Market Performance - The A-share market opened the year with a strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a rare 13 consecutive days of gains, closing at a ten-year high of 4083.67 points, up 1.5% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also saw increases of 1.4% and 0.75% respectively, indicating a broad market rally [2] - Over 140 stocks hit the daily limit up, and the total trading volume exceeded 2.8 trillion yuan [1][2] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector showed significant strength, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, including Luxin Venture Capital and Beidou Star Communication [2] - The brain-computer interface concept also saw a surge, with stocks like Sanbo Brain Science and Meihao Medical achieving consecutive gains [2] - The financial sector collectively rose, with companies like Hualin Securities and Dazhihui hitting the daily limit up [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector was active, with companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining reaching historical highs [2] Economic Factors - Analysts attribute the strong performance of the A-share market to multiple positive factors, including improved market sentiment post-New Year and expectations of long-term capital inflows from insurance funds [3] - The macroeconomic growth policies and anticipated industry policy details related to new productivity have also contributed to the rising index [3] Company Highlights - Zijin Mining's stock rose over 6%, closing with a gain of 6.21%, leading to a market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion yuan, making it the first mining company in A-shares to reach this milestone [4] - Zijin Mining expects a net profit of approximately 51-52 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62%, driven by increased production of key minerals [4] - The rise in international gold prices, influenced by geopolitical tensions, has also positively impacted Zijin Mining's performance [5] Consumer Market Impact - The increase in international gold prices has led to domestic jewelry brands like Chow Sang Sang raising their gold jewelry prices by 200 to 1500 yuan [6][8] - The price of gold jewelry is expected to continue rising, reflecting a structural change in consumer preferences towards smaller, high-design products and investment gold products [8] Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs has maintained an "overweight" rating on the A-share market, projecting a target increase of 15%-20% for the Shanghai Composite Index in 2026 [9] - Other institutions also express optimism for the A-share market, predicting a transition from valuation recovery in 2025 to profit-driven growth in 2026 [9]

Core Insights - Zijin Mining's stock price surged over 6%, marking a historic moment as its A-share market capitalization surpassed 1 trillion yuan for the first time, representing a significant milestone for the company and the entire non-ferrous metals and resources sector [1][3] - The company's growth from a local mining enterprise in Fujian to a global giant in copper, gold, and lithium reflects the benefits of the commodity super cycle and a re-evaluation of the value of hard assets in the current market [3][4] - The breakthrough in market capitalization signifies a shift in industry and capital logic, highlighting the increasing scarcity premium for leading companies with top-tier resources and operational excellence amid global re-inflation and energy transition trends [4][6] Investment Strategy - For investors already holding Zijin Mining shares, it is advisable to consider them as a core asset and allow profits to run [5] - New investors are cautioned against chasing high prices and should wait for overall sector fluctuations to identify companies with quality resource reserves and reasonable valuations for potential entry points [5] - The market will demand higher performance accountability from Zijin Mining following its trillion-yuan milestone, indicating a need for careful monitoring of its earnings capabilities [5]

| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | | | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( *) 买入营业部 | | 类出营业部 | 是否为专场 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-06 | 属金矿业 | 668 TO9 | 37.6 | 707.26 | 18.81 | | 茶園茶園家園酒酒 | | 警 | | 2026-01-06 | 宝宝头不 | 601899 | 37.6 | 488.8 | 13 | 菜品店餐餐餐餐 | 去自意参得的女 | | Ka | 1月6日，紫金矿业大宗交易成交31.81万股，成交额1196.06万元，占当日总成交额的0.09%，成交价37.6 元，较市场收盘价37.6元持平。 ...

1月6日消息，现涨近6%，成交额超15亿，市值突破1万亿港元。盘中高见38.96港元再创历史新高。 消息面上，近期发布年度业绩盈喜，预计全年实现归母净利润510亿至520亿元，较上年同期的320.51亿元增加约189亿至199亿元，同比增幅约为59%至 62%。公告显示，2025年紫金矿业主要矿产品产量全面增长，叠加矿产金、铜、银销售价格同比上涨，形成双重利好；碳酸锂业务从"零星产出"到"规模量 产"的跨越式突破。 花旗发布研报称，紫金矿业创始人兼董事长陈景河已正式退休。自其决定退休的公告发布后，尽管他仍将担任公司高级顾问及名誉董事长，但部分投资者似 乎感到担忧并选择获利了结。花旗认为这些担忧是错置的。主要由于陈景河认为现在是将管理权移交给管理团队的合适时机，因为这是将紫金矿业从"创始 人驱动"转型为"机制驱动"的必要一步。 编辑/melody ...

据其最新披露的业绩预告显示，2025全年预计实现归母净利润约510亿元-520亿元，与上年同期320.51 亿元相比，将增加约189-199亿元，同比增加约59%-62%；扣非后净利润约475-485亿元，同比增加约 50%-53%。 目前，紫金矿业储备资源量铜超1.1亿吨、黄金3973吨、当量碳酸锂1788万吨，是中国控制金属矿产资 源最多的企业。其中，铜依旧是紫金矿业核心业务，占总毛利的45%以上，近5年矿产铜产量年复合增 长率为24%。预计2025年铜产量将达109万吨，同比增长2%。 此前2025年，现货黄金已累计上涨逾60%；伦铜价格也飙升42%，创下2009年以来的最大年度涨幅。 对于后市，国内外机构纷纷看涨贵金属价格。瑞银将2026年金价目标上调至5000美元；花旗预测铜价将 在今年中期达到15000美元/吨。中信证券分析指出，全球铜供应缺口叠加美国关祱引发的区域供应错 配，共同推动铜价走高。预计2026年全球铜市场供应缺口将超过10万吨。 作为矿业巨头的紫金矿业，其业绩和铜、金等金属价格深度绑定。 1月6日早盘，有色板块全线飘红，紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、湖南黄金等纷纷上涨。其中，紫金矿业一度大 涨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights a significant rally in the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by strong market demand and favorable economic conditions, indicating a potential "super cycle" for these commodities in 2026 [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 6, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a ten-year high, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the gains, including historical highs for Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum [1]. - The popular non-ferrous metals ETF, Huabao (159876), saw an intraday increase of 4.4%, closing up 3.33%, with a trading volume exceeding 62.45 million yuan [1]. - The Huabao ETF experienced a net subscription of 39 million units, following four consecutive days of net inflows totaling 56.48 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1]. Group 2: Market Drivers - Domestic precious metal futures, including silver and platinum, surged over 7%, while geopolitical tensions in the U.S. drove significant increases in gold futures prices [3]. - Analysts predict that geopolitical instability will continue to be a key driver for gold demand and prices in 2026, similar to trends observed in 2025 [3]. - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to benefit from three core drivers: the initiation of a global inventory replenishment cycle, the Federal Reserve's shift to a rate-cutting cycle leading to a weaker dollar, and the explosive demand for energy transition materials [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The non-ferrous metals sector is anticipated to enter a cyclical and structural bull market in 2025, with strong performance expected to continue into 2026 [4]. - The Huabao ETF and its associated funds cover a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's performance across different economic cycles [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant bullish trend in the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by various factors including rising demand and favorable market conditions [1][4][5] - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing a "super cycle," with major metals like copper, aluminum, lithium, and cobalt witnessing substantial price increases and investment interest [4][5] - The recent performance of the non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), indicates strong market activity, with a net subscription of 39 million units and a total inflow of 56.48 million yuan over the past four days [1][5] Group 2 - The global replenishment cycle is starting, with manufacturing PMI showing a continuous recovery, leading to increased demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and infrastructure [4] - The Federal Reserve's shift to a rate-cutting cycle is expected to weaken the dollar, enhancing the pricing power of commodities [4] - The demand for "green metals" is surging due to the energy transition, with electric vehicles requiring significantly more copper compared to traditional vehicles [4] Group 3 - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) and its linked funds cover a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's performance [5] - Analysts predict that the non-ferrous metals sector will continue to exhibit strong performance into 2026, driven by structural and cyclical factors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rising gold prices have significantly boosted the stock price of Zijin Mining, which reached a historical high, with its market capitalization surpassing 1 trillion yuan for the first time [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 6, Zijin Mining's stock price increased by 5.65%, reaching 37.4 yuan per share, with an intraday high of 37.68 yuan [1]. - This marks the fourth consecutive trading day of gains for Zijin Mining [1]. Group 2: Stock Option Incentive Plan - On January 5, Zijin Mining announced the results of the first exercise period of its 2023 stock option incentive plan, with 12.2 million shares exercised, raising 136 million yuan, which will be used to supplement the company's liquidity [3]. Group 3: Earnings Forecast - Zijin Mining expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 51-52 billion yuan for the year 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% from 32.05 billion yuan in the previous year [3][4]. - The company also anticipates a net profit of about 47.5-48.5 billion yuan after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 50%-53% from 31.69 billion yuan [3][4]. Group 4: Production and Sales Growth - The increase in expected earnings is attributed to a rise in production of key mineral products, including approximately 90 tons of gold, 1.09 million tons of copper, 437 tons of silver, and 25,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent [4]. - Zijin Mining plans to increase its production targets for 2026 to 105 tons of gold, 120 tons of copper, 12,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, and 520 tons of silver [4]. Group 5: Leadership Changes - On December 31, 2025, Zijin Mining announced a leadership change, electing Zou Laichang as the new chairman and Lin Hongfu as the vice chairman, both serving a three-year term [5]. - Zou Laichang has been with the company since 1996 and has held various positions, including chief engineer and vice chairman [7]. - Lin Hongfu has also been with Zijin Mining since 1997, holding multiple leadership roles, including executive director and vice president [9]. Group 6: Company Positioning - Zijin Mining is recognized as the largest enterprise in China controlling metal mineral resources, with significant reserves of copper, gold, and lithium [7]. - The company ranks first among global gold enterprises and fourth among global metal mining companies in the 2025 Forbes Global 2000 list [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metal sector, driven by various market dynamics, including geopolitical tensions and a global inventory replenishment cycle, indicating a potential "super cycle" for non-ferrous metals in 2026 [3][10][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 6, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a ten-year high, with the non-ferrous metal sector leading the market, including record highs for Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum [1][8]. - The popular non-ferrous metal ETF, Huabao (159876), saw an intraday increase of 4.4%, with a current rise of 3.33% and a trading volume exceeding 62.45 million yuan [1][8]. - The ETF experienced a net subscription of 39 million units, with a total net inflow of 56.48 million yuan over the previous four days, indicating strong market interest [1][8]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The domestic precious metals futures market has been rising, with silver and platinum contracts increasing by over 7% [3][10]. - Geopolitical instability is expected to continue influencing gold demand and prices in 2026, similar to trends observed in 2025 [3][10]. - Analysts identify three core drivers for the current non-ferrous metal boom: 1. A global inventory replenishment cycle is underway, with rising manufacturing PMI and concentrated demand in sectors like electric vehicles and infrastructure [11]. 2. The Federal Reserve has initiated a rate-cutting cycle, leading to a weaker dollar and a return of pricing power to commodities [11]. 3. The rigid demand for energy transition is surging, with electric vehicles using four times more copper than gasoline vehicles, and significant copper requirements for wind energy equipment [11]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Industry experts predict a cyclical and structural bull market for non-ferrous metals in 2025, with continued structural cycles expected in 2026 [4][11]. - The Huabao non-ferrous ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for better exposure to various market cycles [5][12].

Group 1 - The non-ferrous mining sector has shown strong performance, with the non-ferrous mining ETF (招商, 159690) rising by 4.28% and trading volume exceeding 21 million yuan, indicating significant market activity [1][3] - Leading company Zijin Mining has reached a market capitalization of over 1 trillion yuan, setting a historical high [1] - The strong performance of the sector is driven by multiple fundamental factors, including a significant rise in precious metal prices due to geopolitical tensions, with spot gold increasing by 2.64% to surpass 4,400 USD/ounce and COMEX gold futures rising nearly 3% [3] Group 2 - Silver futures surged over 7%, while several mining companies have projected substantial profit increases for 2025, with Huayou Cobalt expecting a net profit growth of over 40% and Chifeng Jilong Gold forecasting an increase of 70% to 81% [3] - The industrial metal sector is also experiencing price strength, with London copper prices breaking through 13,100 USD per ton, driven by tight supply conditions and increased demand from the smelting industry [3] - Aluminum prices have also shown robust performance, with Shanghai aluminum prices exceeding 24,000 yuan per ton, reaching a temporary high [3] Group 3 - The analysis suggests that the logic of rising profitability and valuation for upstream mineral resource companies remains solid amid rising global inflation expectations, ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, and long-term demand driven by energy transition [3] - The non-ferrous mining index focuses on upstream companies with high price elasticity and performance leverage, making it an important tool for investors looking to capitalize on the recovery of the non-ferrous metal sector and the revaluation of strategic resources [3]