瑞银投资银行中国股票策略研究主管王宗豪最新观点认为，香港市场在短期内将面临一定压力，因为外 卖和其他行业的竞争压力可能导致盈利预测下调。但随着"反内卷"动能上升，政策变化似乎在酝酿中， 相比于其他境内资产和全球股市的估值吸引力，也将继续吸引南向和国际资金流入，维持对H股和中国 整体股市的乐观看法。(人民财讯) ...

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that global investment, manufacturing employment, spending, and overall economic activity remain robust despite uncertainties and challenges [2] - Global trade remains active, indicating the persistence and importance of international trade, with significant rebounds in stock markets across the Atlantic [2] - Moody's analysis suggests that the outcome of Japan's Senate elections may hinder the government's efforts to advance fiscal consolidation in the post-pandemic era [2] Group 2 - Deutsche Bank strategists warn that if the US confirms tariff increases on August 1 alongside disappointing employment reports, it could trigger renewed recession fears [3] - Concerns over the sustainability of US debt may become a central topic of discussion in the market for the second half of the year, with long-term Treasury yields facing upward pressure [3] - Current 10-year US Treasury yield has risen by 2 basis points to 4.392% [3]

UBS is reviewing the role of six relationship managers who sold complex currency derivatives to clients who say they didn’t fully understand the risk, sources say https://t.co/Mrf0kIzqhy ...

智通财经7月22日电，美国银行全球研究将瑞银集团评级从表现不佳升至中性，将目标价格从30.5美元 上调至38.7美元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，瑞银此前预计短期美债占可流通债务比重的快速扩张阶段已经过去。然而，《GENIUS 法案》可能带来新一轮增长。 美国财政部长贝森特认为，2 万亿美元是美元稳定币的合理规模，且存在上行风险。财政部借款咨询委员会(TBAC)讨论的情景是：到 2028 年市值达 2 万亿 美元，对应整体交易量增长 7 倍、货币流通速度不变、稳定币交易占外汇现货交易比重升至 10%。 代币化货币市场基金已成替代方案，因其可像基金一样提供收益，而稳定币则通常无收益。稳定币行业的增长还将取决于国际使用范围。 根据该法案，稳定币发行方必须用短期、高流动性且优质的资产维持 100% 的储备支持。获批的储备资产包括：美元现钞、短期美国国债、受保存款机构存 款以及短期国债回购协议。 国际清算银行(BIS)估算，稳定币已购入约 400 亿美元的美国短期国债，规模与最大的一只美国政府货币市场基金相当，且超过多数国家的持有量。在债务 上限问题解决及政府货币市场基金大幅扩张后，目前短期美债市场仍有充裕的吸纳能力。 若《GENIUS 法案》刺激更多短期国债需求，美国财政部可略微推迟扩大附息国债发行规模的时间，也有更大空间回购流动性较差的 ...

Company Overview - Tyra Biosciences, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing next-generation precision medicines targeting opportunities in Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor (FGFR) biology [1] - The company utilizes an in-house precision medicine platform called SNÅP, which enables rapid and precise drug design through iterative molecular SNÅPshots [1] - Tyra has a differentiated pipeline with three clinical-stage programs in targeted oncology and genetically defined conditions [1] Lead Product and Clinical Development - The lead product, TYRA-300, is a potential first-in-class selective FGFR3 inhibitor designed to avoid toxicities associated with FGFR1, FGFR2, and FGFR4 inhibition [1] - TYRA-300's planned clinical development includes three Phase 2 studies: SURF302 for intermediate risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, BEACH301 for pediatric achondroplasia, and SURF301 for metastatic urothelial cancer [1] - Other investigational products include TYRA-200, an oral FGFR1/2/3 inhibitor for metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and TYRA-430, an oral FGFR4/3-biased inhibitor for FGF19+/FGFR4-driven cancers [1] Upcoming Event - Company management will participate in a virtual fireside chat as part of the UBS Biotech Management Live Call Series on July 25, 2025 [2] - The event will feature key management personnel including Todd Harris (CEO), Doug Warner (CMO), and Alan Fuhrman (CFO) [2] - The session is scheduled for 11 am ET and will be hosted by Ellie Merle, a US SMID Cap Biotechnology Analyst at UBS [2]

Core Insights - Multiple foreign institutions have released their mid-term investment strategies for 2025, highlighting the attractiveness of Chinese stocks amid global capital reallocation [2][3] - The technology and consumer sectors are identified as key areas of focus, benefiting from AI innovation and policy support, as well as the rise of local brands and digital upgrades [2][4] Investment Trends - There is a strategic rebalancing occurring globally, with investors reassessing their stock exposures and looking beyond the US market [2] - Asian markets, particularly China, are seen as undervalued compared to developed markets, providing a compelling entry point for long-term investors [2][3] Sector Focus - The technology sector is expected to offer excess return opportunities, especially with the increasing prevalence of AI applications and supportive government policies [4] - Specific areas of interest within the technology sector include online gaming, cloud services, online travel services, and electric vehicles, which are viewed favorably due to reasonable valuations and strong profit growth expectations [4]

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3534.48 points, marking a new high for the year and maintaining above 3500 points for seven consecutive trading days [1][2] - Foreign institutions express optimism about the Chinese market, citing attractive stock valuations, improving fundamentals, stabilization in the real estate market, and resilient consumer behavior as factors for potential further gains [1][4] - The trading volume in the market remains active, with a peak of 1.71 trillion yuan in early July, the highest in nearly four months, and an average daily trading volume of 1.55 trillion yuan for the week [2][6] Group 2 - Several foreign investment firms, including Goldman Sachs and UBS, have raised their forecasts for key indices, with Goldman Sachs projecting a target of 4600 points for the CSI 300 Index, indicating about a 10% upside potential [6] - The improvement in corporate fundamentals is highlighted, with increased dividend payouts, stock buybacks, and stricter debt management practices contributing to a more resilient market environment [4][9] - The technology sector is identified as a key area for growth, with expectations that advancements in artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, and robotics will drive further momentum [7][8]

Group 1 - Standard Chartered Group has announced the launch of spot trading services for Bitcoin (XBT/USD) and Ethereum (XET/USD) through its UK branch, becoming the first global systemically important bank to offer such services [1] - Major global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) including Citigroup, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and others are actively engaging in the cryptocurrency sector, with JPMorgan recently introducing a stablecoin-like token named JPMD for institutional clients [1][2] - The U.S. Congress has passed three bills related to stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, indicating a move towards more favorable regulatory policies for the cryptocurrency market [3] Group 2 - European banks such as UBS, Deutsche Bank, and HSBC are also entering the cryptocurrency space, with UBS successfully piloting a blockchain-based cross-border payment solution and Société Générale issuing a euro-based stablecoin [4] - Several international banks are forming partnerships with Chinese institutions, with HSBC launching a tokenized deposit management solution in Hong Kong and Deutsche Bank collaborating with Ant Group to explore tokenized deposits and stablecoin solutions [4] - The establishment of more platforms and subsidiaries by major banks aims to build a cryptocurrency ecosystem, with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Société Générale creating dedicated digital asset platforms [5] Group 3 - The behavior of stablecoin users is seen as a threat to traditional banking operations, as businesses increasingly prefer to hold stablecoins for payments and liquidity management, which could weaken banks' control over funds [6] - Banks are responding by seeking to create "tokenized deposits" to enhance liquidity and customer engagement while maintaining regulatory compliance [6]

Core Viewpoint - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with strong performance in consumption, exports, and industrial production, leading several international investment banks to raise their economic growth forecasts for China in 2025 [1] Group 1: Economic Growth and Forecasts - UBS raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for China from 4% to 4.7%, citing a robust second-quarter GDP growth of 5.2% supported by "trade-in" subsidies and stable export growth [1] - Morgan Stanley increased its 2025 GDP growth forecast from 4.5% to 4.8%, highlighting export resilience and proactive fiscal measures as key growth drivers [1] - Nomura maintained its GDP growth predictions for the second half of this year and 2026 but slightly adjusted its 2025 forecast upward due to better-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth [4] Group 2: Export Performance and Policy Support - The report indicated that exports outperformed expectations due to factors like "export grabbing" towards the U.S., ASEAN transshipment, and the depreciation of the yuan against non-dollar currencies [2] - Barclays Bank anticipates increased government efforts to boost consumption in the second half, including expanding the "trade-in" policy to more categories and potentially extending subsidies to additional service sectors [4] - UBS expects additional stimulus measures to be introduced by the government in late Q3 or Q4, including an increase in the fiscal deficit ratio by over 0.5 percentage points and interest rate cuts of 20-30 basis points [4] Group 3: Economic Challenges Ahead - Morgan Stanley noted that economic growth is expected to slow further in the second half, with weakening exports becoming a major drag on growth due to the fading "export grabbing" effect and renewed U.S. tariff policies [5] - The marginal effectiveness of fiscal stimulus is expected to diminish, and the impact of the "trade-in" policy on consumption will gradually decline [5] - A stimulus package of approximately 0.5 to 1 trillion yuan may be introduced, with timing potentially in September or October, allowing policymakers to assess economic trends more accurately [5]