Core Viewpoint - The prices of precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are rising due to geopolitical tensions and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, with gold reaching $4,637.45 per ounce and silver nearing $91 per ounce [1] Market Performance - As of the latest update, gold has a market capitalization of $32.265 trillion, making it the most valuable asset, while silver's market cap stands at $5.070 trillion, ranking second [1][2] - Both gold and silver have surpassed the market capitalization of NVIDIA, which is currently at $4.523 trillion [2] Price Movements - Gold has increased by 0.9% in the day, while silver has seen a nearly 3% rise, with silver's price reaching as high as $90.08 [1][2] - The price of silver has increased by 4.33% over the past 30 days [2] Future Predictions - Several international investment banks, including Citigroup, have raised their forecasts, predicting that gold could reach $5,000 per ounce and silver could hit $100 per ounce within the next three months under bullish scenarios [2]

Group 1: Hiring Trends in Big Tech - Energy-related hiring in Big Tech surged by 34% year-on-year in 2024, with last year's hiring remaining 30% higher than pre-AI levels of 2022 [1][2] - Microsoft has made over 570 energy-related hires since 2022, while Amazon leads with 605 hires, including its subsidiary AWS [5][6] - Google has added 340 energy-related hires since 2022, indicating a strategic focus on energy market innovation [7] Group 2: Importance of Energy for AI - Data centers accounted for approximately 1.5% of global electricity consumption in 2024, reflecting a 12% year-on-year increase over the last five years [2] - The demand for energy is expected to rise further as infrastructure builds out, posing significant challenges for Big Tech companies [3][4] Group 3: Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships - Big Tech companies are acquiring energy-related firms and building their own energy supply to meet growing demands, with Alphabet set to acquire Intersect for $4.75 billion [8] - Meta has secured power purchase agreements with companies like Oklo, Vistra, and Terrapower, indicating a shift towards energy procurement [14][15] Group 4: Talent Market Dynamics - The competition for energy specialists is intensifying as tech companies seek talent with skills in energy strategy and grid connection, leading to a tight talent market [12] - Utilities may benefit from increased energy demand as tech companies turn to them for support rather than viewing them as acquisition targets [13]

Core Viewpoint - The investment logic in the AI industry between China and the US shows significant divergence, stemming from differences in industrial foundations and development paths, but it is expected that the global AI industry will eventually converge towards Physical AI [1][2][3] Investment Logic Divergence - The current investment paths in AI are clearly differentiated, with US companies focusing on foundational research and core technologies, while China emphasizes application scenarios due to limitations in computing power [2][11] - The US investment is guided by the "Scaling Law," which prioritizes increasing computational power to enhance model quality, particularly in areas leading to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) [2][11] - China leverages its vast AI talent pool and market space to achieve breakthroughs from the application side, particularly excelling in sectors like autonomous driving and robotics [3][12] Roots of Divergence - The divergence in investment logic is driven by the US's focus on foundational capabilities and model performance, while China's strengths lie in its manufacturing capabilities and industrial technology [3][12] - Historical examples from the internet industry illustrate that companies that effectively apply technology to consumer needs, like Facebook and Google, tend to be the most profitable [3][12] Shift in Market Focus - The previously high interest in AGI is waning, with market attention shifting towards Physical AI, which includes applications like robotics and autonomous vehicles [4][13] - Physical AI aligns well with China's current focus on robotics and autonomous driving, matching its industrial advantages [5][14] Future Trends in AI Investment - The US is expected to maintain significant capital expenditure in the chip sector, with major cloud service providers allocating 40-55% of their server spending to GPUs in 2024 [6][15] - The GPU capital expenditure in the US is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of over 50% from 2024 to 2026, with total data center capital spending expected to reach $1 trillion by 2028 [8][16] - The total investment in Physical AI in the US is anticipated to exceed $50 billion between 2025 and 2026, indicating a comprehensive approach from foundational research to commercialization [9][19] Major Investments in Physical AI - Significant investments are being made by US tech giants in Physical AI, with Tesla investing over $4 billion in its humanoid robot project, Nvidia over $10 billion in its AI platforms, and Google’s DeepMind allocating $5 billion for robotics research [9][17]

图片来源：unsplash "建造数据中心的大型科技公司必须自负盈亏！" 当地时间1月12日，美国总统特朗普在社交平台Truth Social上发帖称，美国家庭的平均每月水电费账单 一度大幅上涨超过30%，并将之归咎于前任拜登政府。 近年来，AI浪潮的爆发，数据中心大规模上马，被认为是电费持续面临压力的主要原因。 特朗普表示，"绝不希望美国人因为数据中心而支付更高的电费"，并称，虽然美国是人工智能领域的领 军者，数据中心是该领域繁荣发展的关键，但美国大型科技公司需要对美国人民负责。 "我的政府正在与美国主要的科技公司合作，确保他们对美国人民的承诺，我们将在未来几周内宣布多 项举措，"他进而宣布，微软将首先做出承诺和调整，以确保美国人民不会为更多的电力消耗而买单。 "谢谢，并祝贺微软。更多消息即将发布！"特朗普表示。 截图来自Truth Social 特朗普帖子发布后，微软立即作出响应。 1月13日，微软总裁兼副董事长布拉德·史密斯（Brad Smith）在公司官网发布长文《构建以社区为先的 人工智能基础设施》，宣布启动一项新计划，包括了五项承诺，首要的是"自掏腰包"支付电费，以保证 不因此增加社区居民的账单。 ...

Core Insights - Microsoft has launched a "Community-First AI Infrastructure" initiative with five commitments aimed at benefiting local communities hosting its data centers [1] Group 1: Community Commitments - The initiative includes commitments to prevent residential electricity bill impacts by funding incremental grid costs [1] - Microsoft aims to cut water intensity and achieve "water positive" status by replenishing more water than it uses [1] - The company plans to train and hire local workers for construction and operations [1] - Microsoft will pay full property taxes to enhance local public services [1] - The initiative includes investments in AI education, small-business skilling, and support for local nonprofits [1] Group 2: Local Scrutiny and Challenges - The expansion of AI-driven data centers faces increasing local scrutiny regarding power demand, water use, and potential cost shifting to households [2] - Communities may support construction and tax revenues but often oppose projects linked to higher electricity rates and limited local job opportunities [2] Group 3: Strategic Approach - Microsoft is positioning its approach as a response to the political economy, emphasizing that infrastructure projects succeed when local communities see clear net benefits [3] - The company advocates for early utility coordination and faster permitting processes to align with broader U.S. discussions on powering AI growth affordably and reliably [3] Group 4: Operational Tactics - Microsoft employs various operational tactics, including utility rate structures for large customers and direct funding for substation upgrades tied to its load growth [4] - The company is shifting from potable-water-based cooling systems to closed-loop cooling and recycled water solutions, alongside regional replenishment projects [4] Group 5: Workforce and Local Finance - Microsoft views the data center boom as an opportunity for skilled trades and technical operations, partnering with building trades and community colleges to localize workforce benefits [5] - The company pledges not to seek property tax concessions, arguing that stable tax contributions can support local infrastructure such as hospitals and schools [5]

Group 1 - The app "Is it dead?" has rapidly gained popularity, achieving a valuation of nearly 100 million yuan within three days, addressing the safety concerns of over 125 million single-person households in China [1] - Baichuan-M3, a domestic medical AI model, has been released with 235 billion parameters, outperforming OpenAI's GPT-5.2 and human doctors in various assessments, aiming to enhance the AI medical ecosystem [1] - Elon Musk's announcement to open-source the AI-driven recommendation algorithm for the X platform indicates a move into the Generative Search Engine Optimization (GEO) space, which is expected to expand the AI advertising market [1] Group 2 - Meta has laid off over 1,000 employees in its Reality Labs, shifting focus from the loss-making metaverse business to AI wearable devices and mobile functionalities [2] - The company Self-Variable Robot has secured 1 billion yuan in financing, marking a significant investment from major internet players like Alibaba, Meituan, and ByteDance, indicating a new phase in the embodied intelligence sector [2] - A new paper by Liang Wenfeng and a team from Peking University introduces a technology called "Engram" aimed at overcoming GPU memory limitations, which could enhance model performance and reasoning capabilities [2] Group 3 - Rising memory prices are causing a surge in consumer electronics prices, with major PC brands increasing prices by approximately 15%, driven by heightened demand from AI applications [2] - OpenAI's first AI hardware, "Sweet Pea," designed by former Apple designer Jony Ive, aims to challenge the dominance of smartphones by providing a seamless technology experience [2] - Alibaba's DAMO Academy has gained recognition for its AI model for early pancreatic cancer screening, showcasing significant advancements in medical AI applications [2] Group 4 - Microsoft is responding to competition from Chinese AI companies that are gaining market share outside the West, highlighting the pressure on U.S. firms in the open-source AI domain [2]

Macroeconomic and Market Analysis - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on January 14, 2026, to introduce the full-year import and export situation for 2025, which is significant for assessing China's external demand performance and related industry prosperity [1][5] Sector Hotspots and Rotation - The U.S. has relaxed export controls on Nvidia's H200 chips to China, as announced on January 13, 2026. This adjustment, previously indicated by former President Trump, allows for the sale of this AI chip, with the U.S. Department of Commerce responsible for approval and security review, potentially benefiting the domestic semiconductor industry and AI-related sectors [2][6] Peripheral Markets and Related Assets - On Tuesday, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.80%, Nasdaq down 0.10%, and S&P 500 down 0.19%. Large tech stocks showed mixed results, with Intel up over 7% and AMD up over 6%, while Micron and Qualcomm fell over 2%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index dropped 1.84%, with notable declines in Chinese concept stocks, which may exert pressure on A-share sentiment [3][7] Commodity Market Dynamics - In domestic commodity futures, methanol rose 2% to 2308.00 yuan, fuel oil increased 5% to 2560.00 yuan, silver surged 6% to 22336.00 yuan, and tin climbed 4% to 398380.00 yuan, indicating significant volatility in energy and base metals [4][8] - Internationally, spot gold reached a historical high of $4631.34 per ounce, with New York futures surpassing $4640 per ounce. Spot silver and New York futures both exceeded $89 per ounce, reflecting heightened market risk aversion [4][8]

Group 1 - Meta plans to cut 1,500 jobs in its Reality Labs department, shifting focus from the metaverse to AI devices, with a cumulative loss exceeding $70 billion since Q4 2020 [4][5] - The company aims to invest hundreds of billions in data centers and increase budgets for wearable AI glasses to maintain a competitive edge in the AI market [4][5] - The Reality Labs department will primarily focus on Horizon OS, the metaverse, and wearables after a restructuring in October 2025 [5] Group 2 - The U.S. government has approved NVIDIA to export its H200 AI chips to China, with an expected delivery of 2 million chips by 2026, primarily to large internet companies [9] - The H200 chip is priced at approximately $27,000 each, with a total of 700,000 units currently in stock [9] Group 3 - Luxshare Precision has terminated its acquisition of Indian assets from Wistron due to delivery restrictions and is seeking arbitration for a refund of approximately 1.53 billion yuan [12][13] - The termination of the asset transfer agreement will not adversely affect Luxshare's normal operations and financial status [12] Group 4 - The app "Demumu," previously known as "死了么," has gained significant traction, becoming the top tool app on the Apple App Store, with a 300-fold increase in downloads [14] - The app focuses on providing safety tools for individuals living alone and plans to raise its price from 8 yuan to around 14-15 yuan [14] Group 5 - Baichuan-M3, a new medical AI model, has been released, outperforming OpenAI's GPT-5.2 in various medical evaluation metrics [16][17] - The model is expected to play a significant role in the application of AI in healthcare, with plans for a potential IPO by 2027 [17] Group 6 - Major companies like Xiaomi and Huawei are launching high-end Pro Max models, indicating a competitive shift in the smartphone market [22] - Xiaomi's Pro Max model has become the best-selling variant in its series, reflecting a successful strategy in the high-end market segment [22] Group 7 - The local life service sector is seeing increased competition, with companies like Kuaishou and Didi entering the market with new service apps [24][25] - Meituan is expanding its local service offerings, indicating a broader trend of tech companies diversifying into everyday services [25] Group 8 - ByteDance has raised its stock option price significantly, reflecting a 4-fold increase since 2019, indicating strong growth and valuation [32] - The company is also experiencing a surge in AI job postings, with salaries for certain positions rising significantly [27] Group 9 - Porsche China is addressing issues with dealers who have ceased operations, promising to provide compensation for customers who have paid deposits but not received their vehicles [29][30] - The company is actively working to ensure customer rights are protected amid dealer disruptions [29] Group 10 - Citigroup plans to lay off approximately 1,000 employees as part of a broader strategy to reduce its workforce by 20,000 by the end of 2026 [50][51] - The layoffs are part of ongoing efforts to align staffing with current business needs and improve efficiency [51]

微软表示将推出以社区为核心的AI基础设施新举措。要求公用事业公司和公共委员会将费率设定得足 够高，以覆盖数据中心的电力成本。 1月13日，微软宣布启动全新的 "社区优先"AI基础设施倡议，承诺在美国境内建设数据中心时采取不同 以往的负责任方式。该计划包含五大核心承诺：确保数据中心不增加当地居民电价、实现水资源补充、 为当地居民创造就业、增加地方税收，以及投资当地AI培训和非营利组织。 微软副董事长兼总裁布拉德·史密斯在公告中表示，该倡议旨在成为数据中心所在社区的 "好邻居" ，体 现了公司的公民责任感以及对运营成功AI基础设施所需的长期考量。该计划将在2026年于美国迅速落 地，并随后推广至其他国家。 AI基础设施建设正成为美国继运河、铁路、电网之后的最新大规模基础设施浪潮。国际能源署预计， 到2035年美国数据中心用电需求将增长两倍以上，从200太瓦时增至约640太瓦时。但这种快速扩张已在 多地引发了对电价上涨和水资源紧张的担忧。微软的这一计划试图平衡技术进步与社区利益，为科技行 业在AI时代的基础设施建设树立新标准。 承诺不转嫁电力成本 在电力方面，微软做出四项具体承诺。首先，公司将要求公用事业公司和公共 ...

Market Performance - On January 13, all three major US stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.8%, nearly 400 points, the S&P 500 down 0.19%, and the Nasdaq down 0.1% [1] - The Dow Jones index closed at 49,191.99, down 398.21 points, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed at 23,709.87 and 6,963.74, down 24.03 and 13.53 points respectively [2] Technology Sector - Technology stocks showed mixed performance, with Intel rising over 7% to reach a nearly two-year high, and AMD increasing over 6%. However, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft all fell over 1% [2] - Nvidia's stock rose 0.47% following the news that the US has relaxed export regulations on its H200 chips to China [2] Banking Sector - Bank stocks experienced a broad decline, with the KBW Bank Index falling 1.3% and JPMorgan Chase dropping over 4%. The decline was attributed to lower-than-expected investment banking fees and warnings regarding potential risks from proposed credit card interest rate caps [4] - JPMorgan's investment banking revenue from underwriting and advisory services saw a decline, which could significantly impact the bank and its clients [4] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 1.86%, with many popular Chinese stocks declining. Notable drops included Brain Rebirth down over 26%, WeRide down over 10%, and Pinduoduo down over 5% [4] Commodity and Currency Markets - US Treasury yields fluctuated after the CPI report, with the 10-year yield stabilizing around 4.17%. The dollar strengthened, pushing the USD/JPY exchange rate above 159 [6] - Gold prices reached a historical high of $4,630 before slightly retreating, while silver futures rose 2.08% to $86.86 per ounce [6] Inflation and Economic Outlook - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year as of December 2025, with the core CPI increasing by 2.6% [8] - Analysts predict that inflation may remain sticky around 3% in 2026, with potential upward pressure due to looser fiscal and monetary policies [8]