's total sales in the first half of the year were 755,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 12.5%, with major brands like GAC Honda and GAC Trumpchi experiencing significant drops in sales [6][9]. - The sales of GAC's main brands, except for GAC Toyota, which saw a slight increase of 2.6%, have all declined, contributing to the overall poor performance [6]. Margin Analysis - The sales gross margin for GAC Group fell to -3.4% in the second quarter, a decrease of 10 percentage points year-on-year, with the half-year gross margin also dropping to -1.7% [6][9]. Research and Development - GAC Group's R&D expense ratio has remained low at 1%-2%, indicating that a significant portion of R&D investments is not accounted for in current expenses, which raises concerns about the sustainability of its operations [7][9]. - Despite high R&D spending historically, GAC Group has faced operational challenges due to strategic missteps, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [9][10]. Strategic Decisions - GAC Group's decision to terminate its partnership with Huawei has been criticized, especially as competitors who maintained such collaborations have seen success [10]. - The company has recently announced a renewed partnership with Huawei to establish a new automotive venture, but market skepticism remains regarding the potential success of this initiative [10].

Core Viewpoint - GAC Group's semi-annual report for 2025 indicates a focus on reform and adjustment, with a commitment to improving performance despite current pressures [1][4][8] Financial Performance - The company's consolidated revenue for the first half of 2025 was CNY 42.611 billion [1] - As of June 30, 2025, GAC's debt-to-asset ratio improved to 44.65%, down from 47.61% at the end of 2024, indicating enhanced financial health [2] - The automotive industry average debt-to-asset ratio is 66.32%, with GAC's ratio significantly lower than many competitors [2] Reform and Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of reform, with the chairman mentioning "reform" five times, "focus" six times, and "cost" ten times in his address [5][6] - GAC aims to shorten the vehicle development cycle to 18 months and reduce R&D costs by over 10% [4][6] - The "Panyu Action" initiative aims to increase GAC's self-owned brand sales to 2 million units by 2027, with integrated management and supply chain optimization [5][6] Market Outlook - Analysts from CMB International maintain a "buy" rating for GAC, expecting profitability to improve from the second half of 2025 [8] - JPMorgan upgraded GAC's investment rating from "underweight" to "overweight," raising target prices for both A and H shares [8] Sales and Production - GAC's total sales of energy-saving and new energy vehicles reached 366,000 units, with a sales share of 48.43% [10] - The company launched several new models in the first half of 2025, contributing to a 18% year-on-year increase in sales of energy-saving and new energy vehicles [10] - GAC's overseas sales of self-owned brands grew by 45.8%, with expansion into new markets and the introduction of new models [11]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that despite GAC Group's (601238)(02238) second-quarter loss of 1.3 billion RMB, which fell short of expectations, the market is unlikely to focus on the company's current profit and loss situation due to the potential competitiveness of a new model to be launched in collaboration with Huawei next year, which could serve as a positive catalyst for the company [1] Financial Performance - GAC Group reported a loss of 1.3 billion RMB in the second quarter, which was below the expectations of CMB International [1] Future Prospects - The collaboration with Huawei to launch a new model next year is expected to enhance the competitiveness of GAC Group, potentially acting as a positive catalyst for the company [1] Cost Management - There is significant room for cost reduction in employee expenses within GAC Group's joint ventures and associates, which could improve overall financial performance [1] Investment Rating - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for GAC Group's H-shares, raising the target price from 3.6 HKD to 4.3 HKD [1]

招银国际发表研究报告指，虽然广汽集团次季亏损13亿元，逊该行预期，但认为市场不会重视其今年盈 亏状况，因广汽明年与华为合作推出的新型号可能更具竞争力，并成为公司一个正面的催化剂。该行又 认为公司的合资企业和联营公司，在员工成本减省上有较大空间。该行将广汽集团H股目标价由3.6港元 上调至4.3港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - GAC Group reported a decline in revenue and significant net losses for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in achieving operational targets and overall performance [1][3]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was CNY 42.166 billion, down 7.95% from CNY 45.8 billion in the same period last year [1][2]. - The net loss for the first half of 2025 was CNY 2.538 billion, compared to a net profit of CNY 1.516 billion in the previous year, marking a decline of 267.39% [2]. - The total profit for the period was a loss of CNY 3.925 billion, a decrease of 435.37% from the previous year's profit of CNY 1.170 billion [2]. - Cash flow from operating activities showed a significant decline, with a net outflow of CNY 10.769 billion compared to a positive inflow of CNY 2.635 billion in the previous year [2]. Business Segments - GAC Group's main business includes R&D, vehicle manufacturing (cars, motorcycles), parts, trade and mobility, energy and ecology, internationalization, and investment and finance, forming a complete automotive industry chain [5]. - The company produced and sold 801,700 vehicles and 755,300 vehicles respectively, representing a year-on-year decrease of 6.73% and 12.48% [7]. - New energy vehicle sales were 154,100 units, down 6.08% year-on-year, while energy-saving vehicle sales increased by 13.43% to 211,600 units [7]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the automotive manufacturing sector was CNY 24.65 billion, down 19.39% year-on-year [8]. - Revenue from parts manufacturing increased by 9.81% to CNY 2.1 billion [8]. - Revenue from trade services rose by 15.67% to CNY 13.132 billion [8]. - Financial and other income increased by 13.22% to CNY 2.724 billion [8]. Shareholding Structure - As of June 30, 2025, GAC Group held 54.02% of the shares, while HKSCC NOMINEES LIMITED held 27.56% [10]. - The total number of shareholders was 135,756 [11]. Market Performance - As of September 1, 2025, GAC Group's stock price was CNY 7.73, with a market capitalization of CNY 78.8 billion [17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 42.17 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 7.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.54 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 1.52 billion yuan in the same period last year [7] - The gross margin decreased to -1.7%, down 7.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the selling expense ratio increased to 6.2%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company achieved a significant increase in overseas sales of its self-owned brands, with over 50,000 units sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.8% [7] - The company plans to introduce four new models to overseas markets and has entered 84 countries and regions, establishing over 570 outlets [7] - The company aims to achieve net profits of 5.23 billion yuan, 9.99 billion yuan, and 17.19 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 150.8, 78.9, and 45.9 [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast for 2023A is 128.76 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 17.5%, followed by a decline of 17.1% in 2024A [6] - The net profit for 2023A is projected at 4.43 billion yuan, with a significant drop of 45.1% year-on-year [6] - The EPS for 2023A is 0.42 yuan, expected to decrease to 0.05 yuan in 2025E [6] - The company’s ROE is forecasted to decline from 3.8% in 2023A to 0.5% in 2025E [6]

Core Insights - GAC Group reported a consolidated revenue of approximately 42.611 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 44.65%, improving by nearly 3 percentage points from the end of 2024 [1] - The company produced 801,700 vehicles and sold 755,300 vehicles in the first half of the year, with energy-efficient and new energy vehicles accounting for 48.43% of total sales [1] - GAC Group has entered 84 countries and regions globally, establishing over 570 outlets, with a 45.8% increase in export sales of its own brands [1] User Insight and Product Development - GAC Group is enhancing its R&D system starting from user insights to product delivery, focusing on both practical and emotional value of products [2] - The company is implementing an Integrated Product Development (IPD) reform to improve communication and decision-making efficiency, thereby reducing product development cycles and costs [2] - GAC Group aims to transform the development of popular models from "accidental" to "inevitable" by establishing a system to enhance user insight capabilities [2] Service Experience and Marketing Strategy - GAC Group is restructuring its marketing service system by introducing an Integrated Product Marketing and Sales (IPMS) system, focusing on a user-centered approach [3] - The company is accelerating its channel penetration in lower-tier cities and building a comprehensive sales service center [3] - GAC Group emphasizes the importance of understanding customer needs and enhancing user experience to adapt to industry changes [3] Strategic Initiatives and Product Launches - GAC Group is in a "wartime state," focusing on three key battles: user demand, product value, and service experience to reshape the company [3] - The company has shortened the standard development cycle for models to 18 months and reduced R&D costs by over 10% through improved management processes [4] - GAC Group is set to launch several new products, including the GAC Aion i60, and has introduced its intelligent technology brand "Starry Intelligence" [4] Collaboration and Global Expansion - GAC Group is enhancing R&D collaboration with joint ventures like GAC Toyota and GAC Honda to accelerate the development of smart electric vehicles [5] - The company plans to create global star products with annual sales targets of 50,000 to 100,000 units in key markets, while expanding its KD factory network [5] - GAC Group is focusing on understanding local market demands in regions like Europe and South America to optimize product offerings [5] Cost Control and Supply Chain Management - GAC Group is prioritizing extreme cost control and building a competitive global supply chain to enhance operational efficiency [6] - The company is integrating supply chain resources and optimizing procurement channels to reduce costs and improve decision-making efficiency [6] - GAC Group aims to achieve core supply chain autonomy to reduce reliance on external suppliers and enhance stability [7] Future Outlook - Despite challenges in the market, GAC Group has made significant progress in user insights, product development, and cost control [8] - The company is expected to stabilize its performance in the second half of the year through continued efforts in new product launches and market expansion [8] - GAC Group is committed to high-quality development and innovation to contribute to the recovery of the automotive industry in China [8]